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Taking Profits On Our SPY Put Spread

A 40% net short in a single asset class is a rare event for me. So I vowed to cut it back on the next down day for risk control purposes only. The S&P 500 SPDR’s May 2016 $212-$217 in-the-money vertical bear put spread had the most profit to take, given that it was the furthest out-of-the-money with the shortest expiration date. If I blow up my performance betting the ranch on a single asset class, I am too old to get my job back at Morgan Stanley. Besides, they probably wouldn’t have me anyway. I never believed yesterday’s frantic 220-point rally in the Dow for two seconds. No volume, no news, and no cross-asset-class confirmation meant it was not to be believed. It was just another opportunity for the high-frequency traders to pick the pockets of hedge funds by squeezing them out of their shorts, which they have been doing on a weekly basis all year. That conviction allowed me to hang on to my aggressive 40% net short position. Better yet, we are poised to make as much as another 10% profit by the end of next week with out remaining positions. To remind you of why we are short the S&P 500 in a major way, let me refresh your memories: It’s all about the strong dollar. A robust buck diminishes the foreign earnings of the big American multinationals, major components of the S&P 500. I think it is much more likely that stocks grind down in coming weeks to first retest the unchanged on 2016 level at $2,043, and then the 200-day moving average at $2,012. Share prices are anything but inspirational here. Price/earnings multiples are at all time highs at 19X. The calendar is hugely negative. Soggy and heavily financially engineered Q1 earnings reports came and went. Huge hedge fund shorts have been covered with large losses, and no one is in a rush to jump back into the short side. Oh, and the bumping up against granite-like two-year resistance at $210 that will take months to break through in the best case. Did I mention that US equity mutual funds have been net sellers of stock since 2014? This position is also a hedge against what I call “The Dreaded Flat Line of Death” scenario. This is where the market doesn’t move at all over a prolonged period of time and no one makes any money at all — except us. To see how to enter this trade in your online platform, please look at the order ticket below, from OptionsHouse. The best execution can be had by placing your bid for the entire spread in the middle market and waiting for the market to come to you. The difference between the bid and the offer on these deep in-the-money spread trades can be enormous. Don’t execute the legs individually or you will end up losing much of your profit. Spread pricing can be very volatile on expiration months farther out. Here are the specific trades you need to execute this position: Sell 22 May 2016 $217 puts at $9.27 Buy to cover short 22 May 2016 $212 puts at $4.44 Net Cost: $4.83 Profit: $4.83 – $4.40 = $0.43 (22 X 100 X $0.43) = $946 or 8.90% profit in 23 trading days. The Downside Protection That Worked Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

What Mixed Earnings Say About Casino ETF?

Casino stocks have been suffering the curse of choppy Macau business for quite a long time now. Though the other key region for casino business – Las Vegas – has been on a recovery mode, full-fledged improvement is yet to be seen. Notably, Macau – a Chinese territory – is one of the largest casino gaming destinations in the world. Credit crunch issues in mainland China, check on illegal money transfers especially in VIP gaming, and a broad-based slowdown in China led casino operations to doze off. Though this long-criticized zone recorded a 9.5% decline in gambling revenue in April, the fall was less than expected. This definitely sparks off hopes over positive developments in the region. Investors should note that April numbers revealed the 23rd successive monthly drop in revenues. Against this background, casino stocks reported earnings in the last few days. Investors might be interested in knowing how badly casino earnings were hurt due to the sagging Macau business or how smartly these companies navigated the troubles, and definitely their impact on the casino ETF. Q1 Earnings in Detail MGM Resorts International (NYSE: MGM ) posted first-quarter 2016 earnings of $0.16 per share on May 5. Earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.13, but were lower than the year-ago earnings of $0.26. Revenues were down 5.2% to $2.21 billion and fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.31 billion. The downside reflects a significant decline in revenues from MGM China. VIP gambling continues to be a drag in China. However, net revenue at wholly-owned domestic resorts was up 2.6%. MGM shares gained about 1.9% on May 5. In late April, Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE: LVS ) came up with first-quarter 2016 earnings per share of $0.45 that missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.61. Adjusted EPS declined almost 32% year over year due to lower revenues and profits. Quarterly net revenue of $2.72 billion missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.88 billion and declined 9.8% year over year due to weak performance in Macau. LVS stock was down about 14.8% (as of May 5, 2016) since it reported earnings on April 20. Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN ) posted mixed first-quarter 2016 results. Adjusted earnings of $1.07 per share were 52.9% higher year over year and beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.83. Revenues of $997.7 million missed the consensus mark of $1.007 billion and slipped 8.7% year over year, owing to a 13.8% decline in Macau, partially made up by 0.7% rise in revenues in Las Vegas. WYNN resorts gained about 2% after hours of May 5, after reporting earnings. ETF Impact The impact of mixed earnings should be felt in the casino gaming ETF Market Vectors Gaming ETF (NYSEARCA: BJK ) as the trio has found a place in the top 10 holdings of the fund with a considerable share. Investors should note that the Zacks Industry Rank of the above-mentioned stocks is in the top 42%, at the time of writing. While WYNN has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), LVS and MGM has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) each. But BJK has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy), though with a High risk outlook. For investors seeking to keep a watch on this ETF in the coming days, we have taken a closer look at the details of this fund: BJK in Focus The fund looks to track the Market Vectors Global Gaming Index and provides investors a direct exposure to the casino gaming market. The fund has so far attracted $17.8 million in assets with 44 holdings. The product is expensive as it charges 66 bps in fees per year. Both companies – Sands China ( OTCPK:SCHYY ) and Las Vegas Sands – have about 15% exposure in BJK. MGM Resorts International and MGM China ( OTCPK:MCHVY ) – together take about 7.6% of the fund. Wynn Resorts and Wynn Macau ( OTCPK:WYNMY ), together take about 4.2% of the fund. Original Post Editor’s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.

You’ll Never Guess The Top-Performing Income Strategies Of 2016

There’s been a lot of drama surrounding financial markets during the first four months of 2016. By some measures, it was the worst start to the year ever for U.S. stocks. This was followed by a surprisingly robust recovery. But for all the painful turmoil, the S&P 500 is trading pretty much where it started the year. This flat performance also means many income strategies are outperforming stocks by a wide margin in 2016. Of course, income investments come in all shapes and sizes. You can invest in high-dividend stocks (both domestic and international), high-yield bonds, Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), Business Development Companies (BDCs), Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) or even strategies that generate income by selling call options against the S&P 500. Over the long term, a mixture of these strategies is most prudent. After all, every strategy has its day. What works today won’t necessarily work tomorrow. Just ask any investor in MLPs, which have been hit unusually hard by the collapse of the energy sector. Looking across today’s landscape of income investments, there’s a new, hot sector in income-generating strategies. And I bet it’s one that you have not looked at in years. As I surveyed the top-performing, income-oriented investments for 2016, I was surprised to find that it was the much-derided international stock markets – or more specifically, emerging markets – that accounted for three out of the five top-performing income investment strategies that I track. The top-performing strategy invested in REITs, but it did so across the globe. With that, here are the… Top Performing Income ETFs in 2016 Global X Super Dividend REIT ETF (NASDAQ: SRET ) – 15.72% Gain The Global X SuperDividend REIT ETF invests in 30 of the highest dividend-yielding REITs globally. SRET invests in REITs from around the globe, which diversifies both geographic and interest rate exposure. Global REITs are having their day in the sun because housing shortages – exacerbated by lagging construction after the 2008 financial crisis – have combined with a recovering economy to boost demand for real estate. SRET yields a whopping 9.09% yield. SRET makes distributions on a monthly basis, providing a regular source of income for a portfolio. The fund’s total expense ratio is 0.58%. SRET has risen 12.34% so far this year. With dividends, SRET has generated a total return of 15.72% year to date. A word of warning: The total assets of this REIT are a mere $5.6 million, so you may run into wide bid-ask spreads or even liquidity issues with this one. ALPS Emerging Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (NYSEARCA: EDOG ) – 14.19% Gain The ALPS Emerging Sector Dividend Dogs ETF tracks a proprietary index comprised of the 500 largest stocks from middle-income emerging market countries. It then invests in the five highest-yielding securities (based on regular cash dividends) in each of the 10 Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) sectors. EDOG yields 3.79%, and makes distributions on a quarterly basis. The fund’s total expense ratio is 0.60%. EDOG has risen 13.58% so far this year. With dividends, it has generated a total return of 14.19% year to date. Pimco Municipal Income Fund II (NYSE: PML ) – 12.29% Gain The PIMCO Municipal Income Fund II is an actively managed, highly leveraged municipal fund. The fund typically generates its large distribution by venturing down the credit spectrum into non-rated and junk-rated muni debt, focusing on the intermediate and long portions of the yield curve, then leveraging its holdings. Say the words “invest in municipal bonds,” and most investors can barely stifle a yawn. Yet, returns on municipal bonds have beaten the broader stock market in 2015 and are among the best-performing income investments over the past five years. That’s a surprise. After all, in 2012, major cities in the United States such as Detroit and San Bernardino, California, went bankrupt. Analyst Meredith Whitney grabbed headlines with her prediction that there would be between 50 and 100 “significant” municipal bond defaults in 2011, totaling “hundreds of billions” of dollars. Very little of this doom and gloom came to pass. PML yields 6.12%. PML has maintained a level income-only monthly distribution of $0.065 per share since 2007. PML has logged returns of an annualized 13.46% over the past five years. The fund’s total expense ratio is a relatively high 1.16%. PML has risen 9.99% so far this year and, with dividends, it has generated a total return of 12.29% year to date. EGShares Low Volatility Emerging Markets Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: HILO ) – 9.49% Gain The EGShares Low Volatility Emerging Markets Dividend ETF tracks the EGAI Emerging Markets Quality Dividend Index. This is an equal-weighted index designed to represent a portfolio of approximately 50 companies in developing markets, each of which has a higher dividend yield than the average dividend yield in the EGAI Developing Markets Universe. The fund also seeks to capture dividend quality by screening for factors such as return on equity, positive earnings growth, maximum dividend yield and three-year dividend payment consistency. HILO yields 2.89%. HILO makes distributions on a quarterly basis. The fund’s total expense ratio is a relatively high 0.85%. HILO has risen 8.72% so far this year and, with dividends, it has generated a total return of 9.49% year to date. Global X SuperDividend Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: SDEM ) – 9.12% Gain The Global X SuperDividend Emerging Markets ETF invests in 50 of the highest dividend-yielding equities in emerging markets. Investing in high dividend-yielding securities in the emerging market space combines a value-oriented investment approach with exposure to markets that are expected to grow at a faster pace than developed markets. SDEM yields 6.89%. SDEM makes distributions on a monthly basis, providing a regular source of income for a portfolio. The fund’s total expense ratio is 0.65%. SDEM has risen 6.92% so far this year. With dividends, it has generated a total return of 9.12% year to date.