Tag Archives: environment

Plan To Survive: Be Systematic! (Part 4)

My favorite strategy indices have a low correlation to both stocks and to bonds. As always, our cutting-edge strategy indices are only available to subscribers, but I hope that some of the strategy indices presented here will provide inspiration for readers to create their own methods for dealing with an increasingly difficult investment environment. Remember, hope is for people who do not use data. Wise investors plan using evidence-based methods. The logic behind this strategy index is that we can generate return from exposure to a leveraged S&P 500 position which only risks 30% of our capital. The position almost acts like a synthetic call option on the S&P 500. We can hedge this exposure imperfectly, but somewhat effectively, by buying leveraged long duration government bonds, getting short leveraged Euros (deflation anyone?), and by buying leveraged gold in case of monetary instability or inflation. I think this strategy could struggle if stocks and bonds drop simultaneously, with the dollar weakening vs. other currencies. Please note that even though the rules of this strategy index have been publicly released, like any other index, we require the execution of a licensing agreement with ZOMMA LLC for any form of commercial use, whatsoever. ZOMMA Quant Warthog II Rules: I. Buy UPRO (NYSEARCA: UPRO ) with 30% of the dollar value of the portfolio. II. Buy TMF (NYSEARCA: TMF ) with 20% of the dollar value of the portfolio III. Buy EUO (NYSEARCA: EUO ) with 40% of the dollar value of the portfolio. IV. Buy UGL (NYSEARCA: UGL ) with 10% of the dollar value of the portfolio. V. Rebalance annually to maintain the 30%/20%/40%/10% dollar value split between the instruments. Here are the results of a backtest of these rules in a log scale: (click to enlarge) Click to enlarge (click to enlarge) Click to enlarge This strategy index has powered through recent market volatility largely unscathed. Its Sharpe and MAR decimate the S&P 500 over the same period, with true multi-asset class exposure for both return generation and hedging. This helps the strategy achieve a lower volatility than that of the S&P 500, with a CAGR which exceeds the S&P 500’s by approximately 6% per year. Thanks for reading. We feature even more impressive strategy indices in our subscription service. If this post was useful to you, consider giving it a try. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in UPRO, UGL over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Clean Energy Fuels’ (CLNE) CEO Andrew Littlefair on Q4 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Clean Energy Fuels Fourth Quarter and Year End 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I’d now like to turn the conference over to your host Mr. Tony Kritzer, Director of Investor Relations. Go ahead Mr. Kritzer. Tony Kritzer Thank you, operator. Earlier this afternoon, Clean Energy released financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ending December 31, 2015. If you did not receive the release, it is available on the Investor Relations section of the Company’s website at www.cleanenergyfuels.com, where the call is also being webcast. There will be a replay available on the website for 30 days. Before we begin, we’d like to remind you that some of the information contained in the news release and on this conference call, contains forward-looking statements that involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Words of expression reflecting optimism, satisfaction with current prospects, as well as words such as believe, intend, expect, plan, should, anticipate, and similar variations, identify forward-looking statements, but their absence does not mean that the statement is not forward-looking. Such forward-looking statements are not a guarantee of performance, and the Company’s actual results could differ materially from those contained in such statements. Several factors that could cause or contribute to such differences are described in detail in the Risk Factors section of the Clean Energy’s Form 10-K, filed March 3, 2015. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this release. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements or supply new information regarding the circumstances after the date of this release. The Company’s non-GAAP EPS and adjusted EBITDA will be reviewed on this call, and excludes certain expenses that the Company’s management does not believe are indicative of the Company’s core business operating results. Non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to results prepared in accordance with GAAP, and should not be considered as a substitute for, or superior to, GAAP results. The directly comparable GAAP information, reasons why management uses non-GAAP information, a definition of non-GAAP EPS and adjusted EBITDA, and a reconciliation between these non-GAAP and GAAP figures is provided in the Company’s press release, which has been furnished to the SEC on Form 8-K today. Participating on today’s call from the Company is President and Chief Executive Officer, Andrew Littlefair; and Chief Financial Officer, Bob Vreeland. And with that, I will turn the call over to Andrew. Andrew Littlefair Thank you, Tony. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us. I’m going to keep my remarks focused on what we feel are the most important takeaways from 2015 and looking forward into 2016. For the fourth quarter, we delivered 78.3 million gallons to our customers. This is an 8% increase over the 72.4 million gallons we delivered during the fourth quarter of 2014. For the full year, we delivered 308.5 million gallons, 16% or 43-million-gallon increase. I think it’s important to remind everyone that despite the global oil price decline and the rippling effects it has caused throughout the energy industry, we’ve continued to grow our delivered volumes in every single quarter. We’re growing in the most challenging energy market in quite some time and our recurring revenue model is intact. We reported fourth quarter revenue of a $119 million which included $31 million of alternative fuel tax credit. For the full year, we reported revenue of $384 million. Revenue was down compared to last year, principally because of three reasons including lower commodity costs. While lower natural gas commodity prices are good for us and for our customers, they do impact our top line revenue. Revenues were also impacted by continued softness in the global compressor business due to lower oil prices and a strong U.S. dollar. And finally, our station construction revenues were down as compared to 2014 because we completed more station upgrade projects and fewer full stations. All total, we completed 67 station projects in 2015. It is important to note that our station construction projects tend to be cyclical between station upgrades versus full stations. And we anticipate construction revenues in 2016 to benefit from an increase of full station projects. We currently have more refuse station construction projects in the pipeline for 2016 than we’ve ever had in our history. We believe our robust construction pipeline is solid indicator that our customers continue to make investments in expanding their fleets and committed to their sustainability goals. As I’ve emphasized on previous earnings calls, natural gas fuelling is the most effective immediate solution a company can take towards achieving greater sustainability. These environmental benefits will be unmatched with the Cummins Westport Low NOx engine, especially when combined with our Redeem renewable fuel. This combination is cleaner than running an electric vehicle that is plugged into the grid. As we announced in early February, Redeem sales more than doubled in 2015 to 15 million gallons and have become an important fuel for customers like UPS, Ryder, Republic Services, and many transit agencies. Another significant point I’d like to make is that beginning in the third quarter of last year, we crossed over into positive adjusted EBITDA. We’re positive again in the fourth quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $32.9 million. Excluding the alternative fuel tax credit, our adjusted EBITDA was positive $1.9 million. Furthermore, we believe that we will continue to trend positively each quarter of 2016. Lastly, I want to provide an update on our capital structure. We finished 2015 with approximately $147 million of cash and investments on the balance sheet. Our highest and most immediate priority is to address the 2016 convertible notes, and we were paid $16 million of those notes with cash earlier this week. We expect to repay the remaining balance with the combination of cash and stock. We have also recently bought back $32.5 million of our 2018 convertible notes. Also, so far in the first quarter, we reduced our convertible debt by $92.5 million. But, I want to emphasize that we already have several incoming sources of cash including positive EBITDA, a credit line based on working capital, the alternative fuel tax credit and proceeds from our at-the-market-stock sale program. Our principal uses of cash this year will be for CapEx, interest expense, the opportunistic buyback of the 2018 convertible notes, and paying the remainder of the cash portion of the 2016 convertible notes. We believe our cash position will be about the same at the end of 2016 as it was at the end of 2015; this, even after addressing the 2016 converts and the portion of the 2018 convertible notes. Our CapEx budget for 2016 is about $25 million, which has been reduced by more than 50% from 2015. This will be a targeted only for projects for key anchor fleet customers. I want to reiterate that our business continues to grow because our largest customers continue to invest in their natural gas fleet operation. And our scale and expertise allows us to be their partner of choice across the country. We also continue to gain new customers across our markets of transit, refuse and trucking. The natural gas fuelling industry although facing current headwinds, will continue to be the most cost effective in environmentally beneficial solution for commercial fleets and is here to stay. The pressure of consumer-facing companies to reduce their carbon footprint and emission levels, only [Technical Difficulty] Operator Ladies and gentlemen, please stand by. Ladies and gentlemen, we do apologize for the inconvenience. Our speaker line has disconnected. Give us one moment, and we’ll get them right back. Sorry about that. Gentlemen, we’re back. Andrew Littlefair Good. Well, sorry everybody. It looked like our call dropped. I was just wrapping my remarks. Let me just say that our focus for 2016 is very straight forward, deleveraging the balance sheet; conserving cash; and growing volumes. And with that I’ll turn the call over to Bob. Bob Vreeland Thank you, Andrew and good afternoon to everyone. Overall we had a good fourth quarter with 8% volume growth from a year ago and positive adjusted EBITDA. As Andrew mentioned, annual volumes grew by 43 million gallons or 16.4%. We’ve seen growth in all of our sectors including refuse, transit, trucking and industrial. On our renewable natural gas, we saw decline compared to 2014 due to the sale of our Dallas biomethane plant at the end of 2014. Our revenues for the fourth quarter of 2015 and for the year were less than the same periods in 2014, which is consistent with what we have seen during the first three quarters of 2015. However, it’s important to note that we have improved our adjusted EBITDA in 2015, despite the lower revenue, in part as a result of lower commodity costs, improved operating results at our compression business, lower SG&A spending, together with gross profit margin benefits from our volume growth. Our gross profit margin per gasoline gallon equivalent for the fourth quarter including our low carbon fuel standards credits or LCFS credits was $0.28 per gallon, which compares to $0.28 per gallon in the fourth quarter of 2014. For clarification, we have included the LCFS credits in our volume related revenue and gross profit margin per gallon similar to how we include our RIN credits in our volume related revenue and margin per gallon, and will continue this approach on a go forward basis. While we have seen some pressure on fuel margins from this low oil and diesel price environment, the environmental credits or RINs in the LCFS have benefited our gross profit margin per gallon in 2015. This is testament to the fact that we have both economics associated with fuelling natural gas and additional economic benefits from the environmental attributes of our product offering. Clean Energy Compression Corp. also saw improvements in gross margin as we continue to move in to a standardized product offering. Our SG&A spending of $26.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2015 was 12% lower than a year ago and 4% lower than the third quarter. Throughout 2015, we took appropriate actions on SG&A spending, given the lower price environment and have seen a reduction each quarter. On a year-over-year basis, we have reduced SG&A by approximately $13 million or 10%. And compared to 2013, SG&A has been reduced 18% or $24 million while volumes have increased 44%. Also because we have been successful in sourcing LNG from 27 different locations across the U.S. and since we are closely monitoring and reducing our CapEx, we cancelled our $200 million credit facility with GE, which we put in place three years ago, specifically to finance the construction of two additional LNG plants. Since we never initiated construction of the LNG plants, this facility was undrawn. However, the cancellation of the credit facility meant we could cancel $4 million issued but on debts and warrants. This had the effect of the $54.9 million non-cash interest charge of Q4 and saved us around $1 million annually in cash from not having to pay standby commitment fees. Our adjusted EBITDA for fourth quarter of 2015 was $32.9 million compared to the $37.2 million in 2014, although from a comparability standpoint, 2014 included a $12 million gain from the sale of our Dallas biomethane plant. Our adjusted EBITDA has improved each quarter in 2015, crossing over the positive adjusted EBITDA in Q3 and again in Q4. We see this trend continuing into 2016. For the year, adjusted EBITDA was $27.8 million compared to $23.7 million in 2014. Keep in mind, 2014 included the $12 million gain. Regarding the alternative fuel tax credit what we refer to as VETC, we recorded $31 million of VETC revenue in December 2015, representing VETC for the full year of 2015. On a side note, we collected the $31 million last week. Going forward, in 2016, we will recognize VETC on a quarterly basis, since the tax credit is in effect through the end of 2016. As Andrew mentioned, we have reduced our convertible note debt by $92.5 million thus far in the first quarter of 2016. We utilized existing cash and established a $50 million line of credit, which has a significantly lower interest rate than the convertible debt and is collateralized by a portion of our short-term investments. With that operator, we’ll open the call for questions. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you, gentlemen. At this time, will be conduction a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Rob Brown from Lake Street Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question. Rob Brown On your gallon volume growth, you had nice growth in 2015. What sort of you’re thinking on 2016, should you be able to get double-digit volume growth in 2016 as well? Andrew Littlefair Rob, we probably don’t typically quote a number on that going forward in giving guidance. But one of the strengths that we have is our recurring model. So, we’re seeing very good continuation of the strength of our refuse business and we’ve actually had some good wins in transit. And our transit customers continue to take transit buses. So, we’ll have increase in volume. I’m not going to go out on a limb right and give you exactly if it’s going to be double digits or not. But we have built in our budget a good volume growth. And I don’t know that it will hit — for years and years, we are in the 20% range, Rob, or down a little bit on last year, could be a little bit challenge compared to 2015. But I think it will be in that neighborhood because our existing customers continue to take more vehicles. Rob Brown And then, you talked about a new contract pipeline — sorry, new contraction pipeline being quite large. Can you talk sort of how many units or what industries they’re for, and maybe scope that a little bit? Andrew Littlefair We kind of have two buckets of contraction, some of our own account. And when you look at that CapEx, you have to take out — $25 million, you have take out a portion of that for some trailers that will happen at our Natural Gas Advantage subsidiary. The remainder or the majority of it’s for new stations. And those are for our account; those are station that we own. And you can figure, those stations range around $1.5 million apiece or so. Some of that money in that $25 million will go to open up our truck-stop stations, as we make some of those; we had some CNG to it and things like that. But the bulk of our construction, which should be on the par, I would say in terms of just building stations, if you think of that that way, we did, as I said in my remarks, 57 or so last year. We’ll be in that almost identical, if not up a few from that. Most of those stations will be for our customers and we sell those stations for those customers. And majority of that will be worked and we’ll do for our refuse customers. We really have seen our refuse customers across the board continue to add vehicles, add stations. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we kind of see the construction business ebb and flow, Republic is good example and so is Waste. But, Republic will build stations for Republic in one given year. The next year, they add another 10 or so percent of vehicles at those sites. And so, we will necessarily build more stations, will increase the size of those stations. And then the next year we typically add more stations and so goes. So, the majority of the stations that we’ll see in our construction business will go for refuse. And then we will have pretty good business this year on the transit side, some of which we announced yesterday. Rob Brown And then last question on your balance sheet. I think you said you paid down your — good chunk of your convert in the first quarter here. What’s sort of your plan? I guess it’s due in August. Do you plan to pay — kind of what’s the timing on that rest of that payment, and what’s your plan there? Andrew Littlefair What we said, Rob, is we would take care of it, before it’s due, right? We have several months. And so, it’s really a balance of using cash and stock. We would rather — to the extent, we are going to use stock, we’d like it to be at a higher price and because it therefore will be less dilutive to the Company and its shareholders. And so we will keep an eye on that. We are in very close communication, as you would imagine with those noteholders, having just sent them something $60 million. They understand what we are trying to do, as they are working with us, I think in a very cooperative fashion. And because there wasn’t really anything in those notes that would allow us to prepay. So, they are working with us. And we would like to use as much cash as possible. And so I would say, just watch us over the next several months, as we look to what the oil price does and other things. In the sort of in the summer here, we’ll begin to take care of, clean it all up. Operator Our next question comes from the line of Eric Stine from Craig Hallum. Please proceed with your question. Eric Stine Maybe just [ph] an overall market picture, I mean clearly the people on the fence are probably not doing a whole lot. But just curious, are you seeing any changes to the plans as some of the first movers, any changes in behavior from the shippers due to low oil prices? Andrew Littlefair Eric, you have it exactly the way I talk about it. I mean if you kind of break our business down and you have those customers that have been with us a long time, and I don’t see that there is — has any — hasn’t been really any chink in the armor. Those refuse customers, I mean there hasn’t been a one that has — that decided to go back to diesel. And really that’s been the case even in our over-the-road trucking customers. UPS is continuing to move forward on big deployment of natural gas trucks. But certainly, our transit customers and our refuse guys are moving forward. And I really feel like the economics are still there. We have to remind for the people on the call, let’s remember, we still have an economic proposition, not as good as it was a year ago. But we are still saving versus the other fuel. And Eric, the other I think important point is with all of this going on, with the climate change and talks in Paris, and what you see all the time is sustainability is and continues to be really important thing that these consumer companies, what we call the shippers, they are very mindful of that. And the new rule’s being talked about in California going forward, starting the next couple of years. The introduction of low NOx engines has really kind of raised the bar in terms of NOx emissions. And so, look, this isn’t lost. I spoke to the executive leadership of the American Trucking Association out here in California a month ago, and they are very mindful of fact that the bar continues to be raised in terms of them being cleaner and less carbon. So, right now, while we’re a little pressed on the economics, the payouts gone from maybe at $1 — maybe one year payback little longer to — now it’s closer to two years, we still have an economic offering. And our shipper friends are still putting pressure on our contracted carriers to look for the cleanest option. And so, you’re right. Those that were on the fence this — $1.60 diesel in the Southeast, this has been very challenging, and I understand why they continue to watch. And those people that have been invested continue to move forward with the program. Eric Stine And maybe just sticking with the emissions angle, there’s been a lot of chatter lately about pairing Redeem with the low NOx 8.9-liter that I believe is coming out next month. Just curious, I mean are there any fleet opportunities you see out there that are weighting on that engine? And then maybe any government programs whether it’s Prop 1B funding or others that fit into that? Andrew Littlefair It’s a good point, Eric. I think we really have captured fuels. In fact there was a conference, industry conference, pretty well attended out here at Long Beach couple of weeks ago where it was called game changer, and it was the introduction of this low NOx engine. And remember this engine is 90% less NOx and you compare it — I mean sorry you combine it with our Redeem product and you’re 90% less carbon. That’s really powerful. In my remarks, I said it’s even — it’s cleaner than electric vehicle. And it’s substantially cleaner than anything that’s on the books right now. So, we see that as very important thing in the future. It won’t come to the 12-liter for another couple of years in 2018. You are exactly right, that engine is now — if you are ready to order one of those engines, you go to the OEMs and that process is kind of in the works, as we speak. I think you are going to see some efforts to put these engines with that fuel in the port of LA as they continue to work on cleaning up the environment down there. There’s talk of new standards in California where a portion of renewable natural gas will be required, going forward. So, yes, I really think that for natural gas the renewable fuel is going to be an important piece, as well as this engine. I’m excited about it because it really ups the game, ups the ante for all the other competing alternative fuels. I mean the electrics can’t there on heavy duty on cost basis, and other fuels are just really miles behind. So, when we get a little help on the oil price, you’re going to be able to see really powerful economics again and this environmental advantage with the low NOx and with the low carbon fuel. Eric Stine Maybe just last one from me, just on the SG&A, just any thoughts on additional levers there; good to see that come down again, just wondering how we should think about that trending in 2016? Bob Vreeland Hi, Eric; it’s Bob. Trending, there’s room there. I don’t know that it’ll reduce every single quarter but there’s more room to — that that will trend a little bit down, probably for the whole year. Andrew Littlefair We’ve made additional trim, additional reduction. Keep in mind, we’re growing. And so there’s a limit here. I mean, as Bob mentioned for the last couple of years, we’ve grown 40% on volume or so and we’ve reduced our SG&A by 18% or whatever it is. And we’re continuing to cut this year. We’re beginning to get to the point where it’s — we’re getting kind of close to I think being at about the right level on the SG&A spending. So, I guess if you look at it going forward, if you’re doing some modeling, you’re beginning to get it about I think where you could kind of level it off, at this level. We may see it come down a little bit more. Bob Vreeland Right. And that’s just because some of the actions that we’ve taken. You haven’t seen a full year in ‘15, and so it’s not so much about taking more actions, it’s about kind of feeling the effects of what we’ve already done for a full year. But that ends up being a little bit less than say, if you were to go in and start taking some other actions. Operator Our next question comes from the line of Ian Scime with Highbridge Capital. Please proceed with your question. Ian Scime This is really just a housekeeping item. So, first off, we’re really encouraged to see the proactive measures that you guys are taking to address the balance sheet. So just a quick question on VETC. Additional $31 million that you guys got came in after quarter-end, correct? So, if I think about your pro forma cash before the debt repurchases, it’s actually closer to $180 million. Is that correct? Bob Vreeland Yes, we received that here in the last week. Ian Scime And then going forward, it’s on a quarterly basis, correct? Bob Vreeland Yes. And there is a filing piece. So, we’ll recognize it in our numbers for sure. The collection then is a little bit depending upon the U.S. government. Operator Our next question comes from the line of Pavel Molchanov from Raymond James. Please proceed with your question. Pavel Molchanov First, kind of a small housekeeping follow-up on the previous question. What was operating cash flow in Q4? It was still negative because you hadn’t collected the VETC, is that right? Bob Vreeland Yes. It was about negative 11 in Q4. Pavel Molchanov Okay, got it. Bob Vreeland So, because we were year-to-date about negative 1, and we ended 2015 at negative 12. Pavel Molchanov Okay, perfect. And then little more broadly. So, you guys have had some PR about supplying LNG fuel ships on the West Coast. There was a deal signed couple of weeks ago between Shell and Maersk to develop the LNG marine fuel market. Is that still kind of an early stage opportunity or are you actually seeing some more substance to that addressable market? Andrew Littlefair I think it’s still early. But, as I think you pointed out, it seems to continue to — we keep seeing twins pop up here and there. I think there has been a few other ship announcements on both coasts. It seems like there is a trend there but it’s slow, right? You’ve got to repower these ships, it takes time and drydock and these engines, it seems to me slow. So, I don’t think you are going to see it hockey stick here but it seems like there is more happening all the time on that front. Pavel Molchanov Okay. Is there any hope for LNG volumes because it seems like they’re on a continual downward trend for you guys? Bob Vreeland They’re a little flat, yes. but — and I would say there is hope. Yes, absolutely because… Andrew Littlefair Yes, I think so. I think you are going to see — our view is that as the adoption rate picks up — I mean it’s going to be essentially flat I think on the heavy duty trucking side. We saw — LNG was flat mainly, the trucking increased actually but it was flat because of the oil patch and where we’re selling LNG and the oil patch. So, last year that part of the business, the stationary part was down. I think that over a longer period of time, and leaving the oil patch aside and have small plants and some other things that we’ve done is that we still believe, and I know you and I have disagreed over time on this but we see that the LNG will be viable in the regular part of the business. It’s been successful. Our Raven friends who have just added more trucks here that we’ve released yesterday and we have some other customers that are doing the same. So, I think as we kind of get by this environment where it’s been relatively flat, where you see the CNG versus LNG split got 70-30 or so, I still think there is plenty of room for the LNG. So, I think and over time, as this spreads and goes into more fleets, gets a little deeper into the country and it becomes the more sleeper cast, [ph] more a regular route, you will see LNG take a good care of that market because of the advantages that it has range and weight and another things. Operator There are no further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the conference back over to Andrew Littlefair for any closing comments. Andrew Littlefair Good. Thank you, operator. And thank you all for dialing in this afternoon. We look forward to updating you all on our progress next quarter. Bye-bye. Thank you. Operator Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s teleconference. Thank you for your time and participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. 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NRG Energy’s (NRG) CEO Mauricio Gutierrez on Q4 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Operator Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the NRG Energy Fourth Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, there will be a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today’s call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Kevin Cole, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin. Kevin Cole Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to NRG Energy’s full year and fourth quarter 2015 earnings call. This morning’s call is being broadcast live over the phone and via the webcast, which can be located on the Investor Relations section of our website at www.nrg.com under Presentations & Webcasts. As this is a call for NRG Energy, any statements made in this call that may pertain to NRG Yield will be provided from NRG perspective. Please note that today’s discussion may contain forward-looking statements, which are based on assumptions that we believe to be reasonable as of this date. Actual results may differ materially. We urge everyone to review the Safe Harbor in today’s presentation as well as the risk factors in our SEC filings. We undertake no obligation to update these statements as a result of future events, except as required by law. In addition, we will refer to both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. For information regarding our non-GAAP financial measures and the reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, please refer to today’s press release and presentation. With that, I’ll now turn the call over to Mauricio Gutierrez, NRG’s President and Chief Executive Officer. Mauricio Gutierrez Thank you, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. Joining me today and covering the financial part of the presentation is Kirk Andrews, our Chief Financial Officer. In addition, Elizabeth Killinger, Head of Retail; and Chris Moser, Head of Commercial Operations are available for questions. Let me also formally welcome Kevin Cole, as our new Head of Investor Relations. He is well-known by many of you, having spent a number of years in the energy sector on both the buy and sell side. I also want to thank Chad Plotkin for providing transitional support over the past few months and wish him well, as he moves on to take other responsibilities within the Company. Before we begin, I want to take a moment to acknowledge and thank David Crane for his years of service at NRG. We are grateful for his many contributions to the Company for over a decade. And I want to wish him well in his next endeavors. Today is my first time, addressing you as CEO of NRG. So, I’m going to deviate slightly from our normal earnings agenda because I want to use this time to not only report on the results of our business, which were exceptional, but also to give you my perspective on the strategic direction of the Company and our immediate priorities. So, let’s begin on slide four, where I have outlined the key messages you should take away from today’s call. First, as our financial performance has shown time and time again, we have the right portfolio and the right platform to succeed in this environment. Our business delivers strong results, during periods of low prices and importantly, our generation fleet remains significantly levered till market recovers. Second, in this environment, we will benefit from having a stronger balance sheet. We have initiated a comprehensive plan to reduce debt, streamline costs, and replenish capital. We are proactively doing this to take advantage of market opportunities in the short-term, so we can benefit from a market recovery in the medium to long run. Third, in order to afford ourselves maximum flexibility on our capital allocation decisions, we are recalibrating our dividend to be consistent with the capital intensive and cyclical nature of our industry. Finally, we are focused on bringing the GreenCo process to a closure that maximizes value for our shareholders. We are reintegrating business renewables back into the NRG platform with no change to our financial guidance and reinforcing our strategic relationship with NRG Yield. We are continuing to sell process of EVgo and NRG Home Solar. All of these actions support our objective to continue building and operating the best integrated competitive power company. Now, let me elaborate in more detail. Starting on slide six with the financial performance of our business, I am very pleased to report that we achieved the upper range of our adjusted EBITDA guidance in 2015, despite the challenging power markets, a company-wide restructuring, and changes in management. We remained focused on our business and delivered top quartile safety business with our retail business having a record year, demonstrating the consistency and value of our integrated platform. So, to every one of my colleagues, job well done. There are a few points that I want to highlight. We are reaffirming 2016 financial guidance, which now includes our business renewables. Our commercial team continues to execute superbly and have mitigated the impact of lower prices for the year. We are off to a good start on our plan to strengthen the balance sheet. Since November, we have retired close to $700 million in high-yield debt at a significant discount bar. We are expanding this by an additional $925 million of debt reductions, which Kirk will cover in more detail. We remain focused in replenishing capital with $500 million in targeted asset sales in 2016 and we are accelerating our cost savings timeline. And as I mentioned before and something I will discuss in more detail in a few slides, we are reducing the annual dividend to $0.12 per share from $0.15 per share, which afford us maximum flexibility in our capital allocation program, during this market period. Let me now move to the strategic part of the presentation and provide you my perspective on where NRG’s today and what I believe separate us from others in our industry. Stakeholders repeatedly tell me that NRG story and capital structure is too complicated about the company’s spending too much money on businesses that are outside of its core competencies. I have taken this seriously and I am here today telling you that simplification of our business is an imperative, both for external perception and internal focus. Efforts are already under way to address this concern. Everything from the way NRG’s preceding the market to the way we disclose information, to the way we run our platform will be greatly simplified over the next several quarters. Simplification starts with the way that we think about the business. The graphic on the left side of slide seven represents our thinking. NRG has and continues to be comprised of two main businesses, generation, inclusive all renewable; and retail. That is our focus and there should be no mistake about that. But, it is not only these two businesses independently that create a most value for NRG, it is the interaction between the two through our scalable operating platform. This is truly a case where the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The plus points between our generation and retail businesses underpin the NRG value for position. A generational fleet that is well diversified in terms of location, merit-order and fuel price minimizing exposure to downturns in any one market, but flexible enough to benefit from specific areas like we saw during the polar vortex, a complementary business model that helps insulate revenues from commodity risks. Today, two-thirds of our economic gross margin comes from sources that are counter or non-correlated to gas, like retail; capacity revenues or long-term contracts. A cash flow machine, even in what has become a very difficult commodity cycle that is enhanced by our ability to replenish capital through NRG Yield. While I believe it’s not fully appreciated, much to our own doing is the shared and scalable platform that we have built. Our ability to leverage our common platform to grow our business and realize cost synergy in the processes absolutely unique in this industry. And not only is it unique but later in the presentation, I’ll explain why I think it is necessary to succeed. In summary, my view of the business is that it’s simple, focused and differentiated within the competitive power space. Turning now to slide eight, I want to take a step back and give you my perspective on the competitive power industry and what I believe it takes to be successful. This industry’s currently undergoing a paradigm shift. We are in periods of sustained low natural gas prices, load growth that has slowed in most markets except Texas and the Gulf Coast, [indiscernible] technologies are coming on to the grid, changing traditional dispatch, market growths are focused on reliability, particularly in the face of retirement, renewables continue to enter the market as regulation focuses on limiting emissions from conventional power. Being a pure IPP player is no longer enough to succeed in the market today and defiantly not tomorrow. The company that can successfully navigate all the risks and changes in the competitive power industry is one that is diversified, not only in terms of its generation portfolio, but also in terms of its business line. It is too easy for any one fuel type or any one business line to experience turmoil or disruption in the current shifting market. As I mentioned before, the operational platform has become a value differentiator and to a great extent, a source of incremental revenue. Operational excellence is always non-negotiable, regardless of the industry. But in ours, building an operational platform that enables economies of scale is even more fundamental. For NRG, this operational platform has become a differentiated means of margin enhancement, as complementary businesses intersect and create opportunities for companies to startle different markets. But this is just the foundation. In the competitive power industry, companies need to remain leveraged to the upside by constantly assessing the markets and the economic viability of opportunities to grow the businesses in a disciplined manner, as markets evolve. For me, this means investing in areas where you can have a competitive advantage. It does not mean trying to be everything to everyone. Last, I believe financial discipline needs to be a top priority for companies in our sector. It is not prudent to take a myopic approach to managing the balance sheet and capital allocation. These decisions must be made on a portfolio level, looking at all parts of the business and align decision making with current market opportunities. So, how do we start up against these principles? I have already stressed how pleased I am with the operational execution across the business within NRG. We have made great strides in diversifying our business and revenues to protect us from low natural gas and power prices. At the same time, we remain well-positioned for growth, looking for low cost development opportunities and to monetize assets through our static relationship within NRG Yield. These unique attributes, position NRG for sustained success in the industry. As you saw in the earlier slides, we have identified cost control and financial discipline, as one of our key opportunities for improvement. While we have already begun a period of cost savings, I still believe we can do more. And I am actively working with the teams to uncover new opportunities. Our other area of focus will be in how we approach capital allocation and how we manage our capital structure. I want to make sure that our capital decisions meet with the current and near term market cycles. We plan to be transparent in our capital allocation. And there should be no head scratching when it comes to how we deploy capital. And on that note, our focus right now needs to be on deleveraging the business to ensure we stay ahead of this market cycle, so we can take the advantage of the opportunities that will result from it. We have already made significant progress and we will continue to do so until we see market conditions change. As we just discussed, NRG operates a large and well-diversified integrated portfolio with assets that are environmentally well-controlled. While it is important to have a good foundation, there is no one size fits all approach when it comes to regional dynamics. On the slide nine, we outlined what I refer to as our go-to-market strategy that reflects each of our regions, specific trends and market dynamics. In the East region, it’s all about reliability or capacity revenues. We have seen system-operators support for capacity products that reward reliability and performance, particularly in the face of retirements and weather events such as the polar vortex. For example, in the first capacity performance auction in PJM, we cleared close to 90% of our fleet and increased capacity revenues by 80% over the next three years. We are about to finish the repositioning of our portfolio to shift our margin mix from energy to capacity, via fuel conversations, which reduces operating costs significantly and environmental retrofits to maintain a cheap option on key assets to capitalize on higher power prices. In the Gulf, we continued to benefit from our integrated platform in this lower price environment where our retail operation continues to over perform. Let me just say that our retail business in Texas is virtually impossible to replicate due to its scale and linkage with generation. We have demonstrated the value of our retail franchise for the past seven years with 2015 being our best year yet. This is a key differentiator of ours and one that we will continue to focus on, and grow. Our generation fleet has the scale and environmental controls needed to sustain this weak price environment, where we should see further supply rationalization. At the same time, there is still the potential for the market to self-correct and be enhanced by improvements in market structure and feed pricing. The West region is a story of renewables and distributor resources, and maintaining a capacity fleet that supports the grid, given the intermittent nature of these resources. There is a need for quick start, well-located assets. And that is exactly what NRG has been successful in that market. Securing contracted assets and developing sites in favorable locations that can then be monetized through NRG Yield, providing us a long-term dividend payment. So far, we have developed over 1,800 megawatts of quick start generation and won nearly 800 megawatts of repowering at our Carlsbad and Puente sites. We have been successful in growing our renewable and distributor portfolio and with the reintegration of the renewables group into NRG, this will continue to be a growth area. Now, turning to slide 10, we remain focused on streamlining the organization. I am pleased with our efforts in taking close to $350 million in costs out of the system, but I am not satisfied and we continue to look for more. So today, I am announcing an accelerated timeline for our target cost savings of $150 million under our core NRG continuous improvement process, which has yielded so many benefits across the organization over the years. We expect this EBITDA accretive cost savings to be realized through end of 2017. Additionally, we continue to prune our portfolio to bring incremental capital back into the Company. We have executed on $138 million in asset sales thus far and are on track with our $500 million target. Last, we are nearing the completion of our current generation fleet modernization program, which reduces our CapEx commitment by nearly $650 million in 2017, providing us additional flexibility on capital allocation in the next five years. Moving on to slide 11, I know there has been a lot of questions about my perspective on renewables and how this relates to the GreenCo process that we announced late last year. Let me be clear. As the CEO of not only the largest competitive generation owner in the country, but also one of the largest renewable companies, I recognize that this market represents a significant development opportunity, given said renewable targets, customer needs, our competencies and financial incentives, and it is one in which we must participate. However, I am committed to ensuring that our efforts in this area match our skills and capabilities and are executed in a way that is value-creating for shareholders. I am mindful of what has and continues to be a very deliberate process around GreenCo to determine the best way to create value in these business areas. So, let me summarize where we are now. First, from here on out, we will no longer refer to GreenCo, as described in our September update call. As we think about the individual business strategies moving forward, it no longer makes sense to group them under one headline. Not all renewable businesses are viewed the same in terms of fit and value for NRG. Today, I am announcing the reintegration of our traditional NRG business. Everything but the utility scale, since that was never part of the GreenCo process, back into the Company to ensure we’ll maintain our advantage position and skills to participate in the changing landscape of the power industry. It is important to recognize that many of our C&I customers expect us to be able to integrate renewables on and offsite. Said another way, our efforts in renewables will mirror the strength of our integrated platform. And when augmented by our partnership with NRG Yield, our renewables business, which is net cash positive on a full year basis, does not require permanent capital from NRG. In addition, the reintegration of NRG Renew will not cause any change to our financial guidance. I am also pleased to announce that NRG and NRG Yield have reallocated $50 million in previously committed cash equity from the residential solar partnership to the business renewable partnership. This change reinforces our alignment with NRG Yield with mutual focus in renewable energy development. Finally, as you will know from the slide, we are in active negotiations around strategic transactions Home Solar and EVgo, so my comments will be limited. I do expect to complete this process in the second quarter. Turning on to slide 12, I want to walk you through our revised approach to NRG dividend. The dividend was launched in 2012 for several reasons, to better highlight the value of our contracted assets; to enable ownership by dividend restricted income funds; and to add yield support. Today, our world looks much different than it in 2012. We now have a deliberate dividend paying vehicle in NRG Yield to highlight the value of contracted generation and the assumed volatility in the IPP sector has mitigated our ability to realize yield support. And so, we meet our fundamental view that a static dividend approach is not an appropriate use of capital, given the deep cyclical nature of our sector. With that, we are reducing the dividend to $0.12 per share from $0.58 per share or to about 1% yield. I want to be crystal clear that this reduction is not due to balance sheet constrains. It is simply aligning our dividend approach with our broader focus on adaptability, while at the same time, maintaining a differentiated platform that appeals to a broad range of investors and creating shareholder value through all commodity, credit and development cycles. Moving to slide 13, this is one of the most important topics of today’s call. My core fundamental view on capital allocation is to stay focus on what we want to become. However, given the deep cyclical nature of the sector, we must first ensure the robustness of our balance sheet when deploying capital. We are proactively taking the necessary steps to not only there’s no doubt about our strength during this cycle but also to take advantage of opportunities that arise during market dislocations. Kirk will discuss in more detail the specifics, but I want to offer three takeaways. One, the nearing conclusion of our large capital reinvestment program provides us the latitude to effectively harvest strong free cash flows through our asset optimization program, as I believe we have a good line of sight on market prices and environmental requirements, at least through the end of the decade. Next, paying down debt is fundamental as it assures our equity holders that NRG has the flexibility to create strong returns for them when the market recovers, and it assures our customers a stronger counterparty. My goal is to create no doubt in the strength of our balance sheet. So, at this time, maintaining our current target ratio of four and a quarter corporate debt to corporate EBITDA gives us ample headroom to our bound covenants and it is consistent with our credit ratings. Last, I remain committed to returning cash to shareholders when we feel that our capital structure is strong enough to allow for flexibility in the event of our prolonged commodity and capital market downturn. I ask that you don’t take our focus on the deleveraging in 2016 as an indication that NRG has turned away from returning capital to shareholders. Rather, I think of it as assuring that our shareholders can have confidence that NRG will be in a strong position to benefit from opportunities and better market conditions. I will now turn it over to Kirk for the financial review. Kirk Andrews Thank you, Mauricio and good morning everyone. Beginning with the financial summary on slide 15, NRG delivered a total of $3.34 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $1.127 billion in free cash flow before growth in 2015. Our 2015 results highlight the benefits and resilience of our integrated platform as the low commodity price environment helped Home Retail deliver $739 million in adjusted EBITDA, exceeding our original 2015 guidance of that segment by more than 20%. Business and Renew achieved $1.881 billion in EBITDA for the year, while NRG Yield which was aided by robust wind conditions in California late in the fourth quarter, contributed $720 million. NRG completed $786 million in dropdowns to NRG Yield in 2015, helping expand capital available for allocation and allowing us to return over $1.3 billion to stakeholders. $628 million of this capital was returned to shareholders including the repurchase of approximately 7% shares outstanding. Having shifted our capital allocation focus late in 2015, since November and through this past month, NRG has retired approximately $700 million in unsecured debt, including over $400 million at the NRG level and $274 million at GenOn. Our reduced unsecured debt allowances will also help increase recurring cash flow with over $50 million in annualized interest savings realized so far, as a result of these efforts. I’d also like to briefly address one element of our 2015 results outside of EBITDA and free cash flow that is the non-cash impairment charges we took in the fourth quarter. On an annual basis, we test our long lived assets and goodwill for potential impairment. Given the prolonged low commodity price outlook, we adjusted our long-term view of power prices, which resulted in a non-cash impairment charge of approximately $5.1 billion, consisting of a write-down of certain fixed assets as well as goodwill. Due to the lack of robust forward prices in ERCOT, this change — charge rather, is primarily related to impairments of our two coal plants in that market as well as goodwill related to the 2006 acquisition of Texas Genco, of which these two coal plants were a part. Based on the robust commodity price outlook at the time of the acquisition, we allocated the substantial portion of the Texas Genco purchase price to the coal plants with minimal value allocated to the gas plants. And although since that time the Texas Genco portfolio has delivered over $8.5 billion of unlevered free cash flow and provided the platform for our expansion into retail with the acquisition of Reliant in 2009, the outlook in the ERCOT market is nonetheless shifted substantially, currently favoring gas over coal. The impairment of our two ERCOT coal plants aligns the book value of these assets with their forward cash flow profile, as implied by the current market environment. And while the shift in market dynamics also implies the value of our gas portfolio in Texas now substantially exceeds its book value, as many of you are aware accounting rules permit only the write-down of asset book values and do not permit a write-up. These impairment charges also resulted in cumulative net income for the prior three-year period falling below the threshold prescribed for evaluation allowance against our net deferred tax asset balance, largely associated with NRG’s tax NOLs. As a result, our one-time fourth quarter charges also include a $3 billion non-cash charge to tax expense, resulting from a contra asset entry on NRG’s balance sheet, as required under GAAP as a valuation allowance offsetting our net deferred tax asset balance. That said, this accounting charge has no bearing on our ability to utilize our NOLs against future taxable income, and we continue to fully expect to do so. Finally, turning to our 2016 guidance, we are reaffirming the previously announced guidance ranges for adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow before growth, which as Mauricio indicated earlier, reflect our expectations for consolidated 2016 results including business renewables, which was previously part of GreenCo. A point of clarification, business renewables NRG’s commercial and industrial distributed solar business, our utility scale renewable assets were not part of the GreenCo business previously excluded from our guidance. Turning to slide 16, I’d like to briefly summarize our capital allocation progress in 2015, focusing on the NRG level, which excludes cash and capital projects at various excluded subsidiaries, primarily GenOn and NRG Yield. Total NRG level capital available through 2015 was $1.7 billion that is shown on the left of the slide. Capital available to NRG includes three components: First NRG level excess cash at the end of 2014, which is basically cash and cash equivalents, less our $700 million minimum cash liquidity reserve, net of any cash collateral posted as of the year-end; second, the portion of our consolidated free cash flow before growth at the NRG level, which is in 2015 was just over $800 million; and finally, during 2015, as I mentioned earlier, NRG receives $786 million proceeds from NRG Yield, which comprises the third component of capital available. During 2015, NRG level capital allocated totaled approximately $1.2 billion with more than half of that amount returned to our shareholders. Having shifted our focus late in the year toward debt reduction, we ended 2015 by retiring $246 million of principal across various maturities of NRG’s unsecured notes, which significantly expanded the reduction of corporate debt beyond the amortization of our term loan facility. And as I mentioned earlier, we continued that deleveraging process through the first two months of the year, which I’ll address more comprehensively when we turn to 2016 capital allocation in a moment. The remaining $312 million was allocated toward growth investments. Importantly, this amount represents a reduction of over $450 million versus our original growth investments forecast provided on our first quarter 2015 earnings call. At that point, we projected approximately $960 million in consolidated growth investments with nearly $800 million of that amount expected at the NRG level. This reduction in NRG level spend was the result of both the slower pace of Home Solar as well as the elimination of other growth investments. Turning to our 2016 NRG level capital allocation plans on slide 17 and building on the delevering process — progress, rather, we’ve made since November 2015. I will see — 2016 will see a more significant shift towards further debt reduction, leaving no doubt that our balance sheet strength and credit ratios will remain resilient even if the current low commodity prices continue beyond the current year. We expect approximately $1.5 billion of capital available for allocation at the NRG level in 2016, which again represents excess capital beyond our minimum cash balance reserve for liquidity, which is further supplemented by our $2.5 billion credit facility. 2016 capital available for allocation consists of the excess cash balance at the NRG level at year-end 2015 plus the mid-point of our NRG level free cash flow before gross guidance and expected proceeds from dropdown to NRG Yield of approximately $125 million in 2016. These expected dropdown proceeds consistent of the substantial portion of what remains under our residential solar and business renewable or DG partnerships at NRG Yield, and represents the return of the portion of our 2016 growth investments toward these two businesses. This month, in order to align the size of these two partnerships with NRG’s strategic priorities, we have reached an agreement with NRG Yield to shift the amount of capital between Home Solar and the business renewables partnership. As a result, the Home Solar partnership was reduced by $50 million to $100 million with a corresponding $50 million increase to the business renewables partnership, reflecting the more robust and reliable pipeline of business renewables which has now been reintegrated within NRG. We expect to allocate approximately 75% of our 2016 NRG level capital or over $1 billion towards further debt reduction in 2016. This consists of ongoing term loan amortization as well as over $150 million in NRG corporate debt already retired, year-to-date. We plan to supplement this deleveraging in two ways. First, we will allocate $600 million of capital towards NRG debt retirement through open market purchases or tenders. And second, being mindful of our next NRG bond maturity in 2018, which is now approximately $1 billion in principal outstanding and the backdrop of the current dislocation in high yield market, we will reserve an additional $325 million toward the retirement of our 2018 notes in connection with the coincident refinancing of the balance when market conditions are more favorable. While our current priority is to ensure an efficient retirement and refinancing of our 2018 notes, as conditions evolve, we will continue to evaluate the best use of this debt reduction capital and may choose to allocate it toward different maturities, should this alternative prove more favorable. In any event, we expect this capital to ultimately be allocated toward corporate debt reduction, in order to meaningfully advance our efforts to further strengthen our balance sheet and ensure adherence to our target balance sheet metrics, even through an extended low cycle and commodity prices. As Mauricio indicated earlier, we have now adjusted our dividend rate to a level consistent with both our capital allocation priorities and a cyclical and capital intensive nature of our business. And while the current depressed level of our share price undoubtedly represents the compelling return opportunity, we believe it is prudent to continue our progress in right-sizing corporate debt and strengthening ratios, which will enable us the flexibility to capitalize on value enhancing opportunities for shareholders. Such opportunities are only made truly compelling by first ensuring the strength of the balance sheet, which supports this. For 2016, we expect just over $300 million of growth investments, consisting primarily of our P.H. Robinson peaker project, Carbon 360 and our commitment pursuant to the California EVgo settlement. During 2016, we are also focused on executing on opportunities to further expand capital available for allocation, including $250 million of non-recourse financing included as part of our reset announcement last year. As I indicated on our third quarter call, we are now fully prepared to launch this financing when market conditions are more favorable. In addition, we continue to expect the next utility-scale dropdown offer to NRG Yield to be our remaining stake in CVSR and plan to offer this yield in 2016. We are currently exploring this yield the best mean to efficiently finance this dropdown towards this yield and prudently managing its liquidity while continuing to replenish capital to NRG. I expect we’ll have more to share with you on the timing and the payment structure later this year. And finally, tuning to slide 18, in light of our significantly deleveraging progress and having provided an extended look at our 2016 capital allocation plan, I would like to update the information we provided last quarter regarding NRG capital structure and 2016 corporate credit metrics. Focusing on recourse debt at the NRG level, which prior to deleveraging, we had expected to be approximately $8.8 billion as of year-end 2016, on our third quarter call, we indicated our intention to reduce that debt by at least $500 million. Having completed half of this objective during the fourth quarter alone, we ended 2015 with just over $8.5 billion in recourse debt. Since then and through February, we completed an additional $171 million in debt reduction, as shown on the far right column of the slide. And as a result, based on the midpoint of our guidance and our implied 2016 corporate debt to corporate EBITDA ratio is already nearly in line with our four and a quarter target. However, our goal is to maintain adherence to that target in 2017 and beyond, taking into account the possibility of sustained low commodity prices. This objective drives our continued focus on further debt reduction over the course of 2016. As I indicated previously in reviewing 2016 capital allocation, we expect to further reduce corporate debt by at least another $600 million this year. Taking that additional deleveraging into account, we are on track to drive corporate debt below $8 billion by the end of the year, which would place our corporate debt to corporate EBITDA ratio at approximately four times. And finally, factoring on and the effective releasing the $325 million of additional capital, we have currently reserved for further reducing our 2018 maturity. That 2016 ratio would be reduced to 3.8 times. One way to consider that number is that it allows us to maintain adherence to our four and a quarter target ratio, even if corporate EBITDA were to be reduced by approximately $200 million, as a result of sustained low commodity prices. With that, I’ll turn it back to Mauricio. Mauricio Gutierrez Thank you, Kirk. And we have taken a lot of time this morning. So, let me just end with our priorities for 2016 on slide 20. We have the right portfolio and the right platform to succeed in this environment. And with the further strengthening of our balance sheet, we will be in a great position to seize opportunities during this challenging market and greatly benefit to when it turns around. I look forward to the next phase of NRG. Thank you. And operator, let’s open the lines now for Q&A. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Greg Gordon with Evercore ISI. You may begin. Greg Gordon Thanks. Good morning, guys, a few questions. I’ll start with the detailed one. So, I just want to be clear on page 10, when you talk about the $150 million of EBITDA by year-end ‘17. Should we assume that that’s an aspiration to improve your run rate EBITDA by that amount? Mauricio Gutierrez Correct. Greg Gordon Or is that just accumulative impact on EBITDA of 150? Mauricio Gutierrez No. Good morning, Greg. And no, the objective here is to make it a recurring $150 million cost reduction that will impact EBITDA directly. Greg Gordon Great, thanks. And on page 17, when you talk about the CVSR and non-recourse fainting below the lines; if those are not included in your available capital, so should you be successful in achieving those that would be accretive? Kirk Andrews That’s correct. Those would be incremental to capital available for allocation, Greg. Greg Gordon Okay. And that would be my big picture question, Mauricio. So sort of the first thing that happened after you took over the CEO role was we saw that in terms of a capital allocation decision as we saw that you cleared a new power plant in the New England auction, which was a little bit disconcerting to investors who are looking for a capital allocation program that was more focused on shrinking the balance sheet. Obviously that’s the core message that you’re giving us today. So, can you characterize, if you were to disbursement [ph] free up this incremental dropdown money on non-recourse financing, how do you think about each incremental dollar for capital allocation going forward and how do you characterize what you’re doing in New England in the context of the message you are giving us today? Mauricio Gutierrez Thank you, Greg. And I understand that that was the first news. And the timing with the New England capacity auction is something that I don’t control. Let me just start by providing you kind of the general — my general take on capital allocation and then I’ll go into the specifics of Canal. As you can see from all the actions that we’re taking today, one of my key priorities, the first 90 days of being the CEO, was to focus on capital allocation, first being mindful and aware of the current commodity cycle that we are today and then second the dislocation that we have in our capital markets. It was important to me to afford us the maximum flexibility when deploying capital and to exert absolute financial discipline. I already talked about the actions that we’re taking, one on deleveraging and strengthening our balance sheet, and ensuring that we go through this cycle with the strong position to capitalize on opportunities, but importantly that we’re ready when the market turns around; two, the recalibration of the dividend; and then three, is the focus on cost savings and streamlining the cost structure on the organization. So, when I think about to Canal, it is not a capital allocation decision for 2016, it’s a capital allocation decision that we will make in 2018 and at that point, we will evaluate the current environment. And on that perspective then, we’ll make the determination what is the best use of our capital. But I want to make sure that we continue to generating low cost options at good returns, given the opportunity that we have to lock for seven years a very constructive capacity prices. And as I told you in the prepared remarks, in our focus in the Northeast and particularly in New England is focus on capacity revenues. And now is a dual fuel peaker that is needed in that market at good returns and it’s a capital allocation decision that we will make not today, where we are focusing all our attention on strengthening the balance sheet but in two years. Operator Thank you. Our next question is from Julien Dumoulin-Smith with UBS. You may begin. Julien Dumoulin-Smith Hi, good morning. Congratulations Mauricio and Kevin. Mauricio Gutierrez Thank you, Julien. Good morning. Julien Dumoulin-Smith So, perhaps first the follow-up on Greg’s last question on capital allocation. Can you elaborate on your latest thinking on the wholesale portfolio itself? Obviously it’s been under a good bit of strain, [ph] how do you think about reinvesting in your exiting asset portfolio and timing for rationalization, as you continue to see current — before it manifest itself? Mauricio Gutierrez Yes, Julien. So first of all, I — we are actually in the last year of what I consider a high water mark with respect to reinvesting in our portfolio. After acquiring GenOn and EME, we increased our portfolio significantly to close to 50,000 megawatts. We went through a process where we optimized that portfolio through fuel conversions and environmental retrofit. So, as you know, we have been executing that plan and this year is the last year of that. What I expect in the next couple of years is really to harvest on that investment. All the market dynamics that we were expecting when we made those investments are playing out, particularly around reliability and capacity for all three Northeast markets, whether it’s PJM for capacity performance New England and New York. We are moving forward that; we saw that during the polar vortex, we acted upon. And it’s playing out the way we thought it was going to play out. Now, with respect to other parts of the country, you know that I will expect absolute financial discipline when it comes to the profitability of our assets. If it’s not economically viable, we will shut them down, just like we have done in the past and just like we are doing today, in New York. If the market conditions don’t support our generation portfolio, we will take action on it. But we need to also take into consideration, not only the current state of the commodity cycle but also the prospective opportunities that we see. Julien Dumoulin-Smith And then coming back to what you were just talking about, the expansion was done on the EME. How do you think auction that’s on here? I mean, obviously it’s a dynamic situation but you paid down some debt there and cash on hand. What you think about next step and the timing of that? Mauricio Gutierrez Right. Look, I mean Julien, most of the — bulk of the GenOn portfolios and PJM, we value significantly our strategic in the Northeast in particular in the PJM area. But what I’ll tell you is in the spirit of streamlining our organization that applies to streamlining our capital structure, I would like to see that. But, we will only do it if it is add value and not having a negative impact on our credit profile. And that’s the option that we are going to continue to maintain going forward. Kirk, do you have any additional comments? Kirk Andrews Sure. I mean first of all, I agree with that obviously, we have taken an important step obviously towards deleveraging, as you acknowledged, Julien. But as I have indicated in my past remarks, at various conferences and one-on-ones, that order of magnitude is certainly helpful and necessary but sufficient in order to bring about rightsizing that balance sheet. I’ll remind folks, certainly we have got some near-term maturity with GenOn, we are focused on that as part and parcel of why we went at the delevering that we did. And as you saw in GenOn — in Mauricio’s remarks, rather we have continuation of our asset sale program, which as we have indicated previously going back to the reset as focused on the Northeast. So, we’d expect it’s likely, more likely that that would probably come out of the GenOn complex which would enhance liquidity. But as the year progresses, certainly I would believe 2016 as the key inflection point, given those loan maturities. And we are mindful of the options obviously, continuing to delever through the open market purchase, as we have done before. We are recognizing — we recognize that we have got some secured debt capacity there that provides us some alternative as well. So, what I would tell you is that as the year unfolds, I would expect you to hear more from us in terms of what we plan on executing there. And we are hopeful in terms of addressing and rightsizing the capital structure but — and by reiterating what Mauricio said, we are only going to do that being mindful of preserving the integrity of the NRG balance sheet and the process. Operator Thank you. Our next question is from Jonathan Arnold with Deutsche Bank. You may begin. Jonathan Arnold One quick one, Mauricio, I think when you talked about the dividend, you talked about a static dividend being inappropriate in the context of the reduction. But, could you just clarify what we should be expecting going forward from this lower level, is it just to stay here as a token to allow yield investors to own the stock, or do you look to grow it modestly over time? Mauricio Gutierrez Yes. No, Jonathan, I mean first of all, the actions that we are taking on the dividend are — I guess there are two main reasons. One, I think this level is consistent with the nature of power industry, capital intensive and cyclical. But certainly, when I look at the current dividend that we have and the underlying premises or principles that we used to implement it in 2012, a lot of them are not valid anymore. If you recall, when we announced the dividend back then, it was to highlight the value of contracted assets. Since then, we created NRG Yield; we already talk about — one of the objectives was the yield support. And in this current market environment and with the level of volatility that we’re seeing in the stocks, it really doesn’t accomplish that objective. So, when I put the two together, one the nature of our industry and two, some of the principles that we had when we initiated, it’s just inconsistent. I think what you should expect is this number is the right number today and it afford us the maximum flexibility for capital deployment and capital allocation. And that is my assessment right now on the dividend. Jonathan Arnold Okay, makes sense. And just another topic, you’ve obviously been streamlining management structures out of the cost reductions et cetera. Can you just maybe give us a little more insight into what some of the key changes have been; where you are in that process; are they largely behind now, just some of the operational changes that may have gone on? Mauricio Gutierrez Look, I mean, I think with respect to the streamlining the organization, we started the end of last year. We went through significant efforts to reduce the cost structure. And over the past three months, I have continued with that effort on rationalizing and focusing the organization into our core strengths and as I articulated already in my remarks, focusing on what I think is the core value of energy, which is putting together generation and retail and the plus points around it. So, I am very comfortable today with the management team that I have. This is an area that I am going to continue evaluating in the weeks to come. And I think you should expect from me additional announcements, as I go to even further in line of our businesses, particularly as we go through the outcome of the GreenCo process. Operator Thank you. Our next question is from Michael Lapides with Goldman Sachs. You may begin. Michael Lapides Hey, guys. Two questions, one capital structure related. Just curious, you’ve announced a lot of debt reduction at the NRG level for 2016. Curious what your thoughts are about the debt reduction targets at the GenOn level in 2016. The only reason I ask that is you highlight the NRG debt maturity coming in 2018, but obviously GenOn has some too, and that some of the growth for NRG, meaning the Canal expansion that just cleared or even the Mandalay repowering that has a contract, those are actually assets owned within the GenOn box. So just curious about kind of the balance between debt reduction at GenOn and some of those growth projects of assets that are at the GenOn box that are actually part of NRG, Inc.’ growth trajectory? Mauricio Gutierrez Good morning, Michael. And let me just handle it to Kirk to answer the first part of the GenOn question, and I’ll take the next. Kirk Andrews Sure. Thanks Mauricio. Michael, first of all on the Cana, which as I said in addressing Julien’s question, we’ve obviously begun to make progress in terms of delevering that’s been our confidence in doing that, we’re mindful of balancing, maintaining adequate liquidity at GenOn with the need to obviously attack the capital structure at the same time, which is why the asset sale process obviously kick started that. We got a head start on it at the end of the year having announced a couple of asset sales and we’re moving forward obviously to close the second of those two and continuing to focus on completing the remaining 500 or the remainder of the 500 that we announced on the reset, which as I indicated Julien, given the fact that we’re very clear about the fact that we expect those still be in the Northeast, the expectation, the knock-on expectation certainly is that that would continue to be at the GenOn level. So, we use the proceeds of those asset sales to continue to deploy towards deleveraging. And as we move through year, we’re mindful of that 2017 maturity, which is why supplemented by those asset sales, as I indicated also to Julien’s question, we’re focused on the best means apprehensively to use the options that are disposable, not only asset sales, but obviously we’ve got some secured debt capacity there that we’re remindful of. So, all I can tell you as we progress through the year, we’re going to focus on those alternatives and the best means possible, as I said though, always being mindful of preserving the integrity of the balance sheet of NRG given the non-recourse nature of the GenOn subsidiary, which will continue to be the case. Michael Lapides Got it. Mauricio Gutierrez Michael, with respect to your second part of the question, what I will say is that we’re going to continue developing options to grow the portfolio. When we have long-term contracts, we’re going to do it in close partnership with NRG Yield to continue replenishing capital; when it doesn’t have the profile to be able to be dropdown, that’s not a capital decision — capital allocation decision that we need to make today. And we’re going to evaluate it when we have to actually deploy that capital. But I think it is important to continue to generate these projects in the context of growing our portfolio at good economics. Michael Lapides Got it. And one follow on Texas related, just curious our view is that coal plants in Texas are struggling to have cash break even right now. And even more importantly nuclear plants are generating limited cash flow, maybe positive but limited. At what point do you start considering coal retirement at ERCOT? Mauricio Gutierrez That’s a great question, Michael. And so, let me give you my perspective on it. The current market in Taxes has been very disappointed, despite what I consider is still pretty strong fundamentals, strong demand and a pricing that doesn’t incentivize new build economics, even though we have seen something, what I can say that out of not economical engine. When I look at our portfolio, particularly Parish and Limestone for and STP, they are very large in scale; they are environmentally controlled; and I would say that they are probably one of the most cost advantage based load plants or coal and nuclear plants in the state. We have identified what we believe is the least competitive assets in the supply stack when it comes to coal. And we believe that if the market continues to be at these levels, it will not be possible to sustain the operation of some of these assets. So that’s why I think there is going to be a supply rationalization in the immediate term and we should see a recalibration of the market. I feel comfortable right now with the three of our base load plants. But I think we have a pretty good track record in terms of if and when these plants are not economic and the prospects of these plants are not positive, we will act upon. And we have done that in other regions and there is no reason why we’d do it in Texas. But right now still not the time and I think the supply stack will react before we get to that point. Operator Thank you. Our next question is from Steve Fleishman with Wolfe Research. You may begin. Steve Fleishman The $513 million of available capital at year-end that you are using in 2016, is that above kind of your normal cash levels? And if so, what cash do you have kind of available beyond that? Mauricio Gutierrez It is — Steve — and I’ll let Kirk give you specific details, but this is above the cash reserve that we have for both NRG and GenOn. Kirk Andrews Sure. And this was — good morning, Steve. This is one of the reasons why — I think in a couple of points in my prepared remarks I made specific reference to contextualize capital available for allocation, which we consider to be a cash surplus versus cash on the balance sheet. And so, when we calculate that, we start with the minimum cash balance that we reserve at the NRG level. So, we set aside $700 million for liquidity. Now that — part of that liquidity is what we need for cash collateral proceeds for example. So, as we post cash collateral, we consider that a utilization of the minimum cash reserve. So, whatever we deduct at any given time, think it about as $700 million in minimum cash minus the amount of cash collateral we posted. Comprehensively, and this is outside of capital available for allocation, we focus on liquidity separately. So, liquidity is that $700 million of minimum cash at the NRG level plus the $2.5 billion corporate credit facility. That’s separate in a part from what we consider excess capital, which is with that $513 million that you refer to represents. Does that help? Steve Fleishman Yes, I think so. One other question, just on NRG Yield. Mauricio, as you thought about NRG yield, what is your view of kind of a long term strategy around it? And if it stays at a relatively depressed stock price, what are your options? Mauricio Gutierrez Yes, Steve. Well, I mean I’ll answer it from the NRG standpoint, and we are going to have the NRG Yield call in about 30 minutes. So, let me just say that the relationship between NRG and NRG Yield is there is a lot of synergies and it’s a symbiotic relationship. It’s of great importance for NRG. This is a way for us to access low cost of capital to replenish our capital, particularly on the development front in this type of commodity cycle. We need to have a good development platform for NRG Yield to have clear line of sight in terms of the growth and the potential dropdown that we have. That will benefit energy yield and a healthy NRG Yield is good for NRG in terms of our ability to stay competitive in developing new sites. So, that’s kind of my take on it. And I want to be very careful that I give you the answer from kind of the NRG perspective. And we can go into more detail when we go through the NRG Yield call. Operator Thank you. We have time for one more caller. Our last question is from Neel Mitra with Tudor, Pickering. You may begin. Neel Mitra Hi, good morning. I just had a follow-up question on the ERCOT coal power plant. Are there any opportunities to renegotiate the transport agreements or lower your PRB coal costs, so that those plants are more cost advantage at this point? Mauricio Gutierrez Good morning, Neel. And I will discipline myself to pass the mic to Chris Moser, who is the Head of Commercial Operations. Although under my watch, COO, I renegotiated a number of rail contracts. They have been good partners in this downturn of — this commodity cycle downturn. But Chris, what are your thoughts on that? Chris Moser No, I think that’s fair. I think we continue to work with our coal supply partners, both the mines — the coal miners and the railroad company as well to make sure that we add to the plants competitiveness, to the extent that we can. They, as Mauricio just alluded to, have been good partners with us so far and we continue to look forward to working them with them in the future. Mauricio Gutierrez Thank you. And I recognize that you may have a lot more questions. We will get to them, and Kevin and the IR team will be available for any follow-ups. But unfortunately, we have a hard stop; we have to get NRG Yield call ongoing. So, thank you. And I look forward to continue this conversation. Thank you, operator. Operator Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful day. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) So our reproduction policy is as follows: You may quote up to 400 words of any transcript on the condition that you attribute the transcript to Seeking Alpha and either link to the original transcript or to www.SeekingAlpha.com. All other use is prohibited. 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