Tag Archives: united-states

MLP And Small Cap Growth: 2 ETFs To Watch On Outsized Volume

In the last trading session, the U.S. stocks ended slightly lower but booked solid gains for the shortened Christmas week. Among the top ETFs, investors saw the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) and the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA: DIA ) lose 0.3% each and the PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ: QQQ ) move lower by 0.02% on the day. Two more specialized ETFs are worth noting as both saw trading volume that was far outside of normal. In fact, both these funds experienced volume levels that were more than double their average for the most recent trading session. This could make these ETFs ones to watch out for in the days ahead to see if this trend of extra-interest continues: i Path S&P MLP ETN (NYSEARCA: IMLP ): Volume 6.01 times average This MLP ETF was under the microscope in the last trading session as around 717,000 shares moved hands. This compares with an average trading day of around 146,000 shares and came as IMLP gained 0.8% in the session. The movement can largely be blamed on the pre-Christmas rally in oil price following the better-than-expected inventory data and a bullish report from OPEC that can have a big impact on the MLP stocks like what we find in this ETF portfolio. IMLP was down 5.2% in the past one month. Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF (VTWO ): Volume 2.50 times average This small cap growth ETF was in focus in the last trading session as more than 138,000 shares moved hands compared with an average of roughly 57,000 shares a day. We also saw some price movement as VTWO gained 0.4% in the session. The big move was largely the result of the anticipation of a Santa Claus rally. In the past one-month period, VTWO was down 3.9% and has a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or ‘Buy’ rating with a Medium risk outlook. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

Enhancing Performance With Low Volatility ETPs

One theme that I will spend more time on in 2016 and beyond is the low volatility anomaly, which has been discussed in considerable detail in the academic world, leading to papers such as the following: In a nutshell, the research supports the claim that low volatility and low beta stocks in the United States and across the globe outperform high volatility and high beta stocks, with low volatility stocks generating substantially higher risk-adjusted returns. Not coincidentally, the groundswell of research pointing to outperformance by low volatility stocks has created a land rush for low volatility ETPs in the first generation of “smart beta” or factor-based investment products in ETP wrappers. Since I believe smart beta or factor-based ETPs is one of the key revolutionary ideas to appear in the investment world in recent memory, I will have a great deal to say about this subject and the many tangential ideas that arise from it going forward. After nine years focusing primarily on the VIX, volatility and related subjects, it is time to charge off in some new directions, starting with some that have a whiff of volatility and ETP innovation. For now, I am going to be content with updating a February 2013 post, with the title The Options and Volatility ETPs Landscape . At that time, I wanted to capture those ETPs that employed a buy-write/covered call approach, employed a put-write strategy, focused on the convertible bond space or targeted low volatility stocks. Well, a lot has changed in the past three years, notably in the low volatility space. This time around, I have some enhancements to the options and volatility ETPs graphic. As is the case with The Current VIX ETP Landscape , I have added yellow stars for those ETPs with an average daily volume of 1,000,000 or higher and pink stars for ETPs with an average daily volume between 100,000 and 1,000,000. Additionally, I have highlighted the new currency-hedged crop of low volatility ETPs by using a red font and have captured the demise of HFIN, a financials buy-write ETF that closed in March 2015 with an X-HFIN designation. (click to enlarge) (source(s): VIX and More) There are a number of other sub-categorizations I will delve into at a future date, but note that whereas FTHI is a buy-write only, FTLB adds an out-of-the-money put. Three other relatively new arrivals, CFO , CDC and CSF , are structured so that they will hold up to 75% of portfolio assets in cash in adverse market conditions. Another intriguing new entrant, SLOW , attempts to avoid sector bias by forcing greater sector diversification than most other low volatility ETPs. So if you found 2015 volatility to be daunting and are looking to dampen volatility in your portfolio in 2016 or tap into the performance benefits of the low volatility anomaly, keep the list above in mind. While comprehensive and including many ETPs with marginal liquidity, this list may not touch upon some of the many new and illiquid products that might be flying under the radar.

Ameren: A Solid Dividend Play With Attractive Long-Term Prospects

Summary Headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, Ameren Corporation provides utility services throughout the states of Illinois and Missouri. Ameren’s management expects the company to demonstrate a 7%-to-10% compounded annual EPS growth rate between 2013 and 2018 and a 6% compounded annual EPS growth rate between 2014 and 2019. As of Friday’s Close, shares of Ameren were yielding 3.89% ($1.70) and trading at P/E ratio of 17.9. When it comes to finding a solid dividend investment there’s a lot more that goes into it then just settling on an attractive yield and a reasonably attractive P/E ratio. With that said, I wanted to take a closer look at and highlight a number of reasons as to why I’ve chosen to stay long on shares of Ameren Corporation (NYSE: AEE ) which currently yield 3.89% ($1.70) and offer a P/E ratio of 17.9. Company Overview Headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, Ameren is a fully rate-regulated electric and gas utility company that is broken down into three operational segments. These segments are its Ameren Missouri segment (which serves 1.2 million electric customers and 127,000 gas customers throughout the state of Missouri), its Ameren Illinois segment (which serves 1.2 million electric and 813,000 gas customer throughout the state of Illinois) and its Electric Transmission segment (which invests in the various types of multi-value and local reliability projects throughout the state of Illinois). It should be noted that the company has a total of 3.3 million total customers (that total can be broken down into 2.4 million electric customers and 900,000 natural gas customers), 10,200 MW of regulated electric generation capability, and approximately 4,600 miles of FERC regulated electric transmission. ( Company Presentation – December 2015 ) A Pretty Solid Strategic Plan One of the most intriguing things to consider when it comes to investing in Ameren is clearly the company’s strategic plan. The plan, which is a multi-tiered approach, can be broken down into three primary strategies. According to the company’s December Investor Meeting Presentation these strategies include : Investing in and operating its utilities in a manner that is consistent with the existing regulatory frameworks that directly affect the company’s operations in both Illinois and Missouri. The enhancement of regulatory frameworks (such as its FERC-regulated electric transmission service, its Illinois Electricity service, its Illinois Natural Gas service, and its Missouri Electricity service) and advocating for responsible energy policies within both the Illinois and Missouri marketplaces. Creating and capitalizing on opportunities for investment for the benefit of both its customers and our shareholders. As long as Ameren can stay the course, I see no reason why this strategic plan will not be beneficial to shareholders moving forward. If historical stock performance is any indication of management’s success over the last five years (shares of AEE have posted a CAGR of 10.88% since December 2010), then there’s a very good chance we could see the same, if not, an even better performance over the next five years. A Strong Long-Term Earnings Outlook When a company notes that it expects to stay on course and deliver a 7%-to-10% compounded annual EPS growth rate between 2013 and 2018 and also deliver a (very conservative) 6% compounded annual EPS growth rate between 2014 and 2019 to its shareholders, I’m quite impressed. That being said, the 6% compounded annual EPS growth rate between 2014 and 2019 is very conservative considering the fact that it plans on achieving such growth without issuing any additional equity for at least the next 48 months. So what are some the drivers that are directly affecting the company’s long-term earnings growth, you ask? As a whole, Ameren will want to continue to reduce its operational and maintenance-related expenses, its parent company’s interest-related charges, and increase its investments in both electric transmission and delivery infrastructure over the next 12-24 months. It should be noted that analysts expect Ameren to earn $2.61/share for 2015 and $2.71/share for 2016. That being said, the latter of the two estimates which is the $2.71/share estimate for 2016 is a bit conservative especially if we were to apply either of the above mentioned compounded annual EPS growth rates to its estimated 2015 full-year earnings of $2.61/share. For example, if we were to apply the 7%-to-10% compounded annual EPS growth rate we’d see an estimated EPS range of $2.79/share-to-$2.87/share and if we were to apply the compounded annual EPS growth rate of 6% we’d see an estimate of $2.77/share. Recent Dividend Behavior On Monday, October 12, Ameren announced a quarterly dividend increase of $0.015/share, which brings its quarterly dividend payout to $0.425/share. It should be noted that the increase will be paid on December 31 for shareholders of record as of December 9. This boost represents a 3.65% increase from its prior dividend of $0.41/share. Based on the company’s dividend history over the last twelve months, I strongly believe we could begin to see a more consistent pattern of annualized dividend increases over the next 3-5 years as long as earnings growth stays consistent with the above mentioned estimates and the company holds true to its course in terms of maintaining the strategic plan that is currently in place. Conclusion For those of you who may be considering a position in Ameren, I strongly recommend keeping a close eye on the company’s compounded annual EPS growth rate as well as its long-term dividend growth rate over the next few years. Both of these particular growth rates will be directly affected by its ability to stay within the means of the strategic plan that is currently in place as well as the continued investment in its FERC-regulated electric transmission service and the utility services that it provides to customers who reside in the states of Illinois and Missouri.