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Economists Adding Up At Amazon.com, Microsoft, Google

As the tech industry gets ever more data-driven, a “Ph.D. in economics” is more often becoming a job requirement in the sector. Established giants and newer tech firms alike are enlisting economists to help with many crucial tasks. Companies that employ economists include Amazon.com ( AMZN ), Airbnb, IBM ( IBM ), Facebook ( FB ), Microsoft ( MSFT ), eBay ( EBAY ), Yahoo ( YHOO ) and Uber. Hal Varian was a consultant for Google (now part of Alphabet ( GOOGL )) going back to 2002, becoming its chief economist in 2007. And the trend has grown, as tech economists say there’s more demand and appreciation for the work they do. Hal Varian, Google chief economist. Amazon is a leading employer of economists, with “dozens” aboard, says Susan Athey, a professor of the economics of technology at Stanford Graduate School of Business and a longtime consultant to Microsoft. Amazon didn’t respond to a request for comment. Athey says Microsoft is another company with “at least a dozen” economists on staff. She knows of nearly 100 economists employed by tech firms, the big majority joining after 2010. Tech company economists must combine theory with practical application. “We use economic principles and economic theory, but we also use experiments, statistical data and other aspects of the real world to build systems that work and will stand the test of time,” said Preston McAfee, chief economist at Microsoft. These systems can address fundamental business questions, such as setting prices, as well as challenges brought about or exacerbated by the rapid rate of innovation in the tech industry. As firms expand, economists are increasingly working on public policy issues, including privacy issues and intellectual property topics. Economists Must Speak Both Tech And Non-Tech Economists have to analyze large amounts of data. Much of their value to tech firms is in helping to connect the engineering side with the business side. “Economists are trained in the intuition and goals of business, but they are also comfortable with data, statistics and the technical aspects of running a business,” Athey said. “A successful economist is multilingual.” A tech firm today might hire an economist when they struggle to navigate a new marketplace. “You might confront a business problem where you realize there’s no off-the-shelf HBS (Harvard Business School) case study or McKinsey rule of thumb you can apply to manage your unique marketplace,” Athey said. “It’s really an economics research project to figure out the business practices to operate the new platform.” Economists have helped Uber develop its “surge” pricing algorithm — basically, when demand exceeds supply, Uber’s prices rise — and have led Airbnb to offer professional photography services for hosts. While the platforms are new, these problems come down to supply and demand. One of the biggest and most famous contributions of a tech economist is Varian’s work on AdWords. As his first assignment, Varian helped Google develop its auction-based approach to selling ads, still by far the company’s largest source of revenue. Preston McAfee For economists, the fast-paced environment and variety of challenges are among the big draws of working in the tech industry. “I’m in this business because I don’t like routine. I relish having new challenges,” said McAfee. McAfee had been a professor for 28 years before leaving academia to join the tech industry in 2007 as chief economist at Yahoo. At Microsoft, McAfee is working to develop a new business model to sell technology developed by research units directly to customers, among various other tasks. “It’s a new take on a classic research model, and I’m happy to be a part of it,” he said. Google Economist’s One-Year Gig Now In Year 14 Varian had intended to stay at Google for a year while on leave from the University of California, Berkeley, but the excitement of the work at Google drew him away from academia. “We’ve got a great environment here where you have the infrastructure for developing projects and products,” said Varian. “Most of the things we’ve done have been of considerable interest to the company.” Besides AdWords, his other key tasks at Google included helping with its unusual “Dutch auction” style of IPO in 2004, designed to open the process to everyone and not just to favored clients of underwriters. He also collaborates with Google X, the company’s “moonshot” R&D factory, to help develop some of the business models. Michael Bailey, economics research manager at Facebook, looks at academia and tech as a difference between breadth and depth. “In industry, you are working on a larger variety of problems and projects and often need to take more multidisciplinary approaches so you are effectively building more breadth,” Bailey told IBD via email. Bailey, who joined Facebook directly after finishing his Ph.D., said his team is growing and that he expects the tech industry to continue hiring economists at a fast pace. Varian agrees. “A lot of people have developed an appreciation for the kind of economic analysis we do,” he said. The interest is mutual. Within economics, the community of people who study the high-tech economy has grown from a very small number to hundreds across academia, business and government over the last 10 years, Varian says. “We’re developing a new field of practicing economics in the real world,” said Microsoft’s McAfee. “Some of our big successes have been in auctions and pricing, but there are many more of those to come. And I think that’s a very cool thing to be a part of.”

Amazon.com Expands Same-Day Delivery To 11 New Metro Markets

E-commerce leader  Amazon.com ( AMZN ) announced Wednesday that it was expanding its free same-day delivery to 11 additional metro areas and expanding coverage in several other major markets. Free same-day delivery is a perk for Amazon Prime subscribers, the company’s loyalty program. Prime costs $99 a year, for which users get such other perks as free video streaming and free two-day shipping where same-day delivery isn’t available. With same-day delivery, orders placed before noon arrive before 9 p.m. the same day. Afternoon orders will arrive the next day, the company said in a press release Wednesday . Prime has more than 50 million members, some analysts say, and is a key driver in the e-commerce giant’s explosive growth. Amazon hasn’t disclosed its Prime membership numbers. Amazon says that its same-day delivery option is now available in more than 1,000 cities and towns in the U.S. “Prime was developed to make shopping on Amazon fast and convenient, and millions of members have used Prime free same-day delivery to make their lives even easier,” Greg Greeley, vice president of Prime, said in the release. “We keep making Prime better, and as our operational capabilities grow, we will continue to invent and expand delivery options that customers love.” The new markets are Cincinnati; Milwaukee; the North Carolina cities of Charlotte and Raleigh; the California cities of Fresno, Sacramento and Stockton; Richmond, Va.; Louisville, Ky.; Nashville, Tenn.; and Tucson, Ariz. Amazon stock was up nearly 2%, near 597, in afternoon trading on the stock market today . The company has an IBD Composite Rating of 77, where 99 is the highest. Amazon and its dominant position in the market have left other e-tailers such as eBay ( EBAY ) and Wal-Mart ’ s ( WMT ) Walmart.com struggling to gain traction. EBay announced Tuesday that it was launching a new shipping supplies store that will provide eBay-branded packaging to sellers using the site. Startups such as Jet.com and Alibaba ( BABA )-backed ShopRunner are also taking aim at Amazon’s dominance.

Amazon, Apple, Google Not Serious Threat To PayPal: Analyst

PayPal ( PYPL ), now untied from its prior owner eBay ( EBAY ), does not face a serious competitive threat in the near future, an analyst said Wednesday. At the Electronic Payments Summit in New York, panelists were “generally bullish” on the San Jose, Calif.-based company’s chances at holding on to its market share, according to a research note from Jefferies analyst Jason Kupferberg. The analyst cites the company’s installed base of 185 million consumers and 13 million merchants. “This represents a competitive advantage, which is reinforced by new products such as One Touch and Venmo,” Kupferberg wrote. “While some large merchants are still somewhat ambivalent about the benefits of PayPal, one panelist highlighted a 14% online sales increase for a big merchant once they implemented PayPal.” Kupferberg also wrote that large merchants are generally reluctant to have more than two checkout buttons or digital wallets available for shoppers because returns “diminish beyond that number.” Competitors in payments , such as e-commerce leader  Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and digital cash register and payments processor Square ( SQ ), have been aiming for a greater foothold in payments. Amazon has been at it for some time, but with little to show for it, according to Wedbush analyst Gil Luria. For its part, Square announced last week that it was adding Web checkout capabilities to its array of features, which is likely a direct challenge to PayPal’s payments platform. Also at the payments summit, Kupferberg wrote that 10% mobile wallet penetration of U.S. in-store payments could be five years away. Firms such as Apple ( AAPL ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ) unit Google, among others, have developed such technology . PayPal stock was up more than 1%, near 39, in midday trading on the stock market today . PayPal is an IBD Leaderboard stock and has an IBD Composite Rating of 93, where 99 is the highest. Shares are below a 40.03 entry but just above an earlier entry at 38.62.