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Tekla Life Sciences Investors Fund: Good Performer, But Not A Reliable Income Play

Summary Tekla Life Sciences Investors Fund has a solid long-term performance record. But HQL and its dividends can be volatile. Still, if you like healthcare and are willing to take on some biotech risk, you might want to take a look at this CEF. Tekla Life Sciences Investors Fund (NYSE: HQL ) has an impressive long-term performance record, which is probably why a frequent reader asked me to take a look at it. However, what it doesn’t offer is a consistent distribution. Although that might scare off income-oriented investors, it’s still worth a deep dive for anyone thinking about investing in the life sciences space. But risk is the key word here. What the fund does HQL is a closed-end fund, or CEF, that invests in the life sciences arena. What exactly does that mean, particularly since the fund’s siblings invest in similar securities? Well, according to the fund, it can invest in areas such as biotechnology, pharmaceutical, diagnostics, managed healthcare, medical equipment, hospitals, healthcare information technology and services, devices and supplies, and agriculture and environmental management industries. Up until the last two, the fund sounds like your run-of-the-mill healthcare offering. The thing is, siblings Tekla Healthcare Investors (NYSE: HQH ) and Tekla Healthcare Opportunities Fund (NYSE: THQ ) have broad enough mandates that there’s some overlap in what each invests in and there’s notable overlap in their top holdings. So it’s hard to suggest that HQL is a massively differentiated fund within the family. But that doesn’t mean it isn’t different. For example, at the end of March, HQL had the heaviest weighting of the three funds in biotech and biopharmaceuticals at roughly 60% of assets. Its siblings HQH and THQ had around 50% and 35%, respectively. That really makes THQ the most aggressive of the trio, something that has been a boon to performance over the last few years. For example, the fund’s net asset value, or NAV, total return was 42% over the last 12 months through the end of May. (Total return includes the reinvestment of distributions). Over the trailing three- and five-year periods, its annualized total return was roughly 35% and 31%, respectively. That’s a heck of a showing. In fact, in March, management made note of the strong performance, warning investors that: “…we are favorable on the fundamentals of the healthcare and biotech sectors. However, we also want to express a note of caution. After several years of outperformance, valuations in the healthcare and biotech sectors, while reasonable relative to other sectors on a growth adjusted (P/E divided by G) basis, they are high on a trailing twelve month Price/Earnings basis.” In other words, we like the space, but don’t be surprised if there’s a pullback. Some things to note It’s also worth noting that the fund has the leeway to invest up to 40% of assets in “restricted” securities. Such illiquid investments are usually, though not exclusively, start-ups that need cash but aren’t publicly traded. These securities have to be valued by management, even though there’s no ready market for them. This is a risk you should keep in the back of your mind if there is a notable downturn. That said, the fund doesn’t make use of leverage, which means a downdraft wouldn’t be exacerbated by debt. The fund doesn’t use options, either, so it is a pure-play stock fund. Taking these facts a step further, it means that the fund’s distributions have to be covered by dividends, interest, and trading activities. The fund’s distribution policy is to pay 2% of its net asset value per quarter to shareholders. On an annual basis, that means a roughly 8% distribution target. That’s high enough to be meaningful, but low enough that you can probably expect long-term performance to make up for difficult periods that may require distributions to be paid out of capital. Clearly, with such solid performance, that hasn’t been an issue of late. In fact, since 2010, the fund’s NAV has done nothing but go up every year. And in a big way, too. At the start of the decade, the NAV was roughly $11.30, while more recently, the NAV was in the $29 range. That’s even more impressive when you consider that it’s paid out around $7 a share in distributions over that span. The only problem here is that the distribution isn’t a reliable figure; it bounces around with the fund’s NAV because of the 2% per quarter policy. In other words, you can’t count on the distributions paid over the past year to be any indication of what will be paid in the future. And, perhaps more important, just when you may be most in need of stable income, like during a market downdraft, the fund’s distribution is likely to shrink. For income-focused investors, then, this is a big risk to note. Expense-wise, HQL’s costs are currently running at around 1.25% of assets. That’s down from a few years ago, when the number was 1.7%. So it’s not overly expensive to own today, but it has been in the past considering that it doesn’t use leverage or options. To be fair, however, it was a much smaller fund in the past than it is today. Own it, don’t own it? On the whole, HQL is a decent fund. At present, it’s heavily focused on the biotech space, but for an aggressive investor, that might be exactly what’s desired. However, that brings the issue of risk to the fore, which is the big-picture consideration here. Despite a solid performance record over the past few years, this fund isn’t for the faint of heart. Biotech is an often volatile space and HQL is heavily invested there. What’s this mean? Vanguard Health Care Fund (MUTF: VGHCX ), a more broadly diversified mutual fund, had a standard deviation, a measure of volatility, of around 9 over the trailing three- and five-year periods. HQL’s standard deviation over those spans was 15. These two funds aren’t apples to apples, nor are they apples to oranges. For investors looking at the healthcare sector, HQL is a risky option. Moreover, anyone looking specifically for income shouldn’t be expecting a steady flow of distributions from HQL. Indeed, the fund’s policy specifically builds in distribution cuts during bad times. If you can stomach those two risks, HQL’s shares currently trade at an around 2% discount to NAV. That’s not particularly large, but is in line with its recent past. The discount has been much wider, coming in at an average of more than 5% over the trailing five years, according to the Closed-End Fund Association . Over the trailing 10 years, the average discount was nearly 8%. So while investors aren’t bidding the shares up beyond NAV, there’s room for negative sentiment to push them down further than they are at present if history is any guide. And if biotech goes out of favor, I’d expect that to happen. Would I buy HQL? No. I would be more comfortable with a fund that’s more diversified. However, that doesn’t mean it’s a bad fund for someone with a more aggressive bent. Just make sure you know what you are buying when you go in. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Separation Of Volatile Merchant Business Will Lead American Electric Power To Outperform

Summary Separation of volatile merchant business will lead to multiple expansion. Higher capex spend to support growth in the weaker environment. Transmission business is expected to be a significant contributor to AEP’s growth in the near future. Healthy balance sheet to trigger M&A opportunities for AEP. Above industry average dividend growth with room for growth may support stock in low power pricing environment. Company description American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP ) is one of the largest electric utilities in the United States (US), delivering electricity to more than 5.3m customers in 11 states. AEP ranks among the nation’s largest generators of electricity, owning nearly 38,000MWs of generating capacity in the US. AEP also owns the nation’s largest electricity transmission system, a more than 40,000-mile network that includes more 765-KV extra-high voltage transmission lines than all other US transmission systems combined. Investment highlights Separation of merchant generation business to improve multiples I expect AEP to sell/spin off its volatile merchant generation business later this year. The company’s management has already confirmed its commitment to make the company a pure regulated utilities business. I see the separation of merchant generation business as a positive catalyst in two ways: 1) AEP as a pure regulated utilities company commands higher multiple and 2) the current stock price doesn’t reflect the merchant generation business. At current levels, AEP trades in line with Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK ) (15.5x FY15 EPS) excluding any value for its merchant generation business (DUK has already sold its merchant generation business to Dynergy for $2.8bn). Unlike DUK, AEP has no exposure to international risk so commands higher multiple. High capex to support growth Over the next 3 years, AEP plans to invest $12bn (96% to regulated businesses), with nearly $5bn in transmission, $3.6bn in regulated distribution, and $2.7bn into its regulated generation fleet. This drives a 6.6% rate base CAGR across the regulated businesses (including transmission) for 2015-2017. The rate base growth combined with cost cutting measures will definitely help the company reach the target EPS growth of 4%-6% annually. AEP’s future capex plan: (click to enlarge) Source: June 2015 Investor presentation of AEP Transmission business to be a significant contributor to growth I believe the company’s 4%-6% EPS growth rate target is quite achievable and the transmission business is going to be the main contributor to growth, providing $0.15/yr of EPS growth through 2018. With management focused on capital allocation for its businesses, i expect transmission to get the incremental investment from any sale proceeds (sale proceeds from merchant business). AEP’s Transmission Business revenue growth estimate: (click to enlarge) Source: June 2015 Investor presentation of AEP Strong balance sheet AEP is safely levered at present, given regulatory requirements at most of its utility subsidiaries and covenants that require AEP to maintain debt/total capitalization at a level that does not exceed 67.5%. Going forward, i expect the company to remain in safer zone due to stable cash flows from the regulated business. Total debt/capital was 54.4% as of year-end 2014 and i expect it to remain relatively constant going forward despite high investment plans. In addition, AEP has ample liquidity with $163m of cash and $3.5bn of borrowing capacity under its credit facility commitments as of year-end 2014. I view AEP’s dividend as safe and expect the dividend payout ratio to remain at 60%-70%. Source: June 2015 Investor presentation of AEP Experienced management Nick Akins, the sixth CEO in AEP’s 100-year history, became the CEO in 2011. Before his promotion, Mr. Akins served as the executive VP of AEP’s generation unit. He has also led the company’s Southwestern Electric Power unit and was vice president of energy marketing services in his 30 years with the company. Brian Tierney, the executive VP and CFO, has been with AEP since 1998. The experienced management will definitely focus on growing regulated business post separation from volatile merchant business. Strong dividend growth During the 12 months ending 3/31/2015, AEP paid dividends totaling $2.09/share. Since the stock is currently trading at $54.23, this implies a dividend yield of 3.9% (higher than NextEra Energy Inc , AES Corp , NRG Energy, Inc., which have a current dividend yield between 2.3% and 2.9%). AEP has increased its dividend during each of the past 5 years (in 2009, the dividends were $1.64/share). The company has a payout ratio of 60.1% which is expected to reach 70% going forward. AEP’s dividend history and estimate Source: June 2015 Investor presentation of AEP Valuation My price target of $61.26 for AEP is based on a 3.2% premium to the industry target average P/E multiple of 15.5x on 2016 EPS estimate of $3.60. I assign the premium to reflect an improved regulatory environment in most of AEP’s service areas, a visible long-term earnings growth profile in its transmission segment, expected sale of merchant generation business , as well as benefit from PJM’s Capacity Performance proposal. I recommend investors to take position in AEP at current level of $54.23 to get a return of 16.7% (13% price appreciation+3.7% of dividend yield) in one year. AEP’s Regulated Business FY16 Adj EPS P/E multiple Price/share Utilities $2.82 15.8x $44.42 Transmission $0.74 16.8x $12.40 Other $0.04 15.8x $0.63 Total Equity/share $3.60 16.0x $57.44 AEP’s Competitive Gen. Business FY16 Adj EBITDA, $m EV/EBITDA Multiple   Generation co. 360 8.0x 2,880 Debt, $m     1,006 Equity value, $m     1,874 Number of shares, m     490 Equity/share     $3.82         Total Equity/share     $61.26 Current trading price     $54.23 Upside     13.0% Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

American Beacon And Ionic Launch Strategic Arbitrage Fund

By DailyAlts Staff The second quarter of 2015 ended on June 30, and that date was also the occasion for a flurry of new fund launches. Among them, the American Beacon Ionic Strategic Arbitrage Fund (MUTF: IONAX ), a fund designed to seek capital appreciation with low volatility and reduced correlation to stocks and interest rates. The new fund follows the launch of a managed futures fund with AHL last August, and the sale of American Beacon to two private equity firms. In addition, American Beacon has one additional liquid alternative fund in registration, a long/short equity fund that will be sub-advised by Grosvenor Capital Management. Multi-Strategy Approach The American Beacon Ionic Strategic Arbitrage Fund will pursue its investment objectives by employing a “strategic arbitrage strategy” that can be broken down into a quartet of sub-strategies: Convertible arbitrage, credit/rates relative value arbitrage, equity arbitrage, and volatility arbitrage. According to the fund’s prospectus, under typical conditions, the fund’s assets will be allocated as follows: 40-50% of the fund’s assets will be allocated to its convertible arbitrage sub-strategy, which involves identifying and capitalizing on the pricing of a company’s convertible securities relative to its common stock; Between 20% and 30% of the fund’s assets will be allocated to ” credit/rates relative value arbitrage ,” which involves investing in mortgage-related derivatives (and other derivatives) the fund’s managers consider relatively inexpensive; Another 30-40% of the fund’s assets will be allocated to equity arbitrage , and; The remainder, 5-15%, will be allocated to volatility arbitrage – strategies that, respectively, seek to profit from inefficiencies between share classes of a company’s stock, and the movement of prices, regardless of market direction. Ionic Capital Management is the fund’s sub-advisor, and the firm’s CIO Bart Baum is among its portfolio managers. Mr. Baum is joined by fellow principals Adam Radosti and Daniel Stone, as well as portfolio manager Doug Fincher. Fund Details Shares of the American Beacon Ionic Strategic Arbitrage Fund are available in five share classes: A (IONAX), C (MUTF: IONCX ), Y (MUTF: IONYX ), institutional (MUTF: IONIX ), and investor (MUTF: IONPX ). The management fee across all share classes is 1.05%. A, C, and Y-class shares have respective net-expense ratios of 3.78%, 4.53%, and 3.48%; while institutional- and investor-class shares have respective net-expense ratios of 3.38% and 3.76%. The minimum initial investment is lowest for C-class shares, at $1,000; while A and investor-class shares have a $2,500 minimum; and Y and institutional-class shares have initial minimums of $100,000 and $250,000, respectively. All of the expense ratios above include 1.74% of “Dividends & Interest Expenses on Securities Sold Short,” which is an investment expense that the SEC requires to be included in the expense ratio. For more information, visit the fund’s web page .