Tag Archives: mutual-fund

3 Tips For Investing In Emerging Markets

By Tim Maverick Having been a neglected asset class for some time, emerging market stocks are enjoying a healthy rebound so far in 2016. The story of how we got here is a familiar one. When developing stock markets got overbought, they became overvalued. As a result, nervous investors – mainly from the United States – dumped those assets. But the selloff led to a sharp 180-degree turn – emerging markets then traded at a 28% discount to developed countries. Research Affiliates, founded by noted investor Rob Arnott, explains that emerging market stocks have only been cheaper than current levels six times. Each of those periods sparked an average five-year return of 188%. That should grab any investor’s attention. So what’s the best way to invest in emerging stock markets? Based on my decades of experience as both an advisor and an investor, I’ve compiled three quick tips to help you make sense of this market trend . Tip #1: Do NOT Use Index Funds I’m not a fan of index funds in general… but especially when it comes to emerging markets. It’s a sure-fire way to be unsuccessful. Why, you ask? First, because indices severely restrict your investable universe. And they’re usually restricted to the most overbought and overvalued stocks. Case in point: The Institute of International Finance points out that only $7.5 trillion out of a total of $24.7 trillion in emerging market equities are covered by indices from MSCI and JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM ). The rest are simply ignored as if they don’t exist. Yet, it’s those ignored stocks that usually boast the best bargains and room for growth. Tip #2: Avoid The Closet Index Trackers Even if you do avoid index funds directly, there’s another problem: “Closet trackers.” These are fund managers who like playing it safe. They couldn’t care less about outperforming the benchmark index for their shareholders. These managers have at least 50% of their funds in index stocks, so their funds will mimic the underlying index. Needless to say, that’s not what you want. Worryingly, a study from the World Bank revealed that 20% of equity funds were index trackers or closet trackers. This is a complete waste of money from an investor’s viewpoint. You’re paying for active management, but you’re not getting it. One example of a mutual fund company that usually goes off the beaten track and often invests in smaller companies is the Wasatch Core Growth Fund No Load (MUTF: WGROX ). Though I do not own their emerging market fund, I do own their frontier markets fund – Wasatch Frontier Emerging SmallCountries Fund (MUTF: WAFMX ) – for exposure to the smaller frontier markets. Please note: The fund is closed to new investors if you try buying it through your brokerage, but if you go directly to the fund company, it’s still open. Tip #3: Get Local Exposure If you truly want exposure to developing markets, guess what? You’ll need to own shares in local companies. And while it may seem like a clearer route to a profit, don’t do what many U.S. advisors espouse and have your sole exposure through multinational companies. Yes… there are many great multinationals with huge emerging market businesses – a company like Colgate Palmolive Co. (NYSE: CL ) comes to mind – they’re not the best way to gain exposure to developing markets’ economic growth. I like to use this analogy when explaining this point to clients: Let’s say a Japanese investor wanted exposure to the U.S. economy. His broker recommends Toyota Motors Corp. (NYSE: TM ). After all, Toyota sells a lot of cars in the United States. Silly, right? Toyota shares aren’t a good way to play the overall U.S. economy, as the stock only represents a very select fraction of market success. Neither is investing in emerging markets solely through multinationals. Investing in emerging local companies is the best way to profit from more specific foreign trends. There are all manner of resources available these days for researching foreign companies and stocks. It does take a bit of work, but the rewards can be well worth the time. Alternatively, you can leave the work to proven, active fund managers. Regardless of which route you prefer, now is a good time to build positions in emerging markets. Original Post

3 Mutual Funds To Buy As Consumer Spending Boost GDP

According to the “third estimate” of the U.S. Department of Commerce, the economy expanded at a rate of 1.4% in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared with the earlier estimate of a 1% rise. Moreover, the growth rate was above the consensus estimate of 1% gain. For the full year, GDP rose at an annual rate of 2.4%, in line with the 2014 growth rate. Thanks to consumer spending, which constitutes roughly 75% of the U.S. economy, GDP grew at a moderate pace in the fourth quarter despite weaknesses in the other major components of the economy. Steady growth in consumer spending is likely to have a positive impact on the retail sector, which attracts a major portion of consumer expenditure. Given this scenario, mutual funds having significant exposure to this sector may provide an excellent investment opportunity to seeking returns from this positive trend. Consumer Spending Boosting Economy According to the GDP report, personal consumption expenditure grew at a pace of 2.4% in the fourth quarter, preceded by a 3% rise in the third. In 2015, consumer spending rose 3.1% – the highest rate of increase since 2005. While spending on goods rose at a rate of 3.7% in 2015, the same on services increased 2.8% during the same time frame. Personal consumption expenditure contributed nearly 1.7% and 2.1% to GDP during the fourth quarter and last year, respectively. Consistent improvement in labor market conditions remained one of the key drivers of consumer spending. According to the latest data, the economy got a boost from 242,000 job additions in February, which exceeded January’s revised figure of 172,000 by a wide margin. Unemployment remained in line with January’s rate of 4.9%. Meanwhile, the GDP report showed that disposable personal income increased 2.3% in the fourth quarter, preceded by a 3.2% increase in the previous quarter. Also, it rose at a rate of 3.4% last year – the highest since 2006. The low inflation rate also gave a significant boost to consumer spending. According to the report, the personal consumption expenditure index (PCE) rose at a six-year low pace of 0.3% in 2015. Excluding food and energy prices, the index rose 1.3% – the lowest since 2011. Lingering Concerns A massive slump in business profits emerged as one of the main concerns in the fourth quarter. After-tax profits plunged 8.4% during the quarter, witnessing the largest decline since the first quarter of 2014. This was preceded by third quarter’s decline of 1.7%. After-tax profits slumped 5.1% last year, marking the biggest drop in the last seven years. Profits from current production plunged $159.6 billion last quarter, followed by a $33 billion decline in the third. Moreover, business investment declined 2.1% during the fourth quarter, in contrast to a 2.6% rise in the previous quarter. It subtracted nearly 0.3 percentage points from GDP figure. It is speculated that rising wages and an improving labor market will have a negative impact on the profit margin. Separately, exports declined 2.1% in the fourth quarter compared with a 0.7% rise in the third. Imports declined 0.7% in the last quarter. This is why net exports had a negative impact of more than 0.1% on the GDP number. Meanwhile, businesses witnessed a stock pile of $78.3 billion last quarter followed by $81.7 billion accumulated in the third quarter. This affected the GDP rate by more than 0.2 percentage points. 3 Mutual Funds to Buy Despite these concerns, the consumer-driven U.S. economy managed to register a moderate rate of growth on the back of positive factors including favorable labor market conditions, a low inflation rate and the low interest rate environment. The Fed recently reduced its forecast for the number of rate hikes this year from four to two. In this favorable environment, the retail sector is expected to benefit from steady growth in consumer spending as it attracts a major portion of the total spending. Against this backdrop, we highlight three retail focused mutual funds that carry either a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy). We expect these funds to outperform their peers in the future. Remember, the goal of the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is to guide investors to identify potential winners and losers. Unlike most of the fund-rating systems, the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is not just focused on past performance, but also on the likely future success of the fund. These funds have encouraging one-month and three-year annualized returns. The minimum initial investment is within $5000. Also, these funds have a low expense ratio. Fidelity Select Consumer Discretionary Portfolio (MUTF: FSCPX ) seeks growth of capital. This fund invests a large portion of its assets in securities of companies involved in the manufacture and distribution of consumer discretionary products and services. Currently, FSCPX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The product has one-month and three-year annualized returns of 3.9% and 13.5%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.79% is lower than the category average of 1.41%. Putnam Global Consumer A (MUTF: PGCOX ) invests a large portion of its assets in securities of companies involved in the manufacture and distribution of consumer discretionary products and services. Currently, PGCOX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The product has one-month and three-year annualized returns of 5.4% and 10.7%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1.26% is lower than the category average of 1.43%. Fidelity Select Retailing (MUTF: FSRPX ) seeks capital growth. FSRPX invests a major portion of its assets in securities of firms involved in merchandising finished goods and services to consumers. Currently, FSRPX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. The product has one-month and three-year annualized returns of 3.8% and 20.3%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.81% is lower than the category average of 1.41%. About Zacks Mutual Fund Rank By applying the Zacks Rank to mutual funds, investors can find funds that not only outpaced the market in the past but are also expected to outperform going forward. Pick the best mutual funds with the help of Zacks Rank. Original Post

3 Top-Ranked Utility Mutual Funds For Steady Returns

Utility funds are an excellent choice for investors seeking a steady income flow. They are also used as defensive instruments, which protect investments during a market downturn. This is because the demand for essential services such as those provided by utilities remains unchanged even during difficult times. In recent years, many funds in this category have increased their exposure to emerging markets and unregulated companies. This has increased the risk involved, but has also generated higher returns. Below, we will share with you three top-rated utility mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) as we expect these mutual funds to outperform their peers in the future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all utilities mutual funds, investors can click here to see the complete list of funds . Kinetics Alternative Income Advisor A (MUTF: KWIAX ) seeks to provide current income. KWIAX invests the majority of its assets in the Alternative Income Portfolio, a series of Kinetics Portfolios Trust that holds a portfolio of primarily fixed income securities. The Kinetics Alternative Income Advisor A fund has a three-year annualized return of 2.4%. As of December 2015, KWIAX held 244 issues, with 10.12% of its total assets invested in iShares 1-3 Year Credit Bond. Putnam Global Telecommunication A (MUTF: PGBZX ) invests a major portion of its assets in common stocks of both large and mid-sized companies across the world. PGBZX invests in companies involved in the manufacturing or selling of communication services or communication equipment. PGBZX uses derivative instruments for both hedging and non-hedging purposes. The Putnam Global Telecommunication A fund has a three-year annualized return of 9.3%. PGBZX has an expense ratio of 1.26% as compared to a category average of 1.44%. AllianzGI Global Water C (MUTF: AWTCX ) seeks long-term capital growth. AWTCX invests a major portion of its assets in common stocks of companies that are represented in the S&P Global Water Index, the NASDAQ OMX US Water or Global Water Indices or the S-Network Global Water Index, or are involved in water-related activities. AllianzGI Global Water C is a non-diversified fund and has a three-year annualized return of 4.2%. Andreas Fruschki is the fund manager since 2008. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all utilities mutual funds, investors can click here to see the complete list of funds . About Zacks Mutual Fund Rank By applying the Zacks Rank to mutual funds, investors can find funds that not only outpaced the market in the past, but are also expected to outperform going forward. Pick the best mutual funds with the Zacks Rank. Original Post