Goldman Sachs Calls 5G Winners: Verizon, Cisco, Intel, Broadcom
Verizon Communications ( VZ ) and AT&T ( T ) could shake up the U.S. residential broadband market by 2020 by deploying 5G wireless services to homes, challenging cable TV firms Comcast ( CMCSA ) and Charter Communications ( CHTR ), says Goldman Sachs. While 5G is expected to provide much faster data speeds, another market opportunity for AT&T, Verizon and T-Mobile US ( TMUS ) will be applications that require always-on, low-data-rate connections, says Goldman Sachs in a new research report. The apps involve data-gathering from industrial sensors, home appliances and other devices often referred to as part of the Internet of Things. Simona Jankowski, a Goldman Sachs analyst, says that some chipmakers, network gear suppliers and software companies will see an upside in 5G deployment. Jankowski says that Broadcom ( AVGO ), Qualcomm ( QCOM ), Intel ( INTC ), Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), cell tower operator Crown Castle ( CCI ), and bandwidth service provider Zayo Group Holdings ( ZAYO ) could see upside from 5G deployment. “We expect pre-standard 5G commercial deployments to begin in the U.S. in 2017, when AT&T and Verizon plan to be first in the world to roll out fixed wireless 5G broadband to the home, followed by pre-standard 5G mobile networks in Korea in time for the 2018 Olympics,” wrote Jankowski in the report. U.S. regulators are focused on opening up high-frequency airwaves , also called millimeter wave spectrum, for 5G services. “Europe led the 3G transition, with industry giants such as Ericsson ( ERIC ) and Nokia ( NOK ) leading the way,” said Jankowski. “With 4G, the baton passed to the U.S., driven by a new group of industry leaders such as Qualcomm and Apple ( AAPL ). With China, Korea and Japan targeting 5G rollouts on par with or ahead of their Western counterparts, it bears watching whether the wireless industry’s center of gravity shifts once again (to Asia).” The Goldman Sachs analyst says that 5G also could have upside for Cisco, Intel, Zayo and Crown Castle. “We view Cisco’s market leading position in IoT as a strategic differentiator, given that 5G will likely be closely coupled with IoT,” Jankowski added. “We expect Intel’s server and networking business to benefit from increased data traffic and greater demand for compute-intensive data analytics. “As the largest operator of small cell networks in the U.S. and one of the largest pure-play providers of dark fiber in large metros respectively, Crown Castle and Zayo look well positioned for this long-term investment cycle.”