Tag Archives: leisure

Ivy Portfolio February Update

Scott’s Investments provides a daily Ivy Portfolio spreadsheet to track the 10 month moving average signals for two portfolios listed in Mebane Faber’s book ‘ The Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets ‘. Faber discusses 5, 10, and 20 security portfolios that have trading signals based on long-term moving averages. The Ivy Portfolio spreadsheet tracks the 5 and 10 ETF Portfolios listed in Faber’s book. When a security is trading below its 10 month simple moving average, the position is listed as “Cash”. When the security is trading above its 10 month simple moving average the positions is listed as “Invested”. The spreadsheet’s signals update once daily (typically in the late evening) using dividend/split adjusted closing price from Yahoo Finance. The 10 month simple moving average is based on the most recent 10 months including the current month’s most recent daily closing price. Even though the signals update daily, it is not an endorsement to check signals daily or trade based on daily updates. It simply gives the spreadsheet more versatility for users to check at his or her leisure. The page also displays the percentage each ETF within the Ivy 10 and Ivy 5 Portfolio is above or below the current 10 month simple moving average, using both adjusted and unadjusted data. If an ETF has paid a dividend or split within the past 10 months, then when comparing the adjusted/unadjusted data you will see differences in the percent an ETF is above/below the 10 month SMA. This could also potentially impact whether an ETF is above or below its 10 month SMA. Regardless of whether you prefer the adjusted or unadjusted data, it is important to remain consistent in your approach. My preference is to use adjusted data when evaluating signals. The current signals based on January’s adjusted closing prices are below. The spreadsheet also provides quarterly, half year, and yearly return data courtesy of Finviz : (click to enlarge) I also provide a “Commission-Free” Ivy Portfolio spreadsheet as an added bonus. This document tracks the 10 month moving averages for four different portfolios designed for TD Ameritrade, Fidelity, Charles Schwab, and Vanguard commission-free ETF offers. Not all ETFs in each portfolio are commission free, as each broker limits the selection of commission-free ETFs and viable ETFs may not exist in each asset class. Other restrictions and limitations may apply depending on each broker. Below are the 10 month moving average signals (using adjusted price data) for the commission-free portfolios: (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) Disclosures: None Share this article with a colleague

Leisure, Entertainment ETFs: Consumers Spending On ‘Experiences’

Summary Americans are spending more. However, consumers are putting more money into experiences instead of physical goods. A leisure and entertainment ETF that targets companies like resorts, hotels and restaurants. Americans are getting into the festive spirit and increased spending this holiday season. More notably, consumers were inclined to spend on “experiences,” potentially lifting discretionary-sector exchange traded funds with large exposures to hotels and restaurants. For instance, the PowerShares Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment Portfolio (NYSEArca: PEJ ) targets U.S. leisure and entertainment companies, such as resorts, hotels, cruises and restaurants, and also weights components based on price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action, and value. PEJ is up 4.7% year-to-date. In a holiday spending report, MasterCard (NYSE: MA ) found that consumers increased spending on lodging and restaurants during this holiday season, Reuters reports. Sarah Quinlan, a senior vice president at MasterCard, said that casual dining and lodging were among the best areas this season, posting double-digit and nearly double-digit year-over-year sales growth, respectively, from Black Friday through December 24. The data is pointing to an ongoing trend of “the consumer wanting experience” over goods, and the “economy is very strong but they are spending in a different way,” Quinlan said in the Reuters article. PEJ includes large exposure to companies that provide experiences. For instance, among the ETF’s top holdings, Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE: RCL ) is 4.4%, Restaurant Brands International (NYSE: QSR) is 5.2%, Carnival Corp. (NYSE: CCL ) 5.0%, The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE: DIS ) is 5.0% and Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG ) is 4.9%. Alternatively, broad consumer discretionary ETFs also include some exposure to the sub-sector. For instance, hotel, restaurants and leisure make up 13.6% of the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLY ) , 10.0% of the First Trust Consumer Discretionary AlphaDEX Fund (NYSEArca: FXD ) , 13.0% of Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary ETF (NYSEArca: RCD ) and 10.2% of PowerShares DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum Portfolio (NYSEArca: PEZ ) . PowerShares Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment Portfolio (click to enlarge) For more information on the consumer sector, visit our consumer discretionary category . Max Chen contributed to this article . Additional disclosure: Mr. Lydon serves as an independent trustee of certain mutual funds and ETFs that are managed by Guggenheim Investments; however, any opinions or forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Mr. Lydon and not those of Guggenheim Funds, Guggenheim Investments, Guggenheim Specialized Products, LLC or any of their affiliates.