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San Francisco Is A City Divided … By Technology

World-renowned San Francisco is a city of contrasts: Facebook ( FB )founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s $10 million San Francisco home is less than a block away from territory claimed by a Latino street gang. A billboard near Zuckerberg’s mansion advertises starter homes priced in the “low $1 millions.” In a city of 850,000 people, 100,000 residents have no Internet access, and 50,000 have dialup. The average rent for a one-bedroom apartment is over $3,500 a month, the highest in the U.S. An entry-level software developer/programmer can earn $150,000, while the city’s minimum wage amounts to $25,000. City transit handed out 850 permits for a pilot program to use public bus stops for private commuter shuttles that ferry workers to and from Silicon Valley, while the city itself operates only 800 buses. San Francisco’s sharp divide is taking shape amid the financial euphoria and venture capital frenzy for game-changing startups such as Uber and Airnbnb. But this boom has a character that’s proved more divisive than those of the past. The tech bosses, money men and well-educated workers who have flocked to San Francisco have been called “some of the most ruthless capitalists around,” and they have transformed the city’s character in a few short years. “The historic power center, the traditional political interests in San Francisco have been destabilized by tech becoming very political in San Francisco,” said San Francisco Supervisor Aaron Peskin. “Historically, the landlord industry had power in the city, the traditional Chamber of Commerce had power. But all of them have been eclipsed by the tech juggernaut. It’s as simple as money.” Airbnb Playing Tough Politics Privately held Airbnb — a website that lets people rent their homes and apartments to travelers — is one such recent example of the tech industry’s political influence. During the last election cycle, the company spent more than $9 million to defeat a measure seeking to expand regulation over the firm’s activities in the city (illegal rentals make up 76% of the listings , according to a local news report). Its opponents spent less than $500,000. Ultimately the company defeated the legislation. And according to city data, Airbnb recently added $245,000 to its campaign war chest, days after elected officials announced another legislative effort to more tightly regulate short-term rentals — the bread and butter of Airbnb’s sales. The company did not respond to several requests for comment. Sf.citi, a nonprofit lobby group backed by tech companies and venture capitalists, also declined to comment. To be sure, Airbnb’s business model relies on friendly legislation more than most others do, but the dollar amount of the contributions has raised eyebrows. The tech industry was largely unwilling to discuss the issue on the record with IBD, though some firms issued prepared statements that pointed out charitable donations and volunteer work performed by the companies and their employees. Twitter ( TWTR ) declined to make executives available for comment but provided IBD with a written statement, as did Salesforce ( CRM ) and privately held ride-hailing app Uber. Like Uber, Twitter and Salesforce are based in San Francisco. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff is a San Francisco native, and his father ran a chain of apparel stores. However, the company would not make Benioff available for comment. Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), Facebook,  PayPal ( PYPL ) and privately held companies Dropbox and Stripe are among those that, through spokespersons, declined to comment. S.F. Chamber Sees Divide, Less ‘Engaged’ Demographic But for people in certain jobs, it’s not easy to avoid commenting on a hot-button issue. Jim Lazarus, senior vice president of the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce, pointed to Salesforce’s charitable contributions as an example of how a number of tech companies are giving back to the community. (Salesforce.com, Alphabet ( GOOGL ) and many tech companies are members of the S.F. Chamber.) But he acknowledged that the younger people employed by tech companies are, in general, “not as engaged” in the community as some would like, though he expressed hope that would change. Lazarus concedes there is a divide, stemming from the significant wage disparity between those employed in high-pay tech and those not so employed. “That’s tech in California,” he said. Lazarus says it’s wrong to look at the divide solely through the narrow lens of technology. He says big job growth in sectors such as biotech, health care and education also contribute to the income inequality. And he notes that the services industries also bring some higher-paying jobs for lawyers, accountants and others. “There is a significant professional service economy,” he said. Google Buses Fuel Much Debate Regardless of the complexities of the divide, city residents often express frustration with the high cost of living by protesting — either in court  or on the street — one of the most visible symbols of the tech industry’s supposed hubris: the commuter shuttle. The shorthand is “Google buses,” but they are not just shuttles provided by Alphabet’s Google. “At least once a week, someone on the street makes an obscene gesture toward our shuttle,” Genentech employee Michael Stevens wrote to the Board of Supervisors in an email obtained through a public records request by IBD. “I don’t understand this, but I think that kind of behavior is typical of those who resent the shuttles.” IBD obtained more than 1,200 pages of documents about the shuttles, which included dozens of complaints from residents, unions and neighborhood associations. At their core, the idea of the shuttles is to reduce freeway traffic — which is legendary in Silicon Valley — as well as pollution, while also providing a perk to tech employees, of course. Google’s liaison to the San Francisco government, Rebecca Prozan, declined to comment, referring IBD to the press unit, which did not respond to multiple email messages. Of the buses, Lazarus says that they’re a sign that San Francisco is highly desirable place in which to live. “It’s a problem most American cities would love to have,” he said. The shuttles are often the target of derision , however, and longtime city residents say they helped change the character of the neighborhoods, along with the new residents who have moved in. “It’s a top-down, structured environment,” Erich Werner said, referring to how new communities are being planned. Werner is an electrical contractor who has lived in the city for 32 years. “What would keep a hamster happy? In this case, the hamster would need a restaurant, some place to party, some kind of light rail to take them there. All the attention is geared toward analysis and addressing perceived needs of a demographic. That’s conceptual and literal engineering.” More than changing neighborhoods, the influx of young, well-educated tech workers has created a new breed of tech companies that serve a niche of customers in a city that in many ways is not representative of the broader market. “There are a lot of products and services being created for San Francisco, and I’m not sure that’s sustainable,” said Myles Weissleder, who has lived in the Bay Area and worked in technology since the 1990s. He’s founder of SFNewTech, which puts together monthly networking events focused on technology. “Are there efficiencies in private transportation services?,” he said. “Certainly. But there are impacts on neighborhoods, there are costs — all of those little things are impacts, they are unforeseen consequences.” Despite increasing wariness among venture capitalists to fund startups, rents keep rising, and business carries on as usual. But even people connected to the technology industry feel some uncertainty. “These companies will run out of steam,” Weissleder said, “and I foresee some kind of shake-up as the money dries up.”

Yen Gain Seems Overdone; Time For Japan ETFs?

It seems that the dark cloud hanging over Japan investing has started dispersing. After witnessing a tumult this year on a rising yen, Japanese shares have lately turned their course. The weakness in the Japanese currency, yen, was behind the recent surge in shares. Two things made yen soggy. First, Japan indicated that it may intervene in the currency market to contain the strength in yen, which bothered exporters. Following this rhetoric , yen dropped about 3% from its 18-month high. Second, the greenback is rallying and is now on its way to log the first monthly gain against the yen since January. The greenback gained its lost ground on a flurry of upbeat economic data released lately, which in fact brought the Fed hike back on the table. The PowerShares DB USD Bull ETF (NYSEARCA: UUP ) added about 1.7% in the last 10 days (as of May 17, 2016). Overall, the greenback weakness and yen appreciation seem overdone and may fuel Japanese shares. Moreover, oil’s ascent to a six-month high charged up energy shares. Notably, oil prices shored up on supply disruption in countries like Nigeria and a bullish call by the renowned brokerage house Goldman Sachs. If global markets remained relatively steady ahead on rising oil prices, yen may not gain strength on safe-haven demand. How Important Are Yen Moves? Investors should note that Japan’s corporate profits (pretax) dropped 24% year over year in the March quarter and 40% sequentially, representing the worst quarter since the September quarter of 2012. However, it is not entirely because of yen as asset write-downs are incurred by Japanese companies in their final quarter of a fiscal year, as per analysts. Still, the impact of yen is huge as export-oriented automobile companies bore the brunt of a stronger yen, and recorded 472 billion yen in profit losses. All in all, the government is wary of yen’s strength and is likely to lower the value of yen if it spikes to the 90-95 per dollar range, as per a key economic adviser to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe . Moreover, nothing has yet been decided on a sales tax hike slated for next year. Upbeat GDP Data Meanwhile, the Japanese economy grew in Q1 at the quickest clip in a year, logging an annualized 1.7% growth rate against economists’ expectations of a 0.2% rise. The latest growth was realized after a 1.7% revised annualized contraction in the fourth quarter of 2015, snapping the possibility of a technical recession. Sequentially, the economy expanded 0.4% compared with a 0.1% quarterly gain. The best part is that domestic demand contribution to GDP grew 0.2 percentage points as consumers splurged on discretionary items. The data definitely explains that the economy is heading toward a positive direction. Though weaknesses are there in the economy in the form of soft capex and consumer confidence data, things may improve in the coming days. Analysts indicated that a decline in capital expenditure was the result of weak exports. Japan exports capital goods to Asian economies and bears the brunt of a muted business environment worldwide, which hurts corporate profitability as well as the business investment. Yen or GDP: What to Watch Ahead? The first-quarter performance shows that stock moves in Japan are reliant mainly on yen, not on GDP. During Q1, yen gained about 7.23% against the U.S. dollar and the ultra-popular fund iShares MSCI Japan ETF (NYSEARCA: EWJ ) – a guide to the Japanese stock market – responded to the yen strength by diving about 4.4% during this frame. So, the prospect of no/less gains in yen can be a good entry point to Japan. Plus, a solid GDP reading can act as another tailwind. If yen spikes on upbeat GDP data, scope for currency intervention will likely open. The CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (NYSEARCA: FXY ) is up about 10% so far this year (as of May 17, 2016). ETFs in Focus Below, we highlight some Japan-focused ETFs that could be in watch in the coming days. Regular ETFs Among the regular ETFs, there are the First Trust Japan AlphaDEX ETF (NASDAQ: FJP ) and the iShares JPX-Nikkei 400 ETF (NYSEARCA: JPXN ). These are the bets to play in a falling dollar environment. Currency-Hedged ETFs These are, namely the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJ ), the Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DBJP ) and the iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Japan ETF (NYSEARCA: HEWJ ). If the yen falls and the greenback rises on possibilities of further Fed hikes, these currency-hedged ETFs may get a boost. Small-Cap ETFs There are also options – the iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCJ ), the SPDR Russell/Nomura Small Cap Japan ETF (NYSEARCA: JSC ) and the WisdomTree Japan SmallCap Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: DFJ ) – to bet on Japanese domestic demand. Since small-cap companies are less exposed to the international economies, investors can wipe out the impact of yen as well as the struggling export sector by investing in these ETFs. Notably, SCJ (up 1.5%) has outperformed EWJ (down 4.2%) and DXJ (down 14.8%) in the year-to-date frame (as of May 17, 2016). Original post