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Suburban Propane: Better Alternative To AmeriGas

Summary Recent operating history between the two companies is incredibly similar. Long term, shares have traded in tandem. However, Suburban Propane has diverged recently. SPH seems better valued on most valuation methods. If you have to have one, choose the better value. My research on AmeriGas Partners (NYSE: APU ) took a little heat from Seeking Alpha readers. So rather than presenting just the negative case for AmeriGas, I’d like to show Suburban Propane Partners (NYSE: SPH ) as a possible, better alternative for investors looking to establish a new position in companies within this industry. Suburban Propane Partners is a distributor of propane and various refined fuels to more than a million customers throughout the United States by way of its extensive distribution network. The vast majority of the company’s sales are to residential customers who have very few alternatives for heating and cooking within their homes. While propane is generally more expensive on a BTU basis than alternatives like natural gas, it does have the advantage of being easily liquefied and transported. This characteristic makes it ideal to be sold to customers in rural areas with no alternatives other than electric heat or fuel oil. However, unlike peers like AmeriGas Partners, Suburban has diversified its operations to some degree. The company also sells fuel oil, kerosene, and diesel fuel (direct competitors of propane) in the Northeast and also sells natural gas and electricity in the deregulated New York and Pennsylvania markets. While the Propane segment constituted more than 80% of 2014 revenues ($1.6B of $1.9B), the added diversification here should let investors sleep a little bit better at night than pure-play alternatives in the sector. Operating Results Revenue is set to fall dramatically in 2015 because of cheap propane prices as propane reached a high of $3.69/gallon in February of 2014 compared to a high of $2.37/gallon in January of 2015. Investors should note that Suburban’s fiscal year ends at the end of September, so there is no risk to the above estimates due to a spike in price as we start the winter heating season. Operating income has remained stable, however, as the company passes along the costs of the underlying commodity to consumers, taking a fairly fixed margin. In periods of lower prices, like what occurred in 2015, SPH can actually achieve higher gross margins as there is little risk of consumers reducing consumption or switching to alternatives. Expected 2015 operating margins are in line with AmeriGas. From a cash flow perspective, the story here is also very similar to AmeriGas. Both businesses have very little in the way of capital expenditures, so the vast majority of distributions go to shareholders. Both companies made game-changing acquisitions in 2011/2012, resulting in larger cash flows in following years. As a refresher, AmeriGas picked up Heritage Propane and Suburban bought Inergy Propane. At face value, Suburban got a better deal, paying about 10x EBITDA while AmeriGas coughed up 11x for similar assets. Both deals were built around the same idea: larger customer base, new geographies, increased economies of scale resulting in synergies, etc. One area of concern for investors to consider when weighing Suburban Propane versus AmeriGas is the leverage involved. While Suburban has the smaller debt load, it is also a smaller company. Suburban coughed up 46% of 2014 operating income towards interest payments compared to 35% for AmeriGas. This has been a long-term trend that has likely contributed to the premium AmeriGas shares have generally commanded compared to Suburban. SPH will likely take the opportunity to refinance its 7.375% senior notes due 2020 and 2021 in a few years ($750M in face value) when there are no penalties on calling at face value if interest rates remain low for interest rate savings. If the bond market remains as it is for the next few years, the company will be able to shave 1.5% off the interest rates assuming similar terms. This will result in tens of millions in savings in annual interest expense, which could free up cash flow for debt retirement or dividend increases if management chooses to do so. Conclusion Over the past two years, SPH has diverged significantly from its larger peer, APU. They’ve largely traded at similar yields (7.44% five-year average for Suburban, 6.99% average yield for AmeriGas), but this spread has expanded noticeably over the past year. This premium has likely widened due to investors buying into the dividend growth at AmeriGas. Investors appear to be ignoring the sustainability of those increases going forward. Suburban has taken the safer route, electing to hold the dividend stable rather than increase the payout in an industry that is facing dramatic change. TTM profit and operating margins remain higher at Suburban Propane, and the company appears to be the better bargain on metrics like Enterprise Value/EBITDA. Because of this disconnect, investors can now capture over 10% yield on Suburban Propane compared to AmeriGas’ 8.3% yield. In my opinion, these two will return to historical yield spreads once the market realizes large future dividend increases are off the table for both. If this is the case, investors in Suburban Propane should enjoy higher payouts while having better preservation of their initial capital investment compared to AmeriGas if buying at current share prices. So, for investors that really do want exposure to this market segment and are wanting to start a new position, I believe Suburban Propane is the better value play here over the next five years. You would be buying into a better yield today dollar for dollar, better margins, a little added business diversification through the fuel oil/deregulated energy business segments, and be partnering with a management that has a less aggressive style.

How I Created My Portfolio Over A Lifetime – Part VII

Summary Introduction and series overview. What I put into my taxable accounts. What I put into my tax-deferred accounts. How I deal with foreign stock dividend withholding. Summary. Back to Part VI Introduction and Series Overview This series is meant to be an explanation of how I constructed my own portfolio. More importantly, it I hope to explain how I learned to invest over time, mostly through trial and error, learning from successes and failures. Each individual investor has different needs and a different level of risk tolerance. At 66, my tolerance is pretty low. The purpose of writing this series is to provide others with an example from which each one could, if they so choose, use as a guide to develop their own approach to investing. You may not choose to follow my methods but you may be able to understand how I developed mine and proceed from there. The first article in this series is worth the time to read based upon some of the many comments made by readers, as it provides what many would consider an overview of a unique approach to investing. Part II introduced readers to the questions that should be answered before determining assets to buy. I spent a good deal of that article explaining investing horizons, including an explanation of my own, to hopefully provoke readers to consider how they would answer those same questions. Once an individual or couple has determined the future needs for which they want to provide, he/she can quantify their goals. If the goals seem unreachable, then either the retirement age needs to be pushed further into the future or the goals need to become attainable. I then explained my approach to allocating between difference asset classes and summarized by listing my approximate percentage allocations as they currently stand in Parts III and III a. Part IV was an explanation of why I shy away from using ETFs and something akin to an anatomy of a flash crash. In Part V I explained the hardest lesson about investing that I have had to learn: why holding cash is not a bad thing at certain times. Part VI was an explanation of why and how I sell long-held positions. In this article I will address some of the decisions investors should consider that concern taxes on gains and dividends. I will admit that I am not an expert on taxes. Even though I am a CPA (retired), I was focused on the corporate side and financial statements. I avoided preparing taxes for anyone outside of family, so my experience in the area is more akin to that of an average investor. If readers have more advice or tips to include in the comment section, I encourage leaving comments to share sage advice with others. This is not intended to be a treatise on tax planning; rather some simple-to-follow advice that could help some investors avoid the occasional unnecessary tax bill or loss of irretrievable withheld taxes. What I put into my taxable accounts I start off with an investment I have absolutely no intention of selling ever, and that will have no capital gains: municipal bonds. These securities have long been a stalwart of retirees looking for federal tax-free income. These securities are also targeted by those in higher income brackets. Historically, municipal bonds have enjoyed a very low default rate averaging just 2.7 defaults per year from 1970-2009. During that 40-year span, only five general obligation [GO] bonds have defaulted amounting to only about seven percent of total municipal bond defaults. Most municipal bond defaults historically occurred in issues supporting healthcare and housing projects (73 percent of all defaults). How times have changed! Since the financial crisis, we need to do more homework on selecting municipal bonds. The total number of municipal bonds rated by Moody’s in 2011 was about 17,700. But, even then, the majority of municipal bonds were rated A3 or better by Moody’s. By the end of 2013, Moody’s was rating approximately 2,000 fewer municipal bond issues. The overall default rate has risen from .01 percent prior to 2007 to .03 percent since then; still a very low rate. But a trend is emerging according to Moody’s. Headlines have covered many of the concerns about major municipal bond defaults like Harrisburg, PA, Stockton, CA, Jefferson County, AL, and Detroit, MI. Puerto Rico is in trouble now and both Chicago and the State of Illinois are raising concerns in the headlines. I have some simple rules to avoid municipal bond defaults and I hope readers can add to my list in the comments. I avoid GO issues in cities, counties and states where the pensions are funded below 75 percent. Here is a list of states with underfunded pension plans from Bloomberg (as of December 31, 2013). Another site that appears to be more up-to-date and comprehensive (including funding by individual plan) can be found here . If you want to look up distressed pension plans of local governments you can easily “Google” (search) for what you want to know. I searched for Pennsylvania (because I know there are many problems in local pensions there) and got this link about 562 of the local municipality pension plans being underfunded by $7.7 billion. That equates to 46 percent of the locally administered pension plan in the state! This does not include all underfunded plan, just the ones considered in distress. The point is that we need to be very selective when buying GO bonds and do a little due diligence. I prefer revenue bonds backed by a sustainable stream of revenue such as a toll road or airport. But even then, I take a long, hard look at the financial history and projected financials to make sure that revenues have been covering debt service obligations fully after operating expenses as well as fully funding the required sinking fund for the eventual debt repayment. That information should be available in a prospectus for the issue. You should also be able to get research reports and a prospectus from your brokerage, usually online. I only buy municipal bonds rated “A3” (by Moody’s) or better and only when I can secure a yield of at least five percent per year to maturity. Those are my rules. Adjust them as you see fit to suit your needs or make your own. With all the talk about underfunding of public pensions and with the unspoken problem of underfunded post-retirement benefits (think health insurance) by many issuers of municipal bonds, I expect some more major defaults coming in the future. When a Chicago or State defaults on one or more issues we will see rates rise again giving the patient investor another opportunity to lock in above average rates. I do not plan on providing that much detail about each investment category in this article but felt that municipal bonds tend to get ignored so I thought it might be helpful to provide more information. I did not begin to buy municipal bonds until my early 60s as I began looking for solid yield with tax avoidance benefits. Next, I also hold some stocks in taxable accounts. It depends upon where I have cash available (taxable or tax-deferred accounts) and what type of equity I am buying as to which account I use for the purchase. This is important because you can let several percentage points slip away to taxes if you do not plan ahead. Foreign stocks will generally go into my taxable account so that I can get either a refund of withheld taxes or a tax credit on my tax return. It all depends on the bilateral agreement between the U.S. and the country where the company is based. I will get into this later on in the article.**** High quality domestic or foreign companies that tend to do better than the overall market in downturns and have a long history of increasing dividends with no dividend cuts can go in either account depending on where I have cash available. I do not worry so much about the capital gains tax on these holdings because I intend to keep them forever. Dividend income is taxed at a relatively low rate currently, but that could change. I tend to put more of these securities into my tax-deferred accounts because of the potential for the dividend and capital gains taxes to be increased in the future. One thing that most investors do not think about is that as long as one has some earned income he/she is usually able to contribute shares instead of cash to an IRA account (especially Roth IRA) each year. If the tax laws change and tax on dividends increases too much I plan on using this method to move some shares each year to tax-deferred accounts to lower my tax bill. For me, anything over a 20 percent tax rate on dividends will prompt some movement to my wife’s or my Roth IRA accounts. All rental real estate properties are held as taxable investments. One could put real estate into a Roth IRA, but the tax advantages are significant already without taking that step. The only time it can get expensive tax-wise is when one decides to sell a property. Well, it also gets somewhat expensive when the mortgage gets paid down and the property is fully depreciated, but there is a way around paying the taxes. Admittedly, I have not yet done this but one could enter into a like exchange to purchase another rental property of greater value and defer the capital gain. An example would be to trade a single family residential rental property for either a larger, more expensive single family property or for a multi-family property up to four units. More than four units may not be considered a like exchange, if I recall correctly when I was looking into this a few years ago. The value of exchange is limited to the equity in each property. If the equity held by each party is nearly equal, there would be little or no capital gain involved. One party is looking for current income while the other (buyer of the larger property) is looking for future income and, thus, more current leverage and tax deductions. This strategy is worthwhile for those who get started in real estate early in life and get to the point where too much positive income is being generated from a property. One can also trade one residential property for two or three single family residences, each with lower equity built up, so that the total of the equity on both sides of the trade is nearly equal. But this requires more time inspecting and verifying expenses for each property as well as more time to manage. But it is an option for those interested in sticking to single-family properties. Of course, I also hold all my precious metals in taxable form. It can be added to an IRA, but because there is no income, I do not choose to go that route. Finally, I also hold cash and VFIIX in both types of accounts. What I put into my tax-deferred accounts My tax-deferred account may hold some corporate bonds of companies that I expect to be around long after I am gone. Currently, I do not hold any bonds, corporate or government (other than VFIIX). When I do buy bonds (and I will again when interest rates are higher), I stick with investment grade bonds issued by companies that I know and understand. I prefer rates much higher than have been available since before 2008. My cut off is seven percent. I realize that such a high rate may seem crazy in the current interest rate environment, but that should explain why I do not have any right now. There is nothing available of quality anywhere near that rate at this time. Once again, I will be patient and pick up the bargains when availability improves. I do not expect that to occur unless there is a general financial crisis or inflation rears its head again. The reason I hold bonds, especially long-term bonds, in my tax-deferred accounts is that the income is taxed at my personal income tax rate. That rate is not very high currently, but I expect it to go up instead of down, so I am trying to do the prudent thing. When I was fully employed and earned an above average wage this was far more important. As to inflation relative to equity values, a little is good for stocks but too much is a killer. The same holds true for bonds. Sustained inflation above five percent will cause long-term interest rates to rise to levels where investors may be able to capture quality issues yielding eight percent or more. Locking in a long-term yield above eight percent is something which every investor needs to take advantage of. I do not expect such an environment for several more years here in the U.S. But I do believe we will see it again before too long as the deflationary pressures begin to lift as the millennial generation hits its earnings potential stride sometime in the mid-2020s. If I am still writing when the time comes, I will be sure to provide my viewpoint about when interest rates seem to be hitting a top. Basically, the Fed stops raising the discount rate and inflation begins to taper slightly when the top has been reached. I may not get the top but I will definitely be loading up shortly after it has been achieved. Even if rates go a little higher, I will refrain from crying tears of regret as I will have my eight percent or more each year to console me. Treasuries fit the same profile as corporate bonds but I prefer corporate bonds over Treasury bonds for the higher yield, assuming the relationship remains in the future. I doubt that we will see another period like the one we had in the 80s when 30-year Treasury bonds hit 15 percent. But with all the debt around, who knows? If Treasuries were to get near that level again, I would need to reconsider and weigh the options. Foreign sovereign bonds are an asset I would only hold in my tax-deferred account. The reason is two-fold: while I might be giving up some withholding of interest in some cases, the relative currency values [FX] and current income tax issue outweigh that consideration, in my opinion. Of course, I would want to do my due diligence on the withholding issue to make sure I was not stepping into something egregiously unfair first. But consider the impact on FX on Japanese bonds. As the US$ increases in value (over 100 percent in the last few years), the value of a yen-denominated bond fall precipitously on a US$ basis. The FX part of the equation can be the biggest benefit of investing in foreign bonds. I also do not like to pay income tax on interest if I can avoid it. Foreign sovereign bonds issued by creditworthy nations can be a boon to your portfolio for a couple of reasons. First, you may be able to earn a higher interest rate on the bonds as many countries generally hold interest rates higher than the U.S. That is because of the implied safety of the U.S. sovereign bonds relative to most other sovereign bonds. Another reason is that it adds more diversity to a portfolio since there is generally less correlation between US bonds and equities relative to foreign bonds. Finally, and this is my favorite part, the FX gains can be huge. Be careful, though, now is not the time to buy foreign sovereign bonds because the US$ is still gaining in strength relative to most other currencies. When the US$ hits a high and begins to fall again relative to other currencies, it behooves us to seek out the countries with both higher yields and faster growing economies (without high debt burdens) for potentially outsized future gains. If interest rates are high and beginning to fall in that country, then can earn three ways: gains from principal value of bonds rising as interest rates fall, locked in high interest rates and gains from changes in relative values of currencies. Such circumstances do not come often, but when it happens, you want to be in the mix with at least a small portion of your portfolio. Finally, I only hold these securities in my tax-deferred accounts because of the volatility of the FX. These are investments that may do well for several years at a time, but there is a cyclicality to investing in this area and one must be ready to sell when the environment begins to change. Because I expect to be taking gains and not holding to maturity I like to avoid taxes, especially on the gains which can be substantial. Stocks of companies that I plan to hold forever, those quality companies that have an established record of growing revenues, earnings and dividends (especially dividends) can usually go into my tax-deferred accounts. As I pointed out in the previous section, it depends on where I have the cash available when I spot a great bargain. I prefer to keep these issues in my tax-deferred accounts for tax reasons even though the tax rate on dividends is low now; the rate tends to move over time, so I prefer to keep the income out of reach of our dear uncle Sam. Some folks like to keep royalty trusts and limited partnership units in a taxable account to avoid going over the limit on “income earned from other than normal business.” There is a limit of $1,000 that can be earned in tax-deferred account per individual in a year without becoming taxable. An investor needs to keep this in mind and look at previous K-1 schedules from a company (usually limited partnership or trust) to get a sense of how much income is likely to be distributed for each share annually that falls into this category. It does not take long to make that investigation and do the math. The information can usually be found under the “investors” tab on the company website as “tax treatment of distributions.” I do not own any such shares/units presently but have in the past. I did very well owning Canadian royalty trusts before the government north of the border decided to change how distributions were taxed. I sold as soon as I read what was being proposed and did not wait for the law to be voted on. It hurt because my monthly distributions from those units were about $1,900. The nice part was that a portion of each distribution was considered return of capital and free from taxes. The distributions were also considered qualified dividends then, too. I held those units in my taxable account because the effective rate on the distributions was only about ten percent. But then, I do my own taxes, so I do not have to pay an accountant to file each K-1 for me. That can cost a pretty penny (or about $80 per K-1). So, if you only want to own a hundred units and you have your taxes prepared professionally, you may save money by either holding the units in a tax-deferred account or just telling the preparer to declare the full amount as taxable income instead of filing the K-1. Here is a link to an example of how the math can work depending on your incremental tax rate. The example is about half way down the page. If annual distributions from a single K-1 total less than $1,000, it might be cheaper to pay tax on the whole amount instead of paying your preparer. The blog I linked is not the definitive answer to the question of where should I hold this type of security. The answer lies in the answers to these questions: How much of the asset do you want to own? What is your tax rate? Do you pay a preparer to file your taxes? Then do the math. It seems complicated but it really is not. And the yields can be very good. The point is that an investor could conceivably own these types of securities in either taxable or tax-deferred accounts. It depends of the answers and the math as to which is better. How I deal with foreign stock dividend withholding In a nutshell: it depends upon the bilateral tax treaty between the U.S. and the nation in which the foreign company resides. Here is a link to the IRS page with links to all the current tax treaties with foreign governments. I apologize that the treaty language is in legal jargon and may be difficult to understand. When you click on a country it brings up the original treaty document. Scroll down to the articles list and find articles that cover dividends (usually article ten) or royalties (usually article 12) if you are considering a royalty trust). First, look for the rate at which the countries have agreed to tax dividends, often 15 percent, but may be higher. Then look within the section titled “relief from double taxation” for information about refunds and/or tax credits. Some developed countries have a form to apply for a refund of withheld taxes. Often, the best you can hope for is to report the withheld tax on your filed return and then receive a tax credit equal to the difference between what you paid and what you would have paid if the dividend had been paid and taxed in the U.S. When the tax withheld is below what our tax rate is, you may find you owe additional taxes to the U.S if held in a taxable account. What you want to be certain of is that you will be able to avoid being taxed at more than the prevailing U.S. rate. In the end, by holding such securities in a taxable account, you are able to keep the tax rate down to the dividend tax rate in the U.S. One thing to remember is that if the tax rate is lower than the U.S. tax rate, you can actually keep more of your dividend by owning it in a tax-deferred account. Do your homework and save some money from the tax man every year you hold the stock. If you are a long-term investor and buy a high quality dividend paying foreign stock the savings could add up over the decades to a very nice sum. Summary This article is intended as an explanation of what I have learned from my own experience and how I plan to avoid taxes. In some cases, I find that there is no clear-cut definition of what is best without doing a little homework. I am not a tax expert nor is any of the information included in this article meant to be advice other than to provide some perspective for other investors. If any readers have better source of information links, especially for the foreign tax treaty information (in plain English), please leave a comment with those links. Any reader that has a different perspective on how to avoid or defer taxes on investments and is willing to share that information is welcome and encouraged to do so. We can all learn from each other here on SA. For convenience to readers new to this series, I have created an instablog, ” How I Created My Own Portfolio Over A Lifetime ,” with links to all the articles of this series. I will usually add a link to the blog for each new article within a day of it being published. As always I welcome comments and questions and will do my best to provide details and answers. This is one of the best aspects of the SA community. We can learn from each other and share our perspectives so that other readers can benefit from the comprehensive knowledge and experience represented here.

Hunting For Profits At GreenHunter Resources

The CEO has offered to loan (or possibly buy equity) the money to the company to pay the preferred dividends when the lenders allow. One of its biggest customers, Magnum Hunter Resources, has a $430 million joint venture that should allow the company to become profitable within the next year. The company has a cost advantage in disposing waste water. Gross margins are improving and losses from continuing operations are decreasing despite decreasing revenues. SWD capacity will increase to 32,000 barrels per day early in the fourth quarter. GreenHunter Resources (NYSEMKT: GRH ) is a small company that is dedicated to dealing with the disposal and treatment of waste water that is a byproduct of the fracking of wells and the production of oil and gas (primarily). “Today, GreenHunter Water owns and operates salt water disposal wells, a fleet of disposal trucks, including 407 condensate trucks and dispatches third-party trucks, as well as, barging and pipeline operations for the efficient and safe transport of water for disposal.” The above quote from the company website neatly describes the company’s operations. The company exited other operations in Texas and Oklahoma to concentrate on the Utica Shale and Marcellus Shale in the Pennsylvania-West Virginia-Ohio region (possibly even a little bit of Kentucky). As such, it exited Oklahoma before it got caught in the earthquake controversy there. The company maintains that it has a cost advantage in its current area of operations and it is trying to build on that cost advantage. The company claims to have one of the most modern truck fleets in the business. All of the trucks are licensed to carry hydrocarbons, which implies that there can be alternative uses for the trucks should the situation arise; however, at the current time, the emphasis is on waste water disposal. Recently, the company added two disposal wells and seeks to add two more disposal wells. The two new wells increased disposal capacity by approximately 40%. When the four wells have approval and are operating, the company anticipates that it will have a total capacity of 32,000 barrels of water per day. To accomplish its goal of adding capacity, the company issued notes in the amount of $16 million (in two draws of $13 million immediately and $3 million within six months) that allowed the company to finance the new wells as well as add trucks needed to support the transport of water and fluids. The interest rate is nine percent and the company must pay a royalty of twelve cents per barrel disposed from September 2015 to the first twelve months after the notes have been paid in full to the lenders. The notes mature in 36 months. That is not a lot of time for the company to become profitable enough for a refinance with longer terms. Still this financing has allowed the company to accomplish at least some of its growth goals. The company has spearheaded an attempt to barge the waste water using the waterways of Ohio. “Our estimates show that a single 10,000 barrels of brine barge will remove in excess of 600 hours of water truck traffic.” The above quote from the company’s website explains why the company has spent years and asked for help from Congressmen to get the Coast Guard moving on this proposal. The company is obviously looking to enhance its low-cost advantage in disposing of waste water. Recently, the company reported Coast Guard approval for the process, but there is more to go with the proposal before barging can actually begin. Shareholders need to hope that the savings projected actually materialize and make the time and money spent on this proposal worth the effort, as the company has spent years on this proposal. The company does claim barging is very safe and will not pollute the waterways with the waste water transported. The company’s SWD wells are all located in Ohio and West Virginia “GreenHunter Pipeline LLC, through the construction and development of multiple pipelines, will engage in the transportation of brine, freshwater and condensate. In addition to transportation, the pipeline destination will also include a processing facility to split condensates into different quality products, typically resulting in higher value for these finished materials. The first phase of the project has begun with right-of-way negotiations underway and is scheduled to be complete and 100% operational in 2016.” This quote from the company’s website shows that the company is thinking about the future. After a certain point of development is reached in a field, the operator usually seeks to connect the wells up to pipelines for the various products and by-products as the cheapest way to transport fluids from the field to processing, and finally to the sales destination. The company is seeking to transport waste water as well as condensate and treat the condensate. This avenue usually represents the final move by most operators to save money for these byproducts and waste materials. At some point in the very distant future, the fields in the area are mature, trucking needs should be very minimal and pipelines will take care of much of the demand for this service. But that is fairly far in the future, as these fields have a long way to before they can be called mature. The CEO and Chairman of the company is Gary Evans. He has several decades of experience and is also the chairman of Magnum Hunter Resources (NYSE: MHR ). He had built a similarly named company in the past and sold it, so he has experience building companies in this industry. With his experience, the company has found a niche in which it can compete effectively. One of the largest customers of the company is Magnum Hunter Resources. So to some extent the companies are linked. With Magnum currently reporting losses, and may report losses in the future, those losses affect the ability of Magnum Hunter to grow and use the products of GreenHunter Resources. Against that, Gary Evans appears willing to invest in either company should they need more resources, and he has loaned both companies money in the past. In the current second-quarter conference phone call, he has indicated a willingness to lend this company money in the future. That vote of confidence from the CEO cannot be ignored. Plus senior management owns a majority of the stock. They can effectively run the annual meetings to their advantage and to the disadvantage of the minority shareholders. This, however, is very unlikely to happen. In the long run, the major investment by senior management of the company in the common stock of the company is a very good sign. Despite the drop in revenues , as fees decreased across the industry for this service and many other services, the company is clearly in a growth phase. There was a lot of good to report in the second quarter. Gross margins on water disposal went from 32% to 42%, and internal trucking margins roughly doubled. SG&A decreased 19% to $1.7 million. The loss from continuing operations was $2.0 million vs. $3.3 million the year before. While that is some improvement, the company needs to aim for profitability. On the balance sheet, the current ratio is a little weak at 0.8:1, but not so weak as to doom the company. The company is fairly leveraged, with long-term debt nearing twice the amount of equity. As part of the recent loan, the company must raise $2 million in equity before the end of the year. The recent loan also requires that the company not pay preferred stock dividends until certain ratios come into compliance for two quarters. Since the company is going to require a fair amount of cash to build the required pipelines and grow, the equity requirement is a drop in the bucket. Of far more consequences to the preferred shareholders is when they think the company will meet the ratios required by the loan. The company had a good history of paying the preferred dividends before this deferral. The reason for the deferral appears to be the delays in getting the new SWD wells approved to operate. Even though these wells are converted wells and, therefore, cost far less than drilling a new well for these purposes, the approval delays are very costly to the company. Therefore, the preferred shareholders will probably have to wait until the last disposal well is approved in October and operating. The loan agreement and amendment appears to specify a longer time period, but given the company’s history of paying the dividends, and the comments made on the second-quarter conference call, an investor could assume that the company will make a legitimate attempt to begin paying the dividends again later this year and catch up the arrearage. Since the preferred stock has fallen below ten dollars a share ($8.38 as of today, September 14), this makes the preferred stock a speculative investment vehicle at this time, with the potential to more than double by the end of the year plus considerable dividend payments. Although, it is justifiably tempting for the average investor to wait for the stock to stop falling before investing. Magnum Hunter Resources, one of the largest customers of the company, announced a joint venture where the partner will invest more than $400 million. This amount of activity by Magnum Hunter Resources will drive GreenHunter Resources into profitability, assuming that the trends (ratio improvements) noticed on the income statement trends underway continue and hopefully increase favorably. This also assumes that GreenHunter continues to get all of Magnum Hunters’ applicable water disposal business. So profitability for this company within a year is very possible, and even with the dilution through equity raising, this stock offers a speculative value investment play on the oil industry. It is slightly safer than the average oil and gas exploration play in that no matter who discovers the oil, this company will be disposing of the waste water in the area and hopefully processing a significant amount of condensate in the future. Disclaimer: I am not an investment advisor and this article is not meant to be a recommendation of the purchase or sale of stock. Investors are advised to review all company documents, and press releases to see if the company fits their own investment qualifications. Editor’s Note: This article covers one or more stocks trading at less than $1 per share and/or with less than a $100 million market cap. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.