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Industrial ETFs In Focus On GE Mixed Q4 Results

On Friday, General Electric (NYSE: GE ), the industrial conglomerate giant, reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter 2015 earnings but missed on the top line. Earnings per share came in 52 cents, a couple of cents ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate and up 27% from the year-ago quarter. Revenues rose 1.4% year over year to $33.89 billion but were well below our estimated $35.92 billion. The revenue miss were credited to a weak global economy and an oil price slide that hurt revenues in the renewable, and oil and gas segments (read: Oil Hits 12-Year Low: Short Energy Stocks with ETFs ). In order to withstand the fall oil prices and slow global growth, General Electric doubled its restructuring spending for this year to $3.4 billion and increased its cost-cutting target by two times for the struggling oil and gas business to as much as $800 million. Further, the company is transforming itself into a digital-industrial company and plans to shift its headquarters from Connecticut to Boston by 2018. Notably, digital business revenue climbed 22% to $5 billion last year and is on track to reach $20 billion by 2020. For fiscal 2016, the company reaffirmed its earnings per share guidance of $1.45-$1.55, the midpoint of which is a penny below the Zacks Consensus Estimate. Organic revenue is expected to grow 2-4% while cash generation is estimated at $30-$32 billion. General Electric also intends to return $26 billion to its shareholders this year, including $8 billion in dividends and $18 billion in share repurchases. Market Impact Following mixed Q4 results, shares of GE dropped as much as 3.1% in Friday’s trading session and the industrial ETFs having double-digit allocation to this industrial conglomerate giant are in focus for the days ahead. All the funds stated below have a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ rating with a Medium risk outlook. Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FIDU ) This fund tracks the MSCI USA IMI Industrials Index, holding 345 stocks in its basket. General Electric takes the top spot at 13.3% share with the aerospace and defense industry making up for one-fourth of the portfolio, followed by industrial conglomerates at 21.3%. The product has amassed $100.5 million in its asset base while trades in moderate volume of nearly 102,000 share a day on average. It is one of the low cost choices in the space charging 12 bps in annual fees from investors. The fund gained 0.8% following GE results. Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLI ) This is the largest and most popular ETF in the space with AUM of $5.3 billion and average daily volume of 13.7 million shares. It follows the Industrial Select Sector Index and charges 14 bps in fees per year. Holding a small basket of 68 securities, GE takes the top spot with 11.9% allocation. Form a sector look, aerospace and defense occupy the top position at 28.3% followed by industrial conglomerates (21.5%), and machinery (12.8%). The fund added 0.9% on the day. Vanguard Industrials ETF (NYSEARCA: VIS ) This fund follows the MSCI US IMI Industrials 25/50 index and holds about 346 securities in its basket. Of these firms, GE occupies the top position with 12.6% allocation. Here again, aerospace and defense takes the top spot at 23.8% followed by industrial conglomerates at 20.2%. The fund manages $1.8 billion in its asset base and charges 10 bps in annual fees. Volume is moderate as it exchanges 121,000 shares a day on average. The product gained 1.1% on the day (read: Beat U.S. Manufacturing Woes with These Industrial ETFs ). iShares U.S. Industrials ETF (NYSEARCA: IYJ ) This product provides exposure to 212 industrial stocks by tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials Index. It is heavily concentrated on GE – the top firm – with 11.5% of assets while others make up for less than 4% share. Further, the ETF is tilted toward capital goods’ companies at 59.4% while transportation and software services round off the next two spots with double-digit exposure. The fund has an AUM of $507 million and average daily volume of 68,000 shares. Expense ratio came in at 0.44%. The product has gained nearly 1.2% following GE results. Bottom Line Investors should note that the decline in the GE share price has not affected these ETFs despite its largest allocation to the company. This is because the funds have a spread out exposure to a number of firms in various types of industries suggesting that the space can easily counter small declines from some of the industry’s biggest components. Further, the gains in these industrial ETFs are the result of a broad stock market rally buoyed by the sudden spike in oil price, and stimulus hopes in Europe and Japan. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

Franklin Templeton To Jump Into Smart Beta ETF Jungle

With just one ETF currently in the market, Franklin Templeton looks to make a bigger splash with a new range of equity ETFs. The company recently filed paperwork with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) effectively announcing the firm’s plan to launch a quartet of smart-beta ETFs. Each of the funds in the LibertyQ series will track custom, rules-based indices calculated by MSCI. The four ETFs slated for release are: Franklin LibertyQ International Equity Hedged ETF Franklin LibertyQ Emerging Markets ETF Franklin LibertyQ Global Dividend ETF Franklin LibertyQ Global Equity ETF Multi-Factor Weighting All four ETFs are “multi-factor,” each with a different focus ranging from currency-hedging to dividend-themed. Instead of market cap, investments within the funds will be weighted according to a mix of quality, value, momentum, and low volatility. The Franklin LibertyQ International Equity Hedged ETF will invest in qualifying large- and mid-cap stocks from Europe, Australasia and the Far East, with no individual stock accounting for more than 2% of the fund’s total assets. The fund’s goal is to provide superior risk-adjusted returns compared to the MSCI EAFE (“Europe, Australasia, and the Far East”) Index, which is cap-weighted. The new Emerging Markets ETF is somewhat similar, but with holdings culled from the MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Unlike the International Equity Hedged ETF, though, the Emerging Markets version is not currency-hedged, and its holdings may be more highly concentrated in individual countries, sectors, and individual holdings. Franklin’s new LibertyQ Global Dividend and Global Equity ETFs also follow customized MSCI indices, with the former boasting a dividend theme while the latter seeks to outdo the risk-adjusted performance of the MSCI ACWI (“All Country World Index”). Industry-Wide Movement Barron’s reports that a Franklin Templeton spokesperson wouldn’t offer comment beyond what’s in the SEC filing, but CEO Gregory Johnson said “our intention is to enter the marketplace with smart beta ETFs and rule-based ETFs” back in June, in a post-earnings call with analysts . In doing so, Franklin Templeton joins Legg Mason, John Hancock, and Goldman Sachs as recent boarders to the smart-beta bandwagon. Management fees and ticker symbols for the new funds were not included in the filing.

How Combining Quality, Value And Growth Metrics Produce The Best Results

Finally. I’m ready to share what I call the “Action Score”. A score showing how combining quality, value and growth produces fantastic results. If you have time, check out the details of how I created the quality, value and growth ratings. Or here’s a quick summary for each. How the Action Score is Built As I mentioned, it’s a combination of 3 time and tested factors. 1. Quality Quality stocks are ranked and scored based on CROIC – signals competitive advantage, management effectiveness. CROIC between 23-40 is the best range to be in. FCF/Sales – signals cash generation ability, how efficient a company is. FCF/Sales has to be positive. Piotroski score – signals fundamental strength. Highest is best. 2. Value The Value score is based on P/FCF – has the biggest impact on the results and receives the highest weighting EV/EBIT – does a great job of identifying cheap stocks and receives the second highest weighting P/B – acts as a “cleaning” filter to remove stocks where you overpay for assets. Also a way to remove bad stocks you wouldn’t want to own no matter how cheap it looks Piotroski score – assigned a fairly high weighting so that the list removes “lotto” stocks 3. Growth Growth stocks are created using TTM sales percentage change – to find growing companies but also limited to a certain upper percentage to eliminate high flyers 5 year sales CAGR – to find growing companies that are not perennial losers Gross Profit to Asset Ratio (GPA) – a wonderful measure of profitability to find stocks that are making the best use of their assets to generate sales Piotroski F Score – assigned a fairly high weighting so that the list removes “lotto” stocks Each stock is given a Q, V and G score based on its data and rank. The Q, V and G scores are then averaged to give the final “Action Score”. I call it Action because these are the stocks I should be acting on. Whether it be reading, thinking or discussing. How good are these Action Stocks? Take a look. The Final Rating System – Backtested Performance These are the latest and final backtested results based on the newest edition of the algorithm. Full 2015 results are included to give a complete 17 year backtest. Q% is the full year percentage return for stocks with the highest Quality Score V% is the full year percentage return for stocks with the highest Value Score G% is the full year percentage return for stocks with the highest Growth Score Action Score% is the full year percentage return for stocks with the highest average of the Q,V and G scores Top 20 stocks are chosen at the start of each year All stocks held to the end of the year Fees, volume, slippage not considered Full Universe of Stocks Used in Backtest The final theoretical 29% CAGR performance of the Action Score is simply astounding, but it includes the entire universe of stocks in the backtest which skews the results. Trust me, you won’t be able to achieve the same results because it includes OTC stocks you won’t be able to buy due to limited supply or brokerage rules. Financial stocks are also included which skews results because certain ratios for finance stocks are inflated simply because of the nature of the business. That’s why I created a second version that excludes OTC stocks Financials Miners Utilities Click to enlarge No OTC, Financials, Miners, Utilities in Backtest It brings the final result down to 20% CAGR over a 17 year period. To keep it conservative, I think real money results will come in around 15%. I’ll still be uber happy with such long term results and once this is fully launched and running, I’ll be looking into creating a real money portfolio to really put it to the test. The Grading System Each Action Score is assigned a grade to make it easier to identify and analyze. Greater than 85 = A Between 75 and 85 = B Between 65 and 75 = C Between 50 and 65 = D Below 50 = F Distribution of 2016 Scores for Q, V, G and Action You’ll see that I’ve purposely limited the number of A grade stocks. Based on the data at the start of the year, here’s a look at the distribution of how many stocks are in each score range. In the current list there are only 68 A grade Action Stocks compared to 498 B grade Action Stocks. As you see below, a company really has to earn its place to get an A. Click to enlarge The Top 10 Action Score Stocks So that I don’t leave you hanging, here’s a list of the top 10 stocks with the highest Action Score as of the first week of January. With the price action going on in the market, some new stocks may have entered the top 10 in the last week, but there shouldn’t be too many differences. Click to enlarge The chart above shows the top 10 stocks with the best overall Quality, Value and Growth scores. ZAGG Inc. (NASDAQ: ZAGG ) B. Riley Financial (NASDAQ: RILY ) P&F Industries (NASDAQ: PFIN ) Tata Motors (NYSE: TTM ) Ennis (NYSE: EBF ) Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) Flexible Solutions (NYSEMKT: FSI ) Brazilian Distributions (NYSE: CBD ) Innospec (NASDAQ: IOSP ) Brocade Communications (NASDAQ: BRCD )