Tag Archives: black-hills

Black Hills Corporation: A Stability And Growth 2-For-1

Black Hills Corporation’s shares have become undervalued as a result of its oil and gas exposure. A healthy dividend yield and stable diversified cash flow streams make the Company an excellent anchor for investors. The oil and gas business segment is a free call option if the industry recovers. For a mixture of stability and growth, investors should snap up Black Hills’s shares. Utilities companies are some of the most stable companies in existence due to their inelastic consumer demands. Even during economic downturns, consumers will not save money by cutting off their water or heat; they will save money through other means. As a result, the cash flow is always running high for utilities companies, and by the same token, investors can always depend on a steady cash flow (in most instances). Utilities companies are what we might consider as defensible investments, in which investors invest in them to “defend” their investments against loss during economic downturns. However, as investors know, small cap companies offer investors higher-than-expected growth when compared against the S&P 500 and other similar market-wide indices. This is because small cap companies have more room to grow than their large cap counterparts. As such, investors’ capital has more room to grow with the growth of the small cap firms. Thus, when investors combine small cap growth with the stability of utilities companies, they get a hybrid small cap utilities company that can offer the best of both worlds: a medium to low-risk, medium-reward investment that can both generate capital appreciation with the added benefit of capital preservation and a steady quarterly paycheck that the company puts in your bank account. One small cap utilities firm, Black Hills Corporation (NYSE: BKH ), offers this opportunity for investors to simultaneously benefit from capital appreciation and capital preservation. Black Hills Corporation is a diversified utilities company that runs a variety of regulated electric and gas utilities subsidiaries. The Company serves customers in the Midwest and Rocky Mountain states, so the Company is specialized in a certain region. Black Hills Corporation’s business segments can be divided into three main segments: Power Generation, Coal Mining, and Oil & Gas. The Company has both cash cow businesses and high growth businesses, which is always a great way for investors to get in on that stable cash flow and share value growth. From just the stock chart, investors can see that the Company has returned a healthy return to investors: capital invested in the Company at the onset of 2011 has generated a return on investment of about 75%. Keep in mind that this number does not include dividends that the Company generates for shareholders. With a dividend yield of about 3%, the dividends add a substantial amount of return on top of the pure capital appreciation return. While it appears that the stock price has begun to stagnate and even slowly slip, that is more of a result of macro conditions than anything else-it is not Company-specific. Furthermore, the Company has oil and gas exposure, which has resulted in the Company feeling some of the pain from the collapse of oil prices a few years back. However, because the Company is diversified in several sub-industries, the Company has only suffered a little. From a technical perspective, the 50-day moving average has swung alongside the 200-day moving average for quite some time-the two continuously move back and forth. Most recently, the 50-day moving average has been below its bigger brother, but it appears that the spread between these two indicators is closing, which could indicate near-term upside. (click to enlarge) Source: Stockcharts.com From a fundamental perspective, what investors are looking at is an undervalued, cash-flow generating Company that has suffered from the setbacks in the oil and gas industries. Black Hills Corporation has its hands in a variety of submarkets within the utilities industry, including oil and gas, coal, electricity, and some other markets. The cash cow generating businesses include its Power Generation and Coal Mining businesses. These businesses provide ample cash flow for the Company to inject back into the Company for further growth and for the Company to return to shareholders as dividends. The fast growth segment is the Oil & Gas segment, which has been dealt a blow as a result of the collapse of oil prices. However, it is this segment that essentially gives the shares a free call option. This segment is subject to the volatility seen in the larger oil and gas industry, and this can be viewed as a negative. At the same time, it is important to remember that this greater volatility can swing the shares in the positive direction as well. Thus, Black Hills Corporation has a number of aspects that investors will find favorable. A strong dividend yield, excellent stable cash flows from diversified business segments, and a free call option in case the oil and gas industry recovers (which it probably will-the question is more when than if it will) all make the Company an excellent investment for long-term investors.

Black Hills’ SourceGas Acquisition Provides Patient Investors Good Entry Point For Current Income

Summary Black Hills recently announced the acquisition of privately-owned SourceGas. The company is financing most of the acquisition by taking on additional debt. The market is punishing the company for the acquisition. The stock dropped 14% over the two weeks following the announcement. I believe the stock will decline further, but this will provide investors looking for current income a good entry point. On July 12th, Black Hills Corporation (NYSE: BKH ) announced the acquisition of SourceGas Holdings LLC from investment funds managed by Alinda Capital Partners and GE Energy Financial Services. David Butler has a nice article on the acquisition , and I’ve written previously about Black Hills Corporation’s business and dividend growth history. The acquisition increases Black Hills’ coverage in its existing service area in Colorado, Nebraska and Wyoming, and expands the company’s service area into Arkansas. The combined company’s customer base will expand by 55% to more than 1.2 million, and Black Hills claims the purchase will “meaningfully” increase earnings in the first year after closing the acquisition. Unfortunately, the company was not more specific as to how large of an earnings increase it expects. Market Sells Stock on Announcement Despite the benefits of the acquisition, the market did not react well to the news. BKH stock fell 2.4% the day after the acquisition and kept going, losing over 14% over the next two weeks. (See chart 1 below.) I believe the reaction is due to the large amount of debt that Black Hills will take on for this acquisition. While Black Hills has shown the ability to integrate acquisitions into their business, many of the past acquisitions have been less than $100 million. The SourceGas acquisition is twice as large as the $940 million acquisition of five Aquila utilities in July 2008. The bulk of the $1.89 billion cost of SourceGas will be a combination of the assumption of $720 million in SourceGas debt and an additional $450 million-$550 million in debt, which will increase Black Hills’ long-term debt by 80% to $2.76 billion. According to Bloomberg , Fitch Ratings placed Black Hills on credit watch negative due to the “material increase” in debt. Will the New Debt Impact the Dividend? I don’t expect Black Hills to stop growing its dividend. The company has increased dividends for an impressive 44 years and it isn’t likely to break this streak despite the debt burden. However, the increase in debt will limit the available funds for dividend growth. With a 55% increase in its customer base, the company should see an earnings increase from the acquisition, but will likely need to work off at least some of the new debt over time to see the full effects of the earnings growth. Over the last 5 and 10 years, Black Hills has compounded the dividend at a slow 2.4%. From 1998-2014, Black Hills increased its quarterly dividend by less than a penny a share. In 2015, the company increased the quarterly dividend by a larger-than-normal 1.5 cents. It would be difficult for the company to slow the dividend even further, but I believe that is exactly what the company will do. Until Black Hills works off the debt from this acquisition, I expect quarterly dividend growth of no more than half a cent a year. What this means for investors is that Black Hills will remain an investment for people looking for current income and not for dividend growth. Wait for BKH to Hit Support Before Buying A technical analysis of the stock movement shows that BKH was in a downtrend even before the merger announcement; the announcement only accelerated the downtrend. As shown in chart 1 below, the stock had set up a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. While the stock may currently be oversold, there is little support until $33, with stronger support at the prior consolidation around $28-$31. (See chart 2.) I think it’s likely that BKH will move to that support zone, which would give the stock a yield of 4.9%-5.2% (based on a stock price of $30-$33). I would consider selling a put or purchasing BKH outright at those levels. (click to enlarge) Chart 1: BKH was in a downtrend prior to the acquisition announcement. (click to enlarge) Chart 2: After breaking into the low $40s on heavy volume, the next major level of support is in the high $20s-low $30s. Source: Stockcharts.com The Bottom Line: The acquisition of SourceGas sets Black Hills up for future growth, but the debt overhang will limit near-term dividend growth. The market’s (over)reaction will provide investors looking for current income a good entry point as the stock moves to support. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in BKH over the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: As noted above, I may take a position in BKH in the near future.