Tag Archives: nvda

Tesla Short Seller Issues Scathing Warning Of Pending ‘Death Spiral’

Loading the player… Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) shares got slammed several weeks ago after analysts doubted the electric carmaker’s bullish production guidance. Now that the stock has tried to recover, bears want to take the driver’s seat again. Devonshire Research Group is shorting the stock and on Tuesday issued a report that says Tesla “has the potential to enter a death spiral” if it fails to deliver on its “bold claims on return and/or product value.” The investment firm also said Tesla “has engaged in aggressive accounting that calls to mind the experiences of Enron and WorldCom.” A Tesla spokeswoman directed IBD to the company’s latest shareholder letter, which explained that Tesla’s non-GAAP financial measures recognize revenue and related costs when customers take delivery of their cars. Other carmakers book revenue when vehicles are sold into dealership inventory rather than to end customers, it noted. BofA Sees 30% Downside And on Monday, Bank of America resumed coverage on Tesla with an underperform rating and 155 price target, which is about 30% lower than current prices. With the company’s recent equity offering, the analyst warned of further dilution to the stock, given Tesla’s cash burn rate. Tesla’s 2018 production goal was also called “optimistic at best.” Still, other Wall Street analysts have said the target is achievable and applauded Tesla for its leadership in autonomous driving technology. Global Equities Research said that suppliers are becoming more and more interested in working with Tesla, with the current supplier activity level at its Fremont, Calif., factory almost twice the level seen in December. Tesla Stock Hits Resistance Despite the negative reports, Tesla shares are holding up in the stock market today , rising 0.5%. But in Monday’s session, Tesla’s attempt to retake the key 200-day line failed as it hit resistance there. Shares are trading 24% below their high reached last July. Nvidia On Fire Meanwhile, Tesla chip supplier Nvidia ( NVDA ) is still on fire. Nvidia shares are hitting another new high Tuesday as they rise 2.2% and are extended 37% past a cup-with-handle buy point cleared in March. Mobileye Retakes 50-Day Tesla partner Mobileye ( MBLY ), which is working on autonomous driving capabilities, is trying to retake its 50-day moving average with a 1% gain. Mobileye stock is trading 42% below its all-time high reached last August. Alphabet Retakes 200-Day And Google owner Alphabet ( GOOGL ), which is also developing a self-driving car, is retaking its 200-day line as it climbs 2.2% in above-average volume. It’s still trading below its 50-day line, but a flat base with a 791.05 buy point has now taken shape.

Did Xilinx’s 2021 Forecast Undercut Intel’s $17 Billion Altera Buy?

Broadly, Xilinx ‘s ( XLNX ) analyst day Monday was an acknowledgement that the field programmable gate array (FPGA) industry will grow less than 10% in the long term, which could hurt the $16.7 billion bet placed last year by No. 1 chipmaker Intel ( INTC ) on FPGA-maker Altera, a William Blair analyst said Tuesday. Late Monday, stand-alone FPGA maker Xilinx reiterated its fiscal 2017 guidance for growth of 4%-8% for sales and 7%-9% for operational expenses. Through 2021, Xilinx expects $750 million in incremental opportunity, but that only represents a 6% compound annual growth rate. FPGAs are chips which customers can program “in the field,” after manufacture, according to their needs. The overall tone Monday was positive “but lacked conviction,” William Blair analyst Anil Doradla wrote Tuesday in a research report. Commentary regarding Xilinx’s bread-and-butter wireless and wireline segments was limited, leading Doradla to say demand “continues to be muted.” “We believe the company is working hard to diversify away from its traditional markets as the company’s core markets continue to face structural shifts and increasingly pose headwinds to the company,” he wrote. Asian product makers are unlikely to pay premium dollars for Xilinx’s high-end FPGAs, and the company’s aerospace and defense spending opportunities are highly exposed to volatile government funding, Doradla wrote. But he kept his outperform rating on Xilinx stock. Xilinx’s commentary Monday centered on growth opportunities within cloud computing, embedded vision, industrial Internet of Things (IoT) and 5G markets. There, Xilinx faces FPGA competition from Intel/Altera and an IoT rivalry with  Nvidia ( NVDA ) graphics chips. In morning trading on the stock market today , Xilinx stock nudged up 1%, above 45. Shares have climbed incrementally on seven of the past eight trading days. But Tuesday’s rise underperformed IBD’s 41-company Electronic Semiconductor-Fabless industry group, which was up more than 2% Tuesday morning. Intel stock was up 2.5%, near 31. Xilinx Viewed As Possible Takeover Target Xilinx’s fiscal 2017 investments could lead to greater market share gains against Intel/Altera, Rosenblatt analyst Kinngai Chan wrote in a report. Xilinx sees its 28-nanometer and 20-nm market share at 65% and 80%, respectively. And Xilinx forecasts a one-year lead on Altera in the 16-nm market. This refers to the width of the circuitry etching in chips, so the smaller the manufacturing capability, the more electronics that in theory can go onto a chip. The investments should lead to “robust” growth for patient investors in 2021, MKM analyst Ian Ing says. The competitive landscape vs. Intel looks “benign,” and Xilinx’s uniquely re-configurable chips are ideal for data center acceleration, he wrote in a report. But “we do not foresee Xilinx’s investment time frames shortening from the four-five years from initial investments to material revenues,” he wrote. “Specialty FPGA chips are unique, given that they must go through two complete design and development cycles before volume.” That could drive off potential investors, he wrote, reiterating his belief that Xilinx could benefit from an acquisition by Apple ( AAPL ) suppliers such as  Qualcomm ( QCOM ) or Broadcom ( AVGO ). William Blair’s Doradla noted as much — Xilinx remains the singular merchant player in the FPGA market, he said. Ing kept his neutral rating and 45 price target on Xilinx stock.

How High Will Tesla/Apple Supplier Nvidia Go? Up 34% In 2 Months

Loading the player… Nvidia ( NVDA ) — chip supplier for  Apple ( AAPL ) and Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) — has been on a huge run lately, gaining more than 30% in the past two months. But how much higher can the top-rated stock go? While Nvidia is probably best known for being a Tesla partner, it has also supplied graphics chips for Apple computers and is involved in the budding virtual reality market. Jefferies is bullish on the stock and said last week that Nvidia is just starting to benefit from trends in the auto, data center, PC gaming and VR markets. The analyst believes the company can more than triple its annual EPS in three years. Nvidia broke out of a cup-with-handle base about eight weeks ago and pulled back to find support at the 50-day line. It then surged to a new all-time high and profit-taking zone after its view-topping quarterly report last week and has continued higher since. It’s now up about 34% from the buy point and rose 1.8% Friday. Top-Rated Peers Performing Well Nvidia has a highest-possible IBD Composite Rating of 99. Two of its highly rated chip peers have also been performing particularly well as of late: Silicon Motion ( SIMO ) and MaxLinear ( MXL ). Silicon Motion broke out of a big cup-with-handle base in March and is now trading in profit-taking territory and at all-time highs. Its stock climbed 3.8% on the stock market Friday. MaxLinear broke out of a consolidation base last week and is trading in buy range. It rose 1.7% Friday.