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Comcast To File As Wireless Auction Bidder, Sets $5 Bil Stock Buyback

Comcast ( CMCSA ) plans to file as a bidder in next month’s auction of wireless spectrum, the cable TV firm confirmed on its earnings conference call Wednesday, in a move that could reshape the telecom industry. One big question is whether Comcast aims to be a national player in wireless or provide mobile video services within its service area. Comcast has been building out a public Wi-Fi network using unlicensed spectrum within its local markets. If Comcast aims to go national, it could team up with another cable firm,  Charter Communications ( CHTR ); or it could acquire feisty  T-Mobile US ( TMUS ) or debt-laden Sprint ( S ); or it could partner with industry powerhouse  Verizon Communications ( VZ ), perhaps the most attractive option from a balance-sheet view. “Wireless is a national market, and it’s the nature of mobility services that customers don’t only use them in their home markets.  Eventually, if Comcast is going to be a player, they will need to have a national solution,” said Craig Moffett, analyst at MoffettNathanson. Comcast hiked its stock repurchase program by $5 billion, at the low end of analysts’ estimates amid concern that Comcast would indeed bid in the auction and how much it might spend. In 2015, Comcast repurchased 115.9 million shares for $6.75 billion.  Comcast raised its dividend in 2016 by 10% to $1.10 per share. Analysts at Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Jefferies and Deutsche Bank have estimated Comcast will spend $4 billion to $6 billion in the spectrum auction. Comcast Not Committing To Bid Comcast CFO Michael Cavanagh, on the company’s earnings conference call, said the $5 billion added to Comcast’s stock buyback program would not be lowered by possible auction spending. He also said Comcast might end up not bidding at all vs. AT&T ( T ), Verizon and T-Mobile. Sprint has said it will sit out the auction. Some observers also speculate Google owner Alphabet ( GOOGL ) could file as a bidder, though the Internet giant did not say so on its earnings call on Monday. “We’re going to take a paddle in the auction, which means we’re going to evaluate, consider  purchasing spectrum, but only if the price is right after we do our evaluation of what’s available,” said Cavanagh. Comcast stock rose 6%, to 57.84, in the stock market today . The Federal Communications Commission plans to begin the Broadcast Incentive Auction on March 29. Comcast, however, said it expects the auction to start “late spring or early summer.” The auction, which could last as long as five months, will free up an estimated 60 megahertz to 80 MHz of prime, low-frequency radio spectrum owned by local TV broadcasters. For the auction to be successful, bidding prices have to reach levels high enough so that TV broadcasters follow through and sell spectrum. Low-frequency airwaves travel over long distances and through walls, improving in-building services. AT&T and Verizon own more than 70% of low-frequency airwaves in the top 100 U.S. markets. AT&T acquired satellite broadcaster DirecTV in July, putting pressure on Comcast to push into wireless. The jury is still out on whether AT&T’s strategy to sell product bundles of wireless and pay-TV services will jell, analysts say. Comcast has rights to lease wholesale network capacity on Verizon’s network. In the industry, network-leasing deals are referred to as MVNO (mobile virtual network operator) agreements. Verizon and Comcast have seemed at an impasse in reworking terms of their 2011 deal to account for exploding data traffic and 4G services. Verizon, though, could still partner with Comcast, an option that becomes more plausible if it divests its landline FiOS TV business. Another Comcast option is partnering within the cable industry. Charter Communications, which is seeking regulatory approval to acquire Time Warner Cable ( TWC ) and Bright House Networks, has declared wireless ambitions. But, Charter will likely sit out the TV broadcast auction. “Longer term, they may do something with Charter,” Moffett added. “But until Charter’s deal is approved, Charter’s hands are very likely tied.  Comcast will have to make decisions about a national offering on their own.” T-Mobile Still Searching For Partners Some analysts say that the network reach and quality of a hybrid Wi-Fi/cellphone network would not be sufficient vs. the combo of AT&T-DirecTV. That’s why speculation that Comcast could buy T-Mobile persists. T-Mobile has openly courted cable industry partners. On the other hand, if cable TV companies emerge as serious players in wireless services, on their own or through a Verizon alliance, it increases competition and could open the door to a T-Mobile-Sprint merger, some analysts say. Comcast, which owns NBCUniversal,  reported Q4 revenue that topped analysts’ estimates, but profit was light. Comcast added 89,000 video subscribers, up from 6,000 in the year-earlier period. Comcast has stepped up promotions of lower priced skinny bundles with fewer TV channels and promotions to college students. Comcast added 460,000 broadband customers in Q4, up from 375,000 added in the year-earlier period. Analysts say its deployment of  Internet-ready X1 set-top boxes has also improved video subscriber results. X1 users represent 30% of its video subscriber base, Comcast says. Excluding the acquisition of Universal Studios Japan, Q4 revenue rose 7.6% to $19.1 billion. Adjusted EPS rose 5.2% to 81 cents. Analysts had modeled revenue of $18.76 billion and profit of 82 cents. Comcast said it expects cable programming costs to rise 10% in 2016 as it negotiates new contracts for on-demand and out-of-home viewing rights to content. In Q4, cable capital spending rose 10.2%, to $2.1 billion, the company says. NBCUniversal’s revenue rose 13% to $7.5 billion in Q4. Operating cash flow rose 8.7% to $1.6 billion, boosted by film and theme parks, but OCF fell 1.9% at cable networks to $894 million.

Yahoo Lacks ‘Growth Pulse,’ Stock Down On Latest Turnaround Plan

Yahoo ( YHOO ) outlined a new turnaround strategy late Tuesday along with a Q4 revenue beat, but the beleaguered Web portal’s new plan “sounds a lot like the old plans,” according to Pacific Crest Securities analyst Evan Wilson, who lowered his 2016 revenue and earnings estimates for the company. “Yahoo beat Q4 estimates but is still struggling for organic growth,” wrote Wilson in an industry note. He said that Yahoo’s new  plan “looks more dire than the previous plan.” Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer said that the plan includes a new round of job cuts and a possible reverse spinoff of the core business. And, she said, “The board will also engage with other qualified strategic proposals.” Analysts say that Yahoo’s latest plan essentially puts the company on the sales block. “After 10 reported layoffs, countless plans and CEO after CEO, it is hard to blame management or the strategy,” wrote Wilson. “The core search and display assets are limited by scale and data, and we do not see a way out of it save for linking with a platform that is not so limited.” Yahoo stock closed down 4.8% at 27.68 on the stock market today . Earlier in the day, Yahoo slid to 26.57, its lowest point since September 2013. Yahoo stock is down 38% over the past 12 months. Yahoo stock got at least six price-target cuts from investment banks Wednesday. Rosenblatt Securities analyst Martin Pyykkonen downgraded it to sell from neutral, saying that he couldn’t find “a growth pulse” on Yahoo stock, as advertising dollars increasingly slip away to rivals. “ Facebook ( FB ), Alphabet ( GOOGL ), Netflix ( NFLX ), etc. are obvious, but there are also a vast number of smaller properties taking usage and traffic away from Yahoo and its properties,” Pyykkonen said. Nomura analyst Anthony DiClemente said that while Yahoo’s core business was “modestly higher” in Q4, the company’s guidance for Q1 and 2016 missed his expectations. “We were discouraged by Q1 guidance, which suggests 13% margins; guidance for Q1 implies net revenue and EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) declines of 19% and 53% year over year, respectively,” said DiClemente. Nomura lowered its target price on Yahoo stock to 34 from 40, adjusting for recent changes in the valuation of Yahoo’s holdings in China e-commerce giant Alibaba Group ( BABA ). Yahoo owns a 15% stake in Alibaba, about 385 million shares. After an initial plan to spin off its Alibaba shares, Yahoo reversed course following tax concerns. On Tuesday, Yahoo indicated that a reverse spinoff of its stake in Alibaba still remains a possibility. But Yahoo will close its offices in Dubai, Mexico City, Buenos Aires, Madrid and Milan. Alibaba stock was down 3%, near 63, in midday trading Wednesday, and its shares are down more than 30% in the past 12 months. Along with its Q4 earnings, Yahoo announced that it will cut 15% of its workforce — roughly 1,600 jobs — and look to sell non-core divisions and assets, such as patents and real estate, as part of a strategic plan to return the company to what it forecasts as modest though accelerating growth in 2017 and 2018. The company’s turnaround plan includes continued investment in what the company calls “Mavens,” Mayer said. Mavens refers to Yahoo’s mobile, video, native and social businesses, where its ad revenue is growing. Mayer said that Yahoo’s consumer products division will consist of three global platforms — Search, Mail and Tumblr — and that it will focus on four vertical markets: news, sports, finance and lifestyle. Yahoo said that Q4 earnings excluding items plunged 57% from the year-earlier quarter to 13 cents a share, meeting the views of FactSet and analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. Yahoo said that revenue minus traffic acquisition costs — what the company pays other sites to carry its ads — fell 15% to $1.002 billion. Still, it that beat FactSet’s $948.2 million forecast. Yahoo added that its total revenue in Q4 rose 1.6% to $1.27 billion, where Thomson Reuters had expected $1.19 billion. For Q1, Yahoo is guiding GAAP revenue at $1.005 billion to $1.09 billion, down 17.9% to down 11%.

This FANG Stock Just Tripped A Very Bearish Signal

Loading the player… FANG stocks Facebook ( FB ), Amazon ( AMZN ), Netflix ( NFLX ) and Google parent Alphabet ( GOOGL ) are all falling in heaving volume in the stock market today . Amazon is now tripping a bearish signal, shortly after the e-commerce giant’s quarterly report missed analyst expectations. Wall Street’s disappointment comes even as Amazon has continued to make outsized market share gains, posting a new record for annual sales and its largest profit in at least four years. But shares closed down 3.8% in heavy volume on Wednesday, dropping below the critical 200-day line in intraday trade for the first time in about a year. The stock has pared some of its losses, but unless Amazon can close the session above the line, that’s a bearish signal. It’s now more than 20% below its high reached in December. Fellow FANG stock Netflix has been trading below its 200-day line for several weeks now. On Wednesday, the stock finished 0.8% lower. After reversing lower from a new high in Tuesday’s session, Facebook is falling for a second day in big volume, threatening to round-trip from its recent breakout. Shares ended Wednesday down 1.7%. Google parent Alphabet fell 4% in heavy turnover and undercut the 50-day line after retaking that level last Friday. It’s now 7.5% below its intraday high reached in Tuesday’s session after the Alphabet’s strong Monday night earnings report.