Hewlett Packard Enterprise Still Wrestles With Cisco, Juniper
One day before Hewlett Packard Enterprise ( HPE ) was slated to post fiscal Q1 earnings, the stock of half of the old computing pioneer Hewlett-Packard Co. was up 4% in afternoon trading in the stock market today . The stock was doing what analysts expect it to do, outperforming the other half of the legacy company, HP Inc. ( HPQ ), whose shares were up a fraction this afternoon. The stocks, of course, reflect the market’s interpretation of the companies’ operational performance since splitting into two from the legacy corporation in November. HP, which reported earnings last week, kept the PC and printer businesses — and the old HPQ ticker. Hewlett Packard Enterprise kept the server, storage, networking, enterprise-software and cloud-migration businesses, seen as faster-growing endeavors, and kept the CEO, Meg Whitman, who still chairs both companies. Hardware and equipment-product sales comprise about 38% of Hewlett Packard Enterprise revenue, with services generating the rest. For the quarter ended Jan . 31, analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect HPE to report earnings down 17% to 40 cents per share on revenue down 2.7% to $12.68 billion, vs. a pro forma 48 cents on $13.03 billion in the 2015 Q1. The company reports after the market close. HP Inc.’s Q1 EPS and sales each fell 12%, to 36 cents and $12.2 billion. For its first fiscal year ending in October, Hewlett Packard Enterprise expects EPS minus items of $1.85-$1.95, up from the $1.84 pro forma earned in 2015, on revenue of $50.81 billion, down 2.5% from the pro forma $52.12 billion of 2015. Analysts have modeled $1.87 and $50.73 billion. “We like HPE because decent execution should be sufficient to move the stock higher,” said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich in a February research note. “We believe growth in servers, networking and storage, stabilization in high-margin technology services and continued improvement in the Enterprise Services margin should help close the gap between the current P/E of 7x and our target of 10x. “Storage head Manish Goel, as well as a few of our industry sources, say that HPE is taking business from Dell/ EMC ( EMC ) during their proposed merge. Still, we think it’s time for Meg Whitman to provide a vision for the company. IBM ( IBM ) has cognitive computing. What does hardware-heavy HPE want to be in 3-5 years and what will be its differentiation?” Nomura doesn’t cover HPE, analyst James Chen advised IBD Wednesday, but he and colleague Jeffrey Kvaal are watching closely as HPE competes with companies that Nomura does cover, such as Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), Juniper Networks ( JNPR ) and Arista Networks ( ANET ). Nomura said he expects 3% sales growth for HPE’s enterprise group this fiscal year, compared with Cisco and Juniper’s guidance ranges of 3% to 6%. Hewlett Packard Enterprise’s “projected growth rates are not likely to threaten networking incumbents, but don’t imply much share loss either,” the Nomura analysts said in a research note. HPE’s hybrid cloud business competes with IBM, Microsoft ‘s ( MSFT ) Azure, Amazon ( AMZN ) Web Services and Alphabet ‘s ( GOOGL ) Google Cloud Platform services. Big Data startup Hortonworks ( HDP ), the Hadoop developer, on Tuesday said it would collaborate with HPE on the use of Apache Spark, making use of shared memory in HPE enterprise environments. UBS analyst Mulinovich, in his February note, said that “upon the split we argued in favor of HPE over HPQ stock. . . . Hewlett Packard Enterprise has momentum with expected slight revenue growth in constant currency and an improving operating margin in fiscal 2016.” Wednesday afternoon, Hewlett Packard Enterprise stock was 13% off its Dec. 1 record high of 15.88, while HP Inc. was 26% off its record high of 14.82, set Nov. 24.