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Yen ETF Gains On Bank Of Japan Stimulus Changes

Unexpected modifications in the quantitative easing program by Bank of Japan (BOJ) on Friday helped the Japanese currency yen to move higher against the U.S. dollar. BOJ took some moderate steps to boost the sluggish Japanese economy and achieve its inflation target rate. Following the announcement, the yen gained nearly 1.2% against the dollar. BOJ’s New Steps in Focus Japan’s central bank announced a number of judicious changes without expanding the volume of its annual asset purchasing program it has been following for the last three years. Though it maintained the volume of bond purchasing at around 80 trillion yen ($660 billion) per year, the bank opted for raising the Japanese government bonds’ (JGBs) average maturity from 7-10 years to 7-12 years. The bank also revealed its plan of purchasing all JGBs to be issued next year. BOJ also announced that under this program, it will allocate 300 billion yen of assets annually in purchasing ETFs that seek to follow the JPX-Nikkei Index 400, which comprises companies that carry out operation without violating the corporate-governance criteria. The central bank’s intention was to boost capital expenditure and wages – an important parameter of an economy – through this step. This was in addition to the BOJ’s annual allocation of 3 trillion yen in ETFs, which started in late 2014. Will It Work? The changes in economic stimulus came on the back of concerns that BOJ’s quantitative easing program that started three years ago has done little for the economy. Despite the bond purchasing program – popularly known as Abenomics – that had aimed at achieving economic growth, the economy slid into contraction territory in the second quarter with a year-on-year GDP decline of 0.5%. However, according to the latest estimate, the economy rebounded strongly in the last quarter to witness a GDP growth rate of 1%, contrary to the earlier estimate of a contraction of 0.8%. Meanwhile, it was reported that the output expanded at an annual pace of 1.6% in the last three quarters. Also, spending by households in the last quarter saw an increase of 0.5%, indicating that the QE program is not a complete failure. Though the bank’s inflation target of 2% has not yet been achieved, BOJ indicated that it will do whatever it takes to reach the goal. Haruhiko Kuroda, Governor of BOJ said: “I’d like you to understand that we have taken those measures so we will be able to quickly adjust policy if we ever reach a conclusion that [further] action is needed to achieve the price-stability target at an early time.” He even added: “If risks to growth and price rises materialize, and if additional easing becomes necessary as a result, I certainly think we will have to undertake bold measures.” Yen ETF – FXY Gains Divergence in economic policies between the two major economies, the U.S. and Japan, played an important role in boosting the yen against the U.S. dollar on Friday. Last week, the Fed announced the first rate hike in almost a decade. The Fed finally pulled the trigger, raising benchmark interest rates by a modest 25 bps to 0.25-0.50% for the first time since 2006. Like the yen, CurrencyShares Japanese Yen ETF (NYSEARCA: FXY ) that tracks the value of the yen against the price of the greenback also gained 1.2% on Friday following the BOJ announcement. This $252.8 million fund charges 40 basis points as fees. FXY also returned 0.9% in the past six months as the yen, which is considered a classic safe haven asset continue to attract investor focus. FXY has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a High risk outlook. Apart from FXY, popular Japanese ETFs such as iShares MSCI Japan (NYSEARCA: EWJ ), WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJ ) and Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Eq (NYSEARCA: DBJP ) will also remain on investors’ radar in the coming months as they will track the prospect of the changes in economic stimulus. However, EWJ, DXJ and DBJP declined 1.3%, 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively, following the yen’s gain.

Follow T. Rowe Price With These Stocks And ETFs

With the Fed turning hawkish, several industry experts predicting 2016 as a down year for stocks, overvaluation concerns looming large and growth worries still brewing abroad, investors must be looking for the right pick in the markets. The broader U.S. market has lost over 1.2% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015) as denoted by Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: VTI ) while global stocks are off about 4% as depicted by iShares MSCI ACWI (NASDAQ: ACWI ). At home, only tech stocks held their head high as indicated by tech-laden Nasdaq ETF’s (NASDAQ: QQQ ) 8.8% return. In such a situation, while several experts are coming up with varying views, investors can follow the American publicly owned investment firm T Rowe Price’s tech stock selections for 2016. Investors should note that none of the picks is Buy-rated as per Zacks (at the time of writing); in fact, some of these have a ‘Sell’ rating. So, if you follow T. Rowe Price’s picks, bets could be contrarian in nature. However, investors can go against the crowd via the ETF approach as it covers up one component’s weakness with another component’s strength and runs lesser risk. Below we highlight tech stock selections of T. Rowe Price and the ETFs having considerable exposure to those stocks. JD. Com (NASDAQ: JD ) – WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Entpr ETF (NASDAQ: CXSE ) Beijing-based e-commerce company reported wider-than-expected loss in Q3 reported in November, but provided a better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue guidance. The company’s revenues of RMB44.1 billion (US$6.9 billion) also represented a year-over-year jump of 52% in Q3. T. Rowe Price finds its valuation ‘very attractive’. The stock gained 9.6% in the last one month and is up 36.5% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015). However, the stock has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) as there were no upward estimate revisions by analysts in the last 7, 30 and 60 days for any of the quarters, at the time of writing. Thus, investors seeking to follow T. Rowe Price but with lower risks might opt for a basket or ETF approach. The stock has a top spot in WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises ETF with 9.48% exposure. As the name suggests, the fund does not consider Chinese state-owned entities. Though CSXE also has a Zacks ETF Rank #4, the fund is up 0.6% in the last one month. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA ) – First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy ETF (NASDAQ: QCLN ) Electric vehicles maker Tesla has always been a hot stock, thanks to its relentless initiatives. Though its headline Q3 numbers were not very enthusiastic, Tesla is steady on deliveries of new automobiles. Also, the unveiling of Tesla’s new, more affordable Model 3 car in March 2016, may lead investors to place big bets on the stock. T. Rowe Price expects the usage of electric car to be common in 2016 and 2017. TSLA has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and hails from an industry which is in the top 26% of the Zacks universe, at the time of writing. Tesla was up 3.2% in the last one month (as of December 15, 2015) but is off 0.6% year to date. The stock has 7.11% weight in the clean energy ETF QCLN. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 and was up 5.6% in the last one month but is down 12.4% year to date. In any case, the sailing should be smooth for clean energy ETFs ahead following the Paris climate summit wherein efforts to limit greenhouse emissions were widespread. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL ) (NASDAQ: GOOG ) – iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSEARCA: IYW ) As per T. Rowe Price, Alphabet – the publicly traded firm formerly known as Google – is gaining traction from mobile phones and the demand for YouTube. Solid revenues, stock repurchase plans and “very attractive valuation” makes Alphabet shares lucrative. This Zacks Rank #3 stock has a Growth score of ‘B’ and a Momentum score of ‘C’. GOOGL is up over 43% this year. The stock has 6.2% weight in the Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) ETF IYW. The fund is up over 3.5% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015). Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT ) – Market Vectors Wide Moat Research ETF (NYSEARCA: MOAT ) Applied Materials is one of the world’s largest suppliers of fabrication equipment to semiconductor, LCD and solar PV cell manufacturers. The rise of mobile devices, better utilization of resources and the recently-announced merger with Tokyo Electron are the positives. AMAT was up over 14% in the last three months (as of December 15, 2015). This Zacks Rank #3 has a Value and Growth score of ‘B’. The stock has a 5.66% weight in the fund MOAT which is intended to offer exposure to the 20 most attractively priced companies with continued competitive advantages according to Morningstar’s equity research team. MOAT is up 1.1% in the last three months. NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI ) – Nasdaq CEA Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ: CIBR ) As per T. Rowe Price, this semiconductor company benefits big time from industrial and auto end markets. Its acquisition of Freescale Semiconductor also bodes well for the fund. The fund has a Zacks Rank #4 and a Growth score of ‘B’ and Value score of ‘C’. NXPI retreated 7.7% in the last three months. Apart from semiconductor ETFs, the stock has 5.9% weight in the cyber security ETF CIBR. The fund added over 0.1% in the last three months. Original Post

The FlexShares Global Quality Real Estate ETF Is As Much Domestic As Global

Summary GQRE has a fairly high expense ratio for half of the holdings being domestic equity. I don’t see a benefit to using one global REIT ETF when investors can combine a lower expense ratio domestic fund with an international REIT ETF. The ETF has more concentration to individual company weights than I would want to see. Investors should be seeking to improve their risk-adjusted returns. I’m a big fan of using ETFs to achieve the risk-adjusted returns relative to the portfolios that a normal investor can generate for themselves after trading costs. One of the funds I am researching is the FlexShares Global Quality Real Estate Index ETF (NYSEARCA: GQRE ). I’ll be performing a substantial portion of my analysis along the lines of modern portfolio theory, so my goal is to find ways to minimize costs while achieving diversification to reduce my risk level. Expense Ratio GQRE sports an expense ratio of .45%. In any event, that falls short of being “excellent”. When we consider that around half of the positions are domestic equity, it looks even less appealing. I would favor getting a pure domestic equity REIT ETF for any diversified domestic exposure that is desired. There are several options with dramatically lower expense ratios for the domestic equity position. International equity REITs are a very small niche, and the sector generally has higher expense ratios, but there is no need to pay it on the domestic assets. Country Allocations I grabbed the following chart from the FlexShares website: If we look past the enormous domestic allocation, the next major weights are Hong Kong, Japan, United Kingdom and Japan. Those four are usually the top 4 countries for international REIT ETFs. I’ve looked at enough of them to simply know that off the top of my head. The interesting thing here is that they weighted Hong Kong at the top and Japan in the second place. Most international REIT ETFs, in my experience, are prone to overweighting Japan. If the fund were designed to have a heavier weight on the other countries that are traditionally underweighted, it would provide a nice bright spot in the portfolio. Holdings I grabbed the following chart to represent the top 10 holdings. (click to enlarge) Unlike most international REIT ETFs, the top holdings here should be recognizable to many investors. The top 10 holdings include 6 that are from the United States and fall under “large cap”. There is a benefit to large-cap REITs, because larger-capitalization companies tend to have more coverage, which results in more efficient pricing, and thus, a lower level of volatility. A Bright Spot in the Holdings While I’d like to see lower weights for individual holdings, I can still appreciate the sector exposure. The top holding is Public Storage (NYSE: PSA ). If you don’t remember them off the top of your head, I bet you will when you look at the photo below. I retrieved it from a piece by Michael Hooper on PSA : If you want some diversification in your exposures, then PSA makes great sense, since it operates in the storage sector of the REIT market. I have no problem with this being a major holding for any domestic equity REIT, and it frequently is one of the top holdings in domestic REIT ETFs. Moving down the list, we see that Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG ) is another major holding. The downside here is that SPG is literally the #1 holding of most domestic equity REIT ETFs. If you are holding domestic equity REIT ETFs, you already have SPG in your portfolio. Seriously, check the holdings for your ETF and you’ll probably see SPG near the top. I have nothing against investors holding SPG. I hold domestic equity REIT ETFs, and the top position is Simon Property Group. However, my domestic REIT ETFs have expense ratios of .07% and .12%. As a sector, commercial REITs are being given a very heavy weighting. Because the fund is holding so many commercial REITs, I’m glad to see a storage REIT and two residential REITs near the top. However, I do wonder why they aren’t including established champions like Realty Income Corp. (NYSE: O ) if the goal is to establish a portfolio of REITs that are efficiently operating large operations. If the focus is on the “quality” of the underlying holdings, it is hard to argue against a triple net lease REIT with over 80 dividend raises to-date and a focus on only renting to customers with high credit quality and business that are likely to survive any moderate depressions. They do have National Retail Properties (NYSE: NNN ), which is a triple net lease REIT that I find very attractive. I like it enough that I bought shares of NNN for my portfolio to complement my position in REIT ETFs. Unfortunately, the position is only about 1% of the total portfolio. Liquidity The liquidity is bad. If investors want to take a position, only use limit orders to trade the ETF. Conclusion The fund offers heavy weightings to domestic equity that could be more efficiently purchased through domestic equity REIT funds. The fund appears to have a large bias towards buying large-cap REITs and their exclusion of one very high-quality net lease REIT leaves questions about how “quality” is the factor influencing selections. To be thorough, I downloaded the entire list of holdings to ensure that O was not simply positioned outside of the top 10. I didn’t see it anywhere in the fund. Overall, I’m not impressed with the fund. It could be an interesting play if the shares were deviating from NAV, but that would really put the investor in the place of trying to play as a market maker rather than an investor. If the expense ratio was low enough, I could see investors using this as a way to get global REIT exposure. In that case, I would want the domestic allocations to be even higher. Since international REITs move with international stocks, I don’t see the point of combining international REITs with domestic REITs. Yes, they are both REITs. That does not mean they need to be in the same fund.