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Suburban Propane Partners’ (SPH) CEO Mike Stivala on Q2 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Suburban Propane Partners LP (NYSE: SPH ) Q2 2016 Earnings Conference Call May 05, 2016, 09:00 ET Executives Davin D’Ambrosio – VP & Treasurer Mike Stivala – President & CEO Mike Kuglin – CFO & CAO Analysts Brian Brungardt – Stifel Operator Welcome to the Suburban Propane Second Quarter 2016 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. And ladies and gentlemen, this conference call contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended relating to the Partnership’s future business expectations and predictions and financial condition and results of operations. These forward-looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties. The Partnership has listed some of the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in such forward-looking statements. These are referred to as cautionary statements in its earnings press release which can be viewed on the Company’s website. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Partnership or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by such cautionary statements. With that being said, I’ll turn the conference over to the Vice President and Treasurer, Mr. Davin D’Ambrosio. Please go ahead, sir. Davin D’Ambrosio Thank you, John and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Suburban’s Fiscal 2016 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. Joining me this morning is Mike Stivala, President and Chief Executive Officer; Mike Kuglin, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer; Mark Wienberg, Chief Development Officer; and Steve Boyd, our Senior Vice President of Operations. Purpose of today’s call is to review our second quarter financial results, along with our current outlook for the business. As usual, once we’ve concluded our prepared remarks, we will open the session to questions. However, before getting started, I would like to briefly reemphasize what the operator has just explained about forward-looking statements. Additional information about factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed in forward-looking statements is contained in the Partnership’s SEC filings, including its Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 26, 2015 and its Form 10-Q for the period ended March 26, 2016 which will be filed by the end of business today. Copies of these filings may be obtained by contacting the Partnership or the SEC. Certain non-GAAP measures will be discussed on this call. We have provided a description of those measures, as well as a discussion of why we believe this information to be useful in our Form 8-K furnished to the SEC this morning. Form 8-K can be accessed through a link on our website at suburbanpropane.com. At this time, I’d like to turn the call over to Mike Stivala for some opening remarks. Mike? Mike Stivala Thanks, Davin. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. The record warm temperatures reported for our first fiscal quarter persisted into the second quarter making the 2015, 2016 heating season the warmest on record. In fact according to NOAA, heating degree days for this year’s heating season were reported at 82% of normal. Our volumes were obviously impacted by the lack of customer demand for heating needs. However, we rely on our flexible cost structure and the strength of our balance sheet to help mitigate some of the short-term weather-driven earnings shortfall. The fundamentals of our business remained strong and as has always been our philosophy, our balance sheet and our business model provide us with the support to withstand the effects of this kind of dramatic weather event. We came into this fiscal year with more than $150 million of cash on hand. Despite the lower earnings, we continued to fund all of our working capital and capital expenditure requirements without the need to borrow under our revolving credit facility throughout this year’s heating season. We also funded the $42 million acquisition of Propane U.S.A at the end of our first fiscal quarter and we ended the second fiscal quarter with approximately $59 million of cash on the balance sheet. Additionally, during the quarter, we took steps to further strengthen our liquidity position, with the opportunistic refinancing of our revolving credit facility which was scheduled to mature in January 2017. We received excellent support from our bank group as the syndication was well over subscribed, despite the challenging conditions in the credit markets. The new facility increases our available borrowing capacity from $400 million to $500 million in support of our long-term growth initiatives. It reduces our interest requirements from improved pricing and relaxes several of the covenant requirements. With the heating season now behind us, our employees are well-positioned to focus on the things they can control, fine-tuning our operating model to drive further efficiencies, continuing to execute on our customer base management initiatives and seeking opportunities to expand in strategic markets. In a moment, I’ll provide some closing remarks including some comments on our outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year. However, at this point, I’d like to turn the call over to Mike Kuglin to discuss our second quarter results in more detail. Mike? Mike Kuglin Thanks, Mike and good morning, everyone. To be consistent with previous reporting, as I discuss our second quarter results, I am excluding the impact of unrealized non-cash mark-to-market adjustments on derivative instruments used in risk management activities which resulted in an unrealized loss of $739,000 in the second quarter of fiscal 2016 compared to an unrealized loss of $7.4 million in the prior year second quarter. Additionally, net income and EBITDA in the second quarter of fiscal 2016 include a loss on debt extinguishment of $292,000 associated with refinancing of our revolving credit facility. Net income and EBITDA for the second quarter of fiscal 2015 include a loss on debt extinguishment of $15.1 million associated with refinancing of our 2020 senior notes and $2.1 million of expenses related to integration of Inergy Propane. Therefore, excluding these items, net income for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 would have amounted to $93 million or $1.53 per common unit compared to net income of $161.2 million or $2.66 per common unit for the prior year’s second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 amounted to $145.1 million compared to $214.3 million in the prior year second quarter. As Mike indicated, record warm weather for this year’s heating season was really the story for both the first and second quarters of 2016. As a result, retail propane gallons sold in the second quarter of fiscal 2016 of 199.7 million gallons decreased 38.1 million gallons or 19.1% compared to the prior year. Sales of fuel oil and other refined fuels in the second quarter of fiscal 2016 of 13.3 million gallons decreased 6.6 million gallons compared to the prior year. Similar to the first quarter, the unseasonably warm weather was persistent as temperatures were warmer than normal and the prior year for nearly all 13 weeks of the second quarter. The only market that experienced favorable weather compared to the prior year was California where volumes responded strongly compared to the prior year. Overall, average temperatures across all of our service territories for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 was 13% warmer than normal and 20% warmer than the prior year second quarter. In our northeast service territories, average temperatures for the second quarter were 30% warmer than the prior year second quarter. In the commodity markets, propane prices at the beginning of the quarter continued to descend lower from the first quarter. However, prices by mid-February then rallied for much of the remainder of the quarter. Despite the recent increase, commodity prices remained lower relative to historical price levels. Overall, average posted prices for propane, basis Mont Bellevue, for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 were $0.39 per gallon or 27% lower than the prior year second quarter. Average fuel oil prices of $1.08 per gallon for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 were 40.2% lower than the prior year second quarter. Total gross margins of $267.9 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 were $85.3 million or 24.1% lower than the prior year primarily due to lower volumes sold. Unit margins for the second quarter were slightly lower than the prior year second quarter as a result of lower mix of fee-related volumes. Combined operating and G&A expenses of $122.8 million were $16.1 million or 11.6% lower than the prior year second quarter as we leveraged our flexible cost structure to reduce expenses. Savings were primarily due to lower volume-related variable costs including lower over time and vehicle fuel costs, lower variable compensation associated with lower earnings, as well as lower insurance costs and continued operating efficiencies resulting in reduced headcount and vehicle count. Net interest expense of $18.9 million for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 decreased by approximately $800,000 primarily due to savings through the refinancing of the Partnership’s previous 7.375% senior notes due 2020 with new 5.75% senior notes due 2025 which is completed in the second quarter of fiscal 2015. Total capital spending for the second quarter of fiscal 2016 amounted to $11.8 million including $5.8 million of maintenance capital compared to total CapEx of $12 million in the prior year second quarter. Turning to our balance sheet, we now move through our historically high period of seasonal working capital needs and during the second quarter, we funded all our working capital and capital expenditures cash on hand and internally generated cash. With more than $353 million of capacity under our revolver and $58.7 million of cash on hand at the end of the second quarter, we have ample liquidity to fund our working capital requirements and our projected capital needs for the remainder of the fiscal year. As Mike mentioned, we completed the refinancing of our senior secured credit facility during the second quarter. The new five-year revolving credit facility amended and restated previous revolving credit facility dated January 5, 2012. We’re very pleased with the outcome of this opportunistic refinancing and the support of our bank group. Back to you Mike. Mike Stivala Thanks, Mike. As announced in our April 21 press release, our Board of Supervisors declared our quarterly distribution of $0.8875 per common unit. In respect of our second quarter of fiscal 2016, that equates to an annualized rate of $3.55 per common unit. The quarterly distribution will be paid on May 10 to our unitholders of record as of May 3. While this past winter season provided a challenging operating environment due to significantly lower customer demand, the temporary earnings shortfall does not affect the overall fundamentals of our business, nor the financial strength that has been a hallmark of our conservative approach towards managing the business. We continue to maintain our focus on executing our strategic growth initiatives, seeking opportunities both within the propane space and through diversification into businesses that meet our strategic criteria and that can supplement or complement our propane business. We remain patient and disciplined in our approach, yet believe we’re well positioned to be opportunistic. In closing, I would like to thank all of our dedicated employees for continuing to remain focused on providing exceptional service to our customer base, while driving operating efficiencies and managing our cost structure. Our operations personnel have done an outstanding job delivering on our customer base growth and retention initiatives throughout the first half of fiscal 2016, continuing to build on our post integration momentum. And as always, we appreciate your support and attention this morning. I would now like to open the call up for questions. John, can you help us with that please? Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions]. And first we will go to the line of Brian Brungardt with Stifel. Please go ahead. Brian Brungardt Just curious if you have any updates regarding the potential pool of acquisition targets, given number of energy companies are now at least appear to be willing to sell non-core assets? Mike Stivala I think the M&A market is going to really develop over the next 12 to 18 months as the effects of lower for longer commodity environment continued to take shape. Obviously, the credit markets, the equity markets have been a challenge for those that need to raise capital. So as you’re seeing, Brian, as well as we do a lot of companies are beginning to seek alternatives to raise capital and we think that bodes well for us as opportunities can come out of that process. So I think there are opportunities ahead, the next 12 to 18 months will tell us a lot. Brian Brungardt Lastly, as it relates to distribution and I appreciate the longer-term viewpoint taken by you guys, but how should we think about the sustainability of the current distribution, given seasonality of cash flows and the impact on the — with your credit facility covenants? Mike Stivala I think look, Brian, I said it in my remarks, this is a short-term weather-driven event, okay? If you look back just six months ago, we ended the fiscal year of 2015 with leverage around 3.7 times and very strong coverage. So we’re only six months removed from that and that was in line with our leverage following our leverage targets, following the integration of Inergy Propane. So, yes, when you look at our trailing 12 of March, our leverage appears elevated relative to a more normal scenario as of the end of 2015. But I think that as we said, it’s all of a short-term weather-driven scenario which we can point to. So as we get out of the heating season now, the back half of the year becomes a little bit more predictable and as we enter the first quarter of next year, all you need is a little bit of improvement in weather and you’ll see an improvement in those metrics. So for us, we’ve been through these scenarios before 2012, it was the previous record warm. The business is built for these types of environments where we can flex our expense base as needed, as well as to ensure that we have adequate liquidity to provide the kind of protection to the sustainability of the distribution. So I think, as evidenced by the fact that we haven’t even needed to borrow under our working capital line to help fund this year’s heating season should give the comfort of the strength of our liquidity and financial position to continue to withstand this kind of an environment and as weather normalizes, we’ll get back to the type of metrics that we were able to see in 2015. Operator [Operator Instructions]. And allowing a few moments, no further questions coming in. Mike Stivala All right, great. John, thank you for your help and thank you all for joining us today and we’ll see you at the end of our third quarter. Operator Ladies and gentlemen, this conference is available for replay. It starts today at 11:00 AM Eastern Time and will be going until tomorrow at midnight May 6. You can access the replay at any time by dialing 800-475-6701 and the access code 391794. That number again, 1-800-475-6701 with the access code 391794. That does conclude your conference for today. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) 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5 Mutual Funds To Ride Solid Service Sector Growth This Spring

Even though manufacturers and energy producers have been adversely affected this year, service companies continue to expand at an encouraging pace. The ISM non-manufacturing index touched its highest level this April, while another indicator, the Markit Services PMI, outstripped the initial expectation. The pickup in service sector activities signaled that the U.S. economy has negotiated the rough winter patch and is more likely to hit stronger growth this spring. In this scenario, investing in mutual funds having significant exposure to the service industry will be a prudent choice. Upbeat ISM Service Index The index for nonmanufacturing economic activity increased to 55.7 in April from 54.5 in March, its highest level since December, according to the Institute for Supply Management. Thirteen of the 18 service sectors tracked by the ISM expanded in April. The index covers almost everything from restaurant meals, dry cleaning, doctor’s visits, haircuts to tax preparations. The reading above 50 indicates that the sector’s activity including employment and prices moved north. The employment index climbed to 53.0 in April from 50.3 in March, while the price index spiked to 53.4 in April from 49.1 in March. Prices increased for the first time in the last three months. Meanwhile, the business activity index dipped to 58.8 in April from 59.8 in the previous month. However, the new orders index rose to 59.9 in April from 56.7 in the prior month. With a jump in orders it is expected that business activities will improve too from the next month. The ISM index extensively surveys a considerable number of purchasing executives spanning the length and breadth of the service sector. According to Anthony Nieves, chair of the ISM Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee, most of the respondents’ comments reflected “optimism about the business climate and the direction of the economy.” Markit Services PMI Revised Up A separate indicator also showed that the service sector picked up steam last month. Markit Economics’ services purchasing managers index rose to 52.8 in April from a flash reading of 52.1. The index came in at 51.3 in March. April’s data was slightly higher than the first quarter’s average, while overall business confidence strengthened. This showed steady rise in service activities, especially from February’s 28-month low, which was mostly due to disruptions in weather conditions. Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit said that the Markit’s survey indicated that the economy continued “to pick itself up after the stagnation seen in February.” Growth in Services Picks Up: 5 Mutual Funds to Buy The U.S. service sector witnessed stronger growth in April. This showed that the broader economy has gained momentum following a slow start to this year on manufacturing woes. A strong dollar, weak energy prices and slowdown in global demand weighed on the manufacturing sector. Americans continued to spend for services ranging from haircuts to meals. Some of the major nonmanufacturing industries reporting growth in April include Finance & Insurance, HealthCare & Social Assistance, Real Estate, Retail Trade and Utilities. Respondents from the Finance & Insurance field said that “Business is holding steady, revenue is almost as anticipated and costs are lower which is helping to maintain current profitability.” When it came to HealthCare & Social Assistance, respondents said “We expect our business condition to improve in Q2 as compared to Q1. Typically, Q1 is our slowest period and business activity picks up later through the year.” Respondents from the other aforementioned industries also sounded optimistic. Given this, it will be wise to invest in mutual funds from such nonmanufacturing industries. We have selected five such mutual funds exposed to the service sector that have given impressive 3-year and 5-year annualized returns, boast a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), offers a minimum initial investment within $2,500 and carry a low expense ratio. Funds have been selected over stocks, since funds reduce transaction costs for investors and also diversify their portfolio without the numerous commission charges that stocks need to bear. The Franklin Mutual Financial Services A (MUTF: TFSIX ) invests a major portion of its assets in securities of financial services companies. TFSIX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 8.8% and 7.7%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1.41% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. TFSIX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. The Fidelity Select Health Care Services Portfolio (MUTF: FSHCX ) invests the majority of its assets in securities of companies engaged in the ownership or management of nursing homes, health maintenance organizations and other companies specializing in the delivery of health care services. FSHCX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 17.7% and 12.8%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.79% is lower than the category average of 1.35%. FSHCX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The SSgA Clarion Real Estate Fund (MUTF: SSREX ) invests a large portion of its assets in real estate investment trusts. SSREX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 8.1% and 10.2%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1% is lower than the category average of 1.28%. SSREX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The Putnam Global Consumer Fund A (MUTF: PGCOX ) invests a major portion of its assets in securities of companies in the consumer staples and consumer discretionary products and services industries. PGCOX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 9.6% and 9.8%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 1.26% is lower than the category average of 1.43%. PGCOX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. The Fidelity Telecom and Utilities Fund (MUTF: FIUIX ) invests the majority of its assets in securities of telecommunications services companies. FIUIX’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 7.8% and 10.2%, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.74% is lower than the category average of 1.25%. FIUIX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

What Pushed Up These Agricultural ETFs?

Finally, soft commodities are catching up with the hard commodities this year. Several hard commodities including precious metals have made a comeback this year, but soft commodities could not keep pace with them. A stronger dollar, weak global fundamentals that are impacting the demand profile and ample supplies marred agricultural commodity investing. However, many agro-based commodities and the related ETFs have staged a recovery lately. A favorable demand-supply scenario is the major driver of this. Below, we highlight three agricultural ETFs that saw decent gains in the last one month (as of April 26, 2016) and see if the gains can last: Cocoa Cocoa prices have exhibited a wining trend lately due to supply concerns. Worries about lower yield in the mid-crop season in the key growing region of Ivory Coast led to this rise in prices. A long-drawn-out dry weather actually hit crop production. In addition, the demand scenario is also shaping up with cocoa grinding – a key gauge of cocoa demand – in Asia rising 2.9% in the first quarter of 2016. The data came in better than analysts’ expectation of a 1% rise. The double tailwinds put the cocoa market in an upward trajectory and showered gains on cocoa ETFs like the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cocoa Total Return Sub-Index ETN (NYSEARCA: NIB ) and the iPath Pure Beta Cocoa ETN (NYSEARCA: CHOC ). Cotton Global cotton prices took a beating earlier after talks about China – one of the key growing regions of cotton – preparing to sell some of its 11 million-metric-ton cotton hoard, which is a massive chunk and enough to roil global cotton prices, per Wall Street Journal . Notably, China accounts for about 60% of the world’s cotton inventory. But the ” delay in sales of its giant state cotton reserves” by China kept supplies at check and pushed up prices. Also, raw cotton deliveries to Indian mills have declined 12% this season, giving signs of lesser production. This scenario has boosted cotton exchange-traded products like the iPath Pure Beta Cotton ETN (NYSEARCA: CTNN ) and the iPath Dow Jones-UBS Cotton Total Return Sub-Index ETN (NYSEARCA: BAL ) . Sugar Sugar prices have also recovered lately on ‘ global deficit’ concerns . As per sources, research agencies have predicted a shortfall in supplies globally for the current season that will end in September 2016 (read: Sugar ETFs Hit 52-Week Highs: Time for Sweet Returns? ). Going by a recent Wall Street Journal article, “Brazil, India and Thailand – three of the world’s top producers – are showing ongoing signs of production risk.” Inadequate moisture in these top growing counties spoiled output, especially in Asia. All these led to a reduced number of sugar-cane estimates that spurred deficit concerns and boosted the price (read: Can El Nino Boost Agricultural ETFs? ). The Teucrium Sugar Fund (NYSEARCA: CANE ) and the i Path Pure Beta Sugar ETN (NYSEARCA: SGAR ) were the major beneficiaries of this trend. Bottom Line Having said this, we would like to note that we, at Zacks, are not positive on agricultural ETFs over the medium term. Though the products have gained lately, we expect the trend to lose momentum as the latest drivers are short-lived in nature. Link to the original post on Zacks.com