Tag Archives: earnings-center

Coffee ETFs Jump On Supply Concerns

Coffee ETFs have been in the bearish territory since last October on record crop production, lower demand and weak broad commodity fundamentals. However, this trend seems to have reversed in recent sessions on supply concerns in Brazil and Central America. This is especially true as both coffee ETFs – iPath Dow Jones-UBS Coffee Subindex Total Return ETN (NYSEARCA: JO ) and iPath Pure Beta Coffee ETN (NYSEARCA: CAFE ) – surged nearly 5.4% in Monday’s trading session. Some recent reports suggest that the impact of last year’s Brazilian drought could be felt this year and could result in a smaller-than-expected bean size. In particular, the National Coffee Council of Brazil sees around 40 million bags of coffee as compared to the industry forecast of over 50 million bags. Additionally, supply of arabica beans could decline over the next 12 months, as nearly 60% of the Brazilian arabica crop was harvested this year against 80% in the year-ago period. Though this would not have an immediate impact on the near-term supply, declining inventory levels could jolt supply in the months ahead leading to further surge in coffee prices. Notably, about one-third of the coffee supplies come from Brazil, the world’s biggest producer and exporter. Further, dry conditions across Central America raised worries over supply. All these negative news compelled investors to cut down their short positions for coffee. As per the latest US Commitment of Traders position report , managed money fund sector and non-commercial speculative sector reduced their net “short” position by 21% and 16%, respectively, over a one-week period (ending August 4). Give assuring fundamentals, investors should take a closer look at the two coffee products. JO seeks to deliver returns through front month coffee futures contracts while CAFE looks to select the futures contracts that best mitigates the impact of roll yield on the underlying investment. The former has accumulated $116.7 million in AUM while the latter has scanty AUM of $5.6 million. Both products cost 75 bps in annual fees and lost over 25% in the year-to-date time frame. The duo has a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ rating with a High risk outlook. Original Post Share this article with a colleague

EVX: Cash In Trash

Proper waste management has been largely ignored by newly emerged economies. Legislation in advanced economies has necessitated the creation of a waste management industry. The Market Vectors ETF contains top-tier companies as well as very specialized waste management companies. Over the past twenty years or so, many nations discovered that socialist economic management, although noble in concept, was impractical in reality. Nations such as China, India, Russia, Eastern Europe and many South American nations pursued and adopted “free market principles” with great success. Literally millions upon millions have risen out of poverty and have attained a better standard of living. However, as so often happens in emerging markets, environmental sustainability took a back seat to economic development. The rapid industrial expansion may well have created a global “climate change”. It certainly has created dangerous levels of smog and air pollution in many of the world’s most famous cities. Several of the world’s great rivers have become polluted and nearly devoid of life. One critical problem that has hardly been addressed is the various kinds of solid waste; everything from industrial waste down to the trash generated, by each of us, every day. Van Eck Global offers investors a way to benefit from a niche market through its Market Vectors ETF Environmental Services ETF (NYSEARCA: EVX ) . The fund tracks the performance of the NYSE Arca Environmental Services Index (AXENV) : a modified equal dollar-weighted index intended to give investors exposure to the environmental services sector. A word of caution: This is a very thinly traded specialized fund so it may not be a suitable holding for all investors. However, it does contain well-known, well-established, dividend-paying companies. Hence, the questions are whether it’s worth holding the fund, or simply selecting individual companies. Since there are only 23 companies in the fund as of the first week of August 2015, it would be best to break the holdings down into their respective sectors and identify both strong and weak points. First, the fund is comprised almost entirely of US-based companies, 96.4%, and also a few Canadian holdings, 3.6%. This is an important point. Both governments have long established legislation on environmental issues, including the proper, safe and sustainable disposal of industrial and residential waste, for one example, the Ocean Dumping Ban Act of 1988 . Further, legislation is far from complete. Individual US states have their own requirements. The point being that there is a demand for the management of waste necessitated by laws and regulations. Further, laws, regulations, certifications, permits, specialized equipments and procedures are required to collect, transport and dispose of medical waste. A quick examination of the top ten holdings demonstrates the general waste management industry as well as the lesser-known specialized waste management companies. In fact, potential investors might even find the services offered as unique, interesting, and without a doubt critically necessary. Company and Symbol Percentage of Fund’s Holdings Recent TTM P/E Recent EPS Recent Dividend Yield Industry Specialization What They Do Waste Management (NYSE: WM ) 11.09% 23.36 $2.17 3.03% Industrial Provides waste management through local subsidiaries. Collects, transports, recycles: paper, glass, plastics, metal, electronics. Owns landfill and landfill gas-to-energy facilities. Republic Services (NYSE: RSG ) 10.99% 25.23 1.69 2.82% Industrial Similar to Waste Management, collecting, transporting and recycling non-hazardous residential, municipal and industrial solid waste. Waste Connections (NYSE: WCN ) 10.61% 26.89 1.85 1.05% Industrial and Minerals Diversified. Managing, collecting, transferring, disposing and recycling of municipal and residential wastes. Recycles paper, glass, metals and compostable waste, as well as non-hazardous natural resource exploration wastes. Stericycle (NASDAQ: SRCL ) 10.70% 40.91 3.49 0.00% Healthcare Services Provides consulting and regulated compliant solutions for healthcare and commercial businesses. Subsidiaries in the Americas, Europe, and the Pacific. Collections include “sharps”, pharma, blood, dental, used safety products and veterinary waste. Steris Corp. (NYSE: STE ) 3.88% 29.92 2.25 1.49% Healthcare Services Medical sterilization equipment and services. Disinfection systems, surgical tables, OR storage, scrub sinks; OR and GI procedure accessories; patient tracking; cleansing products. Some brand names: Amsco, Hamo, Cmax, Reliance and Harmony Tetra (NASDAQ: TTEK ) 3.77% 17.57 1.50 1.22% Materials and Energy Engineering and consulting services; water management and infrastructure, oil sands, geotechnical and Arctic engineering services. Operates in Canada as well as the US. Cantel Medical Corp. (NYSE: CMN ) 3.74% 49.40 1.09 0.19% Healthcare Services/Consumer Products Infection Prevention; GI equipment reprocessing, sterilants, detergents; disposable healthcare products; dialysis disinfection; biological packaging; and water purification. US, Canada and Puerto Rico. Progressive Waste Solutions (NYSE: BIN ) 3.69% 26.77 1.02 1.92% Industrial Municipal and residential waste management; landscape collection and recycling, recycling centers and landfill operations; portable toilets; waste audits and education/event services. Serves US, and Canada. ABM Industries (NYSE: ABM ) 3.68% 22.72 1.45 1.94% Industrial Provides integrated facilities solutions for commercial, government, institutions, hotel, airports, data centers, high-tech manufacturing. Commercial cleaning, maintenance and repair, HVAC maintenance, janitorial, security, parking management. US and Canada. US Ecology, Inc. (NASDAQ: ECOL ) 3.56% 35.22 1.38 1.48% Industrial/ Mineral Collection, transportation, treatment, disposal, recycling of hazardous, non-hazardous, and radioactive wastes. Chemical cleaning, decontamination, spill and emergency response. Operates in US and Canada. (Data from Van Eck and Reuters) Overall, 5 of all 21 holdings have a negative trailing twelve-month (TTM) EPS. The fund’s average EPS is positive at 0.96. The average TTM P/E is 25.5195 and the average dividend yield is 1.23%. The fund has a total of $15.6 million in total net assets. Its gross expense ratio is somewhat high at 0.92%, however, according to Van Eck, expenses for the fund are capped at 0.55% through January of 2016. As noted above, the fund is very thinly traded averaging 250 shares per day, over the past 30 days. The fund is currently trading at a slight premium to NAV of 0.03%. The share price was $62.51 as of the close on August 7, $0.03 over the NAV. The following table is a summary of the fund’s basic metrics: 1 Month 3 Months YTD 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year Since Inception 10/10/06 EVX -0.54 -1.1 -4.51 -2.32 9.82 8.67 6.45 EVX Shares -0.65 -1.55 -6.04 -4.37 9.67 8.57 6.41 AXENV Index -0.5 -1.01 -4.45 -2.16 10.29 9.20 6.99 (Data from Van Eck) Lastly, the fund pays a yearly dividend, as summarized in the table: (Data from Van Eck) A word or two needs to be said about a few of the holdings. For example, Newpark Resources (NYSE: NR ) , 2.01% of the holdings, is actually an oil and gas driller and only loosely connected to the management of resource waste management, per se. The company emphasizes its corporate responsibility to the environment as a provider of sustainable and ecologically-friendly drilling services in the industry. Needless to say, the company has been affected recently by overproduction in the oil and gas industry. Tenneco (NYSE: TEN ) , 3.00%, manufactures catalytic converters and diesel oxidation catalysts for combustion engines, thus indirectly managing carbon emission waste. Schnitzer Steel (NASDAQ: SCHN ) , 1.80%, specializes in large-scale metals shredding, blending and recycling to customer specifications, thus reducing landfill waste. Layne Christensen (NASDAQ: LAYN ), 1.86%, specializes in water management, drilling and construction. Darling Ingredients (NYSE: DAR ) , 3.03%, manufactures sustainable natural ingredients for edible and inedible bio-nutrients. These examples demonstrate that not every holding is a “pure-play”, which goes “out into the field”. They and others in the fund recycle or repurpose what would otherwise be an unusable waste product. However, all of the companies do relate to the central theme of hazardous and non-hazardous waste management: transportation, recycling, repurposing, filtration, disposal and also environmental consulting services. Since the sector has so few participants, it’s reasonable to consider the potential of competition and then pricing power. It’s reasonable, but not likely as EPA regulations require licensing, certification, inspection and needless to say accountability if something should go wrong. Thus, it would be difficult, expensive and time consuming for new entrants to establish themselves in this sector. On the other hand, an outright purchase of an established specialized waste management company would be far simpler. Recent headline-making events such as oil drilling accidents, freight train derailments causing chemical spills and fires requiring the evacuations of entire towns, coal wastewater ponds leaking into the water table, difficult or untreatable hospital infections, salmonella bacterial contamination in food production, contaminated HVAC cooling towers causing the often fatal Legionnaires’ disease, all indicate the growing need to fill a large niche for private sector investment. The Van Eck Market Vectors ETF is one of the few funds which specialize in environmental service. The companies in this fund are mostly profitable to the point of paying dividends. Once more, the lack of a market for the ETF shares will make this difficult to trade. But the fund will give a long-term investor with a little extra risk capital and patience, an opportunity to hold a diversified position in a growing industry, increasingly mandated by law and public demand. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: CFDs, spread betting and FX can result in losses exceeding your initial deposit. They are not suitable for everyone, so please ensure you understand the risks. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Nothing in this article should be considered a personal recommendation. It does not account for your personal circumstances or appetite for risk.

Vanguard 500 Index Fund: A Mutual Fund Anyone Can Appreciate In Their 401k

Summary VFIAX is a mutual fund designed to track the S&P 500 with a lower expense ratio than SPY. The mutual fund is a great holding for investors wanting to replicate the performance of “the market” without getting devoured by fees. This is a solid option for the retirement account. The Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares (MUTF: VFIAX ) offer investors an excellent way to handle their investments. While I’m a huge fan of using ETFs in the construction of a portfolio, Vanguard is offering some mutual funds with very compelling expense ratios. The nice thing about these mutual funds is that investors are able to buy fractional shares which are excellent for dollar cost averaging. Volatility The standard deviation of returns (monthly) shows very similar levels of volatility to the S&P 500 index as tracked by (NYSEARCA: SPY ). Correlation is also running around 99.9%. The holdings are very similar, but these shares are offering a lower expense ratio and the ability to use dollar cost averaging very effectively. Expense Ratio The mutual fund is posting .05% for an expense ratio. There is really nothing to complain about here. It beats SPY and it beats most mutual funds and ETFs in existence. Largest Holdings The diversification within the fund is good. There are not as many holdings as the whole market index funds that I often prefer, but all around this is a very solid fund. (click to enlarge) Risk Factors The biggest issue for VFIAX is the risk that the S&P 500 is getting fairly expensive on many fundamental levels. For instance, the P/E ratio on the index is fairly high (running over 20). The high P/E ratio comes at a time when corporate profits after taxes are also very high relative to GDP. My concern is about the valuation level of the market. When it comes to ways to buy the market, VFIAX is one of the best funds to use for the task. When it comes to risk assessment, I’m not sure I’d go with Vanguard’s scale, shown below: Vanguard has a tendency to mark any primarily equity investment as being fairly high risk. Relative to other equity investments, the risk level here is very reasonable. The fund still scores high on risk for Vanguard’s scale because they are comparing it to other funds stuffed with lower risk securities than equity. Compared to a very short term high credit quality bond fund, I have to agree that VFIAX has substantially more risk. Compared to the broad universe of equity investments, VFIAX is doing a solid job of holding a diversified portfolio of large capitalization companies with solid histories. Other Things to Know Minimum investments for opening a position were $10,000 according to the Vanguard website. After that additional purchases could be in increments as small as $1. This is a solid fund for dollar cost averaging. Based on my macroeconomic views, I would want to use a fund like VFIAX for equity exposure but I also believing hold some cash on hand is wise given the potential for a reduction in equity prices. When it comes to using mutual funds, I think the best way to deal with them is to dollar cost average in. I like using ETFs to adjust my portfolio exposure but the mutual funds can be set as a “set it and forget it” investment vehicle. When making a meaningful contribution to a fund month after month without checking up on it, it would be wise to make sure the fund is reasonably diversified and that the expense ratios are low. The Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares easily sail through both of those tests. Conclusion While I am concerned that market valuations are a little on the high side, I’m still investing each month. I choose to hold more in cash than I would if the market looked cheaper, but I still see dollar cost averaging into the right funds as a viable long term strategy. The biggest challenge for investors is to resist the urge to pull back when the market falls. We should all expect that the stock market will fall within the next 30 years. When those drops happen, investors need to be able to stomach stepping into the market to buy. Since those times are often very scary, one solution is to set up automatic purchases for a fund like VFIAX. To avoid overthinking things, I keep automatic contributions running as a baseline for investing. I use my other accounts to make additional purchases. If your employer sponsored plan offers VFIAX, it is a mutual fund worthy of consideration. Figure out your own risk tolerance and determine if the equity exposure is right for you. The biggest potential mistake an investor could make with buying VFIAX would be to put 75%+ of their portfolio in the fund when they are only a couple years from retirement and will be required to sell off shares to take distributions. So long as the total level of risk is appropriate for the investors, this is a great fund to use as the core of a passive retirement portfolio. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: Information in this article represents the opinion of the analyst. All statements are represented as opinions, rather than facts, and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell a security. Ratings of “outperform” and “underperform” reflect the analyst’s estimation of a divergence between the market value for a security and the price that would be appropriate given the potential for risks and returns relative to other securities. The analyst does not know your particular objectives for returns or constraints upon investing. All investors are encouraged to do their own research before making any investment decision. Information is regularly obtained from Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, and SEC Database. If Yahoo, Google, or the SEC database contained faulty or old information it could be incorporated into my analysis.