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Amazon Storms Past Earnings Views, And Buy Point, On Cloud Gains
Amazon ( AMZN ) reported its highest sales growth in nearly four years Thursday, while continued robust gains at its cloud-computing unit and merchandise operations also point to a strong current quarter. The e-commerce powerhouse swung to a first-quarter profit of $1.07 a share, which crushed the consensus earnings estimate of 58 cents, and swinging from a loss of 12 cents a share a year earlier. Revenue jumped 28% to $29.1 billion, ahead of the $28 billion view. Amazon sees total Q2 revenue of between $28 billion and $30.5 billion, largely above Wall Street forecasts of $28.3 billion. That would be a 26% gain at the midpoint. Shares jumped more than 12% in late trading, positioning the stock to blast back through its buy point of 603.34 when trading begins Friday. Amazon closed down 0.75% to 602 on Thursday. The earnings beat is likely due to businesses buried within Amazon, such as its cloud computing division, ChannelAdvisor Executive Chairman Scot Wingo told IBD, adding that its third-party marketplace had a significant effect on Q1 profits too. Amazon Web Services (AWS), the company’s cloud-computing division, saw revenue soar 64% to $2.57 billion. AWS was expected to post $2.54 billion in sales, according to FactSet. AWS has been closely watched by investors since the company began reporting its sales separately. “Once again, Amazon Web Services exhibited significant growth, with revenues up $1 billion. However, the more impressive metric is margin, which roughly doubled to 23.5%, generating over $600 million, or roughly 60%, of Amazon’s total operating income,” Moody’s analyst Charlie O’Shea said in an email. Though AWS is a runaway leader in cloud computing, Alphabet ( GOOGL ), through its Google division, and Microsoft ( MSFT ) are mounting fierce competition. In its earnings release last week, Microsoft said its annualized run-rate for the cloud is over $10 billion. Meanwhile, Amazon’s electronics and general merchandise category was also strong, Wingo said. “In North America it grew 32%, and 33% internationally — it’s an acceleration over the holiday period, which is amazing.” Amazon’s Prime Now one-hour delivery service may have accounted for the acceleration, or at least part of it, Wingo said. With its latest expansion into Tampa, Fla., Prime Now covers 42% of the U.S. Amazon has called its expedited shipping options “difficult and expensive” but has said shoppers love them. In previous quarters, shipping costs have weighed on earnings, but Q1 growth in total expenses lagged topline gains: 25% vs. 28%. Free cash flow minus principal repayments increased to $3.5 billion from $1.5 billion in the year-earlier quarter. Free cash flow can be useful to determine whether Amazon sales are growing fast enough to cover the big bets CEO Jeff Bezos makes on things such as data centers, fulfillment centers and new product lines. Working together, the Prime loyalty program, third-party market and Fulfillment By Amazon have created flywheels that further drive profits. “Amazon is taking share from everybody at this point,” Wingo said. E-commerce as a sector is growing at about 15%, while brick-and-mortar retail grow by between 2% and 3%, he estimated. Amazon rival eBay ( EBAY ) posted 5% growth, but only 3% came from the marketplace. Bezos also touted the company’s hardware offerings, such as the Fire TV Stick, Fire Tablets and Echo, but Wingo said that at this point, the sales for the family of Echo products are not significantly boosting electronics and general merchandise sales. “We’re building premium products at non-premium prices, and we’re thrilled so many customers are responding to our approach,” Bezos said in a press release. OK
How E-Tail Startup Jet.com Is Taking On Giant Amazon.com
With a potential $1 billion in 2016 revenue and $803 million in funding, e-tail startup Jet.com has some heft, but it’s still a lightweight compared with e-tail king Amazon.com ( AMZN ). But that doesn’t faze Jet CEO Marc Lore, who has a strategy, which he laid out for IBD in a phone interview from the company’s Hoboken, N.J., headquarters. It boils down to two big ideas: that e-commerce overall will soar from a $300 billion market to $1 trillion in the next 10 years; and that Amazon can’t possibly take the whole thing. His third point underlying both big ideas is that Jet is targeting shoppers that Amazon is not — those obsessive about saving money. “W e’re going after a different type of customer with a different need,” Lore said. “ We are about saving people money and empowering them to shop in a smarter way. And o ur technology is built to help consumers and retailers pull costs out of the overall ecosystem. So it is a more efficient way to buy product.” Jet aims to present shoppers with an experience that more closely matches what they’d find in a store. Every product, for example, has a single view. That’s unlike e-tail giants like Amazon or eBay ( EBAY ), where shoppers are confronted with multiple, competing listings from a number of sellers. Instead Jet.com finds the best price for a given product after searching multiple sellers and displays. So, for example, in a search for Levi’s jeans, a shopper would see a single listing for each style of jeans. The single product view may also help Jet.com avoid the SEO challenges that have plagued eBay , which has a longtime beef with search leader Google. Jet.com Secret Sauce Is ‘Dynamic Pricing’ But the real secret sauce for shoppers is the company’s dynamic pricing. Essentially, customers are rewarded for buying multiple items, which decreases shipping costs and thus decreases customers’ costs. Then, when the customer goes to check out, Jet’s algorithm behind the scenes figures out which sellers are the most efficient in terms of shipping and price, so if one seller is closer but charges more for shipping, you’ll buy from a more distant seller that charges less for shipping and thus results in a lower overall cost for the customer. “Ou r technology is built more like a real- time trading system than it is an e-commerce site,” Lore said. “A s people shop, we’re repricing products to reflect the true underlying economics of getting those products to the customer, based on what products are already in the (checkout) basket and based on how far away those products are from where the customer lives.” Jet continues to tweak its website. When Lore launched the venture in January 2015, the company used a membership program similar to Costco ‘s ( COST ) to generate profit. That didn’t last long, and the company changed its business model in October, hiking prices. Though there were reports the change signaled trouble , several analysts interviewed for this report said startups often make strategic changes early on. Amazon’s E-Commerce Empire As shown by its fundraising and number of investors, Jet.com has its believers. Its venture money comes from China e-commerce giant Alibaba ( BABA ), prominent Silicon Valley venture capital firms such as General Catalyst Partners, and the venture units of financial powerhouses Goldman Sachs ( GS ) and Fidelity National Financial ( FNF ), among others. The company is valued near $1 billion, huge for any startup but a blip compared with Amazon’s $286 billion market cap. Amazon has annual revenue topping $100 billion — not including the more than $131 billion in third-party sales — and is catching up to longtime No. 1 retailer Wal-Mart ( WMT ). Amazon also has a nascent payments business that competes with PayPal ( PYPL ). To facilitate its e-commerce sales, the company has elected to get into the ocean shipping business, which has the potential to generate hundreds of millions in free cash flow . And that’s just the e-tail business. In E-Tail, Go Big Or Go Home Conventional wisdom holds that one strategy to beat Amazon is to pick and choose categories of goods that Amazon is not strong in. One, for example, is fashion — though Amazon recently launched its own line of apparel and a live-streaming TV show . Alibaba-funded e-tail startup ShopRunner is taking aim at Amazon that way. Lore chose another route. In Lore’s view of the e-commerce universe, mass market firms — those competing across a range of product categories — are the only viable firms. That’s because, Lore says, whether a website is selling one category of products or 10, you need to push them “through the same set of pipes.” And thus, he says, it makes more sense to leverage the same set of fixed costs to increase sales. “If you have 10 times as many categories and 10 times the gross marketplace value going through the same set of pipes, you’re going to get a lot more leverage in your fixed expenses, and your expenses as a percentage of revenue is going to be a lot lower,” Lore said. “It makes it really difficult for the specialty guys to compete on price with mass merchants for that reason.” Lore himself has a fair bit of experience with Amazon and its CEO, Jeff Bezos. As founder and former CEO of Quidsi, known for its Diapers.com, Lore spent years facing off against Amazon. Ultimately, Bezos killed Diapers.com with a price war — the e-tail giant can afford to lose money for longer than its often smaller competitors — and bought the company from Lore. The CEO stuck around for about three years but ultimately left in 2013 . A little more than a year in, Jet.com remains one of the few e-tail companies in the U.S. that’s openly challenging Amazon’s dominance. With $1 billion in gross merchandise value — a figure often very close to revenue for e-tail firms — and 3.5 million registered shoppers, Lore already has taken Jet on a long flight, with a long runway ahead.