Tag Archives: india

August Asset Class Performance

These numbers are set to be a lot different at the open this morning given that Dow futures are down 400 points, but below is a snapshot of asset class performance since the 8/25 low, for the full month of August, and year-to-date through August. As shown, U.S. equity ETFs were down 5-7% across the board in August, even after bouncing 5-6% since August 25th. Country ETFs like Australia (NYSEARCA: EWA ), Brazil (NYSEARCA: EWZ ), China (NYSEARCA: FXI ), Hong Kong (NYSEARCA: EWH ) and India (NYSEARCA: INP ) were down 10%+ in August, while Russia (NYSEARCA: RSX ) was surprisingly the best performer with a decline of just 88 basis points. Commodity ETFs had a better August than stocks after the huge rally in crude oil that we saw over the final three trading days of the month. Treasury ETFs all finished modestly lower. Share this article with a colleague

F.A.N.G. Investing Makes Sense – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google

As market volatility reached new highs this week, CNBC began talking about something called “FANG Investing.” Most commentators showed great displeasure in the fact that prior to the recent downturn, high-growth companies such as Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ) and Google ( GOOG , GOOGL ) (FANG) had performed much better than all the major market indices. And in the short burst of recent recovery, these companies again seemed to be doing much better. Coined by “CNBC Mad Money” host Jim Cramer, he felt that FANG investing was bad for investors . Cramer said he preferred seeing a much larger group of companies would go up in value, thus representing a much more stable marketplace. Sound like Wall Street gobbledygook? Good. Because as an individual investor, why should you care about a stable market? What you should care about is your individual investments going up in value. And if yours go up and all others go down, what difference does it make? Most financial advisers today actually confuse investors much more than help them. And nowhere is this more true than when discussing risk. All financial advisers (brokers in the old days) ask how much risk you want as an investor. If you’re smart you say “None.” Why would you want any risk? You want to make money. Only this is the wrong answer, because most investors don’t understand the question – because the financial adviser’s definition of risk is nothing like yours. To a broker, investment risk is this bizarre term called “beta,” created by economists. They defined risk as the degree to which a stock does not move with the market index. If the S&P down 5% and the stock goes down 5%, then they see no difference between the stock and the “market”, so they say it has no risk. If the S&P goes up 3% and the stock goes up 3%, again, no risk. But if a stock trades based on its own investor expectation and does not track the market index, then it is considered “high-beta”, and your broker will say it is “high-risk”. So let’s look at Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) over the last 5 years. If you had put all your money into Apple 5 years ago, you would be up over 200% – over 4x. Had you bought the S&P 500 index, you would be up 80%. Clearly, investing in Apple would have been better. But your adviser would say that is “high-risk”. Why? Because Apple did not move with the S&P. It did much better. It is therefore considered high-beta and high-risk. You buy that? Thus, brokers keep advising investors buy funds of various kinds. Because the investors says she wants low risk, they try to make sure her returns mirror the indices. But it begs the question, why don’t you just buy an exchange-traded fund (NYSEMKT: ETF ) that mirrors the S&P or Dow and quit paying those fund fees and broker fees? If their approach is designed to have you do no better than the average, why not stop the fees and invest in those things which will exactly give you the average? Anyway, what individual investors want is high returns. And that has nothing to do with market indices or how a stock moves compares to an index. It has to do with growth. Growth is a wonderful thing. When a company grows, it can write off big mistakes and nobody cares. It can overpay employees, give them free massages and lunches, and nobody cares. It can trade some of its stock for a tiny company – implying that company is worth a vast amount – in order to obtain new products it can push to its customers, and nobody cares. Growth hides a multitude of sins and provides investors with the opportunity for higher valuations. On the other hand, nobody ever cost cut a company into prosperity. Layoffs, killing products, shutting down businesses and selling assets does not create revenue growth. It causes the company to shrink and the valuation to decline. That’s why it involves lower risk to invest in FANG stocks than in those so-called low-risk portfolios. Companies like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google – and Apple, EMC Corp. (NYSE: EMC ), Ultimate Software (NASDAQ: ULTI ), Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA ) and Qualcomm (QCOMM), just to name a few others – are growing. They are firmly tied to technologies and products that are meeting emerging needs, and they know their customers. They are doing things that increase long-term value. McDonald’s (NYSE: MCD ) was a big winner for investors in the 1960s and 1970s, as fast food exploded with the Baby Boomer generation. But as the market shifted, McDonald’s sold off its investments in trend-linked brands Boston Market and Chipotle (NYSE: CMG ). Now, its revenue has stalled and its value is in decline as it shuts stores and lays off employees. Thirty years ago, General Electric (NYSE: GE ) tied its plans to trends in medical technology, financial services and media, and it grew tremendously, making fortunes for its investors. In the last decade, it has made massive layoffs, shut down businesses and sold off its appliance, financial services and media businesses. The company is now smaller, and its valuation is smaller. Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT ) tied itself to the massive infrastructure growth in Asia and India, and it grew. But as that growth slowed, the company did not move into new businesses, so its revenues stalled. Now, its value is declining as it lays off employees and shuts down business units. Risk is tied to the business and its future expectations, not how a stock moves compared to an index. That’s why investing in high-growth companies tied to trends is actually lower-risk than buying a basket of stocks – even when that basket is an index like the DIA or SPY. Why should you own the low-or no-growth dogs when you don’t have to? How is it lower-risk to invest in a struggling McDonald’s, GE or Caterpillar or some basket that contains them than investing in companies demonstrating tremendous revenue growth? Good fishermen go where the fish are. Literally. Anybody can cast out a line and hope. But good fisherman know where the fish are, and that’s where they invest their bait. As an investor, don’t try to fish the ocean (the index.) Be smart, and put your money where the fish are. Invest in companies that leverage trends, and you’ll lower your risk of investment failure, while opening the door to superior returns.

The Asia Tigers Fund: A Conservative, Undervalued, And Discounted Closed-End Fund

Summary The Asia Tigers Fund provides diversified exposure to Asia with low valuation and a high discount. The fund’s P/E is currently 10.18, and it is trading at an 11.49% discount. The perpetual drop in the fund’s price since 2011 has resulted in low valuation. In a lot of cases, I prefer closed-end funds due to their relatively low valuation, and for the fact that they are often trading at a discount. Other closed-end funds that I recommend include the Aberdeen Indonesia Fund, VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund, and Vietnam Holding Ltd. The Asian Tigers Fund (NYSE: GRR ) is a closed-end fund that is managed by Aberdeen Asset Management. The fund’s incredibly low valuation and high discount is what initially made me interested in this fund. The fund’s P/E is currently 10.18 , and it is trading at an 11.49% discount . The advisor fee for the fund is 1% and the total expense ratio is 2.8%. A value-based comparison of other ETFs that invest in Asia clearly proves that this fund is superior. Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (NYSEARCA: VNM ): P/E is 16. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (NYSEARCA: EWH ): P/E is 16 iShares MSCI Singapore ETF (NYSEARCA: EWS ): P/E is 13 . iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS: INDA ): P/E is 20 . iShares MSCI Philippines ETF (NYSEARCA: EPHE ): P/E is 19 . iShares Asia 50 (NYSEARCA: AIA ): P/E is 12 . Diversified Approach The fund’s geographical exposure to Asia is extremely diverse , providing exposure to the following countries: Hong Kong: 25.6% Singapore: 20.5% India: 16.4% China: 8.8% Taiwan: 6.3% South Korea: 5.2% Thailand: 4.5% Philippines: 3.5% Malaysia: 3.3% Indonesia: 1.1% The fund’s small allocation towards China is comforting, as well as the fact that 62.5% of its assets are invested in Hong Kong, Singapore, and India. The industry approach is also extremely diverse, although around 56% of the fund’s assets are invested in the financial services and information technology industries. The top 10 fund holdings make up 43.3% of the fund’s total assets, further edifying the fund’s strategic and diversified exposure to Asia. Annual Returns 2012 2013 2014 YTD Asia Tiger Fund (Price) 27.13 -8.13 3.42 -3.39 Asia Tiger Fund (NAV) 23.53 -5.05 3.27 -0.40 Pacific/Asia Ex. Japan Stock (Price) 25.33 -7.19 3.40 -0.68 Pacific/Asia Ex. Japan Stock (NAV) 25.40 -4.33 3.99 1.32 Source: Morning Star Overall, there have been no major discrepancies between the performance of the Asia Tigers Fund and its benchmark. Apart from 2012, performance of the fund has not been substantial. I am optimistic about the fund due to its diverse country, company, and industry approach, as well as its low valuation and high discount. For these reasons, it stands out as the one of the most conservative options for value investors to gain diversified exposure to the growth of Asia. GRR data by YCharts The perpetual drop in the fund’s price since 2011 has resulted in low valuation. Other Closed-End Funds In a lot of cases, I prefer closed-end funds due to their relatively low valuation, and for the fact that they are often trading at a discount. Some other closed-end funds that I have come across also provide similar valuation and discount for investors, and offer the opportunity for investors to gain access to a single country. I will also list three closed-end investment funds in Indonesia and Vietnam that I have previously written about, in order to provide a holistic view of what options there are for discounted closed-end funds in Asia. Aberdeen Indonesia Fund (NYSEMKT: IF ): The fund’s P/E is 7.21 and it trades at a 12.28% discount . I remain optimistic about this fund, despite the exchange rate movement risk. VinaCapital’s Vietnam Opportunity Fund ( OTCPK:VCVOF ): This fund’s P/E is 10.83 and it trades at an 18.35% discount . Vietnam Holding Ltd. ( OTC:VNMHF ): The fund’s P/E is 5.65 and it trades at a 14.06% discount . The liquidity risk should be noted, as its average 3-month trading volume has been 905. The Asia Tiger Fund is an appropriate fund for investors who prefer diversified exposure to Asia and have reservations about specific countries like Vietnam or Indonesia. Regardless of varying investment objectives, I am a proponent of investing in deeply discounted closed-end funds that provide exposure to Asia’s growth. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.