Tag Archives: economy

MaziValue February Performance And March Outlook

PORTFOLIO PERFORMANCE Note : Mazi Ume Capital LLP does not exist right now, but if I do run a hedge fund in the future, that’s what it will be called. Mazi Ume Capital LLP is just my personal portfolio for now. Click to enlarge Below, is a chart from Interactive Brokers’ Portfolio Analyst comparing my performance (Consolidated) to the Russell 2000 (RTY), S&P 500 (SPX), and the Vanguard Total World Stock Index ((NYSEARCA: VT )) since inception of the portfolio on December 10th, 2015. I believe the performance of the Indexes include dividends. My portfolio’s return (Consolidated) is after interest and fees. Interactive Brokers charges interest when you buy a security in a different currency, and fees are trading fees. My portfolio is most comparable to the Russell2000, since every stock on the long side (90% of total portfolio) has a

Where’s The Gold-Hedged S&P 500?

Back in 2010, there was a fair amount of hoopla generated by the launch of the E-TRACS S&P 500 Gold Hedged Index ETN (NYSEARCA: SPGH ) , a first-of-its kind product designed to smooth out bumps in a then-nascent equity market recovery. By tying together two historically divergent assets-gold and stocks-note holders should have been able to simulate S&P 500 returns hedged against the fluctuations of the U.S. dollar versus gold. Why “should have”? Well, that’s an interesting story. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves. First, you need to know that SPGH notes are unsecured debt obligations of BBB-plus-rated UBS AG (NYSE: UBS ) (Jersey). Um, that’s the Isle of Jersey, not the Garden State. You also should know that the SPGH offering was one of the Swiss bank’s most lightly subscribed ETN issues. In October, when a significant liquidity event occurred (more on that in a minute), more than 99 percent of SPGH notes issued remained in the hands of UBS Securities LLC, the bank’s selling agent. One of the reasons for the light interest was the note’s call feature. Starting in 2011, UBS AG had the right to redeem the notes at market value whenever it pleased. Note buyers, in effect, were forced to give away a put option of indeterminate length with an unknown strike price. No wonder interest was sparse. Then came that liquidity event. Last fall, UBS AG announced it was suspending issuance of new notes in a wide swath of its ETRACs ETNs, including SPGH. The notes continued to trade on the NYSE Arca mart and UBS Securities LLC could still sell from its inventory the 3.9 million notes it already held. But no matter; the announcement had a chilling effect on already frozen sales. Then, the ETN dropped off the securities masters of retail brokerages and financial websites. Just try to pull up a quote for SPGH on, say, TD Ameritrade’s (NASDAQ: AMTD ) platform or on Yahoo! Finance nowadays. You get nuthin’. Zip. Nada. Bupkes. And that’s too bad. The notes’ intrinsic value has shot up recently as the equity market faltered and gold finally found a bid. The index underlying the SPGH notes was up 12 percent in January versus a 4 percent gain in the S&P 500. And, in February, the correlation between gold and stocks grew even more negative (see the chart below). Click to enlarge Obviously, the value of these notes can’t be realized by new investors. Oh, sure, you can still find a two-way market posted on NYSE Arca, but you’d have a hard time getting a trade executed if your broker won’t recognize the security. Still, there is hope for those who’d like a self-balancing stock-and-gold package. There’s a new gold-hedged S&P 500 product-this time a fund, not a note-awaiting launch. The REX Gold Hedged S&P 500 ETF (NYSE Arca: GHS) will track virtually the same index as SPGH while carrying lower annual expenses. And it won’t expose holders to the risk of dealing with a capricious debt-issuing bank. Details can be found at www.rexetf.com . Brad Zigler is REP./WealthManagement’s Alternative Investments Editor. Previously, he was the head of marketing, research and education for the Pacific Exchange’s (now NYSE Arca) option market and the iShares complex of exchange traded funds.

How You Can Beat The Market With Dividend Aristocrat ETFs

With stocks down across the board to start the year, many investors are scrambling to find better selections for today’s more uncertain market environment. While utilities and consumer staples are becoming more popular thanks to this sentiment, there are also non sector-specific ways to improve performance relative to the market. One outperforming strategy has been to focus on higher quality dividend-paying companies. Stocks in this area haven’t seen incredible returns, but they have done far better than the broad market over the past few months. But not just any dividend-paying stock will do, as a focus on the so-called ‘dividend aristocrats’ should be a go-to strategy for investors in this market environment. What is a Dividend Aristocrat? A dividend aristocrat stock is a company that has a long track record of increasing dividend payments year after year. The number of years required varies depending on who you ask, but at least ten consecutive years of dividend increases is usually required to get into this select bunch. A company that fits this bill is a rare breed since it has been able to boost payments no matter what is happening in the broader economy. This shows an impressive ability to manage capital effectively, while also taking care of shareholders too. How to Invest While you can find a few specific stocks that are in the dividend aristocracy, an easier way to play this trend might be with ETFs. There are actually a few funds tracking this corner of the market, and all have been outperforming the broad S&P 500 in this recent rough patch. That’s right, the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: SDY ) , the ProShares S&P 500 Aristocrats (NYSEARCA: NOBL ) , and the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEARCA: VIG ) have all easily outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) over the past three months, while the trio are also outperforming from a one-year outlook as well. Clearly, a focus on quality has been the way to go in this uncertain market environment. What’s The Difference? While all three have managed to beat out broad markets, investors have to be wondering what are the key differences between the three main dividend aristocrat ETFs? Well, for the most part, the key difference is how exclusive of a club the funds make the aristocrats. VIG is the least exclusive, as it allows companies to join its benchmark after raising dividends each year for at least one decade. SDY is the next in line with a similar policy, but for two decades, while NOBL is the most exclusive, only holding companies that have raised dividends every year for at least a quarter century. As you might be able to guess, the higher the barrier to entry, the fewer the companies that pass the screen. As such, NOBL has the fewest number of securities at 50, followed by about 100 for SDY and roughly 175 for VIG. All three do a pretty good job of spreading out assets, but actually VIG is the most concentrated thanks to its cap-weighted focus. Meanwhile, NOBL is the least concentrated thanks to its equal weighted focus, which puts the same amount in each stock, while SDY takes a different approach, weighting by dividend yield. Either way, consumer and industrial stocks are top holdings in each of the three, while all of them have little in the energy sector, largely thanks to the recent sector downturn. And while all three are extremely tradable, there are some expense differences to note as well. VIG is the cheapest – as is usually the case with Vanguard products – and comes in at 10 basis points a year compared to 35 for the other two. While none are really that expensive, it is certainly a big difference on a relative basis, and something to consider for cost-focused investors out there. Key Caveat While all three might have a dividend focus, it is important to remember that they zero in on companies that are growing dividends at a constant rate, not necessarily those that are paying out the most in terms of yield. In fact, while all three beat out the broad market in terms of their 30-Day SEC yield, none top three percent either. So while they are modest income destinations, investors who are just seeking yield will likely be disappointed by the dividend aristocrat family. Bottom Line The dividend aristocrat space is often overlooked by investors in favor of ‘sexier’ or more enticing market segments. However, over the past few months, stability and rock solid companies have been in vogue instead. This trend has allowed the dividend aristocrat ETFs of VIG, SDY, and NOBL to beat out the market and provide investors with a bit more stability in this uncertain time too. Just remember, none of these aristocrat funds are going to pay you a huge yield, but in turbulent economic times their outperformance makes the aristocrat funds the nobility of the investing world, and definitely worth consideration for your portfolio. Original Post