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Pampa Energia’s (PAM) Management on Q1 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript
Pampa Energia S.A. (NYSE: PAM ) Q1 2016 Results Earnings Conference Call May 17, 2016, 10:00 AM ET Executives Lida Wang – Head of IR Leandro Montero – CFO Analysts Frank McGinnis – Bank of America Merrill Lynch Walter Chiarvesio – Santander Bank Santiago Wesenack – Raymond James Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen and thank you waiting. At this time, we would like to welcome everyone to Pampa Energia and Edenor’s joint first quarter ’16 results conference call. We would like to inform you that this event is being recorded and all participants will be in a listen-only mode during both company’s presentation. After the company’s remarks are completed, there will be a question-and-answer session. At that time, further instructions will be given. [Operator Instructions] Before proceeding, let me mention that forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of Pampa Energia and Edenor’s management and on information currently available to both companies. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of Pampa Energia and Edenor and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Now I would like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Leandro Montero, CFO of Edenor. Mr. Montero, you may begin your conference. Leandro Montero Thank you very much. Good morning, everyone and thanks for joining us on this joint conference call of Pampa Energia and Edenor. As we usually do, I first Leandro Montero, will be presenting for Edenor first and then for this quarter, Lida Wang will be sent for Pampa Energia. First, we will focus on the main events that lately took place and then briefly review the results of the first quarter of 2016. As you know, you can always call any member of our team for more details on the results of the period or any doubts you might have. On April 16, this year, the Regulator issued a note number 12151 establishing that all final penalties imposed by the ENRE after this date must be valued according to the kilowatt hour values in effect off of the last date of the semester or period during which the even given rise to the penalty accrued including any increases or assessment applicable to our remuneration of such date. In addition fines and penalties set forth within the preview of the note will have interest from the last day of the semester and with the even giving rise to the penalty accrued until the date they are paid by us. Because of this note, the company accounted for an assessment of approximately AR$250 million regarding the penalties of the last semester, which is the September 2015, February 2016 period, and in addition registered the amount of AR$129 million to reflect a good interest according to the note terms. Then by means of Resolution number 31 of the ENRE issued on March 28, we started to compensate this small residential customer who had been affected by the power outage occurred during the period between February 12 and February 18 this year. The amount of such compensation depends on the duration of each relevant power outage. The total compensation to be prepared to our residential customers amounts to AR$73 million. Moving to the normalization of the sector has started with a new tariff of schemes issuing generally on April 1 this year the ENRE Resolution number 55 which approves that 2016 Tariff Revision Program and establish fixed tariff for mid out to be applied in the tailored tariff revision process as well as the compensation and penalties regulation together with a tentative schedule including the tariff of the working plan to be submitted. In our opinion, the EITR process we have to factor in our right analysis of our distribution cost, modifications to our quality of services standards and penalty scheme and finally a revision of our asset base of return and the balances and other issues resulting from the measures presently adopted by the Argentine government to provide us with temporary and partial release. Finally the Ordinary and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting held on last April 28 appointed a permanent and alternate members of the Board of Directors and Commission. In connection with the Board of Directors New 10 Class B and C members were appointed five as permanent directors and another five as alternate directors. Now taken into consideration the results of Edenor in the first quarter of 2016, net sales increased 209% reaching about AR$2.9 billion compared to AR$969 million for the same period of 2015. This variation was mainly tariff increase obtained since February 1 this year, which means not only higher distributer added value with impact in the company’s margin, but also an increase in the cost of energy included in the tariff. At the same time, the volume of energy sold in terawatt hour increased about 2% regarding to the volume of and regarding to the volume of sales reached to 5,671 terawatt hour in the first quarter this year from 5,567 kilowatt hour in the first quarter of last year basically due to an increase of 6% in medium commercial customers and a 3% growth in industrial and [system] customers. The electricity power purchases increased 152% to AR$1.3 billion in the first quarter of 2016, compared to AR$523 million in the same period of the year before, mainly due to the purchase price increase effective as from February 2016. Operating expenses increased approximately AR$829 million as a start of the right in salaries and Social Security taxes and ENRE penalties as a consequence of the accounting effect of the note 121-151 issued by the ENRE as described before. The sum of these two effects amounted to a loss of AR$734 million and represent about 89% of the total increase. As I mentioned in the previous conference call, the rise in salaries is basically explained by an increase in salaries agreed with the Unions last year of which 27.8% become effective as from September 2015. Now there is still an 11.9% remain on grace that will be since this March. Regarding Pampa Energía, the increase can be basically explained by the application of the new method of calculation which establishes our penalty should be based on the distribution added value that corresponds to the date on which event occurs. Edenor’s net operating income decreased AR$678 million amounting a gain of AR$238 million in the first quarter of 2016 compared to a gain of AR$916 million in the same period last year. This negative result was due to an increase in operating expenses as explained above and to a reduction in the amount of time as subsidies under Resolution 32 issued by the fixed rate of energy in March 2015 and cost maintain in maintenance increases with what continues since February 1 this year. Finally the net income of the period shows a decrease of AR$595 million, amounting in a loss of AR$125 million in 2016 first quarter, compared to a gain of AR$470 million in the same period last year, mainly due to the operating results explained above and to a decline in financial results caused basically by the effect of our debt of the devaluation in the first quarter this year of the Argentine Pesos related to U.S. dollar. In connection to Edenor’s adjusted EBITDA, it resulted in a gain of AR$338 million in the first quarter of 2016, compared to a gain of AR$366 million for the same quarter of 2015. This amount includes in 2016, AR$513 million of additional income of the Resolution 32 and its assessment for generally the last month effective. To end up, regarding Edenor’s capital expenditure, during the first quarter this year, our investment increased about 88% reaching about AR$629 million compared to AR$334 million in the same period of 2015, mainly focused on increased enhancement, new connections and maintenance and improvements. So this concludes my review on Edenor. I will now leave you with Lida Wang, Chief of Investor Relations at Pampa Energía, who will review other relevant events of the Group, as well as the consolidated results. After that, we will be open for questions. Lida Wang Thank you, Leandro and good morning, everyone. Lots of developments have happened since our last call on March. As you may now consequently after the approvals obtained from Pampa and Petrobras Brazil, Board of Directors, last week we signed the SBA contract acquiring to controlling 67.2% stake of Petrobras Argentina for a base price of $892 million. The base price is subject to agreed adjustments, likely no material until the closing. As we signed the SBA contract, we deposit 20% of the base price in Escrow account being the remaining to be paid at the closing. Let me give you a quick glimpse of Petrobras Argentina. Petrobras Argentina [indiscernible] Argentina with a daily production of 28,000 barrels of oil and seven million cubic meters of gas, 60% gas and 40% oil currently. They also participate in refining and distribution business with our refinery install capacity of 30,000 barrels per day, plus a retail network of 260 gas stations across the country. In Petrochemicals segment, Petrobras Argentina operates two plants being the only national integrity producer of styrene, synthetic rubber, polystyrene and BOPS. In gas and energy segment, Petrobras Argentina controlled almost 1200 megawatts of the power generation capacity through two thermal gas fired power plants and one hydro plant, increasing Pampa capacity by more than 50% with premium quality asset. Petrobras Argentina also holds the other 25.5% of TGS, the largest gas transportation company and one of the leading natural gas liquids producer of Argentina. Last first quarter 2016, Petrobras posted a AR$2.4 billion of EBITDA and a net income of AR$931 million. To test this ticket Pampa was formed with a combination of own cash of up to $220 million, up to $250 million from the sale of TGS is completed prior to the closing and I’ll explain later more details. Up to $700,000 of financing from a concert in a bank, prior financing of up to $225 million of which we have $140 million permitted from YPF and financing from the vehicle controlled by the controlling shareholders of the company for up to an amount of $115 million. As a part of the deal, and as of Petrobras Argentina taking over by Pampa, Petrobras Brazil will remain as a partner as they agree to acquire one third of their rights and obligations of Rio Neuquen block for an amount of $72 million. Likewise YPF we acquire the another one third of Rio Neuquen for the same amount. So the former Petrobras Argentina YPF and Petrobras Brazil will pin up with an ambitious investment plan of approximately AR$0.5 billion in Rio Neuquen one of the best and most respected gas fields in Argentina to be spend in the near future and period of which partners take in the block. Together with a one third of Rio Neuquen, YPF is also acquiring the 80% of Petrobras Argentina to state our Latina Block, another area with high gas potential in Neuquen Basin. After the completion of the aforementioned sales, Pampa Energía together with the former Petrobras Argentina will hold 8% of Argentina’s total gas production, an important market share placing us as one of the country’s leading oil and gas production company. Moreover after the closing, Petrobras Brazil to acquire 100% of the rights and obligations under the operating agreement Petrobras Argentina entered into by Petrobras Argentina branch and Yacimientos Petrolíferos Fiscales Bolivianos in relation to the Corporación Creada Block. We assign a negative value of AR$20 million in those assets. Furthermore, in compliance with the provisions of the Argentine Capital Markets Law, [Capitalist] relating to the mandatory tender offer to be made in the event of change of control and indirect acquisition, prior to the closing of this transaction, the company will launch a mandatory cash tender offer for the minority shareholders of Petrobras Argentina. As I mentioned before, when explaining how old this acquisition ticket, the company has the necessary terms to fulfill and the cash offer. In addition to that, the company thought to evaluating the net of simultaneously with the launching of the cash offer, offer of a loan tariff change of to Petrobras Argentina shares into Pampa shares. Both the cash and exchange offering as well as the call for Shareholders Meeting to deliberate on the corresponding capital increase will be probably submitted for approval of the Board of Pampa and duly reported to the market, in accordance with the requirement establishing the Argentine Capital Markets Law, the Argentine Security and Exchange Commission with CMB Regulation applicable U.S. laws and regulations. In the long term, after the closing and completion of the cash and exchange offering, the company felt assessing the possibility of managing Pampa with Petrobras Argentina, being Pampa the surviving entity. In the event of carrying out another and after total analysis, we will submit for its approval of full company’s board and shareholders. Acquiring Petrolera Argentine is a huge milestone for Pampa, which not only will significantly increase the size of the company, but also will play as one of the key players in Argentina’s energy sector and a few integrated energy private owned company in Latin America. Our strategy going forward is to significantly among other things, grow our focus in gas production a business that we believe is going to play a dominant role in the next few years in Argentina. Also as related to what I mentioned before on April 22, Pampa agreed with Harz Energy a subsidiary of Group Neuss a 45 days exclusivity period to complete the sale of the stake and rights held in TGS representing the 25.5% of its shared capital for an amount of $250 million, Harz Energy paying an amount of $3 million as a consideration for the exclusivity period, which will be deducted from the purchase price. Moving to the last news towards normalization in the utilities sectors set by the new government [indiscernible], the Secretary of Electric Energy issued Resolution 22 in which increases the prices of all generation as of February 2016. For Pampa generation unit, sales resolution represented an average increase of 42% in comparison with the previous pricing scheme under Resolution 428/15. Also TGS was granted 200.1% tariff increase in gas transportation as of April 2016. In line with the Resolution 21 issued by the Ministry of Energy and Mining and which also encourages an Internal Tariff Review, ITR by April 2017. That increase must be taking on account of the ITR and subject to compliance with the mandatory investment plan for the next 12 months to be overseen by Energas, the Gas Regulator Entity. In electricity distribution it was issued Resolution 55, which details was previously reviewed by Leandro. Going to more news and generation specially in Loma de la Lata Power Plant with the President of Argentina’s, Vice President, Gabriela Michetti the Gobernador de Neuquén province, Omar Gutiérrez National and Provisional Authorities and Executives from the company, on May 2,we inaugurated the new 105 megawatt gas turbine at Loma de la Lata, which increased its installed capacity to 645 megawatts. The total investment was AS$1.1 billion. The new LMS 100 gas turbine manufactured by GE, General Electric is the same model as suspension gas turbine build with the most advanced technology available which allows the high efficiency and flexibility. Currently the commission of this new gas turbine related by the last profit incurred are being covered by GE, the contractor because we engage with them in EPC contracts. Anyway we expect to start commercial operation soon. Moreover in our goal of supporting the development of renewable energy in the country, on April 18, Loma acquired 100% of share capital of Greenwind for $2 million. Greenwind is the developer of Corti Project, a 100 megawatt install capacity wind farm to be built in Bahía Blanca, south of Buenos Aires Province. Greenwind holds the right to usufruct a 1,500 hectares field in which the wind has been measured for the last four years. Regarding the Arbitration Award against Isolux, Loma has been able to collect a total compensatory agreed amount of $16 million, including interests and expenses leaving no remaining due amount from Isolux. In relation to debt transactions last month, our subsidiary Petrolera Pampa issued short term North BCP Series 14 for an amount of AR$296 million bullet in 12 months and at plus 590 basis. Also March, Petrolera Pampa was granted by ITVC new productive launch for AR$300 million aiming to repay along with the same bank granted back in July 2015, there along with a repay in 10 quarterly increased installments beginning on January, 2017 and at a combined 23% fixed rate for the first year and a variable rate of about core plus 575 basis for the remaining period. Finally, on the news recap, on April 29, Pampa Shareholder Meeting approved the appointment of Clarisa Lifsic, Santiago Alberdi, Javier Campos Malbran, Julio Suaya Demaria as Independent Directors replacing [indiscernible]. Moreover as other independent directors were appointed José María Tenaillon, Mariano González Álzaga and [Gomez]. Regarding the committee Santiago Alberdi and Clarisa Lifsic were appointed in replacement of [Marcelo and Hector]. On May 10, the Board of Pampa approved the designation of Marcello Mindlin as Chairman and Gustavo Mariani as Vice Chairman of the Company. So regarding Pampa’s consolidated results, first of all let me remind you that we are still not include in TGS figures in our figures and because we co-control Transener, we only consider 50% of its adjusted EBITDA. So moving on to the result, in the first quarter of 2016, we presented an EBITDA of AR$1,353 million compared to an EBITDA of AR$833 million in the same period of 2015, mainly due to increases of AR$56 million in generation and AR$517 million in oil and gas segment, partially offset by increases of AR$6 million in the transmission, AR$31 million in distribution and higher losses of AR$16 million in holding and other segment. The higher EBTIDA at our generation segment was many driven by prices for oil capacity remuneration, from the application of Resolution 22 compared to 2015’s first quarter prices that were under an older resolution than 482 as well as the peso devaluation, which impacts our U.S. dollar contract to which we sell the energy to CAMMESA and under Energía Plus. This effect partially offset by a lower electricity dispatch, which mostly due to technical problems a lower availability of gas in our thermal units and also due to increasing operating cost as you may know fuel oil capacity generation is all provided by CAMMESA. In Transmission segment, the EBITDA fell AR$6 million and during the first quarter of 2016 versus the same period of last year, mainly due to increasing operating cost outpaced the accrual of renewal revenues corresponding to the renewal agreement plus the fact that as of January 2015, Transener stopped recording requiring financial income on the export line [cannon] which is instead O&M remuneration at sales. The interest on the full line registered in the queue first 2015 corresponds to one time restrictive adjustments to the tenants. Moving on to the distribution segment, which was previously reviewed by Leandro, during the first quarter of 2016, the EBITDA decreased by AR$31 million on a consolidated basis compared to the same period of 2015, mainly because the resolution for reduced income and tariff increase to end users were not able to offset the operating and energy processing cost. In the oil and gas segment, in the first quarter of 2016 we posted an adjusted EBITDA of AR$645 million compared to AR$127 million in the same period of 2015. This EBITDA was mainly driven by higher natural gas sales from our joint venture between Petrolera Pampa and YPF in [indiscernible] as well as the effect of the peso evolution impacting our U.S. dollar sales price. In that sense, during the first quarter of 2016, we produced an average of 2.1 million cubic meters per day versus 906,000 cubic meters in the same period 2015, which represents an increase of 136% increase quarter-over-quarter. The agreement with YPF signed in 2013 and initial committed to invest $150 million was later extended in May 2015 an increase to a total investment from Petrolera of around $350 million to be done by 2017. As of March under this JV we have 97 productive wells we around 1.7 million cubic meters per day of natural gas production during the quarter. Overall, including the agreement with Petrolera and Apache as of March, we have 121 productive wells. Finally our holding segment represented a negative EBITDA of AR$30 million in the first quarter of 2016, compared to a loss of AR$414 million in the same period of 2015. Finally in terms of net income, Pampa presented a consolidated profit of AR$673 million in the first quarter of 2016 of which AR$608 million corresponds to the shareholders of the company, compared to AR$902 million in the same period of 2015. This was mainly due to higher losses from financial exchange rate difference and interest. As a result of Peso depreciation against U.S. dollars partially offset by higher profits from results and exchange rate difference from the holding of financial instruments. So this concludes our review of Pampa and Edenor. Now we open the floor for questions. Thank you. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Ladies and gentlemen the floor is now open for questions. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Frank McGinnis from Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead with your question. Frank McGinnis Hello, good day. Two questions if I could. One is just related to how you are managing the portfolio that you are acquiring with Petrobras Argentina? You are bringing in Petrobras into Rio Neuquen as well as YPF and then you’re also YPF is going to take one of the others Aguada de la Arena, I was wondering if the YPF this is as I understand an exchange to the financing, but it appears that you might by that back or pay back to financing and maintain those stakes. I was wondering if that is your intention. And secondly related to that, would — are you thinking of possibly adjusting a portfolio in other ways and selling other pieces to other participants in the market in Argentina? Leandro Montero Hey Frank, Leandro Montero here, begin by the end trying to remember all your questions, no, we are not planning at this moment to sell any additional part of the EMP portfolio. Regarding YPF, they will be operating Rio Neuquen. The idea is to keep one third Petrobras Brazil, one third YPF as an operator and one third will remain with ourselves. You mentioned to return the fund and keep the assets, I don’t know why you had a doubt, but that’s not the case. We plan to divest those assets to YPF as informed in the past few days. Frank McGinnis Okay. Okay. Great. That’s very clear now. I just didn’t read the Press Release that was the — left me with a question related to that. Then if I could just have one more just in terms of generation capacity and capacity utilization, with all the changes going on in the market with potential changes in pricing and regulatory rules, I was just wondering how you’re thinking about the generation business in terms of potential upside, in terms of both pricing as well as the ability to have a greater capacity utilization? Leandro Montero Okay. If you think, I’m sure as I mentioned, we will be increasing our capacity by more than 50% by adding [Canelma] which is state-of-the-art combined cycle and of 160 megawatts of capacity and we will be adding in also in Canelma of 860 megawatt of capacity where the project to add the steam turbine and closed cycle and convert that in a 240 megawatt combined cycle. It’s already there and it’s something that we will like to do as soon as possible. Although there is something that we need to negotiate with the Secretary of Energy, Petrobras has also made $80 million in grades, generally more than $80 million in grades that Petrobras has not utilized. We here in Pampa, we did use them and was part of the grades that we used to build the new 100 megawatt gas turbine that we had recently inaugurated in Loma. So that is where what concerns on the thermal plant in Petrobras, we’re also going to be adding this 285 megawatt hydro plant [indiscernible] and the other plant that we have for our — to increase our thermal capacity in Pampa, we will be participating in this billing process that will be taking place next week. We think we will be a placing something between 150 around 150 megawatts of thermal capacity and it has been announced we’re also planning to be to participate in the renewable bidding that does not have a date, but we expect that bidding to take place in the next two or three months and for that auction we have already secured two facilities to our wind farms. So, that’s what we’re expecting in terms of new generation of new project in generation capacity and regarding the regulatory environment we still have not much — we don’t have a clear view of what the government is going to do to accommodate what we call the old energy capacity. I’ve seen that something that this new government will focus after finishing in internal tariff region that they’re planning to do this year on distribution and transmission and so we expect that a new regulatory framework for the end of the year or early next year, but that’s — again that’s our guess, our assumption. Frank McGinnis Okay. Great. Thank you very much. Very helpful. Operator Our next question comes from Walter Chiarvesio from Santander Bank. Please go ahead with your question. Walter Chiarvesio Hi, yes hi good morning everyone. Thank you for taking the call. I have a few questions more focused on the distribution segment in Edenor. So the first one is the volume of residual has been quite resistant or quite strong even despite that the rates to the consumer has been increased. What is your view about it? How do you think that will perform in the upcoming quarters given that we will have the full impact of the tariff increases and I guess in the second quarter? The second question I’d like to ask is regarding the penalties imposed by the ENRE, if you can explain a little bit more how is that or what do you expect in the future about it, if the level that we saw in the first quarter is also expected for the upcoming quarters? And third question would be regarding the Resolution 55 by the ENRE and if you can develop a little bit on how this resolution determines the calculations of the asset base to determine the tariff. I understand that you have some freedom to propose some methodology. And the last one I saw a capital work increase receivables in Edenor I guess that is related to the increase of tariff, but my question is, is that just business as usual or you show some increase in delinquency or something related to the rate increases that we saw in the first quarter. That’s all my questions at the moment. Thank you. Leandro Montero Okay. Good morning, Walter. Well just to start with the first question, as you mentioned we have not seen any change in the behavior of our customers relating to the energy consumption. In fact during March we had a decrease a deep decrease in the residential consumption of around 20%, but this was because of the weather conditions and because it was in comparison with very high consumption period, which was March 2015. In fact all our customers have been receiving the new builds with full impact of the new tariff since April 1 and we didn’t see a change in the behavior. In fact during April, the average demand for Edenor increased 5.5% in comparison to the same month last year. So we don’t see any change in the behavior may be because increasing the tariff is still not as high as we as think or since the average build for our residential customer is between AR$80 and AR$300 per month that if you compare this with any other service or like cable or gas maybe it’s even lower. So we didn’t see any change. And then in relation to the penalties, during the quarter the Regulator issued this note, the 120/151 which was an instruction for the Regulator in order to set how they were going to establish the amount of the penalties to be imposed since February or since April. In that note they establish that new kilowatt per hour price should be taken to account in order to both the penalty taking into account the price of the kilowatt hour in the last day of the semester that was being punished. You know that penalties and fines are imposed every semester. So what we did was to assess the amount of the penalties for the semester from September ’15 to February ’16 and that had an impact of approximately AR$250 million. In addition we were imposed a penalty of AR$73 million because of the outreach we had during the period of February 12 and February 18 and in addition we started to work with our penalties taking into account the new tariff scheme. Of course we’re discussing with the Regulator about the level of the quality of standard that should be taken into account in order to calculate the penalties. But these are discussions we think will be end with Integral Tariff Revision process. Then going to the Resolution 55 of ENRE as you mentioned the ENRE of the Regulator asked to present two different ways to determine the asset base. One they called the cash flow approach. In fact it’s not the cash flow. It’s a calculation taking into account the account in value of the assets and the other is the net realizable value or replacement value of the assets, which we think is most appropriate asset base calculation, but ENRE the Regulator is open to receive another methodology we consider. And then going to the working capital decrease — increase, we have as you mentioned, the receivables increase because of the increase in the tariff, but we haven’t seen yet an increase in the delinquency or the trough and even in bad debt. So by the moment it shuts the normal increase because of the higher amount in our bills. Walter Chiarvesio Okay. Thank you very much. Leandro Montero You’re welcome. Operator Our next question comes from Santiago Wesenack from Raymond James. Please go ahead with your question. Santiago Wesenack Hello everyone and thanks for taking the questions. Just three quick ones if I may. The first one on the Petrobras acquisition, if you can give any guideline if there is — if you can give any guideline on the future dates, when should we expect anything on the closing side maybe and what’s still missing to get the actual closing of the operation? Then the second question on the generation side well this quarter you had technical issues as Lida mentioned on the steam turbine both in [indiscernible], is there any news, any positive news for the second quarter? And also in terms of the gas supply from CAMMESA taken into consideration that we’re now into one month and half after the closing of the first quarter, how is the gas flow coming from CAMMESA? And the last one for Leandro Edenor at the Edenor side, if we reclassify revenues, last year revenues under Resolution 32, was to the revenue line we saw this quarter, a decline in terms of EBITDA margins, mainly driven by distribution and distribution and electricity purchases going higher or growing higher than your revenues. What should we expect for second quarter, third quarter and the rest of the year? Thank you. Leandro Montero Okay. Regarding the timeline for the closing of the transaction, we expect closing to happen within the next 90 days and we need to fulfill all the condition prices basically a preference right of partners in some areas in the — EMP areas in North Basin and in Endosa. Some lender consents, small issues and they refinance of Petrobras Argentina $300 million bond that we expect that to happen in the next six year or 90 days. Once those condition presences are fulfilled, we will go to the closing of the order transaction. The second question… Lida Wang The second question was about CP, first quarter not performing so well compared to last year. Well in terawatt we just finished a major overhaul that this quarter it didn’t responded as we expected to, but the second quarter actually a little bit just brightly acted as closing the first quarter we started to work on this to reconnect and we expect the second quarter to do better than Güémez the thing that is not available it’s not something discussions to us. Remember that gas is provided by CAMMESA but the old capacity generators and there wasn’t any gas available in the north part in Argentina. So, we always collected the cost because we’re available and we are not collecting the generator the variable cost from that. Third question is going to be addressed by Leandro. Leandro Montero Good morning, Santiago. Well, yes your precision is correct because in 2015 in the first quarter 2015, we recorded an additional revenue because of one of the Resolution 32 effect, which was the recognition in revenues of the salary long we had received in 2014. That’s why the first quarter 2015 is impacted by AR$464 million regarding this long. If you see our last year EBITDA, this quarter is similar to the quarter last year, just taking out this special effect that was recognized in 2015. So we think that for the upcoming quarters, the EBITDA will remain similar to the EBITDA this quarter, taken out the one-time effect of the increasing penalties and final penalties line. Santiago Wesenack Okay. Great. Thank you very much. Leandro Montero Welcome. Operator [Operator Instructions] And ladies and gentlemen at this time it’s showing no additional questions. This will conclude the question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Montero and Ms. Wang for any closing remarks. Leandro Montero Okay. Thank you very much for attending this conference call. Have a nice day. Lida Wang Thank you. Operator Ladies and gentlemen thank you. This concludes today’s presentation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Have a nice day. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) 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CPFL Energia’s (CPL) CEO Wilson Ferreira Jr on Q1 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript
CPFL Energia S.A. (NYSE: CPL ) Q1 2016 Results Earnings Conference Call May 12, 2016, 10:00 am ET Executives Wilson Ferreira Jr – Chief Executive Officer and Member of the Executive Board Leandro Cappa – Investor Relations Director Gustavo Estrella – Vice President of Finance, Member of the Executive Board, Investor Relations Officer Luiza Mariko – Market Planning Analysts Kaique Vasconcellos – Citigroup Vinicius Canheu – Credit Suisse Miguel Rodrigues – Morgan Stanley Marcelo Sa – UBS Sergio Tamashiro – Haitong Carolina Carneiro – Santander Operator Good morning and thank you for waiting. Welcome to CPFL Energia’s First Q16 earnings results conference call. Today, we have here with us Executive Mr. Wilson Ferreira Jr, CEO of CPFL Energia as well as other officers of the company. This call is being broadcast simultaneously via Internet on the website www.cpfl.com.br/ir, where you will find the respective presentation for download. We inform that all participants will be in listen-only mode during the company’s presentation. After that, there will be a Q&A session when further instructions will be given. [Operator Instructions]. I would like to mention that this conference call is being recorded. Before proceeding, we would like to mention that forward-looking statements are being made under the Safe Harbor of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1996. Forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of CPFL Energia’s management and on information currently available to the company. Forward looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions as they relate to the future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of CPFL Energia and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Now I will turn the floor to Mr. Wilson Ferreira Jr. Please, Mr. Wilson, the floor is yours. Wilson Ferreira Jr Good morning everyone. Good morning investors and analysts that are here with us for the earnings call for the first quarter of 2016. Let’s start on page three or the highlights of the quarter. Here we have a negative highlight. Unfortunately sales dropped in the concession area. Now segment we are going to into details. On the other hand, in the industrial area, the contracted demand is still positive. On the other hand, we excellent yields, which was the reduction on the CVA balance. As you know, we had at the end of last year BRL1.7 billion rows received and we were able to reduce that to BRL0.7 billion. So we have much more positive position here. The problem had been solved. After that we have processes for tariff adjustments where our difficult and we will talk more about that during the presentation. Another good news is that Mata Velha is started early start-up. We had initial operations of wind farms for the free market. We will talk more about that as well. We have the renegotiation also of the hydrological risk of Baesa. This was one of the only major plant where we needed to do the renegotiation. It is completed now. You will see also a drop in our GSF expenses. We will talk about my succession as well. There was also an approval of capital increase through stock dividend that was approved in our shareholders assembly and new shares will be distributed to shareholders from May 5 on an investment of BRL0.5 billion in this quarter and also we disclosed our annual reports on March 31. It electronically available in our homepage. So now turn to page four. We have a breakdown of energy sales. You can see that in the first quarter in fact we had an important drop in energy sales of 6.4%. Here we have 5.2% in the captive market and the free market of almost 10%. And the breakdown for consumption segment shows that we had no segments important drop vis-à-vis the first quarter of last year. So the economic downturn is strong both in residential as well as commercial segment of around 5%, industrial segment of over 10%. That does not change our market profile. And in the bottom part of the slide you can see two important observations. We are in a leap year. So that comparison of drop is a little different too. We will go into details, both on bill volume as well as energy loss. But when we analyze the load in the concession area which gives us a wide view of what is happening, we see that we have numbers a little bit lower. Therefore we believe in the next quarters, we should bring those figures up. As I had said, the contracted demand is still positive, so we see a movement of a positive expectation of entrepreneurs and the industry. And obviously we see new companies coming in the concession area. That’s why we have lowered values to contracted demand, both for peak and off-peak as positive areas. As I said, we have the recovery of traffic in the renewable area. Therefore, our installed capacity now is reaching 3,128 conventional installed megawatts and that happens specifically in Renovaveis. On page 5, we have our outlook. We have reported a drop in the residential segment and what we try to show you with this chart and we possibly have reached the drop in 5%. It has been stable for a few months and obviously that is because of several situations and circumstances that caused it to become stable. First, last year there was an adjustment in the tariff that was unprecedented over 50% in the electric segment and now we also have negative tariff adjustment in the second half of the year. So we had to reduce both tariff side since the beginning of the year. So that pressure on the economy in fact has dropped. It is important to say that probably people and there is a great increase and they reacted and so we can see in our sales of LED lamp sales in 2014, the amount was 27 million and last year it amounted 81 million, tripled in number. So I would say that the consumption reduction is largely due to rationalization and exchange of equipment such as LED lamp ales that propose more advantages than conventional lamp. So considering future outlook, there is drop in inflation and because of that negative adjustments, we probably won’t have higher drops in the residential area, so that consumption per client should be stable along the year. And now that we the income of new consumers, we will believe that we will have a stable volume for the second, third and fourth quarters of this year. What is of our concern here is on page six and it is also a concern of the analysts, is delinquency. Arguably, we also are comparing ourselves to other companies and now our figures have been lower PDA or the ADA gross revenue is still lower event though Renovaveis have increased, we have an increase in tariffs compared to quarters that is higher than 50%, but we have here on the fourth quarter to the first quarter also an increase from 0.5% to 0.7%, 40% higher volume in terms of our allowance for doubtful accounts. This is something we pay attention to. There is a set of questions that we have listed in the bottom right part of the slide. So the company is working on it. We have been working on conventional energy cuts over 150%. This is the most effective measure right now. You are following delinquency in the different segments in the different industries, especially in the finance sector. So that’s why we also have the blacklisting and we have lower efficacy but we are also using the electronic protest and tele collection. We have tripled e-mails. We have the collection agencies almost 44% of electronic protest actually, the new initiative and it is important to highlight that this peak has in the background our economic scenario and this is something that we needed to acknowledge in the agency itself because the agency’s barriers are lower and in general all segments of the economy are going by this problem. Now on page seven. I will go back to one of our highlights. The total losses that have an increase in our area in March, but if we analyze the moving average of 12 months, it’s not different from the figures that we have seen since March of last year. But in March, especially or in the first quarter, we have that higher figure 8.63% first that reflects the higher unbilled invoices because here we have a leap year that has an extra day and the load which is not reflected in the billing schedule. And that is the main reason why we have that difference in the billed invoices and the drop in the load. So this should reflect in our billing schedule later on. And also we have higher temperatures in this last quarter that also impacts the figures for the unbilled voices. We expect impact the slight increase shall be offset in the following quarters. So there is nothing structurally that is responsible for this increase in losses except those two topics I mentioned that are related to the billing schedule. Now turning to page eight, we have the results of the first quarter. On the first line, we have the IFRS results and on the second line, it’s what we call the adjusted base. So you can have a more perennial outlook of our company. We can see that growth for net revenues, the drops of 20% and 19% in the two different bases. They are due to the integration of regulatory assets and tariffs, but explained that major drop that we had in our PDA obviously that also is related to the market. I will talk about that in the distribution area, they are lower and also we had the tariff lags that changed and the important news is that EBITDA has an IFRS result of BRL25 million negative and also we have BRL232 million in the net income that is positive. In the recurring base, we have 5.3% negative or BRL53 million, most of that refers to wins in the renewable area. There is less wind in this quarter and as it was said yesterday by the President of the company, that has been recovered in April. So this is an important significant effect now in the first quarter, but there is a recovery of half of that difference in April in our renewable activities. And because of that and the adjusted page, we have an increase of 6.7% or BRL70 million reaching to BRL167 million in the first quarter. The amount that determine these variations are in the bottom part of the slide, the proportionate consolidation of generation also Itaipu foreign currency variation that by fact as a new accounting that go into the EBITDA amount on the net income. So it’s important to have a recurring comparison of this reconciliations and also we have the nonrecurring effects, the extraordinary ones last year we had GSF and the Energy Purchase in two generation operations, generations and renewable, the adjustment of this emphasis and track record also have a specific adjustments is now on this year and also on typically Renovaveis has now adopted the hydrological agreement and we won’t have that impact anymore. So for recurring effect comparison we think it’s important to separate it. Therefore, I believe we have an EBITDA that has a stable impact as I have mentioned by this effect we will go into details and our net income is positive. On page nine, we that assessment of the company’s EBITDA. So to the outside we have the IFRS base and in the inside area that we are going to go into details, we help a drop of 5.3%. Basically, we can see that there is a drop in the distribution area, renewable generation as well. And distribution, we have a drop BRL37 million or 6.9% and it is related to the increase in manageable PMSO lower than the IGPM of the period. We have legal and judicial expenses BRL28 million. The allowance for doubtful accounts of BRL26 million and a drop of 6.4% in sales in the concession area BRL24 million. This way we have here a negative effect in distribution. So we did have gains, both in and the reviews and tariff adjustment that added BRL66 million and our company offer different groups and also that specific treatment of the PIS and COFINS as I have mentioned. So renewable generation, there is a drop of BRL26 million or 23.3% and basically half of that is explained by less wind in windfarms and that corresponds to BRL13 million. So we have SHPPs seasonality BRL10 million. We have that last year and this year as well. So we will recover that amount in the future structures and we have a PMSO of BRL6 million and also the renegotiation premium. On the other hand, we have conventional generations with a gain of BRL9 million with positive better performance of our thermal operations and others of BRL12 million in expenses with the GSF and commercialization services and holding is rather stable with a gain of BRL1 million. So the results are negatively driven because of the renewable impact, especially wind and also a drop in volumes in addition to the allowance for doubtful account and distribution. Now on page 10, just to give you an idea for the future. Somehow we started working with ZBB methodology, BRL320 million we reached BRL369 million. You have the chart showing it and obviously our future challenge is related to the subject which is productivity here. The company is deploying two important projects, one related to using technology to increase productivity in the distribution segment. We have a whole set of indicators developed by the company, the analysis of teams and unavailability and management of our workforce. So today we have more tools to monitor and obviously to integrate technology and automation and to increase productivity. This is something with a great potential and in the near future we will be sharing with you what this work is like. And we are also working with consulting services in a news stage for corporate companies. We started doing that now and we believe that in the near future we will be able to share with you and let you know what we are doing in these two areas. So this is something we have to do to add productivity to our group. Now turning to page 11, we come to net income. In the recurring reduction, it was almost 7% and in the IFRS base it’s 63%. Here as a negative aspect, we have a drop in EBITDA of 5%, we already mentioned it. We had an improvement of the negative net financial results. It is thanks to that adjustment of sectoral financial assets and liabilities, also a variation of discos’ concession financial assets, additions and late payments fines and installments debt. We will also have here BRL30 million for that and the mark-to-market effect, the operations 4,131, these are non-cash operations and also we have the PIS/COFINS over financial revenues effect because of new taxes and that is BRL21 million net and also we had a reduction of 3.3% in depreciation and amortization with the driver coming from the reduction in the amortization of the concessions intangible assets. And here we have an increase in depreciation and amortization also an increase in income tax related to financial operations of the company. So I would say that here we have a positive outlook because we have our stable EBITDA and we are working in that environment that we mentioned. Now turning to page 12. These are the tariff events. There were several ones in this quarter, starting in what we call the tariff reviews of our five concessions that have been renewed. So we have reported here the increases in Parcel A and Parcel B, looked at industry view they already integrated the increase in the net base, increase in the CACC and the remuneration of the regulatory assets base and also the addition of special obligations remuneration, we have a parcel B in a positive variation. The effect of these gains are up around BRL15 million and we have a pass through of BRL80 million. We have also the annual tariff adjustment for CPFL Paulista increasing in little over 10% parcel B and the average effect for consumers 7.55%, lower than inflation and we have the transfer off BRL951 million financial component. As we have said, we had an important drop of our CVA in the quarter of almost BRL1 billion and now with this last adjustment Paulista then, at the end of this semester will be very close to turning this key now to the positive side for the concession. In terms of cash of the company that will fall definitely because of these adjustment, especially for Paulista. Now on page 13, we have our indebtedness. And here we have adjusted net debt over adjusted EBITDA of BRL12 million and we 3.42 and remember that with the CVA coming in, we will be running at 3.22 and be adjusted by CVA cash in balance in here. We will be able to have the benefit of the leverage in creating value for the company. This is the good news and the bad news is the increase of the nominal cost of our debt, amounting 13.7%. Obviously, that is driven by the increase of the CDI. 70% of the gross that of the company is indexed by the CDI. So obviously we reach 13.7% and inflation is at 4% of real cost of that debt. Turning to page 14. We can see that we are at a comfortable situation in terms of cash coverage. Over BRL4 billion, over two times the cover the short-term amortizations. The debt has a net average term of 3.5 years and in the short-term only 11% of it. So this is a , comfortable situation in terms of management of our debt. On page 15, another subject that concerns which is that over contracted position and the good news here is that with this PH 04, the exposure that we had that exposure was eliminated. We had 180 average megawatts before PH 04 and six of our age concessions and the public hearing of ANEEL solving on 100% of the problems. We have some residual in one of the companies and here we are talking about very little figure, maybe less than 10% of those 180. So we are telling you that obviously PH 04 mitigated 4% and we have our distributors totally aligned for 2016. It is very important because considering the macroeconomic scenario for the future, we should do some reinforcement there. So here we have also the approval in April of PH 012 that simplifies the process for postponement of new energy contracts. Here is the potential of our variation, which is 2.5% that has to be dealt with. There is some potential for mitigation, but I believe this is more important especially for future perspectives and we have to work on that. And now so it is under discussion right now the impact of what is called the customers migration to the free market. And this is a huge debate here between the agents and ANEEL. And let me remind you that what I have mentioned about exposure of 180 average megawatts, that residual very amount is after that 1.8% going out. So it will be almost 100% if we do not have such an important migration of consumers 1.8% is a high figure. So now just to report some new points here. The Mata Velha, one-and-a-half years before the contracted period, a very important part CPFL Renovaveis, 13 average megawatts and the auction is May 16, 2016 and value was BRL155 per megawatt hour and we, in these last few months, already have a sale on the free market viable and things have already been released. On page 17, just to talk about plans still in the free market. The Campo des Ventos and Sao Benedito Wind Farms will come in this year, but also with this new regulation of the agency, we have allowed to have the commercial startup of certain generators. And so we have already had up to the state the entry of four wind turbines. And we have 110 towers which will be added. So we have a reporting scheduled for the coming into operation over the next few months of this farm and this is the first financed for the free market approved by the BNDES and we have the prospect of adding revenue to EBITDA of CPFL Renovaveis which is very important to other projects, which are under construction. The Pedra Cheirosa 48.3 megawatts and the Boa Vista also under construction and so what is really important is coming of the capacity at the very short-term, both for the Mata Velha and for these two new wind farms in the Northeast Brazil. And here CPFL Efficiencia and this is very important for us. CPFL coming in here in the solar distribution and generation through CPFL Efficiencia. Here we have the Algar plant in Campinas with all the solar panels. This has involved the change of 15,000 volts using the LED efficiency or bulbs technology and also the air-conditioning has been changed and replaced much of the fluids and the construction of two solar power plants in Campinas, 200 kilowatts at the peak and another 400 in Uderlandia, savings of 27% with energy efficiency during to photovoltaic generation. An initial investments of BRL6 million and this was inaugurated in March. So in Algar, we have savings of 3,500 megawatts a year and also postponement of the construction of a substation and also with this operation we can enter the free market and also CPFL Energia participates in gains with the solar generation for the next 10 years. And we have a BOT agreement for asset remuneration in six years and it is still the supply of free energy for the next 10 years. In fact, it is a win-win operation which is very important for the CPFL Efficiencia it is very significant. I am almost finishing, but on page 19, we have the performance of shares. The share had a better performance than IEE in Bovespa appreciating almost 30%. The same with ADR, 47%. So the exchange rates effect and with the CPFL coming back in January and recovered efficiency rate. This has had its effects on the volume of business. And on the left hand side here, the lower left-hand chart, we can see this and this is very important for the future. I conclude on page 20, showing you some facts about my succession. In April, we have amounts the succession plan. It is part of a planned process the company within the best governance practices I have been here with the group for more than 18 years. So I will finish the second quarter and I will be replaced by Andre Dorf who was the President or CEO of CPFL Renovaveis and has been with us now for about three years in the company and has done outstanding work in the Renovaveis. And he will come with all his youth to manage this new phase of CPFL and we are delighted with this and in this quarter, we have carried out an integration program with the team and Andre has taken part in many activities with us so that he comes in on July 1 playing to win. So ladies and gentlemen, this is what we had to say about our results and my team and I are now at your disposal for questions. Thank you. Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Mr. Kaique Vasconcellos from the Citigroup. Kaique Vasconcellos Good morning. I have two questions. First regarding demand. You said that you will have more stable demand and have had a shrinkage. So up to May, what have things been like? And what are the prospects for the second quarter? And second question is about amortization. So you have cash to cover the short-term amortization. So what are you going to do? Wait for better debt situation in the market or take CDI or any special spread that you are waiting for? Thank you. Wilson Ferreira Jr I will ask Leandro to answer the first question and Gustavo the second. Leandro Cappa Hello. Thank you. The April market has not yet presented the recovery that we expected because it has resolved. We have seen the load improve at the end of March and now in April. But the unbilled that Wilson mentioned has not yet come in load because of the mismatch that we have of reading days, the meter reading. So April was a hot month. So this impacted and helped with the recovery of residential factors. But the billed market, we will only see this during the second quarter. well, in fact, we are seeing that we do in fact have an expectation that this year we will be able to work with almost flat volume. Today we are working with the prospect that it won’t be flat. It will be between 1% more in terms of volume of negative, I am sorry. Gustavo Estrella Regarding liquidity and rollover, I think that the market has confirmed our expectation of credit restrictions allied to an increase of cost. And I think this has been a market trend in general. What we have done was basically bring forward a rollover. Basically last year we have few needs to rollover our debt. Today, in the company, Wilson has shown that cash of BRL4 billion, we have already covered everything that we need for 2016 and 2017. So our focus today for rollover will be only for 2018 which gives us a very much more comfortable situation so that we will be able to fetch extra situations of rollover when they are needed. And we can work from the management of the debt, we are already thinking ahead 2018 and we have plenty of time to find the best moment of the market. More important is that those discussions regarding infrastructure for the distribution sector, this discussion goes on, both the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Energy, we have here positive outlook to access the market for distribution and we can rollover lesser cost and greater terms, longer terms. But we don’t have anything now which obliges us to look for money to rollover the short-term debt. We are in a comfortable position for the company at the moment. Kaique Vasconcellos Thank you very much. Operator Our next question comes from Mr. Vinicius Canheu from Credit Suisse. Vinicius Canheu Good morning. I have two questions. One, I want to know if you could breakdown what was the loss with the over-contracting? And second, something which I did not understand, when you see slide nine regarding distribution, you show the gains with the pass through of Parcel A. I would like to know why did this impact the results? Because generally these movements of Parcel A are in the asset and liabilities, regulatory abilities. So why did this come into the result? Thank you. Leandro Cappa Hello Vinicius. This is Leandro. At the moment, when we have the tariff adjustments, we have some gains, because we have been very conservative during the year in our accounting and when we do the adjustments as happened here with the Paulista, we had a gain with Parcel A at the time of the tariff adjustment of this amount to BRL66 million. About half of that is just simple because of the mismatch and also because of the unbilled amount which is later, it does not have an effect. So we have a temporary effect. And during the second quarter, we will normalize this. So of these BRL66 million, half is temporary. So this will come back during the year and half is because we were conservative during the year and we have some gain at the moment of the annual adjustments. Vinicius Canheu Okay. Now could you talk about the over contracting please? Leandro Cappa This had zero impact of the first quarter and none at the distribution company. Operator Our next question comes from Miguel Rodrigues, Morgan Stanley. Miguel Rodrigues Good Morning. I have two questions. First, recently we had the regulation of ANEEL for the group of concessions. Could you talk a little bit about the possibly gains and risks of CPFL, if they managed to group together the five smaller concessions? And secondly, could you comment a little on the change of the methodology of the PLD, calculation of PLD and what about your risk aversion? And is this the best way to adjust the model or do you think that the model should be reviewed more thoroughly? I would like you to elaborate on that please. Wilson Ferreira Jr So starting by the grouping of concessions. Miguel, at this moment, we are evaluating this alternative. We will bring to the Board probably next month. We will bring this up to the Board. The grouping brings marginal gains to the company, but there is something that we don’t know. There are five reports of balance sheet against one balance sheet. So there will be a gain. There are five processes of adjustment and review against one. I have no doubt that some marginal gain will be possible. Our evaluation here is more of a rationalization because this is inside the company also determines for every adjustment processed, the man-hours that you must account for. So there is a gain. It’s not significant, but it does rationalize both our work team and particularly ourselves. We think the gain is more of process rationalization which makes more sense. But for the point of view of consumers, it might have the advantage of a larger area with the same tariff. It’s very difficult for us to face different tariffs from one municipality to another. This occurred in the five distributors. We would try and avoid this. We understand that the regulation was established, it’s good and we, in the next few months, will propose this to the agency. Regarding the PLD, the spot price. Regarding the review of the pricing methodology, there are some points, highlights here. The concern of minimizing, the model must reflect as well as possible the operation cost of the system. Another important point is that in case of an alteration of the methodology of the pricing that this not be done in a raw way because this will cause impact on the market negotiations in the pricing method of the agency. So you must have time to apply this change and it does not cause negative impact for the agents and a negative impression. And if you have to change things, this is under study and the CPFL Group is still studying whether this is the best way to adjust the model to improve this outside the merit. There is no way to. This is under study. We have not decided. Miguel Rodrigues Thank you. Operator Our next question comes from Marcelo Sa with UBS. Marcelo Sa Hello. To continue, it seems that there has been an increase regarding the long-term price that the collective bargaining is discussing BRL120 to BRL122. Is this because of the change of PLD? Or was it for any other reason? Is the hydrological scenario, would it be more difficult next year? And could you give us more data regarding the privatization of the Sul, do you have a new schedule or new price review with the new government, will things change? Wilson Ferreira Jr Regarding your first question, naturally the evaluation of the price curve involves many elements. The discussion regarding the formatting of the price is one of them but you have elements like the delay of Belo Monte line, which affects the price. Hydrology, well, there is a difference of expectation regarding the former one and there are several elements reflected here. It’s not a significant variation of the price, just adjustment of different variables. But nothing stands out regarding the price variation. The second question. We have not been officially informed regarding the process and we now have a new government and this would be important to review as quickly as possible. Obviously the price, there is an error, just comparing comparables of multiples regarding the bases and you will see that we have here a mistake. The sector now has, because of the regulatory movement, we are made important progress regarding the rules of distribution and we see the different states and Electrobras needing cash for the question of privatization, which could bring many benefits to those who want the concessions and for consumers, as I see it personally, should be stepped up considerably in the next few months. Especially, we don’t want to increase taxes. So one way of capitalizing companies and governments is to do this where everybody can gain. So two-thirds of the concessions are private. In all governments, there has been with a greater gain of tax because of the better efficiency of these, better quality and obviously the use of that resource for the rebalancing of public accounts and whoever is doing the selling, I believe, the shares that all the analysts have said that all those interested have already manifested their interest and I would think within the next days or months, we will have the review of this amount. Marcelo Sa Thank you. Operator Our next question comes from Ms. Sergio Tamashiro from Haitong. Sergio Tamashiro Thank you. And Wilson, I wish you all the best in your new activities and Alberto as well. Second continuing regarding the new government now with the entry of Fernando Bezerra, we know that this future government has a quick need to attract new investment to try and reverse this trend towards economic shrinkage. So in your sector, what steps do you think might be taken? You mentioned the process of privatization in the distribution sector. But what other steps could be taken and do you think could be implemented? A greater flexibility in the — what can you imagine? The second question regarding the level of debt, you had said that there was no problem here. There was no short-term cash problem and quickly you are coming into a fast leverage situation. You will have a lot of cash and then you will be thinking, well, among these new projects and you are seeing capacity of generation and new projects for distribution. So what are you seeing? Will you be interested in these other projects? Expansion into other countries? So what would be alternatives? And finally, I would just like you to elaborate regarding the level of losses. It’s a very simple thing. You have the numerator equal losses and then under that the low voltage and these two indicators seem, even in leap year, they are equally intense. So I don’t understand why only the numerator feels the effects of the leap year. Wilson Ferreira Jr Thank you Sergio for your questions and also thank you for your good wishes. One of the things besides being team tried to CPFL, I will continue here being the Chairman of the Board of ABRADEE. We have had a chance to talk to some of the members who will be involved in this process. And with an overview, I can say that the government has already taken the first step with the talking about the partnerships for investments, I feel that there is total clarity [indiscernible] with the attraction of an investment is the most important thing to [indiscernible] invest in capital and infrastructure. So there are two points here. First of all, [indiscernible] in many of the projects we have projects that are up for bidding but have not yet been put into practice also for environmental projects. And on the other hand, we have an important agenda to show legal security and regulatory stability. I think the discussions will come along regarding improvement of the regulations for the agency, improvement of the auction conditions. I want to be very frank with you regarding the electric sector. I think we have made great progress last year and this year, because most of the election, except the last one for distribution had participants and all the lots were sold. In a specific one, the last transmission auction we had the entry of new agents and we did not have the presence of some important private agents or even public that have always been part of it and the main reason was because the fact of the nonpayment of the RBS, was harming these agents, something which was done on the last day of the management of Eduardo Braga. The electric power sector today where the ceiling prices have gone up and because of competition and this is the right way to establish price and this implies in each one of these themes a higher remuneration on your own capital and also as Gustavo has said, the increase of financing or the increase of this ceiling. So the environment expropriation themes will be addressed by the next 12 months. It’s very important that infrastructure if it is useful to country and we can go from 2% to 4% of GDP in investments very quickly. This must be followed by the recognition of this importance. It means that we will have people with us and entrepreneurs trying to make things easier with the government and not complicate it. Everybody wins with this. Things become simplified. The work is delivered more quickly to the population and work is distributed more quickly. As it gets the explicit show that the theme of the investment in infrastructure and the poetry is something very smart. And this committee that is going to manage this is doing right. So they are going the right way. And the electric sector has already done a lot of this improvement. But generally speaking, so that the environment be generalized and not only for the electric power sector, many elements, be it in the agencies or the laws that support the expert preparation which comes from 1941 and all the other periods of loss, the things lost, all have to be reviewed. And I am very positive about that. Now one last point, I think, was the losses. I will call upon someone on my team. Luiza Mariko Hello. This is Luiza Mariko from market planning. As you said, the calculation is simple. What is the difference? We are performing a loss in May where the average is 8.1%, it’s higher. You have more load than market at the moment because you have the effect of temperature on the lead. When you do the reading in the month and it’s a question of date of the month. One is right at the beginning and one is right at the end. So this amount of energy which is not billed from March 15 until the March 31 had a strong temperature effect and as you have said, the load of the year has one day more, 366 days. For the reading, it’s still 365 days but there were more then 100 gigawatts accumulated and I am talking about the residential and commercial areas. Well, looking at this question of losses and as is indicated, as this will effect other quarters, this losses will probably drop. The temperature will give us back its effect in the calendar as well. At the middle of the year, we have three 365 days and so those effects of the calendar and the temperature will give us back the losses stabilizing this expectation. Sergio Tamashiro Now going back to this question of new investments, Wilson, I think the government will be attracting new investments as a priority. Now specifically the electric power, especially the great generators, there was a strong participation of the construction companies. Do you see any structural changes for the fact that this company is no longer here and there is not a participation of Electrobras and they are only private companies? Wilson Ferreira Jr Yes Sergio. I think you have had that. For example, if you take in transmission, the last auction, the great largest lot was sold to a front of infrastructure investment. So these agents that are coming in and if they are skilled, there are many resources in the world looking for investments to have these prospects that we have in Brazil. I would say that it is sure that we will have new agents here. But the CPFL, well, in the specific case of public companies, just look at the balance sheet. It is a difficult situation and I think it’s already difficult to incorporate what has been signed. So you need financial discipline to manage these companies and we participate in these investments. But with the improvement of the economic and regulatory environment and the legal environment and the business environment that this new government is bringing us, we will certainly be capable of attracting investments from other places in the world here because of the demand that you will be offering each one of them. This is the only reason, the only good point of not having invested very much in the last few years, is that there is a lot of repressed demand that can be met. And in fact, as I had said at the beginning of the year, we overcame this small acute moment of the crisis. And CPFL, just look at the indicators of solvency of liquidity and of indebtedness, the company’s situation allows it and I think that this is the main point of this new phase will come in to a new cycle of growth. The company has a very good structure to evaluate these alternatives and fortuitously we have here, if you take the breakdown of the company’s EBITDA, it has a 45% distribution, 45% generation and 10% in commercialization and services and it’s very well balanced. If we could keep this, then certainly we will do so because I think this balance is very good. The opportunities appear and we are looking at most of them according to our strategy which is to follow in the three businesses that we have said. Very focused on the electric power session and distribution and expansion or through M&A or greenfield in generation. We have experience in both and in the strengthening of this activity of services which has been an important arm for the company to make consumers more loyal or to capture new clients. So this structure is possible. But you can’t choose, if it’s a consolidation and this big steps to us to create value, this is very important. We don’t want market share, we want prospects to increase our value and improve our corporate structure. So this is what we want. The company is very aware of this and the group of opportunities is there and we are evaluating them. And we will present the best options which will bring about better value creation for our shareholders. This is our value, to create this and share with the others. Sergio Tamashiro Okay. If you will allow me a quick follow-up, although you have a positive entry on the Itaipu [ph] and also we see other companies came in the electric energy sector and I don’t know, maybe in my point of view, that could be somewhat risky. We have seen in other auctions of energy generation that the new players later on had difficulties in going forward Genpower, Bolognesi. I am not talking about Bengo, but you see that future-ly these assets being that are developed by them so that they would come in the secondary market. What is your point of view? Wilson Ferreira Jr Yes. You are right on your comment. I believe that in the development of the regulation in the auction processes, we will have two things. First, a more correct evaluation in the financial services of the bidders, actually. So some of them maybe would not be approved by the bank. So there was an improvement in the bidder’s qualification. And on the other side, we have a faster pace in the assessment of the delay. There are projects that today are at the base, also of the distributors and we already know that those will not happen. So here we should have a faster pace to make the decision and say cancel the project. That will generate the needed demand for the future because so far, well, when the project is seen as a potential to be connected in addition to the delay it might cause and sometimes this is a serious delay and that could cause a fluctuation in the market price, you then want to do investment that would be needed there. So here we do have adjustments and improvements to be made into the process and I believe that in the system of partnership and investment that has been announced yesterday probably will address the issue. But yes, we do have homework to do, both in qualification as well as in following up the process and in a possible cancellation of that participation considering all the consequences that could be attributed to the bidders. Sergio Tamashiro Thank you very much. Operator Our next question is from Ms. Carolina Carneiro, Santander. Carolina Carneiro Good afternoon everyone. My question is about the next reserve energy auction. The company has any projects that would be interested to participate on that? And a second question, in the prior call, you talked about a flat demand this year and you see a small growth and I would like to know if the economic data and billing data that you have seen in the first quarter, if that estimate is still there? Thank you. Wilson Ferreira Jr Carolina, starting on your second question. I mentioned in the call, yes, with the results of this first quarter we reviewed our projections and we estimate that it’s not going to be flat, zero. It’s going to be slightly negative, maybe one, we could be reaching two. About the reserve energy auction, especially in renewable that has been said yesterday, yes, we do have a set of assets and we will assess timely our interest in taking part on it. But yes, we do have potential assets to take part in this bid or on this auction actually and we will have a saying on that briefly. Operator The conference call of CPFL Energia is concluded. We thank you all for your participation. Have a nice day. Thank you. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. 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