Best And Worst Q4’15: Mid Cap Blend ETFs, Mutual Funds And Key Holdings
Summary The Mid Cap Blend style ranks eighth in Q4’15. Based on an aggregation of ratings of 18 ETFs and 344 mutual funds. IJH is our top-rated Mid Cap Blend style ETF and LSIRX is our top-rated Mid Cap Blend style mutual fund. The Mid Cap Blend style ranks eighth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our Q4’15 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter , the Mid Cap Blend style ranked ninth. It gets our Dangerous rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 18 ETFs and 344 mutual funds in the Mid Cap Blend style. See a recap of our Q3’15 Style Ratings here. Figures 1 and 2 show the five best and worst-rated ETFs and mutual funds in the style. Not all Mid Cap Blend style ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 21 to 3330). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings. Investors seeking exposure to the Mid Cap Blend style should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The ProShares S&P MidCap 400 Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: REGL ) and the Validea Market Legends ETF (NASDAQ: VALX ) are excluded from Figure 1 because their total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The Boston Trust & Walden Funds SMID Cap Fund (MUTF: BTSMX ), the Nationwide Herndon Mid Cap Value (MUTF: NWWQX ) (MUTF: NWWPX ), and the Boston Trust & Walden Funds MidCap Fund (MUTF: BTMFX ), are excluded from Figure 2 because their total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. The iShares Core S&P MidCap ETF (NYSEARCA: IJH ) is the top-rated Mid Cap Blend ETF and the Legg Mason Partners ClearBridge Mid Cap Core Fund (MUTF: LSIRX ) is the top-rated Mid Cap Blend mutual fund. IJH earns a Neutral rating and LSIRX earns a Very Attractive rating. The State Street SPDR Russell Small Cap Completeness ETF (NYSEARCA: RSCO ) is the worst-rated Mid Cap Blend ETF and the Satuit Capital Management US SMID Cap Fund (MUTF: SATDX ) is the worst-rated Mid Cap Blend mutual fund. RSCO earns a Neutral rating and SATDX earns a Very Dangerous rating. Cullen/Frost Bankers (NYSE: CFR ) is one of our favorite stocks held by Mid Cap Blend ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Attractive rating. Since 2010, Cullen/Frost has grown after-tax profits ( NOPAT ) by 8% compounded annually and improved its NOPAT margin from 25% to 28%. The company currently earns a return on invested capital ( ROIC ) of 9%. CFR has been beaten down 15% this year despite solid fundamentals. At its current price of $64/share, CFR has a price to economic book value ( PEBV ) ratio of 1.2. This ratio implies the market expects Cullen/Frost to grow its NOPAT by only 20% over the remainder of its corporate life. If Cullen/Frost can continue to grow NOPAT by 8% compounded annually for the next five years , the stock is worth $78/share today – a 13% upside. Cavium Inc. (NASDAQ: CAVM ) is one of our least favorite stocks held by Mid Cap Blend ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Dangerous rating. After turning a $10 million profit in 2010, Cavium’s NOPAT has fallen to -$23 million on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Cavium currently earns a bottom quintile ROIC of -7%, which is a significant decline from the 7% earned in 2010. Despite the deteriorating fundamentals, CAVM is up 15% on the year and the expectations baked into the current stock price leave shares with significant downside risk. To justify its current price of $71/share, Cavium must immediately achieve pre-tax margins of 6.5% (same margin as 2010) and grow revenue by 20% compounded annually for the next 26 years . Given the competitive semiconductor industry in which Cavium operates, it seems highly optimistic to expect double-digit revenue growth for nearly three decades. Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Mid Cap Blend ETFs and mutual funds. Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds From the Worst Funds (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings D isclosure: David Trainer and Kyle Guske II receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.