Tag Archives: data

Palo Alto Networks Wins ‘Bake-Offs’ Against Cisco, Check Point

Proofpoint ( PFPT ) rebuffed Wall Street concerns that tech spending has slowed this quarter, Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski wrote Monday, following last week’s 40,000-attendance cybersecurity RSA Conference in San Francisco. Fears of a tech spending depression slugged IBD’s 25-company Computer Software-Security industry group after dismal outlooks by  Tableau Software ( DATA ) and LinkedIn ( LNKD ) last month. The group hit a 20-month low on Feb. 9 but has since risen 31%. A weak spending outlook did not play out at RSA, Nowinski and William Blair analyst Jonathan Ho wrote Monday in separate research reports. “(Proofpoint) management said they are seeing ‘absolutely no change in the buying environment,’” Nowinski wrote. “Based on our meetings at the conference, we believe demand trends in Q1 have remained strong through the first two months of the year.” Endpoint Pits Symantec, FireEye, IBM Trending buzzwords include endpoint security, internal access management and privileged account management, Nowinski wrote. Symantec ( SYMC ), FireEye ( FEYE ) and IBM ( IBM ) (via a partnership with Carbon Black) compete in the endpoint market. Industry tracker IDC sees endpoint security revenue reaching $4.6 billion in 2016, up 5.4% and accelerating from 2% year-over-year growth in 2015, Nowinski wrote. Despite a marketing refresh, Symantec will struggle against “rapidly growing next-generation endpoint vendors that have demonstrated stronger solutions,” Ho predicted. FireEye, on the other hand, bolstered its threat-prevention capabilities by adding exploit detection to its endpoint. IDC also expects internal access management revenue to reach $5.9 billion in 2016 and grow at an 8% compound annual growth rate through 2019. Within that sector, privileged account management will comprise $550 million, growing at a 10.6% CAGR over the next four years, Ho says. CyberArk Software ( CYBR ) rivals Centrify in the identity access management ring, Nowinski wrote. But Centrify’s tools for securing both privileged accounts and end-user identity give it a broader portfolio than CyberArk, he wrote. During RSA, CyberArk released a new version of its privileged threat analytics system, aimed at stopping “Golden Ticket” attacks which exploit privileged credentials in Microsoft ( MSFT ) domain-level administrator accounts, Ho wrote. Ho also noted that a platform focus continues to buoy Palo Alto Networks ( PANW ), which he says still wins “bake-offs” against Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), Check Point Software Technologies ( CHKP ) and Juniper Networks ( JNPR ). But Check Point’s software-based firewall could be a game changer, he wrote. “Check Point’s software-based firewall appears better positioned than competitors for the upcoming shift to third-party cloud architectures such as AWS ( Amazon ( AMZN ) Web Service) and (Microsoft) Azure,” he said. ‘Spending Has Not Weakened’ Ultimately, the RSA Conference quelled concerns of slowing spending and lengthening sales cycles, Ho wrote. RSA saw 70 first-time exhibitors, giving it 500 companies at the event, and more than 20% growth from 33,000 attendees in 2015. “We observed continued excitement over the space and a strong appetite for new solutions, consistent with prior years,” Ho wrote. “Our discussions with private and public companies suggest that the environment remains robust and that security spending has not weakened near term.” Overall themes included the burgeoning Internet of Things market, encryption, third-party cloud security, identity/access management as-a-service, real-time visibility, next-generation endpoint security, automation/orchestration and leveraging Big Data analytics, Ho wrote. “The conference reinforced our view that the companies best positioned to benefit from increased spending are those that offer innovative next-generation approaches that will see rapid growth in investment,” he wrote. Customers are looking at cost, manageability and vendor consolidation, Ho wrote.

Software Bounce? Rebound? Workday Leads, But Price Targets Fall

Are long-lagging software stocks ready to rebound? With the major stock market indexes rallying about 2%, even Tableau Software ( DATA ) was up 4% by early afternoon Tuesday. But the real mover is enterprise software developer Workday ( WDAY ), back to work after an anxious Leap Year workday when it unveiled Q4 earnings and revenue that beat Wall Street — for the 13th time in 14 quarters — but then sucked some oxygen out of the room by guiding the current Q1 sales below analyst estimates. The stock edged down in after-hours trade Monday. No matter. Workday stock gapped up 9.1% after the morning bell, then slipped slightly, then rebounded to sit 9.8% higher at 66.40 in midafternoon trading in the stock market today , heading for a fifth straight up day, its ninth in the last 11. Workday stock is still 29% off a three-month high made last May. The entire IBD Computer Software-Enterprise industry group was up 2.3% by midafternoon, also on a five-day win run, boosted by Salesforce.com ‘s ( CRM ) big 11% jump after issuing solid earnings and outlook after the close Feb 24. Salesforce was up 2.3% in afternoon trade Tuesday, while legacy software king Oracle ( ORCL ) was up 2.9% to 37.85. Salesforce is the highest-ranked of the bunch, with an IBD Composite Rating of 88 out of a possible 99, tracking metrics such as earnings growth, stock market performance and other measures. But the Computer Software-Enterprise industry group as a whole ranks just 90th in performance out of 197 tracked by IBD. The Computer Software-Database group, where low-rated Tableau resides, ranks near the bottom, at 184, though both groups have been on an upswing since the second week of February, clambering back from steep losses the prior week. Oracle, Tableau and Workday still hold relatively low IBD Composite Ratings in the 40s. A little momentum at Workday? Analysts differ. They’re impressed, but also cautious. Citing Workday’s “strong billings” — up 44% — with financial management software customers “roughly doubling” year over year to 207 clients, FBN Securities analyst Shebly Seyrafi lowered his price target to 75 from 80 and retained his sector perform rating on Workday, not so much on any weakness at Workday but “due to recent market multiple contraction.” And while revenue guidance for Q1 came in below analyst expectations , “billings guidance was above,” Seyrafi wrote in a research note issued Tuesday. “We are also impressed by WDAY’s strong degree of visibility,” he said. Unearned revenue of $900 million grew by 42%, but noncancelable backlog — not on the balance sheet — grew by 62% to $1.56 billion, he noted. “This results in the combination of unearned revenue and backlog at $2.5 billion, up 54%. Since this represents 82% of our estimated next-eight-quarter subscription revenue, up from 72% at the end of fiscal 2015, WDAY’s visibility has increased.” Similarly, analyst David Hynes lowered Canaccord Genuity’s price target to 75 from 95 but reiterated a buy rating for Workday. “Lots of things happening at Workday,” he wrote in a research note, citing “record new customer adds, Fortune 500 go-lives, triple-digit pipeline growth, improving competitive win rates, increasing attach rates, new SKUs set to hit the market in (the current) fiscal 2017, and the list goes on.” Those new SKUs — stock keeping units, or individual products — in planning, learning management and student software are expected to add “more than” a $5 billion total addressable market for Workday to work over, co-founder and CEO Aneel Bhusri told analysts in a post-earnings conference call late Monday. That’s on top of Workday’s core financial management and human capital management (HCM) software product markets. Then again, Brean Capital analyst Yun Kim warned that billings growth decelerated to 42% in fiscal 2016 from 69% in 2015. “Its fiscal 2017 billings guidance calls for modest 31% growth,” Kim wrote in a research note issued Tuesday. “While overall FY17 revenue and billings guidance was mostly positive, we believe its outlook for flat margins could disappoint some investors,” Kim said. Brean Capital rates Workday a hold with a 60.45 price target. “Overall, given lack of transparency into its new business bookings, we believe there will likely be a high degree of uncertainty that exists among investors regarding its true sales momentum,” Kim wrote. Evercore ISI analyst Kirk Materne lowered his price target to 75 from 95 but maintained a buy rating. “Overall, we believe the longer-term trends in the business remain positive, and WDAY remains one of the best multiyear growth stories in software,” he said in a Tuesday research note. “But given that the market remains wary of high valuation SaaS  (Software as a Service) names, investors will need to take a long-term view.” For the current Q1 2017, Workday guided revenue below analysts’ views to a range of $337 million to $339 million but didn’t forecast earnings. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect on average a Q1 per-share loss minus items of 2 cents, flat with a year ago, on $343.3 million in revenue vs. Q1 2016’s $251 million.

Workday Beats For 13th Time In 14 Quarters, But Outlook Short

All in a Leap Year workday’s work, Workday ( WDAY ) late Monday issued its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings that beat Wall Street views, but its Q1 revenue outlook missed forecasts and shares were down in after-hours trading. The company’s CEO, however, said Workday will expand its total addressable market. And the Q4 ended Jan. 31 marked the 13th time in 14 quarters that Workday beat consensus on earnings and revenue since going public in Oct. 2012, priced at 28. But CFO Mark Peek forecast Q1 revenue of $337 million to $339 million, up 35% at the midpoint but below the $343.3 million modeled by analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. Workday stock was down 3% in after-hours trading, after the company released its results. Shares  rose 1.7% to 60.46 in Monday’s regular session. Workday stock hit a 39-month low at 47.32 on Feb. 9. The stock climbed over the past two weeks but is still down 24%  this year. Investors in software stocks, battered in recent months, had hoped Workday might encourage upward movement in the sector like Salesforce.com ( CRM ) did last week when its stock jumped 11% after its fiscal Q4 earnings and its outlook beat expectations. The enterprise software sector dived Feb. 5 after Big Data developer Tableau Software ( DATA ) issue a disappointing Q4 and gave soft guidance. Tableau crashed 49.5% that day to 41.33 and still has not recovered. “We ended FY16 on a high note with a very strong fourth quarter across product lines and around the world,” Workday CEO Aneel Bhusri said in the earnings release. “Demand for our financial management and HCM (human capital management) products continues to rise, as do our competitive win rates. The year ahead brings us an expanded addressable market with the delivery of Planning, Learning Management and Student applications that allow customers to drive employee engagement and productivity in new and transformative ways.” Big legacy software developer Oracle ( ORCL ) unwittingly might be helping Workday by somewhat reducing its automatic promotional Software as a Service to customers,  D.A. Davidson analyst Jack Andrews wrote in a research note before Workday’s earnings release. Workday’s  helps companies manage their most important assets: people, in the form of the HCM applications, and money, with financial management software. The company posted a per-share loss minus items of a penny in Q4, better than its 6-cent loss in the year-earlier quarter, on revenue of $323.4 million, up 43%. Workday had guided Q4 to revenue of $317 million to $320 million. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had modeled $320.3 million when Q3 results were reported in November, but then revised it down to $319.6 million. Analysts had expected an adjusted loss per share of 5 cents.