Tag Archives: googl

Are Apple, Facebook, Google Shopping For Payments Acquisitions?

Silicon Valley tech giants Apple ( AAPL ), Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet ‘s ( GOOGL ) Google are likely to begin acquiring payments firms, with PayPal ( PYPL ) among the possible targets, investment bank Wedbush said after polling what it termed a panel of experts. The shopping spree will be sparked by slowing industry growth and “capital markets back at higher valuations,” Wedbush analyst Gil Luria wrote in a research note Monday. The panel told Wedbush that Google would be the best fit to acquire PayPal. Luria, however, disagreed with the panel, writing that he believes MasterCard ( MA ) would gain more value from a PayPal acquisition. PayPal stock was up 4%, near 41, in late-afternoon trading on the stock market today . The IBD Leaderboard stock cleared a 40.03 buy point early Monday. The stock has an IBD Composite Rating of 94, where 99 is the highest. Wedbush panelists included a former senior vice president at PayPal, as well as executives with credit card companies including MasterCard. On Sunday, PayPal announced that it would be opening up its money-transfer service Xoom to Cuba. The announcement coincided with President Obama’s historic trip to the island nation. Square Not Likely To Be Acquired The report dismissed Square ( SQ ) as a potential acquisition target until it can attract more than just “small-ticket merchants,” Luria cited the panelists as saying. Luria speculated that Visa ( V ) would unload its approximately 1% stake in Square vs. acquiring more. Earlier this month, Square posted its first quarterly earnings reports since its November IPO. Results met Wall Street expectations, but slowing merchant growth led to a disappointing outlook . Square stock rose to a 2016 high on Monday, up 10% near 13, in late-afternoon trading. The gains came with no apparent news. In an email, Luria told IBD, “Square is very heavily shorted with a very small float — that has translated into significant volatility in the share price, including today.” The float will rise in less than two months: The IPO lockup period for insiders and major venture capital investors expires May 17. The panelists said that if Square’s lending business continues to grow at 200% to 300%, it will likely “end badly.” Square Capital provides cash advances to some of Square’s small-merchant customers. But Square Capital is essentially a subprime lender, Luria has told IBD.

Yahoo Facing A ‘Take Under’ As Facebook Deal Rumored, Products Cut

Yahoo ( YHOO ) could be facing a “take-under” — a buyout price lower than market value — from any of a number of private equity firms that might then dismantle the troubled Web company, an analyst said Monday. Private equity groups including Silver Lake, TPG and Blackstone might be interested in Yahoo, Rosenblatt Securities said in a research note. Yahoo has been looking at potential buyers while it pares costs, as the company has struggled to re-spark growth. “Yahoo did not get any seasonal uplift from 4Q digital media advertising demand, relative to its much larger peers like Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ), which we think underscores the ongoing competitive challenges for audience and engagement growth across digital media platforms and properties,” wrote Rosenblatt analyst Martin Pyykkonen. “We would expect large private equity investors to seek a deep discount, perhaps even a take-under relative to Yahoo’s implied market value, with an intent to split the core business apart to try to generate value from the sum of the parts vs. the current whole value of the core business,” Pyykkonen said. Rosenblatt maintains a sell rating and price target of 30 on Yahoo stock. Yahoo stock rose 0.7% to 35.40 in afternoon trading in the stock market today , earlier touching a three-month high of 36.10. Excluding its 15% stake in China e-commerce giant Alibaba Group ( BABA ), Pyykkonen said, “Yahoo’s current market cap implies $3.3 billion valuation for the core business and the Yahoo Japan stake. We think the fundamental outlook for Yahoo as a ‘growth’ stock is continuing to erode, especially in light of strong secular trends which are benefiting the likes of Facebook and Google owner Alphabet, both of which have more revenue concentration from mobile advertising,” he said. Yahoo’s overall market value currently is near $33.5 billion. Is Yahoo The Next DoubleClick? “Financial engineering” alone won’t fix Yahoo’s growth ills, Pyykkonen said. He pointed to the once-public DoubleClick as an example of what might happen with Yahoo. “In 2005, DoubleClick was acquired by private equity firms Hellman, Friedman and JMI Equity for $1.1B and then sold to Alphabet (Google) just two years later, in 2007, for $3.1 billion. The nearly 3x private equity return was due to DoubleClick being a broken company and stock with poor management execution, but also having core technology and a revenue growth outlook,” said Pyykkonen. In a recent securities filing , Yahoo said it has written down the value of its Tumblr operation by 20% as the microblog’s revenue did not meet Yahoo’s internal projection for 2015, he said. A report in The Information said that Yahoo is considering a deal with Facebook to allow the giant social network to sell ads inside Tumblr’s mobile app, with Yahoo and Facebook splitting the revenue. Tumblr is among the few assets within Yahoo whose audience is growing, The Information said. Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is under intensified pressure from major investor Starboard Value, which has urged the exit of Mayer and some directors, as well as the spinoff of Yahoo’s core search business. Yahoo directors are close to offering at least two board seats to the activist hedge fund in order to avert a proxy fight, according to a recent New York Post report. Board member nominations are due by March 26, said Pyykkonen. Dozens of groups are expressing interest in buying the struggling Yahoo, say analysts, with Verizon ( VZ ) among those said to be the most likely acquirer. Facebook and Alphabet carry the highest-possible IBD Composite Rating of 99, while Alibaba has a CR of 82 and Yahoo’s CR is just 40.

Amazon, Google Cloud Services Price War Back On Amid Apple Loss?

A cloud computing price war pitting Google vs. Amazon Web Services could be back on amid Amazon’s customer defections, most notably Apple ( AAPL ), says Oppenheimer. The investment bank cut its price target on Amazon.com ( AMZN ) stock and lowered its AWS revenue estimates. Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein forecasts that AWS will slash prices for cloud services by 10% after Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google’s user conference Wednesday and Thursday. Some observers speculate that Google could cut prices for its infrastructure-as-a-service offering, in which customers rent computer servers and data storage systems via the Internet. Apple has reportedly shifted some of its iCloud business to Google from AWS. AWS is the biggest IaaS provider, followed by Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Google. Helfstein says that AWS also faces market share gains by Microsoft’s Azure cloud service. “We believe AWS will reduce prices 10%, vs. 5% previously, following this week’s Google Cloud Platform event,” wrote Helfstein in a research report. “While AWS is still far ahead of the competition in features and services, as reflected in zero price reductions in 2015, we cannot ignore recent press reports of potential client losses (Apple, Spotify and Dropbox).” The new boss of Google’s cloud business, Diane Greene, will make her debut at this week’s user conference. In November, Google acquired Greene’s startup, Bebop, for $380 million. Helfstein lowered his price target on Amazon stock to 660 from 700. He lowered 2016 and 2017 AWS revenue estimates by 4% and 11%, respectively. While AWS has been the biggest IaaS price-cutter of the last decade, Google has been aggressive since moving into the market. Google slashed prices in March 2014, October 2014 and June 2015. “With no price reductions in 2015, AWS clearly viewed itself in a very strong competitive position. However, this was out-of-sync with the historical trend of 20%-25% annual price reductions and the 45% reduction in 2014 (mostly in reaction to Google),” added the Oppenheimer analyst.