Tag Archives: seeking-alpha

Comparing 3 Small Capitalization ETFs Tracking The Russell 2000 Indexes

Summary The highest dividend yield comes from IWN, but the lowest expense ratio comes from IWM. The sector allocations for IWN and IWO add up to the same allocations as IWM. Between IWN and IWO, I don’t see IWO as being substantially more aggressive despite being based on a growth index. There is a rare situation where an investor could benefit from combining the value and growth funds rather than using the main fund. One of the areas I frequently cover is ETFs. I’ve been a large proponent of investors holding the core of their portfolio in high quality ETFs with very low expense ratios. The same argument can be made for passive mutual funds with very low expense ratios, though there are fewer of those. In this argument I’m doing a quick comparison of several of the ETFs I have covered. Ticker Name Index IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF Russell 2000 Index IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF Russell 2000 Value Index IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF Russell 2000 Growth Index By covering a few of these ETFs in the same article I hope to provide some clarity on the relative attractiveness of the ETFs. One reason investors may struggle to reconcile positions is that investments must be compared on a relative basis and the market is constantly changing which will increase and decrease the relative attractiveness. Dividend Yields I charted the dividend yields from Yahoo Finance for each portfolio. All else equal, I consider higher dividend yields to be more favorable even if the expectation for total returns is the same. The preference for higher yielding ETFs comes from behavioral finance rather than modern portfolio theory. Under behavioral finance the human elements of investing are considered. A higher yield can encourage investors to stay invested when the market is done and to recognize lower prices as an opportunity to acquire shares that are “on sale” rather than a reason to panic and sell their portfolio at low prices only to repurchase the securities at higher prices. Expense Ratios I want diversification, I want stability, and I don’t want to pay for them. My general guideline for expense ratios is that I want to see the ratios below .15% on domestic equity ETFs and below .30% on international equity ETFs. However, there are times where it is reasonable to make an exception. Funds that must regularly rebalance their portfolio have a better case for having a high expense ratio than funds that simply follow a market capitalization approach. Sector I built a fairly nice table for comparing the sector allocations across each ETF to make it substantially easier to get a quick feel for the risk factors: (click to enlarge) For an investor with an emphasis on certain sectors there could be an incentive to take either the growth or value side. I find the health care sector to be a fairly defensive allocation, but it is heavily over weight in the growth fund and underweighted in the value fund. The other major defensive allocations are consumer defensive, which is similarly weighted, utilities, which is heavier in value, and real estate which is heavier in value. All things considered, I don’t find the growth ETF to be substantially more aggressive than the value ETF despite the growth ETF being characterized by funds with higher expected earnings growth rates and higher price to book ratios. Would You Ever Want to Combine IWO and IWN? IWM represents the entire Russell 2000 index and the weightings for IWM are consistently within a very small rounding error of the weightings for the other two funds because of the way the value and growth indexes are constructed. Because of the way the funds are constructed, I would expect IWM to consistently outperform a position of IWN and IWO since the investor would save on the expense ratios by paying .20% on their position rather than paying .25% on each of the other funds. On the other hand, theoretically if the funds were trading at a small discount or premium to NAV there could be a reason to take the two smaller funds. Returns I thought it would be interesting to run the returns on all 3 ETFs and see how similar or different the performance was across the ETFs. The results surprised me. Over the last 15 years or so the value side of the index performed dramatically better. Given the dot com crash early in the century, the results may be heavily biased. (click to enlarge) I entered the ETFs with the growth ETF first, the blended ETF second, and the value ETF third. It is interesting to note that the beta and annualized volatility moves down as we shift from growth towards value. That fits what I would expect, but it is interesting to see that the lower risk position (using beta) materially outperformed. However, when we restrict the performance to the last five years, the picture for returns changes: (click to enlarge) Despite the growth ETF offering superior returns over the last 5 years, it has still demonstrated a higher beta and higher volatility. Therefore, I would expect the higher level of volatility and beta on IWO to remain as a simple function of investing in small capitalization growth companies. Conclusion Over the last 15 years there was a strong outperformance by the value side of the index. Despite the strong performance of the value side through a period that saw two market crashes, the value side of the index does not look dramatically safer. The beta values indicate that the risk level on the growth side of the index is around 8% to 10% higher than the value side. In my opinion, the most attractive option for long term investments would be IWM for the lower expense ratio of IWN for the lower beta since I hold a substantial position in larger capitalization domestic equity.

VTINX: An Excellent ‘Set And Forget’ Retirement Income Fund

Summary VTINX is a fund-of-funds, but Vanguard does not charge any additional management fee. Globally diversified- about 30% equities, 70% fixed income. The fund’s ten year record puts in the top 10% of its peers. Morningstar has set up a group of mutual fund categories for Target-date retirement funds. These funds often appear in 401k and other retirement plans. A Target-date portfolio provides a diversified exposure to stocks, bonds, and cash for investors who have a specific scheduled retirement date. These portfolios aim to provide investors with an attractive level of return and risk, based solely on the target date. Over time, management adjusts the allocation among asset classes to more conservative mixes as the target date approaches. Morningstar divides target-date funds into the following categories: Target-Date 2000-2010 Target-Date 2011-2015 Target-Date 2016-2020 Target-Date 2021-2025 Target-Date 2026-2030 Target-Date 2031-2035 Target-Date 2036-2040 Target-Date 2041-2045 Target-Date 2050+ Retirement Income Many mutual fund families offer target-date mutual funds that roughly correspond to the Morningstar categories. For example, Vanguard currently offers twelve target-date funds: Target Retirement 2010, Target Retirement 2015, Target Retirement 2020, Target Retirement 2025, Target Retirement 2030, Target Retirement 2035, Target Retirement 2040, Target Retirement 2045, Target Retirement 2050, Target Retirement 2055, Target Retirement 2060, Target Retirement Income In theory, Target Retirement Income is the only one that is not supposed to continually change over time. Each of the other funds gradually evolves until seven years after their retirement income date when they are merged into Target Retirement Income. For example, Target Retirement 2020 will eventually resemble the Target Retirement Income fund in the year 2027. Of course, theory is not always the same as practice. In practice, Target Retirement Income has not been entirely static over the years. There have been several changes since inception: 2006: the allocation to stocks was increased from 20% to 30%, and three foreign stock funds were added. 2010: the allocation to foreign stocks was increased from 6% to 9%, and the three foreign stock funds were consolidated into Total International. 2013: A 14% position in Total International Bond was added, and Inflation-Protected Securities and Prime Money Market funds were dropped and replaced with Short-Term Inflation Index. 2015: The international equity allocation will increase from 30% to 40% of the equity allocation, and the international fixed income allocation will rise from 20% to 30% of nominal fixed income exposure. Overall Objective and Strategy The Target Retirement Income Fund is designed for investors already in retirement. The primary objective is current income with some capital appreciation. The fund currently invests in five Vanguard index funds. The fund holds approximately 30% of assets in equities and 70% in bonds. Fund Expenses The Vanguard Target Retirement Income Inv ( VTINX) is a fund-of-funds, but Vanguard does not change any management fee to assemble the funds for you. The expense ratio is 0.16% only because the five acquired funds. This is 67% lower than the average expense ratio of other mutual funds in this category. Minimum Investment VTINX has a minimum initial investment of $1,000. Past Performance VTINX is classified by Morningstar in the “Retirement Income” or RI category. Compared with other mutual funds in this category, VTINX has had solid performance, largely because of its low expenses. The fund is more defensive than most of its peers, and tends to outperform in weak markets like 2008, while underperforming in very strong years like 2009. These are the annual performance figures computed by Morningstar since 2005. VTINX Category (RS) Percentile Rank 2005 3.33% 3.30% 48 2006 6.38% 7.34% 56 2007 8.17% 4.46% 1 2008 -10.93% -18.06% 6 2009 14.28% 18.36% 80 2010 9.39% 8.94% 42 2011 5.25% 1.60% 9 2012 8.23% 9.01% 67 2013 5.87% 7.36% 56 2014 5.54% 4.36% 19 YTD -0.53% -1.99% 5 Last 5 Years 4.99% 3.67% 10 Source: Morningstar Ten Year Performance Graph VTINX – Current Portfolio Composition Vanguard Total Bond Market II Index Fund 37.3% Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund 18.0% Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities Index Fund 16.8% Vanguard Total International Bond Index Fund 16.0% Vanguard Total International Stock Index fund 11.9% The current SEC Yield is 2.06%. Mutual Fund Ratings Lipper Ranking : Funds are ranked based on total return within a universe of funds with similar investment objectives. The Lipper peer group is Income. 1 Yr#92 out of 587 funds 5 Yr#208 out of 457 funds 10 Yr#68 out of 266 funds Morningstar Ratings : The Morningstar category is Retirement Income Overall 4 stars Out of 144 funds 3 Yr 4 stars Out of 144 funds 5 Yr 4 stars Out of 132 funds 10 Yr 4 stars Out of 64 funds Fund Management The fund is managed by three individuals in Vanguard’s Equity Investment Group. Michael H. Buek, CFA, Principal William Coleman Walter Mejman Comments There is a lot of research showing that diversification across regions, asset classes and market capitalizations can enhance long term risk adjusted returns. That is a key idea behind Vanguard’s target date retirement funds which allocate funds according to expected returns and investor risk tolerance based on the number of years left until retirement. Diversification is also useful for those already retired. The Vanguard Target Retirement Income Fund provides a low cost, well diversified balance of income and growth. As of November 30, 2015, the fund had $10.58 billion invested. The fund’s fixed income holdings (around 70%) are well diversified including short, intermediate and long-term governments, agency and investment-grade corporate bonds. In addition, the fund owns inflation-protected, mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities and foreign bonds issued in non-U.S. currencies, but hedged by Vanguard to minimize currency exposure. The stock holdings (around 30%) are a diversified mix of U.S. and foreign stocks including large-caps, mid-caps and small caps. VTINX can serve very well as a core holding in a retirement account, and may also be used in taxable accounts by retired investors when IRA required minimum withdrawals are more than they need for living expenses. VTINX normally pays out quarterly distributions, but Vanguard allows you to set up your own automatic withdrawals as needed.

Lazard Explains Benefits Of Multi-Factor Smart Beta

Smart-beta strategies attempt to provide better risk-adjusted returns by using measures other than market capitalization to weight portfolio holdings. Historically, these alternative weightings have produced higher Sharpe ratios, a measure of return per unit of risk, and this is why they’ve earned the “smart” moniker in the view of their advocates. Smart-beta strategies can be considered as occupying the middle-ground between active and passive investing, with rules-based methodologies (like passive investing) that nevertheless deviate from broad market benchmarks (like active investing). Distinct smart-beta strategies and funds can either be “single factor” or “multi-factor,” as explained in Lazard’s December 2015 Letter from the Manager: A Better Kind of Beta , which reviews five such “factors” before going on to make the case for multi-factor investing in general, and Lazard’s own multi-factor strategies in particular. Style Factors A “factor” is any consistent characteristic that academic research has shown explains the risk or return characteristics of stocks. Common style factors include: Value – Value-investing is championed by the most successful investor of all time: Warren Buffett. But “value” can be defined in a number of ways, and not all measures are as likely to produce superior results. In Lazard’s view, a combination of “cyclical” (such as price-to-book) and “defensive” (such as cash flow) measures provides the most consistent exposure. Momentum – Stocks going up tend to continue going up – and vice-versa. At the same time, what goes up must come down – the question is “when?” Lazard recommends using measures other than simply price momentum to judge market sentiment – including macroeconomic data releases. Low Volatility – Low volatility stocks have added appeal in the wake of the financial crisis, but Lazard thinks this factor can best be exploited not by allocating specifically to low-volatility stocks, but by targeting low volatility in portfolio construction. Lazard’s process identifies low-volatility companies with attractive fundamentals. Quality – Lazard’s take on “quality” compares a company’s (paper) earnings and (actual) cash flow. Accounting rules and the market’s short-term focus may put undue emphasis on the former, whereas an analysis of a company’s cash flow may provide a more accurate estimate of its earnings strength. Growth – While “momentum” is a growth measure determined by share price, the “growth” factor considers a company’s financial statements. Lazard’s approach is designed to identify stocks that are well-positioned to experience above average growth in the future. Multi-Factor Advantages Multi-factor investing offers the advantages of diversification and flexibility. Although individual factor indexes have outperformed since 1988, returns are cyclical and different factors outperform at different times. Diversified multi-factor investing thus works to mitigate volatility, which can limit account drawdowns. Multi-factor investing also promises the benefit of flexibility, wherein outperforming factors can be emphasized. Single-factor and passive cap-weighted investing has no such flexibility. Lazard boasts of its own “multi-factor pedigree,” with “a set of balanced style criteria” that have been researched and refined over the past two decades. The firm has been implementing multi-factor approaches in live portfolios over the entire in period, in a variety of global-, regional-, and country-specific scenarios. In fact, Lazard was doing smart beta before smart beta was even known as smart beta – Lazard used to call it “quantitative” or “systematic” investing. “Not all smart-beta strategies are created equal,” according to Lazard, and in the firm’s opinion, exposure to several factors provides far greater consistency of performance over both the long- and short-term. Lazard’s own multi-factor strategies have “the benefit of the skill and long-standing experience” of the firm’s multi-factor selection, combination and diversification, as well as ongoing research and risk monitoring. For more information, download a pdf copy of the letter .