Tag Archives: consumer

S&P 500 Scratches Out 1.8% Last Week; Consumer, Utility Stocks Pace Gains, Offsetting Losses for Apple, Amazon.com

The S&P 500 gained 1.8% last week, its second consecutive winning week and narrowing its year to date decline to around 5.1%. Reports that Russia and the Organization for Petroleum Exporting Countries were discussing possible production limits reversed another

Best And Worst Q1’16: Consumer Discretionary ETFs, Mutual Funds And Key Holdings

The Consumer Discretionary sector ranks fifth out of the ten sectors as detailed in our Q1’16 Sector Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter , the Consumer Discretionary sector ranked fourth. It gets our Neutral rating, which is based on aggregation of ratings of 13 ETFs and 19 mutual funds in the Consumer Discretionary sector. See a recap of our Q4’15 Sector Ratings here . Figures 1 and 2 show the five best and worst-rated ETFS and mutual funds in the sector. Not all Consumer Discretionary sector ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 25 to 385). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings. Investors seeking exposure to the Consumer Discretionary sector should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 Click to enlarge * Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The PowerShares Dynamic Retail Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PMR ) is excluded from Figure 1 because its total net assets (TNA) are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 Click to enlarge * Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings The ICON Consumer Discretionary Fund (MUTF: ICCCX ) and the Rydex Series Leisure Fund (MUTF: RYLIX ) (MUTF: RYLAX ) are excluded from Figure 2 because their total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. The PowerShares DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PEZ ) is the top-rated Consumer Discretionary ETF and the Fidelity Select Leisure Portfolio (MUTF: FDLSX ) is the top-rated Consumer Discretionary mutual fund. PEZ earns an Attractive rating and FDLSX earns a Very Attractive rating. The PowerShares Dynamic Media Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PBS ) is the worst-rated Consumer Discretionary ETF and the Rydex Series Retailing Fund (MUTF: RYRTX ) is the worst-rated Consumer Discretionary mutual fund. PBS earns a Neutral rating and RYRTX earns a Very Dangerous rating. 457 stocks of the 3000+ we cover are classified as Consumer Discretionary stocks. Tupperware Brands (NYSE: TUP ) is one of our favorite stocks held by FDLSX and earns our Very Attractive rating. Tupperware also lands on January’s Most Attractive Stocks list. Over the past decade, Tupperware has grown after-tax profits ( NOPAT ) by an impressive 12% compounded annually. Over the same time frame, the company has improved its return on invested capital ( ROIC ) from 13% to its current top quintile 18%. In light of its long-term record of growing profits, Tupperware shares are undervalued. At its current price of, TUP has a price to economic book value ( PEBV ) ratio of 0.9. This ratio means that the market expects Tupperware’s NOPAT to permanently decline by 10%. If Tupperware can grow NOPAT by just 6% (half its historical rate) compounded annually over the next decade , the stock is worth $94/share today – an 88% upside. Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ) continues to be one of our least favorite stocks held by RYRTX and earns our Dangerous rating. We’ve long been critical of the rampant overvaluation in Netflix shares. Since 2004, the company’s ROIC has fallen from 142% to a bottom quintile 5% over the trailing twelve months (TTM). Additionally, Netflix’s NOPAT margin has declined from 5% to 3% over this same timeframe. Along with decelerating revenues, Netflix’s rising content costs have caused the company to hemorrhage cash. However, NFLX remains significantly overvalued. To justify its current price the company must grow NOPAT by 28% compounded annually for 24 years . In this scenario, Netflix would generate over $5 trillion in profit, which at current subscription prices implies the company’s user base will be 43.9 billion. It’s pretty easy to see just how overvalued Netflix remains. Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Consumer Discretionary ETFs and mutual funds. Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs Click to enlarge Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds From the Worst Mutual Funds Click to enlarge Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings D isclosure: David Trainer and Kyle Guske II receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector or theme.

6 Quality Dividend ETFs For Safety And Income

Though U.S. stocks logged in the first weekly gains in a month after a tumultuous ride buoyed up by an incredible rebound in oil price and hopes of additional stimulus in Europe and Japan, a long list of worries kept the stock market returns at risk. This is especially true given the weak international fundamentals, especially in China and its global repercussions that could put a pause on the slowly recovering U.S. economy. Additionally, bleak oil demand/supply trends, weak Q4 corporate earnings, and uncertain timing of the next rate hike are making investors cautious. Notably, corporate profits seem to be in recession with fourth-quarter earnings expected to decline 6.6% as per the Zacks Earnings Trends . This would mark the third consecutive quarter of decline in earnings. Accounting for the weekly gain, the major benchmarks were down 6.5% or more from a year-to-date look and are still in the correction territory having lost more than 10% from their 52-week high price. As per BMO Capital, “the S&P 500 is currently on pace to record its worst monthly decline since January 2009 and 11th worst month during the post war era.” This sluggish backdrop has rekindled investors’ faith in products that provide stability and safety in a rocky market. Nothing seems a better strategy than picking quality dividend stocks in this sort of an environment. Why Quality Dividend? Quality dividend stocks offer safety and stability in a choppy stock market as they ensure regular income to investors in the form of dividends. At the same time, they also have the potential for capital appreciation when the market is on an upswing. Investors should note that these stocks are mature companies, which are less volatile to the large swings in the stock prices, and therefore are well protected than others in a tumbling market, which we have seen several times this year. In a nutshell, quality dividend stocks have a long track of profitability, history of raising dividend year over year with prospects of further increases, good liquidity, and some value characteristics. As a result, a basket of quality dividend stocks offer dividend growth opportunities when compared to other products in the space but might not necessarily have the highest yields. These products provide a nice combination of dividend growth and capital appreciation opportunity and are mainly suitable for the risk-averse, long-term investors. For them, we have highlighted some ETFs that could be excellent choices irrespective of the stock market directions. FlexShares Quality Dividend Index ETF (NYSEARCA: QDF ) This fund uses a proprietary model that includes factors like profitability, solid management and reliable cash flow. Then, the firms are selected based on expected dividend payments, resulting in a basket of 185 securities. The product is widely diversified across components with none of the securities holding more than 3.6% of assets. Further, it is well spread out across sectors with financials taking the top spot at 17.5% followed by information technology (16.8%), consumer discretionary (14.3%) and healthcare (11.9%). The fund has amassed $672.4 million in its asset base and trades in a moderate volume of nearly 71,000 shares. It charges 37 bps in fees per year and pays a dividend yield of 3.24% annually. The fund is down 6.2% in the year-to-date time frame. Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHD ) With an AUM of $2.9 billion, this product offers exposure to the 111 high dividend-yielding U.S. companies that have a record of consistent dividend payments supported by fundamental strength based on financial ratios and ample liquidity. This can be easily done by tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index. The fund is well spread across single security with none holding more than 4.8% of assets. However, it is slightly tilted toward the consumer staples sector with 23% share while information technology, industrials, healthcare and energy rounded off the top five. The fund trades in solid volume of more than 667,000 shares a day and is one of the low-cost choices in the dividend space, charging 7 bps in fees per year. The ETF has shed about 5.1% so far this year and yields 3.13% in annual dividends. WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: DLN ) This ETF tracks the WisdomTree LargeCap Dividend Index, which is dividend weighted annually to reflect the proportional share of cash dividend that each company is expected to pay in the coming year. The fund has been able to manage assets of $1.6 billion and trades in good volume of 105,000 shares a day on average. Expense ratio came in at 0.28%. Holding 298 stocks in its basket, the product is widely diversified across each component as none of these hold more than 3.5% of assets. Sector-wise, it also has spread-out exposure with none of the sector making up for more than 15.4% share. The fund has an annual dividend yield of 2.96% and has lost 5.5% so far this year. ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NYSEARCA: NOBL ) This product provides exposure to 51 companies that raised dividend payments annually for at least 25 years by tracking the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats. It is widely diversified across various securities as each account for less than 3% share. From a sector look, more than one-fourth of the portfolio is dominated by consumer staples, followed by healthcare (15.2%), industrials (14.9%), consumer discretionary (12.1%), and financials (11.6%). The fund has an impressive level of AUM of $984.1 million and has an annual dividend yield of 2.13%. Expense ratio is 0.35% while average daily volume is good at 177,000 shares. NOBL has lost 5.3% so far this year. WisdomTree U.S. Dividend Growth ETF (NASDAQ: DGRW ) This fund tracks the WisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Index and offers diversified exposure to U.S. dividend-paying stocks with both growth and quality characteristics like long-term earnings growth expectations, and three-year historical averages for return on equity and return on assets. It has gathered $594.5 million in its asset base and trades in good volume of nearly 171,000 shares per day. The ETF charges 28 bps in fees per year from investors and holds 296 securities in its basket, with each holding less than 4.3% share. From a sector look, it provides double-digit allocation to consumer discretionary, information technology, industrials, consumer staples, and healthcare. The fund has lost 5.9% in the year-to-date time frame. First Trust NASDAQ Rising Dividend Achievers ETF (NASDAQ: RDVY ) This fund provides exposure to 50 U.S. stocks with a history of rising dividends and that are expected to continue doing so in the future. In addition, it also screens for stocks with rising earnings per share and cash-to-debt ratio greater than 50%. This can be done by tracking the NASDAQ Rising Dividend Achievers Index. All the securities are well spread out with each accounting for less than 2.2% of total assets. However, the product has a certain tilt toward financials with 27.6% share, closely followed by information technology (23.6%). The ETF has accumulated $36.2 million in its asset base and sees a paltry volume of 20,000 shares a day on average. Expense ratio came in at 0.50%. The fund has shed 8.5% so far this year. Original post