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Baidu Advised To Pull A Google And Split Core, Noncore Businesses

Baidu ( BIDU ) stock jumped Friday and the China search leader got at least one upgrade after the company said its mobile business was gaining traction, in posting Q4 earnings that beat views. The company’s revenue guidance for the current quarter, however, fell short, and the slowing China economy has taken a toll on most of China’s Internet stocks. Baidu stock, though, was up more than 9% in midday trading in the stock market today , near 173, its highest price since early January. Baidu stock has risen 73% since late August but has declined 16% in the past 12 months. Other China stocks also rose on Friday. Alibaba Group ( BABA ) and JD.com ( JD ) were up nearly 1% and 1.5% in midday trading, while Vipshop Holdings ( VIPS ) and NetEase ( NTES ) were up a fraction. Summit Research analyst Henry Guo upgraded Baidu stock to buy from hold on Friday and raised his price target to 195 from 169. “We are not so enthusiastic about Baidu’s December-quarter revenue results and March-quarter revenue guidance; however, we are deeply impressed by the strong margin expansion the company achieved in the December quarter,” wrote Guo in an industry note. “Strong momentum” in mobile defined the quarter, he said. Mobile contributed 56% of total revenue in Q4, up from 50% in Q3. Mobile search users rose 21%, he said, while the Baidu Wallet mobile payment service saw activated accounts soar 183% to 53 million. Baidu Wallet competes with Alibaba’s Alipay. Negatives included a 10.9% decline in advertising customers from Q3, Guo said, fallout from Baidu’s deconsolidation with major Chinese online travel agency Qunar ( QUNR ). To continue its growth, Baidu should follow in the footsteps of Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google “and split its non-core businesses from its core search and ads business. If they do this, Baidu stock would likely receive a big boost leaving them with the cash to make a foray into the U.S. market,” Taiwan-based Sephi Shapira, CEO of mobile advertising platform MassiveImpact, told IBD via email. Baidu Investing In Self-Driving Cars, More Like Alphabet, Baidu is investing to develop self-driving cars and other technology not related to its core search operations. In November, Baidu announced it had submitted an application for a direct-banking license in partnership with China’s Citic Bank and for an online insurance license in partnership with Allianz and Hillhouse Capital. This month, Baidu announced that the company has received a nonbinding proposal from two Baidu executives to acquire the company’s fast-growing Qiyi video wing for $2.8 billion. The nonbinding proposal came from Baidu CEO Robin Yanhong Li and Qiyi CEO Yu Gong, Baidu said. The pair have proposed acquiring all of the outstanding shares of Qiyi owned by Baidu, based on an enterprise valuation of $2.8 billion. Should the deal be approved by a special committee formed by Baidu to review the offer, Qiyi will remain a strategic partner but will be independent. Baidu owns 80.5% of Qiyi’s total outstanding shares. As the company offered discounts to win more online-to-offline (O2O) customers, Baidu’s spending also rose. Selling, general and administrative expenses rose 28% year over year to RMB 4.528 billion ($699 million), mainly due to an increase in promotional spending for its transaction services. Last June, Baidu announced it would invest $3.2 billion during the next three years to bolster its lineup of O2O by fortifying group-buying website Nuomi, which Baidu acquired for $160 million in 2014. Baidu has emphasized that big upfront spending to establish its O20 business will pay off because its vast abilities in search will eventually translate to revenue from business commissions. The O2O business model aims to attract customers online and then direct them offline to make purchases at physical stores and to services including health care and food delivery. In October, Baidu-backed Qunar announced a share swap with Ctrip.com ( CTRP ), another leading Chinese online travel agency, in October. Ctrip and Qunar together have a majority of the China hotel and air ticket market. In Q4, Baidu revenue rose 33% year over year in local currency to $2.88 billion, or RMB 18.69 billion. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected  RMB 18.54 billion. For Q1, Baidu guided to revenue of RMB 15.41 billion ($2.37 billion) to RMB 15.97 billion ($2.46 billion)., up 21% to 25.5% in RMB.

Microsoft, Not Apple Or Alphabet, Is Wearables King … In Patents

The 2014 debut of Apple’s iWatch and the release of the Google Glass computing eyewear the prior year stamped both tech giants as leading innovators of wearables. Except that neither Apple ( AAPL ) nor Google parent Alphabet ( GOOGL ) is actually the leading innovator in wearables. Microsoft ( MSFT ) is. At least, Microsoft is No. 1 worldwide when looking at patents for wearable-related technology, according to LexInnova, a patents-consulting firm. Microsoft has 757 wearables patent filings, Rana Pratap, LexInnova’s principal consultant for technology, told IBD. At least 53 filings are directly related to wrist devices. Another 13 are related to eyewear. Netherlands-based Philips ( PHG ) is right behind in wearables-related intellectual property, with 756 wearables patents and patent applications. Alphabet, parent of Google, has 602 to place at No. 3, and the patent numbers drop off precipitously from there, says LexInnova, which recently researched the topic . Apple, for instance, has only 197 filings, says LexInnova. Wearables startup Fitbit ( FIT ) has 192 filings. That is a good bit of patent activity, but then again, this market is already generating a good bit of revenue. “We estimate the wearables market at $8.9 billion in wholesale device revenue in 2015,” Cliff Raskind, an analyst for market research firm Strategy Analytics, told IBD. While some of Microsoft’s wearables portfolio is getting old — U.S. patents last no more than 20 years — Pratap says that, collectively, the patents remain strong. So, Microsoft’s wearables patent portfolio doesn’t just have quantity, but also quality. LexInnova uses a proprietary algorithm involving about 50 factors, including patent age, the number of times a patent has been cited in other companies’ patent filings, and court rejection of challenges to a patent, to judge the quality of patent portfolios, Pratap explains. Without giving details, he said Microsoft’s is strong. What Are Microsoft’s Plans For Wearables? But the ramifications of Microsoft’s wearables-patent activity are unclear. Satya Nadella, who was promoted to Microsoft CEO two years ago, is focused on companywide strategies designed to recharge Microsoft’s growth. Microsoft, like any company, could develop products based on its patents, license its patents or both. The company last month disclosed that it has signed 1,200 licensing agreements of all kinds since launching its IP licensing program in December 2003. One of the most recent agreements  involved licensing wearables-related technology to Olio Devices, a niche watchmaker. “Maybe Microsoft has been watching what Google’s doing (with technology licenses) and longingly remembering their big (operating system) licensing days,” said Raskind. “That could be where they are going with the Olio deal.” Pratap says 700 of Microsoft’s wearables patents are based on Microsoft’s own research. “According to our analysis, 49 patents and applications (were) acquired from Tangis,” he said. Microsoft  acquired another seven from Osterhout Group and one was acquired from Antenova. So what, if anything, is Microsoft planning in wearables? “I’m not necessarily watching for a Microsoft wearables pop-up retail store next Christmas,” said Amy Webb, founder of technology forecasting and strategy consulting firm Webbmedia Group. Webb and others say there are more lucrative, near-term markets for wearables for Microsoft to exploit with its portfolio. More on that in a moment… Microsoft’s intellectual-property cache might surprise some. The company sells only one internally developed wearable product, the Band 2 fitness tracker bracelet, and executives say they will begin selling eyewear called HoloLens by April. Plus, executives rarely discuss Microsoft’s large overall patent portfolio. Indeed, Microsoft declined to comment for this story. “Whenever we do a patent analysis like this, we find that the biggest (technology) companies in a sector have the most patent filings,” Pratap said, thanks to their often large research-and-development units. R&D spending by Microsoft has been gradually rising since 2010, reaching $12 billion in 2015, according to market-statistics firm Statista. Pratap points out that Microsoft’s wearables portfolio began before it had a wearables product line. The earliest relevant patents resulted from other research projects. Over time, these innovations were recognized as addressing the new wearables market. This is common for tech and manufacturing companies, he says. Microsoft Tech Licenses Built Its Business Like all successful technology innovators, Microsoft has much experience — good and bad — with developing products and licensing technology. The company’s first hits were the MS-DOS and Window operating systems, both of which were licensed so extensively that Microsoft endured years of antitrust lawsuits in the U.S. and Europe. There have been notable failures, too. Microsoft intellectual property was used to develop the firm’s Zune digital music hardware. Microsoft also licensed Zune technology. Neither approach could save the entertainment player, which was discontinued last fall. Webb says developing products and licensing technology each have advantages and disadvantages. Licensing intellectual property typically brings modest, low-risk and ongoing revenue. A disadvantage of licensing is that it can put the licensee in the background when the technology succeeds in someone else’s product. Development costs more compared with licensing and puts any failure in a company’s lap. But the potential revenue upside is far larger, and the company is tied visibly to market success. While Webb says she has not had any contact with Microsoft regarding wearables, she feels the company is not likely to focus its related intellectual property solely or even primarily on consumer goods like fitness trackers. She said the most immediate market is for business-to-business applications (as was the case for MS-DOS), and what she calls “B-to-D” — business-to-doctor. Health-monitoring and diagnostic roles for wearables are growing today, and they should continue to expand as medical wearables become small, inexpensive and sophisticated, Webb said. But rival Apple is making an aggressive bid to invade health care with mobile devices, including the iWatch, and HealthKit, the company’s software platform for health-related applications. According to Black Book Market Research, almost 70% of physicians using medical apps do so on iPhones . That is a size-14 foot in the door for Apple. Webb says the promise of significant new revenue and the need to keep Apple at bay are likely to persuade Nadella to sift Microsoft’s patent portfolio for related innovations.

Apple Seeks Reversal Of Judge’s Order In iPhone Encryption Case

Apple ( AAPL ) on Thursday asked a federal judge to reverse her order that the company work with the FBI to hack a password-protected iPhone used by one of the shooters in the San Bernardino, Calif., terrorist attack. In a court filing, Apple argued that the government has overstepped its bounds. “The government’s request here creates an unprecedented burden on Apple and violates Apple’s First Amendment rights against compelled speech,” it said. To fulfill the government’s demands, Apple would have to write special software that would create a “backdoor” to bypass the iPhone’s privacy and security protections. Apple CEO Tim Cook has said that complying with the court order would set a “dangerous precedent” that threatens the personal data of all iPhone users. If Apple creates the software that the government wants, it would make iPhones vulnerable to hackers, criminals, and foreign and domestic spies, he said. “This is not a case about one isolated iPhone,” Apple’s legal team wrote. “Rather, this case is about the Department of Justice and the FBI seeking through the courts a dangerous power that Congress and the American people have withheld: the ability to force companies like Apple to undermine the basic security and privacy interests of hundreds of millions of individuals around the globe.” Apple’s motion to vacate says the court order would open the floodgates to other law enforcement and government requests to hack iPhone security. Apple said the Justice Department and FBI are trying to do an end run around Congress and use the courts to set a legal precedent by invoking “terrorism.” Earlier Thursday, FBI Director James Comey told a congressional panel that court approval of the FBI’s request was “unlikely to be a trailblazer” in other cases. While the case “will be instructive for other courts,” larger policy questions about reasonable law enforcement access to encrypted data will need to be resolved by Congress and others, Comey said, according to Reuters . Microsoft ( MSFT ) President and Chief Legal Officer Brad Smith said his company “wholeheartedly” sides with Apple in its fight with the FBI over unlocking a terrorist’s iPhone, the Seattle Times reported . “We at Microsoft support Apple and will be filing an amicus brief next week,” Smith said Thursday during a congressional hearing on laws governing data transfers across borders. An Amazon.com ( AMZN ) spokesperson said that company is looking to file a brief supporting Apple’s position, BuzzFeed reported , and Alphabet ‘s ( GOOGL ) Google is also in support. On Feb. 16, U.S. Magistrate Sheri Pym ordered Apple to provide “reasonable technical assistance” to the FBI to unlock an iPhone belonging to Syed Farook, one of the killers in the San Bernardino shootings. The order calls for Apple to create software that can get around or disable the security option that erases data from an iPhone after 10 unsuccessful attempts to unlock it. Farook and his wife, Tashfeen Malik, shot and killed 14 people on Dec. 2. The radicalized Muslim couple, described in press reports as supporters of terror group ISIS, later died in a gun battle with police. RELATED: Poll Shows Solid Support For Apple In iPhone Encryption Case .