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Auto ETFs And Stocks To Ride On This Holiday Season

The auto industry has been on a high gear and remains on track to break the all-time record of 17.35 million vehicles reached in 2000. Once again, the monthly auto sales data spread bullishness into the entire industry across the globe. In particular, auto sales rose 1.4% year over year to an annualized 18.2 million units in November. This represents the highest auto sales in 14 years and the third consecutive month of 18 million plus sales. Five of the six major American and Japanese automakers reported solid sales growth for November. Nissan ( OTCPK:NSANY ) led the way higher with 4% growth, followed by sales increases of 3% for Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE: FCAU ), 3.0% for Toyota (NYSE: TM ), 1.5% for General Motors (NYSE: GM ) and 0.3% for Ford Motor (NYSE: F ). However, Honda’s (NYSE: HMC ) auto sales fell 5% last month. A major boost came from attractive year-end offers, Black Friday deals, higher demand for sport utility vehicles, cheap fuel and low financing costs. Further, a plethora of new models, the need to replace aging vehicles, higher income, increasing consumer confidence, and higher spending power are adding enough fuel. The robust trend is likely to continue this month as well, as automakers continue offering discounts and holiday season incentives. Further, about two-thirds of the industries falling under the auto sector have a strong Zacks Rank in the top 39%, suggesting healthy growth. As such, investors seeking to take advantage of the current boom may consider the ETFs and stocks from this corner of the broad market. ETFs to Buy First Trust NASDAQ Global Auto Index ETF (NASDAQ: CARZ ) This fund offers pure play global exposure to the 37 auto stocks by tracking the NASDAQ OMX Global Auto Index. It is a large-cap centric fund, highly concentrated on the top 10 holdings with about 62% of assets. The four prime automakers – General Motors, Ford, Honda and Toyota – are among the top five holdings. In terms of country exposure, Japan takes the top spot at 36.8% while the U.S. and Germany round off the next two spots with 23.4% and 18.3% share, respectively. CARZ is under appreciated as indicated by its AUM of only $41.1 million and average daily trading volume of about 10,000 shares. The product charges 70 bps in fees per year and has gained 2.4% in the year-to-date time period. It has a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’ rating with a High risk outlook. Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLY ) While XLY provides broad exposure to the consumer discretionary space, investors could go for this product as it has an at least 8% allocation to the auto industry. It holds 90 securities in its basket and some well known automakers like Ford, General Motor, O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ: ORLY ) and Delphi Automotive (NYSE: DLPH ) make up for a nice mix in the portfolio. It is the largest and the most popular product in this space with AUM of nearly $11.7 billion and average daily volume of roughly 6.6 million shares. It charges 14 bps in annual fees from investors and has gained 14.3% so far this year. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 with a Medium risk outlook. Stocks to Buy We have used our Zacks stock screener to find out the best stocks in the auto space having a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and a Growth Style Score of ‘B’ or better. The Growth Style Score analyzes the growth prospects of a company with a thorough analysis of the income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement that evaluate its financial health and the sustainability of growth trajectory. The results show that stocks with Growth Style Scores of A or B when combined with Zacks Rank of 1 or 2 offer the best upside potential. Superior Industries International Inc. (NYSE: SUP ) Based in Southfield, Michigan, Superior Industries is one of the world’s largest original equipment manufacturer (OEM) of aluminum wheels for the automotive industry. It designs, manufactures and supplies cast aluminum road wheels to the automobile and light truck manufacturers. The stock has seen positive earnings estimate revisions from 90 cents to 93 cents per share for 2015 over the past 60 days, representing a year-over-year increase of 43.1%, which is much higher than the industry average of 5.4%. The company delivered an average positive earnings surprise of 32.44% in the last four quarters. The stock has a Zacks Rank #1 with a Growth Style Score of B, meaning that it is primed for further growth in the months to come. Motorcar Parts of America Inc. (NASDAQ: MPAA ) Based in Torrance, California, Motorcar Parts is a leading manufacturer of auto parts like replacement starters, alternators, wheel hub assemblies, bearings and master cylinders used for imported and domestic passenger vehicles, light trucks, and heavy-duty applications in the United States and Canada. The company has seen a solid earnings positive estimate revision of 6 cents for the current fiscal year over the past 60 days and is expected to grow at an annual rate of 24.4% versus negative industry growth. Further, the company delivered positive earnings surprises in the three of the past four quarters, with an average beat of 4.64%. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #1 with a Growth Style Score of B, suggesting incredible growth in the months ahead. Bottom Line Holiday fervor, massive discounts, an improving economy, and increased consumer spending will continue to drive U.S. auto sales higher in the weeks ahead, making the above ETFs and stocks compelling choices for investors to play this holiday season. Original Post

Dividend Growth Stock Overview: New Jersey Resources Corporation

Summary New Jersey Resources provides natural gas services to over 500,000 customers in northern and central New Jersey. The company also has a growing wind and solar energy portfolio, currently totaling 147 MW of capacity. Over the last decade, the company has met its goal of compounding its dividend by 6-8% a year; the annual dividend growth rate has averaged 7.3%. New Jersey Resources has grown its dividend since 1995. The stock currently yields 3.2%. Among the areas that New Jersey Resources serves is the Jersey shore. Photo: New Jersey Resources Corporation’s 2014 Annual Report About New Jersey Resources Corporation New Jersey Resources Corporation (NYSE: NJR ) is an energy services holding company, whose primary business is the sale and distribution of natural gas to over 500,000 customers in the northern and central New Jersey. The company was formed in the early 1980s through the 1-for-1 exchange of New Jersey Natural Gas shares into the new holding corporation. In addition to the regulated natural gas business, New Jersey Resources offers other energy services to its customers and invests in midstream assets. The company’s operating area has a population of roughly 1.5 million people. (Note that one customer account usually serves more than one individual.) The company’s has four reporting business segments, which are organized roughly around its subsidiaries. The New Jersey Natural Gas Company subsidiary runs the natural gas distribution business segment, which is responsible for the regulated part of New Jersey Resources’ business: The distribution and sale of natural gas to retail customers. The Energy Services segment primarily consists of NJR Energy Services Company and is responsible for New Jersey Resources’ unregulated wholesale energy operations. The segment is also responsible for providing wholesale energy operations to other natural gas companies and energy producers. The Clean Energy Ventures segment is run by NJR Clean Energy Venture Corporation. This segment is responsible for investments in solar and onshore wind investments. This segment has a clean energy portfolio of more than 147 MW in electrical generation capacity. Finally, the Midstream segment is responsible for all of New Jersey Resources’ investments in natural gas transportation and storage facilities. NJR reports “net financial earnings” (NFE) as its primary profitability metric. NFE is the company’s earnings adjusted for commodity derivative and hedging contracts. For the 2015 fiscal year (which ended September 30, 2015), although New Jersey Resources earned $2.12 per share under generally accepted accounting principles, which was up 25% from 2014, NFE per share was $1.78, down 15.2% from 2014. New Jersey Resources seeks to increase NFE per share by 5-9% a year and the dividend 6-8% a year long term. With the current dividend of 96 cents, the payout ratio is 54%, below the company’s target range of 60-65%. Accounting for the company’s guidance of 2016 NFE per share of $1.55-$1.65, next year’s expected payout ratio is roughly 60%, before any increase. New Jersey Resources has an active share repurchase program and has repurchased 16.8 million shares since September 1996. In FY 2015, the company repurchased 348,200 shares. 2.7 million shares remain on the existing authorization, which represents 3.15% of the outstanding stock. The company is a member of the S&P 600 Small Cap and Russell 2000 indices and trades under the ticker symbol NJR. New Jersey Resources’ Dividend and Stock Split History (click to enlarge) New Jersey Resources has grown its dividend at 7.3% over the last 10 years. New Jersey Resources has paid dividends since at least 1988 and increased them since 1995. The company announces annual dividend increases in early-to-mid September, with the stock going ex-dividend about two weeks later. In September 2015, New Jersey Resources announced a 6.7% dividend increase to an annualized rate of 96 cents a share. The company should announce its 22nd consecutive annual dividend increase in September 2016. As noted above, New Jersey Resources aims to increase dividends by 6-8% a year, and targets a payout ratio of between 60% and 65%. The company has met its dividend growth target over the last decade – the 5-year and 10-year dividend growth rates are 6.15% and 7.29%. Over the last 20 years, the company has fallen short of the goal, with the dividend compounded at 5.16% annually. New Jersey Resources has split its stock three times since beginning its record of annual dividend increases. The company split its stock 3-for-2 in March 2002 and March 2008. Most recently, the company split its stock 2-for-1 in March 2015. Over the 5 years ending on June 30, 2015, New Jersey Resources’ stock appreciated at an annualized rate of 13.4%, from a split-adjusted $14.58 to $27.31. This underperformed the 15.0% compounded return of the S&P 500 index, the 17.2% return of the S&P Small Cap 600 index and the 15.7% return of the Russell 2000 index over the same period. New Jersey Resources’ Direct Purchase and Dividend Reinvestment Plans New Jersey Resources has both direct purchase and dividend reinvestment plans. You don’t need to be a current shareholder to participate in the plans – you can make your initial purchase in the plan. The minimum investment for the initial direct purchase is $100 and $25 for follow-on direct purchases. The dividend reinvestment plan allows for full or partial reinvestment of dividends. The company occasionally offers shares at up to a 3% discount through the direct purchase plan. The plan’s fee structures are favorable for investors. The company picks up the costs of buying shares through the both the direct purchase and dividend reinvestment plans. The only fees you pay through the plans are when you sell your shares. You’ll pay a commission of between $15 and $30, depending on the type of sell order, plus a transaction fee of 10 cents per share. You’ll also pay $5 to have the proceeds (net of any fees) directly deposited to your account. Helpful Links New Jersey Resources Corporation’s Investor Relations Website Current quote and financial summary for New Jersey Resources Corporation ( finviz.com ) Information on the direct purchase and dividend reinvestment plans for New Jersey Resources Corporation

Best And Worst Q4’15: Small Cap Value ETFs, Mutual Funds And Key Holdings

Summary The Small Cap Value style ranks tenth in Q4’15. . Based on an aggregation of ratings of 16 ETFs and 255 mutual funds. . VBR is our top-rated Small Cap Value style ETF and RVFIX is our top-rated Small Cap Value Style mutual fund.. The Small Cap Value style ranks tenth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our Q4’15 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter , the Small Cap Value style ranked tenth as well. It gets our Dangerous rating, which is based on an aggregation of ratings of 16 ETFs and 255 mutual funds in the Small Cap Value style. See a recap of our Q3’15 Style Ratings here. Figure 1 ranks from best to worst the ten Small-Cap Value ETFs that meet our liquidity standards and Figure 2 shows the five best and worst-rated Small-Cap Value mutual funds. Not all Small Cap Value style ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 12 to 1502). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings. Investors seeking exposure to the Small Cap Value style should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The Direxion Value Line Small- and Mid-Cap High Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: VLSM ) and the First Trust Mid Cap Value AlphaDEX ETF (NYSEARCA: FNK ) and are excluded from Figure 1 because their total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (NYSEARCA: VBR ) is the top-rated Small Cap Value ETF and the Royce Small-Cap Value Fund (MUTF: RVFIX ) is the top-rated Small Cap Value mutual fund. DBR earns a Neutral rating and RVFIX earns an Attractive rating. The PowerShares Fundamental Pure Small Value Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: PXSV ) is the worst-rated Small Cap Value ETF and the Aston/River Road Independent Value Fund (MUTF: ARIVX ) is the worst-rated Small Cap Value mutual fund. PXSV earns a Dangerous rating and ARIVX earns a Very Dangerous rating. The Buckle, Inc. (NYSE: BKE ) is one of our favorite stocks held by Small Cap Value ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Very Attractive rating. For the past decade, the company has grown after-tax profit ( NOPAT ) by 13% compounded annually. Not only has the company posted strong profit growth, but Buckle has improved its return on invested capital ( ROIC ) from 18% to a top quintile 30% during the same time frame. Concerns over the retail industry have led shares of this fundamentally sound company to be significantly undervalued. At its current price of $32/share, Buckle has a price to economic book value ( PEBV ) ratio of 0.6. This ratio means that the market expects Buckle’s NOPAT to permanently decline by 40%. If Buckle can grow NOPAT by 5% compounded annually for the next five years , the company is worth $69/share today – a 115% upside. Dean Foods (NYSE: DF ) is one of our least favorite stocks held by Small Cap Value ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Dangerous rating. Dean Foods was also placed in the Danger Zone back in December 2012. Since 2010, Dean Foods’ NOPAT has declined by an alarming 48% compounded annually. The company’s ROIC has fallen from 4% in 2010 to a bottom quintile 1% on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Despite the deterioration of business operations, Dean Foods remains priced for significant profit growth. To justify its current price of $19/share, Dean Foods must grow NOPAT by 19% compounded annually for the next 17 years . This expectation seems optimistic given that Dean Foods’ profits have steadily declined since 2010. Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Small Cap Value ETFs and mutual funds. Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds From the Worst Funds (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings D isclosure: David Trainer and Thaxston McKee receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.