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Pareto Portfolio Update

Significant returns can be made even holding a small number of stocks. Avigilon is up 43% since December 24, 2014. 80/20 investing isn’t for everyone, but it is for those like me who believe that less is more. Choose a few great companies, watch your portfolio like a hawk, and you’ll do well. I first wrote about the Pareto Portfolio on December 26, 2014. My belief is that an investor does not need to have a large number of stocks in his/her portfolio in order to have significant market beating returns. In fact, I believe that having less stocks in my portfolio will help me to invest and make returns far better than many other investors based on the 80/20 principle. My portfolio is much easier to follow and control and this makes my life easier. To date, you’ll see how the portfolio has performed since December 24th. I also have some updates on selling, purchasing and dividends/interest received within the portfolio. Stock Shares Price at 2014/12/24 Price at 2015/02/13 Change Avigilon Corp. (OTCPK: AIOCF ) 290 17.25C 24.67C +43% Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO ) 125 32.89C 36.64C +11.4% Coach(NYSE: COH ) 100 42.9791C 49.61C +15% Dream Office REIT ( OTC:DRETF ) (T.D/UN) 811 24.76C 27.13C +9.5% Pembina Pipeline (NYSE: PBA ) 90 41.58C 40.39C -2.9% The portfolio has performed extremely well, led by Avigilon Corporation, which has gained 43% since its close on December 24th of last year. Following are the changes I made in the portfolio between then and February 13th. Sold all 100 shares of Coach on 2015/01/12 @ 45.3856C. In addition to the 33.38C in Coach dividends received on 2014/12/29, the total gain was 6%. Purchased 106 more units of Dream Office REIT on 2015/01/16 @ 26.72. Dream Office REIT Interest on 2015/01/20 of 130.66C, of which 129.14C of this was automatically reinvested through Dream’s DRIP for an addition of 5 units to my total, which now sits at 811 units. Pembina Pipeline dividend on 2015/01/16 of 13.05C. This was not reinvested. Cisco dividend on 2015/01/21 of 24.95C. This was not reinvested. I sold Coach on the news that the company was going to purchase Stuart Weitzman. I’m not convinced that purchasing this company with its cash is the best idea. So far, the stock price movement has proven me wrong. Time will tell. Cisco released its FQ2 results last Wednesday and beat analysts’ expectations. A number of analysts have increased their price targets due to the forward guidance by the company. I’m very comfortable to continue holding CSCO. The company also increased its dividend by 11%. Avigilon will release its FQ4 and 2014 full-year results after the close of markets on 2015/03/03. I’m expecting great results, as are many who are invested in and/or follow this company. This company is growing extremely fast and doing so profitably. Its cameras and video surveillance system was used to secure this year’s Super Bowl in Phoenix . Pembina Pipeline and Dream Office REIT continue to perform very well, and analysts have significantly higher price targets than the shares are trading at presently. Both also offer nice yields of 4.3% and 8.2%, respectively. If you’re going to invest using the 80/20 style, you need to make good choices, focus on just a few companies, and then watch your portfolio like a hawk. Don’t be afraid to take profits nor be afraid to sell if you think you have a valid reason to do so. I don’t believe you need 30, 40, or 50 stocks to significantly outperform the market. I believe that less is more. Have a great week everyone! Disclosure: The author is long AIOCF, CSCO, PBA. (More…) The author wrote this article themselves, and it expresses their own opinions. The author is not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The author has no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: I am also long T.D.UN (Dream Office REIT)

A Pareto (80/20) Portfolio To Start The New Year

Summary Using the 80/20 principle to create an outperforming portfolio. Outperforming the market and the average investor with fewer stock holdings. Holding fewer stocks makes managing a portfolio much easier. How many stocks is it necessary to hold in a portfolio in order to minimize risk and outperform the market and the average investor? What’s your opinion? Some of the contributors on SA hold 20, 30, 40 and even more than 50 stocks in their personal portfolios. I have no reason to criticize holding that many stocks in a personal portfolio, as that’s something that is, well, personal. Nevertheless, I don’t believe it’s necessary to hold so many stocks in a portfolio in order to beat the market and most investor’s returns. In fact, I believe that any investor, by simply choosing the right stocks, could create an out-performing portfolio with as few as five to ten stocks. This is based on the Pareto, or 80/20 principle. If you’re not familiar with the Pareto principle, what it states is that 80% of the results, outputs, or rewards are generated from only 20% of the causing inputs or efforts. You can read much more about the Pareto principle and its history here. Theoretically, this means that over a specific period of time, if you were holding 30 stocks in your portfolio, only about six of those stocks would have contributed to about 80% of the returns you enjoyed. Of course, this could be back-tested, which I would love to do but don’t have the will or time for right now. Now, many investors will immediately agree that a minority of their portfolio holdings contribute to a majority of their returns during a given time frame. But, they will argue, the reason for holding a larger number of stocks in one’s portfolio is because no one can pick which stocks are going to perform the best over a given time period. Although on the surface this argument seems to make sense, I am not presently convinced that this is true. So, with that in mind, I am going to use my own real money to find out if I can pick a few stocks and still outperform the overall market and even the average investor. Following is my Pareto Portfolio holdings at the present time. Stock Shares Buy Price Price at 2014/12/24 Change Avigilon Corp. ( OTCPK:AIOCF ) 290 23.4732C 17.25C -27% Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO ) 125 26.2695U 28.30U +7.7% Coach (NYSE: COH ) 100 35.3175U 36.97U +4.7% Dream Office Reit T.D/UN 700 25.5122C 24.76C -3% Pembina Pipelines (NYSE: PBA ) 90 39.6206C 41.58C +5% Following are brief overviews of each company. Avigilon Corporation was founded in 2004. The company designs and manufactures high-definition video surveillance solutions. The company’s systems protect and monitor various locations worldwide and their customers include major corporations, government institutions, stadiums, retail environments, casinos, transportation stations, and more. Financial Highlights: 2008 to 2013 CAGR of 102% FY14 first nine months revenues of 191.9 million FY14 first nine months adjusted EBITDA and net income of 35.3 million and 22.2 million respectively FY14 projected revenues of 280 million projected revenues of 500 million by end of FY2016 the company does not pay a dividend Analysts Recommendations Recommendation Trends This Month Previous Month Strong Buy 1 1 Buy 8 9 Hold 0 0 Underperform 0 0 Sell 0 0 Cisco Systems was founded in 1984. The company designs, manufactures, and sells Internet Protocol (IP) based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry worldwide. It provides switching products and storage products, as well as offering service provider video infrastructure and collaboration products. Further, the company offers wireless products and provides technical support services and advanced services. The company serves businesses of various sizes, public institutions, telecommunications companies, other service providers, and individuals. Financial Highlights (Source: Valuentum ) 3-year historical Revenue CAGR of 2.9% and 5-year projected of 3.4%. 3-year historical EBITDA CAGR of 3.6% and 5-year projected of 7.4%. 3-year historical Net Income CAGR of 6.6% and 5-year projected of 8.6%. 3-year historical ROIC (without goodwill) is 56.4%, giving Cisco a ValueCreation rating of EXCELLENT . current Dividend Yield of 2.69% Analyst Recommendations Recommendation Trends Current Month Previous Month Strong Buy 10 9 Buy 16 16 Hold 11 11 Underperform 4 5 Sell 1 1 Coach was founded in 1941. The company provides luxury accessories and lifestyle collections for women and men in the U.S. and internationally. The company markets its products through a network of company-operated stores, including Internet in North America, and Coach-operated stores in and concession shop-in-shops in Japan, Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea, the United Kingdom, France, Ireland, Spain, Portugal, Germany, and Italy. It also sells its products to wholesale customers and distributors in approximately 35 countries. Financial Highlights (Source: Valuentum) 3-year historical Revenue CAGR 4.9% of and 5-year projected of 2.9% 3-year historical EBITDA CAGR of (3.6%) and 5-year projected of 5.3% 3-year historical Net Income CAGR of (3.9%) and 5-year projected of 5.6% 3-year historical ROIC (without goodwill) of 106.7% giving Coach a ValueCreation rating of EXCELLENT. current Dividend Yield of 3.65% Analyst Recommendations Recommendation Trends This Month Previous Month Strong Buy 2 2 Buy 4 5 Hold 21 18 Underperform 4 4 Sell 1 1 Dream Office REIT (TSX:D.UN) Dream Office REIT is an unincorporated, open-ended real estate investment trust. The firm owns a portfolio of high-quality, well-located and attractively-priced business premises. The company’s portfolio comprises central business district and suburban office properties totaling approximately 24.7 million square feet of gross leasable area in major urban centers across Canada. Financial Highlights ttm Revenues of 757.26 million ttm EBITDA of 428.15 million ttm Diluted Earnings/Share of 1.95 Book Value per share of $35.27 ttm Dividend Yield of 9.05% Analyst Recommendations Ford Equity Research Buy N/A TD Securities Buy $31.00 price target CIBC World Markets Sector Perform $31.00 price target National Bank Sector Perform $31.00 price target Scotia Capital Sector Perform $31.75 price target RBC Capital Sector Perform $30.00 price target Pembina Pipeline Corporation Pembina Pipeline Corporation was founded in 1997. The company provides transportation and midstream services for the energy industry in North America. It operates through four segments: Conventional Pipelines, Oil Sands and Heavy Oil, Gas Services, and Midstream. The Conventional Pipelines segment operates 8,200 kilometers pipeline network and related facilities that transport crude oil, natural gas liquids, and conventional oil and condensate in Alberta and British Columbia. The Oil Sands and Heavy Oil segment owns and operates Syncrude, Horizon, Nipisi, and Mitsue Pipelines, as well as the Cheecham Lateral, which transports synthetic crude oil to oil sands producers. This segment operates approximately 1,650 kilometers of pipeline. The Gas Services segment operates natural gas gathering and processing facilities, including 4 gas plants and 12 compressor stations, as well as operates gathering pipelines. The Midstream segment has interests in extraction and fractionation facilities; and provides terminalling and storage hub services. Financial Highlights ttm Revenues of 5.34 billion ttm EBITDA of 879.06 million ttm Net Income of 319.82 million ttm Diluted Earnings/share of $1.00 ttm Dividend Yield of 4.30% Analyst Recommendations Company Recommendation 12-month Price Target RBC Capital Outperform $51.00 TD Securities Buy $57.00 National Bank Outperform $55.00 CIBC World Markets Outperform $55.00 Scotia Capital Outperform $52.00 Haywood Securities Buy $57.00 There is only one rule I will follow regarding this portfolio. At no time can I exceed holding 10 stocks at one time. Other than that, I can add to any of the current positions at any time, I can add new positions at any time and I can sell any portion of or all of a position at any time. The point is to see how well this portfolio will perform in 2015 against the overall market. I will immediately update my readers of any additions to or changes I make to the portfolio. I’ll also do a complete update of the portfolio’s progress at the end of each month. I’m very interested in seeing how this Pareto Portfolio is going to do and I’ve love to hear your comments, ideas, feedback too. Additional disclosure: I am also long on the Dream Office REIT, symbol D.UN on the TSX.