Tag Archives: market lab report

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 12/18/15

Major averages finished lower yesterday on lower volume with the NASDAQ Composite closing under its 50-day moving average and the S&P 500 closing below its 50/200-day moving average crossover. With the majors erasing the prior day’s gains and finishing under resistance levels, the only respite is the lower volume. Today is quadruple witching which exaggerates volume and adds further “murk” to the waters. The unstable, erratic nature of this market makes it difficult for investors to navigate, and a cautious approach is likely warranted. Chinese social networking platform Weibo (WB) had another pocket pivot. We reported on this stock on November 25. As we have suggested many times, it is better to wait to buy on constructive weakness. For example, WB had a low volume “voodoo” pullback for a few days leading up to December 11. It could have been bought around then instead of on the pocket pivot day. On another point, for those who bought WB either on the first pocket pivot report or on any of the “voodoo” days that followed, today could be a good day to take at least partial profits since the stock is sticking straight up relative to the chart and to the action of the general market. The after-hours market can be used to sell if you did not already do so. Of course, some may have a different style and prefer to add to their position on a day like yesterday. But given the general tone of the markets over the last couple of years, it has been better to take profits when you have them in context with the stock’s chart and general market environment.

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 12/17/15

Markets jumped higher yesterday on mixed volume. Both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite closed above resistance levels at their 50-day moving averages. The Fed hiked rates 25 basis points for the first time in nearly a decade, but the move was expected. Their dot plot projects four rate hikes in 2016. This telegraphs to the market that they believe the economy is resilient enough to withstand such rate hikes. The bullish reaction came as no surprise, and the market appears set to rally into Christmas Eve, just as it did last December 2014 following a sharp sell-off early in the month. This rate hike does not imply the Fed will necessarily hike rates again soon. CME FedWatch projects a rate hike when the Fed meets next in January at just 10%. On the other hand, odds rise to 55% when the Fed meets April 27, 2016. Pharmaceutical maker Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND) had a pocket pivot breakout. Earnings are strongly accelerating, institutional sponsorship has grown over the last 11 quarters, pretax margin 49.4%, ROE 85.8%, group rank 54. Workforce management software company Ultimate Software Group (ULTI) had a pocket pivot through its 50-day moving average. Earnings and sales are accelerating, ROE 26.9%, group rank 13.

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 12/16/15

Markets continued to rebound ahead of today’s Fed meeting where they will decide whether or not to hike rates. CME FedWatch puts the odds of a hike at 81%. The bounce in the price of oil catalyzed yesterday’s rally. The NASDAQ Compose closed near the low of its trading range while the S&P 500 closed roughly midbar. The day’s volume on both indices came in lower expressing institutional uncertainty ahead of today’s Fed announcement. Electronic postage service Stamps.com (STMP) had a pocket pivot. It gapped higher on its prior earnings report then traded sideways until today when it made new highs. Earnings and sales are accelerating, pretax margin 28.1%, group rank 1. Chinese developer of plasma-based drugs China Biologic Products (CBPO had a pocket pivot breakout. Pretax margin 52.4%, ROE 33.6%, institutional sponsorship has grown over the last 7 quarters, group rank 54. Keep in mind our views on buying on constructive weakness instead of on strength in this type of market environment as your risk drops the closer your entry is to your sell stop.