Will Global Economic Worries Slow Online Travel Giant Expedia?
Online travel agency (OTA) Expedia ( EXPE ) is set to report earnings after the close on Wednesday — and analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect double-digit percentage growth amid challenges. Expedia is set to grow revenue by 26% to $1.71 billion in Q4, compared with the year earlier quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, according to the consensus view. EPS minus items is expected to jump 16% to $1, from 86 cents, according to the poll of analysts. Expedia stock was down about 3.5% in afternoon trading on the stock market today . The market overall was down on Monday on worries over the global economy and oil back under $30 a barrel. Expedia has an IBD Composite Rating of 52, where 99 is the highest. Analysts have been expressing concern for the health of online travel companies as of late, citing the slowing global economy and increased competition. In a research note Monday, RBC Capital Markets analyst Mark Mahaney wrote that web traffic to Expedia’s various properties has been slightly up during the quarter, but attributed it to the fact that the firm acquired Orbitz in September and in December HomeAway , a large alternative accommodations platform. Those acquisitions also make the quarter more difficult for analysts to model, Mahaney says. U.S. online travel trends are slightly negative, he says, based on web traffic data from ComScore ( SCOR ) that show single-digit growth that may be slowing. But, Mahaney wrote that bookings growth is likely to remain strong and that the economics of Expedia’s per-unit costs remain favorable and growing. “Expedia has been an improving execution story for some time now, and has emerged as an excellent play on the secular growth of Online Travel and as a strong integrator of assets,” Mahaney wrote in the research note. Mahaney says that he expects executives to issue guidance on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of low double-digit growth in its core online travel bookings business. But, the slowing global economy may change that guidance. Though Expedia and rival OTA Priceline ( PCLN ) acknowledge that startup Airbnb — which lets people rent their home, room in a home, or apartment to travelers via its website — is a threat to their businesses, Priceline executives have thus far dismissed it as “not material.” Both Expedia and Priceline are adding inventory that’s similar to Airbnb’s, which in industry jargon are “alternative accommodations.” TripAdvisor Stock At Lowest Since 2013 Down more than 4%, near 56 in afternoon trading Monday, TripAdvisor ( TRIP ) stock has taken a beating thus far in 2016. The company is set to report Q4 earnings on Thursday. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the top line to grow at a modest 3% to revenue of $298.5 million, up from $288 million in the year-earlier quarter. EPS ex-items is expected to fall 6% to 33 cents from 35 cents. Cowen analyst Kevin Kopelman wrote in a research note earlier this month that TripAdvisor would be the OTA he would be most concerned about in a bear market.