Tag Archives: earnings-center

Consider Taking Tax Losses Now – Beat The Year-End Bounce Rush

Recent stock market volatility has resulted in portfolio losers. NOW is the time to consider tax-loss selling to beat the year-end bounce rush. There are several questions to ask when considering taking a stock tax loss. With all the volatility in the stock market this year, many investors probably find themselves holding some stocks in which they have sizable losses. By selling those losers and realizing those losses, you can use the losses to offset taxable gains that you may have realized during the year. Most individual investors think about this strategy in December, which means that this tax-loss selling could push the price of some of these stocks even lower. This means that you probably don’t want to be selling your losers then, and may in fact want to consider buying some of these beaten down stocks to take advantage of this tax-generated downward pressure that goes away on January first. I’ll discuss this in more detail in the December issue of my investment newsletter . Moreover, under the U.S. tax code you can buy a stock back 31 days or more after selling and still recognize the loss. (If you sell in 30 days or less, the IRS will not allow the loss). This way you can take the tax loss and still participate if the stock eventually rebounds. When considering taking a tax loss in a particular stock, there are several questions you need to ask yourself: “Do I really want to own this stock anymore?” If not, you should just sell it and move on to other stocks with better gain potential. If you do want to own the stock for the long haul, there are other considerations: “How likely it is to rebound sharply in the next 30 days?” If you think the likelihood is high, you probably should not take the tax loss. Similarly, if you have a sizable position, you need to consider whether there is enough trading volume in the stock to get out and then back in 31 days later without significantly affecting the stock price. If you are concerned about the volume in the stock, it may be better to look elsewhere for your losses. Read more of my most recent investing advice and turnaround stock picks . Share this article with a colleague

6 Seeking Alpha Series

Summary Where Can I Find Safe Income For Retirement? The Future Of Seeking Alpha and Seeking Alpha On Day 1 & 2. 7 Fat Years Of Event-Driven Investing. Preparing For A Market Collapse. The #1 Stock In The World. Some topics require more than one article on more than one day. In some cases, reader comments drive a series in a new, unexpected direction. In order to make sure that you can find these series in their intended order, I am posting them here for your consideration. Thanks to Seeking Alpha for publishing them and to the readers for reading them and offering (oftentimes) thoughtful feedback. Where Can I Find Safe Income For Retirement? Executive summary This 3-part series attempts to answer the following question: what do you do if you do not want to rely on a paycheck? This is for anyone looking for safety who does not want to overpay in order to get steady investment income. The Future Of Seeking Alpha Executive summary This 2-part series explores the big changes taking place at Seeking Alpha, including new management and new premium services such as Sifting the World . Seeking Alpha On Day 1 & 2 Executive summary How should a new investor begin? How can you get the fullest use out of Seeking Alpha? This is what I have learns over my years of writing on SA and my lifetime of investing. 7 Fat Years Of Event-Driven Investing Executive Summary What have I done at Rangeley Capital for the past seven years? I focus on the annual investment ideas that I have disclosed publicly for the subsequent year. I discuss the results of those ideas as well as similar opportunities available in today’s market. Then I switch gears to consider the prospective opportunities for the next seven years. The commonality between these ideas is that they do not depend upon any tailwind from the overall equity markets. I expect no such tailwind in the years ahead. Preparing For A Market Collapse Executive summary In an uncertain world, you can protect yourself with cash savings and disciplined position sizing. The key to being prepared is to have redundancy in each of the systems that you rely upon. For some investors, shorting expensive, risky, and precarious stocks can add to safety. In addition to a number of individual securities, I offer my best ideas for a country, sector, and asset class to short. The series concluded with a discussion of key metrics to help reveal when the best time to short might be. The #1 Stock In The World Executive summary At today’s prices, what is the world’s best stock? This 2-part series explores counterparty selection, volatility, how I find ideas and what I do with them, as well as my top three current favorites. Share this article with a colleague

What If Everyone Indexed?

People generally think that more indexing will make the markets function less efficiently. I don’t think this is true at all. The fact that most index funds and ETFs are more tax- and fee-efficient than mutual funds does not mean they are necessarily less “active”. Most passive investing means there will be greater demand for active managers in the form of market makers and arbitrageurs. If everyone indexed, then that much more active market making would be required. I see this question more and more as indexing grows in popularity. People generally think that more indexing will make the markets function less efficiently. I don’t think this is true at all. Unfortunately, the question and its answers are usually shrouded in misunderstandings about how assets are priced and myths about what it means to invest “passively”. So, let’s think about this from an operational perspective. An index fund is not really an “index”. They are portfolios managed every day trying to track an index. These funds are managed actively, and involve hundreds, if not thousands, of decisions every year. The simplest example is the modern-day ETF, which is essentially a real-time version of what most people think of as an index fund. When you buy shares in an ETF, there is someone who is actively managing the allocation of funds (the same is true for an index mutual fund, though it’s less apparent in real-time, since the fund is not traded on an exchange). For instance, if the market price of an ETF were to deviate from the intraday indicative value, then the market makers would either buy/sell the ETF or buy/sell the underlying securities. So, while there doesn’t appear to be much activity on the surface, the very act of buying an index fund could actually force some active management in the underlying securities markets. In other words, your “passive” investment is the other side of the active management of the market maker or fund administrator.¹ It’s not a coincidence that high-frequency trading firms and big banks are making huge gobs of money during the rise of passive indexing. After all, passive indexing means that there is a greater need for those alternative forms of what is nothing more than “active” management. Unfortunately, the studies blasting active management usually include mutual fund managers and not the most active managers of them all – market makers and HFT firms. And make no mistake – these “active” operations are hugely profitable because they are essentially making “passive” portfolios available.² The kicker here is that index funds really aren’t passive at all. When you look at the underlying components of how the funds are actually managed, you realize that there’s a lot of activity in all of this. The fact that most index funds and ETFs are more tax- and fee-efficient than mutual funds does not mean they are necessarily less “active”, though. People misuse the term “passive indexing” on a near-daily basis now. And it’s the result of this desire to create a black-and-white view of the world, which is usually nothing more than a marketing pitch (something along the lines of – “We’re passive, so invest with us, because the misleading academic studies show that ‘active’ managers are dopes.”). The reality, however, is that there is really only active management and its varying degrees. Literally no one replicates a pre-fee and pre-tax index. Not a single investor. And your purchase and maintenance of a “passive” strategy will require a good deal of active upkeep. The bottom line is, most passive investing means there will be greater demand for active managers in the form of market makers and arbitrageurs. The ease of passive investing is made possible thanks to these active underlying elements. And that’s great, because it’s a win-win. Indexers get a low-fee and easy way to access markets. But they also bear the cost of their laziness (in numerous unseen ways), which is why making markets in index funds is hugely profitable. So, if everyone indexed, then that much more active market making would be required. End of story. ¹ – Read this fun paper on how ETFs work. ² – E.g., ever wonder how a big bank like Bank of America (NYSE: BAC ) can be profitable on 100% of its trading days in a quarter ? It’s thanks, in part, to passive indexers like me! “During the three months ended March 31, 2013, positive trading-related revenue was recorded for 100 percent, or 60 trading days, of which 97 percent (58 days) were daily trading gains of over $25 million.” (click to enlarge) Related: The Myth of Passive Investing