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By Roger Nusbaum, AdvisorShares ETF Strategist Barron’s featured an ETF Roundtable that focused on smart beta funds . The actual discussion wasn’t all that interesting, but there was an important general point made about investment strategies. Gray: Value investing is driven in part by behavioral biases-otherwise, why wouldn’t everyone just be Warren Buffett and buy cheap stocks and hold them? They don’t because if you hold concentrated, cheap-stock portfolios, there will be multiple years when you’ll get your face ripped off. You need clients that understand how true active strategies work over the long term. Indeed, the cheapest U.S. stocks have trailed more expensive growth stocks for nine years now. Whistler: The challenge with strategic beta, or any factor-based investment, is that they can underperform a traditional cap-weighted index for quite a long period-two, three, even five years. For purposes of this blog post, value investing is merely an example. There are plenty of valid strategies that could replace value in the excerpt. The passage is important, because it accepts as an inevitability that any given strategy will have periods where it lags. Value has lagged for the entire bull market until this year, according to another Barron’s article from this weekend, but there is no sentiment that somehow value is not a valid investment strategy. Value or growth, buy and hold no matter what, indexing or passive and so on and on are all capable of getting the job done. Underperformance for a couple of years, although completely normal, potentially breeds impatience, which can lead to chasing the performance of what just did well in the expectation that it will continue to do well. In simplistic terms, something that just outperformed last year has a good chance of underperforming this year. The person who perpetually chases last year’s winner has a high likelihood of always lagging, which does not have to be ruinous, but does make things harder over the long term in terms of keeping pace with the projection of “the number.” My preference is to maintain exposure to various market segments: small cap/large cap, growth/value, foreign/domestic, high dividend/no or low dividend and so on. And like any approach out there, there are times where my preference outperforms and times where it lags. More important than returns are savings rates and the avoidance of self-destructive investment behaviors. At a high level, everyone knows they need to save money, but doing it is the hard part. People who save 10%, 15% or more are making things easier for their future selves and are acting on the thing they have far more control over – saving money, versus the whims of the capital markets. Chasing previous top performers is just one of countless behavioral things that people do to themselves. My hope in revisiting these building blocks, especially when others in the field say essentially the same thing, is that hopefully, more market participants will come to realize that how they are doing in 2016 simply won’t matter in the long run. As I often mention in this context, “Without looking, how’d you do in the first quarter of 2012?” The only way someone is likely to know is if something catastrophic happened to their portfolio. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: To the extent that this content includes references to securities, those references do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or hold such securities. AdvisorShares is a sponsor of actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and holds positions in all of its ETFs. This document should not be considered investment advice, and the information contain within should not be relied upon in assessing whether or not to invest in any products mentioned. Investment in securities carries a high degree of risk, which may result in investors losing all of their invested capital. Please keep in mind that a company’s past financial performance, including the performance of its share price, does not guarantee future results. To learn more about the risks with actively managed ETFs, visit our website AdvisorShares.com . Scalper1 News
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