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Square Hits Bullseye With First Revenue Scorecard Since IPO

Investors bolstered Square ( SQ ) stock in after-hours trading, after the mobile payments company late Wednesday posted Q4 revenue that safely exceeded Wall Street’s expectations. In its first earnings release since its November IPO, Square reported sales of $374 million, up 49% from $251 million in the year-earlier quarter. The company’s net loss widened to 34 cents per share from 25 cents in Q4 2014, as operating expenses rose 52% to $157 million. The company didn’t release EPS minus items. On that basis, analysts were expecting a 14-cent per-share loss, up from 11 cents. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Q1 sales of $325 million, up 29% from the year-earlier quarter. Analyst model a per-share loss minus items of 11 cents, improving from a 14-cent loss in Q1 2015. The company guided to adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) of a $9 million loss to an $11 million loss, before ending 2016 with an adjusted EBITDA profit of $6 million to $12 million. It posted an adjusted EBITDA loss of $6 million in Q4. Gross payment volume — the total volume of payments processed by the company — rose nearly 50% to $10.2 billion in Q4. The company provided only “adjusted revenue” guidance for Q1, calling for $132 million to $137 million, and for $600 million to $620 million for 2016. It posted adjusted revenue of $135 million for Q4, up 64% vs. Q4 2014. Square stock was up more than 1% in after-hours trading, after the company released its earnings. Shares jumped 4.8% in Wednesday’s regular session, to 12.03, still a far cry from its all-time high of 14.78 touched on its first day of trading. The stock has been volatile —  in part, analysts say  — because investors weren’t sure how to value the company before its first earnings release. Square provides digital cash registers and credit card readers — which users affix to their smartphones or tablets — targeting smaller businesses, as well as processing the transactions conducted over its point-of-sale hardware. In addition, Square offers its restaurant clients the Caviar app and delivery service. In 2015, Caviar launched in six new markets and is now in 17 markets across the U.S. Square CEO and co-founder Jack Dorsey also is co-founder and CEO at Twitter ( TWTR ), which has led investors to speculate on his ability to run two high-profile companies with big challenges at the same time. On Square’s earnings conference call, Dorsey said his dual jobs have “been working out really well. I benefit a lot from a consistent schedule and structure.” Dorsey said he has separate four-hour meetings on Monday’s with leaders of both companies, and shorter meetings on Wednesdays and Fridays. He pointed out that both San Francisco-based companies are located practically right across the street from one another. But questions like these also have led to a volatile stock, for a company whose rivals on some levels include major companies such as Apple ( AAPL ), PayPal ( PYPL ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ). Square also provides transaction services such as peer-to-peer payments and other financial services such as payroll and short-term cash advances to its sellers. Square Capital Advances Accelerate Square said that it extended more than $400 million in cash advances in 2015 through its Square Capital business, including $150 million in Q4 alone. The company says that 90% of sellers who have used Square Capital have asked for a second advance. Square Capital offers short-term cash advances to businesses with more than $250,000 in annual revenue. Square charges a flat rate for the cash advance repayments, which are deducted from each transaction a business processes through Square. The company uses the wealth of transaction data it collects about a company to determine how much cash it is willing to advance to a business. Analysts speculate that Square Capital can be a big opportunity for growth because of its product mix and its ability to keep merchants as Square customers. “Our sellers are our partners,” Dorsey said on the call. “When they grow, we grow.” On the call, CFO Sarah Friar said Square has more than 2 million active sellers and “adds 100,000 active sellers per quarter.” In its Q4 release, Square said its Instant Deposit feature, which send funds from a sale immediate to a seller’s bank account for a 1% charge — normally, Square settles payments the next day — has completed 600,000 such deposits since its August launch. Peer-To-Peer Payments In recent weeks Square has upped the ante in its battle against PayPal. Square Cash — the company’s peer-to-peer payments app — recently added a feature called “Cash Drawer” that lets customers store money in their account, instead of transferring it directly to friends. PayPal offers the same feature. It’s possible Square will attempt to leverage the feature into a mobile wallet, much like the direction PayPal’s own Venmo is heading. Venmo is a free person-to-person payment app. PayPal has opened up its “Buy With Venmo” option to “select” PayPal merchants. Buying from a merchant triggers transaction fees, which PayPal hopes will make the app profitable. Square is taking a similar approach, letting people check out with Square Cash at businesses that use Square’s digital cash register and transaction processing technology — much the way Apple Pay and Android Pay, Google’s version of a digital wallet, do.

Good News For Alphabet, Facebook In Ad Spending Budgets, Benefits

Alphabet ( GOOGL ) and Facebook ( FB ) scored big in a survey of advertisers, receiving the highest budget allocations and the best return on investment of digital media properties. The survey of almost 2,000 advertising professionals by RBC Capital Markets had somewhat good news for Twitter ( TWTR ) and LinkedIn ( LNKD ), but not for Yahoo ( YHOO ) or AOL, which was acquired last year by Verizon Communications ( VZ ). Alphabet, via its Google properties, led the pack in the survey that asked advertisers to rank the order of major online-ad platforms based on the return on investment. Facebook and Alphabet’s YouTube followed. Twitter and LinkedIn were next, with Yahoo and AOL last. Twitter was the only platform to see a clear falloff in its relative ROI vs. the prior survey by RBC. When marketers were asked about current spending plans, Google was strongest, followed by Facebook and YouTube, then Twitter and LinkedIn. In terms of ad spend over the next year, 62% of advertisers expect to increase their ad spend on Facebook, while 54% expect to do so with Google, then 32% for Twitter. The trend is quite apparent that ad dollars are moving from TV to online channels, according to the survey. “The trend of pulling ad dollars from television seems to have meaningfully increased,” the RBC report said. The second biggest transfer of ad dollars came from print media. A record 57% of marketers, up from 49% in its previous two surveys, allocate more than 20% of their budgets to online, including a record 23% who allocate over 50% of their budgets to online spending. “We expect online ad spend to continue growing robustly, with a record high 82% of our survey respondents expecting their online marketing budgets to increase over the next year, vs. 16% who expect them to stay the same,” it said. “Clearly, online has become a crucial marketing channel and is continuing to gain importance — a strong secular investment trend, in our view.” Mobile has also become an increasingly important channel, with 73% of marketers allocating some of their online marketing budget to smartphones, vs. 71% in RBC’s previous survey. “We believe mobile will only continue to grow in importance to marketers,” RBC said.

Tesla Motors Counts Down To Late-March Model 3 Reveal

Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) is planning a March 31 reveal of its mass-market Model 3 electric vehicle, to be sold at half the entry sticker price of its current luxury EVs. When Tesla finally makes the Model 3, around late 2017 by the most optimistic estimates, its $35,000 price tag will require battery cost reductions achieved through the battery Gigafactory that Tesla is building in Nevada. With that as the backdrop, Tesla stock slipped 1.3% on the stock market today along with other automakers and the broader stock market. While IBD doesn’t rate the company highly at the moment, Tesla shares — like those of some other automakers — have made significant strides up from February lows. Tesla is now 44% above its February low, but 29% off its 52-week high set in July 2015. Short-seller Citron Research, which expects supply and demand problems as Tesla tries to scale up production, recently targeted Tesla stock. The website InsideEVs’ Monthly Plug-In Sales Scorecard shows an estimated 2,400 Tesla Model S sedans sold this year through February, more than any other maker’s U.S. sales of plug-in electrics or plug-in hybrids. The  General Motors ( GM ) Chevrolet Volt was next with 2,122, then the Nissan ( NSANY ) Leaf at 1,685 and the Ford ( F ) Fusion Energi at 1,513. Tesla Model S 100D In The Skunkworks? Tesla’s Model 3 is expected to have a 200-mile driving range between charges, notes Global Equities Research analyst Trip Chowdhry. The Model 3 sedan has over 270 miles of range. Is Tesla also building a Model S 100D that could go more than 300 miles per charge? A self-described “white hat” hacker took a look at some code in the operating system of a Model S and on Twitter ( TWTR ) tweeted to Tesla CEO Elon Musk code-speak meaning that he’d found reference to the “P100D” name — and that could indicate a 100 kWh battery pack. @elonmusk @teslamotors #tesla I know your secret. SHA256 of best part: 5fc38436ec295b0049f186651ebba5fd55e8d7b81eb61cbd00d3f1bf18dd9c81 — Jason Hughes (@wk057) March 4, 2016 Regarding the “accuracy of a 100kWh battery pack rumor for Tesla Model S,” Global Equities’ Chowdhry said in a research note Monday that his firm “thinks that this rumor is accurate.” A 100kWh battery pack would be a higher-output pack than Tesla has now. “Our best guess is that Tesla Model S 100D (not the performance version but the Dual Motor version) could achieve a range greater than 300 miles per charge,” Chowdhry wrote. Wingmen @gims_live #GenevaMotorShow pic.twitter.com/SPMcXz1Qyo — Tesla Motors (@TeslaMotors) March 3, 2016 Besides the Model S and upcoming Model 3, Tesla has the Model X crossover, which it  took to the Geneva International Motor Show ; the show runs March 3-13.