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Self-Driving Cars: China’s Come To U.S.; Automakers Adopt Braking

Self-driving cars are inching forward with developments this week — 20 automakers say they’ll add automatic emergency braking by 2022, and China’s Baidu ( BIDU ) will reportedly soon start testing its autonomous cars in the U.S. As about the whole car industry gets into the game, the quest to create a self-driving vehicle puts Chinese Internet search leader Baidu in a tech-development drag race with global search leader Google. The unit of parent firm Alphabet ( GOOGL ) has been developing self-driving vehicles for years. Baidu aims to become a cutting-edge automaker and have its automated vehicles in distribution in 2018, says a report Thursday in the Wall Street Journal. The latest  move by Baidu  comes as U.S. auto safety regulators say that 20 automakers have pledged to make automatic emergency braking a standard feature on nearly all U.S. vehicles by 2022, a move that could prevent thousands of rear-end accidents each year – and ensure that the companies aren’t left in the dust as car technology advances. The U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) hailed the voluntary commitment by 20 automakers representing more than 99% of U.S. vehicle sales. Companies including General Motors ( GM ), Ford ( F ), Toyota ( TM ), Volkswagen ( VLKAY ), Daimler ( DDAIF ), Nissan Motor ( NSANY ) and Honda Motor ( HMC ) have signed on. While Apple ( AAPL ) has been widely reported to be among those in the self-driving car game, the company hasn’t confirmed any involvement. Baidu stock rose 0.2% to 183.44  in the stock market today . Apple stock fell 0.2% to 105.80. Mobileye ( MBLY ) stock appeared to benefit after news of the emergency braking standard emerged on Wednesday, soaring 9.5%. Mobileye, a maker of autonomous car technology, saw its stock rise 1.4% Thursday. Since its IPO last August, Mobileye stock has jumped 48% from its IPO price of 25. Mobileye has said millions of vehicles include its system as it works with BMW and automakers such as Tesla Motors ( TSLA ), GM and Honda. Along with Mobileye, NXP Semiconductors ( ), Nvidia ( NVDA ), Ambarella ( AMBA ) and others are partnering with automakers to develop chips and other technology needed for self-driving cars. German automaker BMW said in September 2014 that it had teamed up with Baidu to create self-driving cars. At that time, BMW said its project with Baidu was designed to achieve “accident-free mobility” while enhancing comfort and efficiency for drivers in China, the world’s top car-producing nation. Baidu already provides Internet cloud services to BMW as well as mapping services through Baidu Maps, BMW said then. On Tuesday, the chief of self-driving car development at Google told a U.S. Senate panel that “Congress has a huge opportunity to help ensure that self-driving cars can be safely deployed at scale,” as the Alphabet subsidiary and others attempt to fast-track development of the technology. Chris Urmson, director of the self-driving car program at Google X, was among those who testified at the hearing that was convened by U.S. Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., chairman of the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science and Transportation. The hearing came a month after one of Google’s self-driving cars hit a municipal bus in California. Google has said new software changes will avoid future incidents. In a report last year, Boston Consulting Group cautioned that self-driving cars won’t likely appear widely on roads until 2025, but the technology could emerge sooner in automated ride-sharing services in city centers. This week’s U.S. government hearing included testimony from GM and ride-sharing company Lyft, which are in a partnership to develop self-driving cars. Driverless trucks and cars will be tested soon in the U.K., according to a BBC report on Thursday.

Content Is King In The War For First Generation Virtual Reality

Nvidia ( NVDA )-powered virtual reality devices manufactured by HTC, Facebook ( FB )-owned Oculus, and Sony ( SNE ) dominated the Game Developers Conference this week in San Francisco. But software, not the hardware behind it, will likely determine if this new form of ingesting content will become the billion-dollar industry that is the source of dreams for developers at the show. “Content is going to be king,” Nvidia spokesman Bryan Del Rizzo told IBD in an interview on the GDC show floor. “And there’s much more than just games, there’s business applications.” Nvidia stock was down a fraction to 32.82 at the close Wednesday. The company has an IBD Composite Rating of 99, the highest possible. Facebook was down more than 1% to 111.02, and Sony was up 2.3% to 26.09. On Wednesday, Facebook-owned Oculus announced the names of the 30 titles that will be available for its Rift VR headset that starts shipping on March 28. Priced between $19 and $59, the selection includes traditional shoot-’em-up titles as well as several much-hyped “experiential” offerings. There are 11 more titles to be released in the future, though the company has not announced an exact date. Oculus will cost $599. When the price was first announced there was backlash from the gaming community which expected considerably less. In response, the company said it is not going to make a significant profit on the hardware — placing the burden for profit even further on the content that Facebook is able to bring to Oculus Rift. Meanwhile, HTC is going to market with 50 titles , but none of them will be exclusively available on its VR headset, called Vive, priced at $799. HTC did not immediately respond to a request for comment. E-commerce juggernaut Amazon.com ( AMZN ), Netflix ( NFLX ) and other content producers also are making VR plays, and exploring video opportunities. This week at the conference, Sony announced its own VR bet for the PlayStation console. Sony’s offering is priced below both its chief competitors at $399 — a $370 PlayStation 4 is required, plus several accessories — but will not get to market until October of this year. In its fiscal third-quarter earnings report to investors, the company said it had sold 37 million PlayStation 4 consoles since its launch in 2013. Though content may determine the industry’s future, the hardware it relies on — Nvidia’s graphics processing units generate the graphics — has never before been available to consumers. Of the PC-based VR options, Oculus Rift will hit the market first on March 28 — giving the Facebook-owned company a head start on HTC, which will hit the market sometime in April . Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) graphics cards also can be used to power VR headsets. “PCs will be the preeminent platform for VR,” says Del Rizzo. One issue for Sony is that the PlayStation 4 is aging. Several developers told IBD at the gaming conference that it could be a speed bump for bleeding-edge content. Sony declined to comment. Both Vive and Oculus Rift require top-of-the-line graphics hardware to run. Del Rizzo says that may generate more profits for the companies involved since gamers have a tendency to upgrade their graphics cards to ensure that they get the most out of the latest titles. Still, it’s too early to say VR will stick. There have been attempts to take VR mainstream in the past, notably in the 1990s, but they have failed — in large part because the hardware then was not as advanced as today. Now, at least with the devices from Sony and Oculus that IBD tested, the hardware appears to be able to deliver a palatable experience. The question becomes: Will developers and content creators produce offerings that will convince customers to open their wallets?

AI Meets ROI: Where Artificial Intelligence Is Already Smart Business

Decades of research and billions of dollars have poured into developing artificial intelligence, which has crossed over from science fiction to gameshow novelty to the cusp of widespread business applications. Artificial intelligence is an area of computer science where computers are designed to think and operate much like a human brain, supported by advanced forms of computing and software. But it’s only as smart as the amount of information fed into its memory banks. The more information, the smarter it gets. The greatest advancements have been demonstrated in the area of game playing, but AI is now showing its mettle in the business world. “People are starting to kick the tires, looking to see how it can help their business and the bottom line,” said David Schubmehl, who follows the AI field for research firm IDC. “The return on investment evidence is not yet clear, but it’s starting to happen.” Facebook ( FB ), Alphabet ( GOOGL ), IBM ( IBM ) and Nvidia ( NVDA ) are among tech leaders with big artificial intelligence ambitions. “We’re starting to see a lot of companies beginning to use different types of AI tech for various uses,” said Schubmehl. “We’re also seeing a lot of venture capital money flowing in and a lot of acquisitions taking place.” IBM, which may have the deepest AI investments and most far-reaching ability of any company, has pitched “cognitive computing” as a tool for businesses via its cloud-based Watson platform. Facebook is using AI to decipher the best ways to bring Internet service to remote areas of the world and to make its News Feed feature more relevant to users of the social network. Alphabet is using it to enhance Google search abilities, improve voice recognition and to derive more data from images and video. Nvidia has developed chip technology for AI platforms used in autonomous driving features, and to enhance how a driver and car communicate. Alphabet,  Mobileye ( MBLY ) and others also are tapping AI in the race for driverless cars. It’s not enough to have Google Maps loaded up: A self-driving system must identify potholes, weather conditions, traffic congestion and other drivers’ behavior — improvising and improving on the fly. AI: Ready, Chess, Go Artificial intelligence, a term coined in 1955, was popularized when IBM’s “Big Blue” became the first computer to beat a reigning world chess champion, Gary Kasparov, in 1997. IBM won again in 2011, when its Watson computer on “Jeopardy!” outsmarted the game show’s two top players ever. Last October, an AI computer beat a three-time European champion in the ancient Asian game of “Go.” AphaGo, built by DeepMind, part of Alphabet’s Google, beat Fan Hui by 5 games to 0, the first time a computer program has ever beaten a professional Go player and a feat thought to be a decade away. On Tuesday, AlphaGo won the first game vs. Lee Sodol, who is ranked No. 5 in the world. Tuesday’s match shows that AlphaGo has made big improvements since beating the No. 633 ranked Fan Hui last year. Google paid $400 million to acquire DeepMind in 2014. But despite rapid advances, artificial intelligence is still in the early stages of business deployment. “A lot of what AI is being used for today only scratches the surface of what can be done,” said Babak Hodjat, co-founder and chief scientist at Sentient Technologies . “It will become so ubiquitous that we won’t even call it AI anymore.” AI Picks Out Your Shoes Sentient emerged from stealth mode in late 2014 with a massively distributed AI platform that companies can use to boost performance. As shoppers at Shoes.com  browse through photos of shoes and click on ones they like, Sentient’s technology narrows the selection, so people don’t get overwhelmed by choices. There’s no need for text-based searches or drill-down navigation, said Hodjat. The AI technology deciphers what shoppers are looking for, letting them quickly dive deeper into a catalog to find the perfect item that might otherwise go undiscovered. “We’ve revolutionized the user experience on an e-commerce website,” said Hodjat. “It’s a huge change in the way users interact with products online and therefore drives conversion.” Sentient has received $143 million in venture capital funding, the most of any AI startup, according to research firm CB Insights. Since 2010, AI startups have received $967 million in funding.  Intel ( INTC ) alone has invested in 16 AI companies, including  Saffron Technology . Saffron says its platform “mimics the fundamental principles of how humans remember and learn.” In a case study on its website, Saffron helped an insurer to identify fraudulent auto insurance claims. Over 10 weeks, Saffron examined 113,000 claims from one year in one state and found three potential fraud rings. It then detected that these rings were part of a larger ring involved with 38 claims, of which the insurance company had paid out about $400,000 in claims. Saffron was able to collect data that identified relevant and unknown relationships, including different providers, demographics and injury descriptions, creating a knowledge store that had never been done before. Saffron forecasts that the insurer can avoid a payout of tens of millions of dollars a year. AI goes by terms such as machine learning and deep learning. IBM calls it cognitive computing. In October it launched Cognitive Business Solutions, with 2,000 consultants skilled in data analytics, cloud computing and other areas. More than 500 companies have deals to use Watson, as a cloud service, to develop commercial products, apps and services. Turner Broadcasting on Feb. 29 signed a deal to use Watson in its ad sales efforts. The  Time Warner ( TWX ), unit owns TBS, TNT and CNN. Using IBM Watson, Turner expects to parse through all manner of data to help draw in more advertisers and provide them with greater impact. Watson Can Predict Low Blood Sugar Watson Health is a platform for physicians, researchers, insurers and other companies focused on health and wellness. Medtronic ( MDT ) is collaborating with IBM on personalized care for people with diabetes. By analyzing patient info and data from Medtronic devices, Watson can predict low blood sugar programs three hours in advance. Artificial intelligence is all about using advanced technologies to help develop brainy reasoning from disorganized information — unstructured data — to derive accurate decisions. “What we’ve done with all our research is to really understand how to add unstructured data to a decision,” said David Kenny, general manager of IBM Watson. Unstructured data comes from a multitude of sources that is not organized. It can be the data bits from photos, medical images or video and audio transmissions. It can be the tons of data that flows in from cameras or sensors in buildings or smartphones, from Web traffic, tweets, inside emails, government filings or business documents. The more information an artificially intelligent computer can digest the smarter it gets. Today The Weather, Tomorrow… Collecting data on a massive scale is among the reasons IBM acquired several Weather Co. properties, including Weather.com, Weather Underground and mobile and cloud-based assets, for a reported $2 billion in October. IBM will be able to analyze data from more than 2 billion weather reference points, over 40 million smartphones and 50,000 airplane flights per day, letting it offer a broad range of data-driven products and services to more than 5,000 clients in the media, aviation, energy, insurance and government industries. IBM said it can provide predictive weather analytics along with real-time analysis of social media chatter, detailed understanding of transportation flows and other data that will benefit retailers and distributors. The Weather Co. assets will serve as the foundation of a new Watson unit focused on the Internet of Things (IoT). Early this year, IBM announced that it would invest $3 billion to build out IoT products and services. “The more we do this, the smarter Watson gets and the smarter AI gets,” said Kenny. As to why AI is becoming more widespread: “It works,” Kenny said. “Users of AI are saving time and money. They’re making faster decisions and getting better outcomes.” An analysis of Facebook and Alphabet’s Google by research firm Innography shows a surge in AI patent filings that began in 2010. Alphabet currently has more than 3,000 AI patents that are active or pending government approval. Facebook has about 870. AI Knows Where You Live Facebook last June opened an artificial intelligence lab in Paris with a goal of improving the way users interact on the world’s largest social network. “It’s our hope that this research will ultimately help us make services like News Feed, photos and search even better and enable an entirely new set of ways to connect and share,” Facebook said at the time. It also has AI research teams at its Menlo Park, Calif., headquarters and in New York. Facebook in February revealed its Connectivity Lab project. It used AI to analyze 8.3 million square miles of land, using roads, schools and other structures to determine where and how many people live in a given area. That can tell Facebook’s Aquila drones where to go to provide Internet access to less-developed areas, as part of the company’s Internet.org initiative. “This data will give us a greater understanding of how populations are dispersed, so governments and others can prioritize investments in infrastructure, from transportation to healthcare and education,” Facebook said.