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PayPal Stock Slides As Investor Day Leaves Analysts With Questions

Digital payments giant PayPal ( PYPL ) was down midday Thursday, after its investor day showcased its ambitious plans but failed to alleviate Wall Street’s fears of competition. Management emphasized the breadth of the platform, covering not only the traditional online payment capability but newer technologies at point of sale, ATMs, social media and customized applications for merchants. Executives hope to entice consumers to put more of their spending through PayPal by offering budgeting and money-management capabilities, while enticing merchants with the PayPal Credit offering. The OneTouch payment app has also taken off as a response to the increasing number of purchases made over mobile phones. Management also discussed the rise of “contextual commerce,” the trend toward technologies predicting consumer buying habits and bringing products to the consumer rather than the consumer going out and seeking them. Repeatedly, they pointed to the sheer size of PayPal’s network, after 17 years of existence, as bringing a key advantage over competing platforms in penetrating these new markets. However, Pacific Crest analyst Josh Beck wasn’t so sure. “PayPal highlighted a dramatic shift in commerce, underscored by diverging performance at Target ( TGT ) and Amazon ( AMZN ), which creates opportunity and risk,” Beck wrote in a research note. “Whether PayPal will be able to retain its competitive moat as Apple ( AAPL ), Amazon, Stripe and Visa ( V ) focus on mobile and contextual commerce remains unclear to us.” Beck retained a sector weight rating on PayPal stock. Margins Remain A Concern Management affirmed previous financial guidance, including that profit margins will be “stable to up.” Pretax margins took a definite hit last year as the company has invested in new projects, such as the recently acquired financial-remittance company Xoom. “While we believe management did an exceptional job explaining Paypal’s differentiation (serving both consumers and merchants; expanding relevance by providing solutions from Braintree, Paydiant, PayPal, Xoom and Credit), an intensifying competitive landscape, combined with the company’s margin outlook remain our biggest concerns,” wrote Sterne Agee CRT analyst Moshe Katri in a research note affirming his neutral rating. Credit Suisse analyst Paul Condra, who holds a buy rating on the stock, emphasized the positive. “Our conviction on the stock was strengthened from (1) commentary that the credit business is not more than high single digits percent of profit (well below speculation of around 25%) and will likely not grow beyond 2% to 3% of payment volume; and (2) increased visibility on growth outlook as management expects to double payment volume in four years, implying 20% total payment volume growth through 2019,” Condra wrote. PayPal stock was down nearly 3.5% in midday trading on the stock market today , near 37.50. The stock holds a good IBD Composite Rating of 88 but its Accumulation/Distribution Rating has been deteriorating lately, to a grade of D+, indicating more institutions are selling than buying. RELATED: Apple Pay Rival MCX, Visa Loom At PayPal Analyst Day

Cisco Jumps On Earnings, Outlook; Analysts Hail ‘Strong Execution’

Cisco Systems ( CSCO ) received several price-target hikes after its fiscal Q3 earnings late Wednesday beat on both the top and bottom lines, as did its earnings and revenue guidance. For its fiscal third quarter , Cisco said revenue rose 3% from the year-earlier period, to $12 billion, just beating the consensus estimate of $11.97 billion, as polled by Thomson Reuters. Cisco said earnings per share minus items rose 5.6% to 57 cents, edging the consensus of 55 cents. Cisco stock rose 4% in morning trade on the stock market today , near 28. FBN Securities analyst Shebly Seyrafi maintained an outperform rating on Cisco and raised his price target to 32 form 30. “We believe that management tone was more upbeat this time than three months ago,” he wrote in a research note. Drexel Hamilton analyst Brian White raised his price target to 36 from 34 and maintained his buy rating on Cisco stock. “Cisco’s strong execution in fiscal Q3 overpowered a challenging demand environment with upside in the quarter and a stronger than expected Q4 outlook,” White wrote in a research note. “Overall, we are very pleased with Cisco’s Q4 outlook, given the economic backdrop and soft IT spending environment.” RBC Capital Markets analyst Mitch Steves, who maintained an outperform rating, raised his price target to 33 from 31. “While we remain cautious on the legacy portfolio given the overall IT spending environment, we think Cisco is continuing to move in the right direction highlighted by solid margin performance and improving business mix,” he wrote. Pacific Crest Securities analyst Brent Bracelin maintained an overweight rating and a price target of 30. “We continue to be impressed by strong execution under the new leadership team,” Bracelin wrote. “Cisco continues to execute a multiyear shift to a software-centric, subscription-driven business model.” Analysts had lowered expectations ahead of Cisco earnings due to the growing number of companies outsourcing computing workloads to cloud computing service providers such as Amazon.com ( AMZN ) and its Amazon Web Services business. The move to cloud computing has lowered demand for Cisco’s networking gear. The lowered expectations also reflected trends toward lower spending on information technology overall. Well aware of the trends, Cisco is diversifying beyond its core switch and router business into newer, higher-growth segments such as software, data centers, security, wireless and the Internet of Things market.

Apple Rival Xiaomi Coming To U.S. With Android Set-Top TV Box

Xiaomi, Apple ’s ( AAPL ) Chinese smartphone rival, this year plans to launch a 4K TV streaming device in the U.S. featuring Google’s Android software. Xiaomi made the announcement at Alphabet ‘s ( GOOGL ) Google I/O developer’s conference on Wednesday. The item will compete with Roku, Amazon.com ’s ( AMZN ) Fire TV devices, Apple’s set-top box and Google’s own Chromecast streaming sticks, as well as Web-connected TV sets featuring Google’s Android software. Xiaomi’s Android-based TV system will be its first hardware product sold in the U.S. Xiaomi’s online store so far has sold only accessories in the U.S. However, Xiaomi has sold set-top TV boxes in Asia that stream HD-quality video. Hugo Barra, vice president for global at Xiaomi, joined the company in 2013 after leaving Google, where he had worked on mobile products and the Android mobile operating system. “This is a significant milestone for Xiaomi,” Barra said in a statement released at Google I/O . Xiaomi’s 4K streaming device will provide apps such as Netflix ( NFLX ) and YouTube, as well as Dish Network ’s ( DISH ) Sling Web TV service. In China, Xiaomi will be one of the first smartphone makers to feature virtual-reality technology that Google has put into Android N, the new version of its mobile operating system. Samsung and HTC also plan to sell Android-based mobile phones with the VR mode. Xiaomi was the top smartphone seller in China in Q4, followed closely by China’s Huawei, with Apple down at No. 3.