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Utility ETFs Slide On Weaker-Than-Expected Q3 Earnings

The utility sector disappointed in its third-quarter results over the last two weeks with earnings and revenue miss from some of the major players in the space, including Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK ), NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE ) and Dominion Resources Inc. (NYSE: D ). However, a recovering U.S. economy, warmer-than-normal weather and ultra-low interest rates helped boost the top and bottom lines of most of these companies. The latest concern threatening the utility sector is the possibility of an interest rate hike in December by the Fed following stellar jobs report for October and the Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s affirmative stance on it. This high-yielding, capital intensive sector mostly resorts to external sources of financing to carry out its generation, distribution and transmission projects. Therefore, a rising interest rate environment certainly does not bode well for them. Below we have highlighted the third-quarter results of the aforementioned utility companies in detail. Duke Energy Duke Energy reported adjusted earnings of $1.47 per share for the quarter that fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.52 by 3.3%. However, quarterly earnings rose 5% year over year on the back of warmer weather compared to the previous year. Further, robust growth in its regulated utilities business as well as the North Carolina Eastern Municipal Power Agency acquisition led to the upside. Total revenue was $6,483 million, lagging the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6,595 million by 1.7%. Nevertheless, revenues increased 1.4% on a year-over-year basis, driven mainly by rise in the company’s regulated electric unit’s revenues. The company tapered its high end of the earlier 2015 earnings guidance range to $4.55-$4.65 per share from $4.55-$4.75 per share. Shares of the company declined 5.5% (as of November 9, 2015) since its earnings release on November 5. NextEra Energy NextEra Energy’s quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.60 per share missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.64 by 2.4%. Despite this, earnings climbed 3.2% year over year on the back of higher revenues from Florida Power & Light Company. However, operating revenues of $4,954 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.7% and increased 6.5% from the year-ago level. NextEra reaffirmed its 2015 earnings guidance of $5.40-$5.70 per share and expects the figure to come in on the upper end of the range. Meanwhile, earnings per share are expected in a range of 5.85-$6.35 for 2016 and $6.60-$7.10 for 2018. Shares of the company went down nearly 5% since its earnings release on October 28. Dominion Resources Dominion Resources’ quarterly operating earnings of $1.03 per share lagged the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.06 by 2.8%. However, earnings increased 10.8% from 93 cents per share in the prior-year quarter due to normal weather and earnings from farmout transactions. The company’s operating revenues of $2,976 million also missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,181 million by 6.4% and declined about 2.4% year over year. Dominion expects to earn 85 cents to 95 cents per share for the fourth-quarter 2015 compared with 84 cents per share in the year-ago period. The company reaffirmed its 2015 earnings guidance of $3.50 to $3.85 per share. Shares of the company fell 5.2% since its earnings release on November 2. ETFs in Focus The sliding stock prices of these utility companies following the dull third-quarter results have adversely impacted the performance of ETFs with significant exposure to them. Below we have highlighted three of these ETFs, which have lost around 5% in the past two weeks. Investors are advised to exercise caution before investing in these ETFs as the looming rate hike is expected to worsen their performance in the coming days ahead. Utilities Select Sector SPDR (NYSEARCA: XLU ) XLU is one of the most popular in the space with nearly $6.3 billion in AUM and average daily volume of roughly 12.5 million shares. The main purpose of this fund is to provide investment results that correspond to the performance of the Utilities Select Sector Index. This fund holds 29 stocks with NextEra Energy, Duke Energy and Dominion Resources holding the top three spots with a combined exposure of nearly 25% in its assets. The fund charges only 15 bps in investor fees per year and currently carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook. Vanguard Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA: VPU ) This ETF tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Utilities 25/50 Index, measuring the performance of 81 U.S. utilities stocks as classified under the Global Industry Classification Standard. Duke Energy, NextEra Energy and Dominion Resources occupy the top three positions in the fund with a combined exposure of a little more than 20% in the fund’s assets. The fund has amassed $1.6 billion in its asset base and trades in a moderate volume of 144,000 shares per day. It is even cheaper than XLU with 12 bps in annual fees and carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook. iShares Dow Jones US Utilities (NYSEARCA: IDU ) The fund follows the Dow Jones U.S. Utilities Sector Index, measuring the performance of 60 utility stocks in the U.S. equity market. Duke Energy, NextEra Energy and Dominion Resources are placed in the top three positions in the fund, together accounting for a share of nearly 21% of the total assets. The fund manages an asset base of around $560 million and exchanges about 182,000 shares per day. It is a bit expensive with 43 bps in annual fees and has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook. Original Post

Algonquin Power & Utilities’ (AQUNF) CEO Ian Robertson on Q3 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Executives Chris Jarratt – Vice Chairman Ian Robertson – CEO David Bronicheski – CFO Amanda Dillon – IR Analysts Nelson Ng – RBC Capital Markets Rupert Merer – National Bank Sean Steuart – TD Securities Ben Pham – BMO Capital Markets Paul Lechem – CIBC Jeremy Rosenfield – Desjardins Securities Inc. Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp ( OTCPK:AQUNF ) Q3 2015 Results Earnings Conference Call November 6, 2015 10:00 AM ET Operator Good day, and welcome to the Algonquin Power and Utilities Corp Q3 2015 analyst and investor call. Today’s conference is being recorded. At this time I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Chris Jarratt, Vice Chair. Please go ahead, sir. Chris Jarratt Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us on our 2015 third-quarter conference call. As mentioned my name is Chris Jarratt and I’m the Vice Chair of the Board of Directors at Algonquin. Joining me on the call today are Ian Robertson, our Chief Executive Officer, and David Bronicheski, our Chief Financial Officer. For your reference, additional information on the results is available for download at our website. On the call today we will provide additional information that relates to future events and expected financial positions that should be considered forward-looking. Amanda will also provide additional details at the end of the call, and I also direct you to review the full disclosure on the quarterly results page of our website. This morning Ian is going to start with a discussion on the highlights of the quarter. David will follow with a review of the financial results, and then we’ll open the lines for questions. And we ask that you restrict your questions to two and then re-queue if you have additional questions to allow others the opportunity to participate. And with that, I will turn it over to Ian Robertson to review the quarterly results. Ian Robertson Thanks, Chris. Appreciate everybody taking the time today. It’s a blustery, rainy day here in Toronto and I guess given that we have hydro, wind, and solar facilities two out of three ain’t bad in terms of our production. But in summary for the quarter, we believe that the strong quarter results that we’ve posted are evidence of the continued solid growth in the earnings and cash flows from our generation and distribution businesses. We think that this type of growth is clearly the underpinning support for future dividend increases, and frankly it’s the basic investment thesis for Algonquin Power and Utilities Corp. During the third quarter, we realized a 70% increase in adjusted EBITDA, delivering 70.2 million versus the 41.4 million reported during the same period last year. Earnings per share growth was equally meaningful, with $0.06 per share this quarter comparing favorably to the Q3 2014 results. With $0.31 of earnings per share a year-to-date and a strong seasonal quarter in Q4 for us, we are cautiously optimistic regarding the ability to meet or outperform the current consensus earnings estimates for 2015. The year-over-year growth reflects contributions from our regulated and non-regulated business groups, with three renewable energy facilities having achieved commercial operations, positive rate case settlements within our distribution utilities, and the impact of a stronger U.S. dollar for the third quarter. The generation business group experienced natural resources in the third quarter that were lower than long-term averages. It’s a theme that appears somewhat consistent across the IPP sector with some blaming it on the El Nino impact. But happily more than offsetting this naturally occurring volatility the distribution business group had a great quarter, with a 20% overall increase in net utility sales and a 45% increase in operating profit primarily attributed to the implementation of recent rate cases. We believe that this yin and yang proves the effectiveness of the diversification strategy on which our portfolio is founded. So with that little summary of the quarter, I’ll turn things over to David to speak specifically to the Q3 financial results. David? David Bronicheski Thanks, Ian. Good morning, everyone. We’re very pleased to be again reporting strong quarterly results. Our focus on growth is clearly evident. Our adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter totaled $70.2 million, a 70% increase over the amount reported in the same quarter a year ago, which is primarily due to the impact of rate case settlements, commercial production at our St. Damase and Morse wind facilities and Bakersfield I Solar Facility, as well as the stronger U.S. dollar. Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months of 2015 was $266 million, a 29% increase over the amount reported for the nine months of 2014. The benefits of our diversified portfolio of regulated distribution utilities and independent power generation are clearly proving their worth. Moving on to some detail from our operating subsidiaries, in the generation group for the third quarter of 2015, the combined operating profit of the group totaled 35.5 million as compared to 24 million during the same period in 2014. For the nine months, the operating profit of the Generation Group totaled 27 million as compared to 108 million during the nine months of last year. During the third quarter of 2015, the Generation Group’s renewable energy division, which consists of wind, hydro, and solar facilities, generated electricity equal to 93% of long-term average resources, which is up significantly from the previous year. And this increase was primarily due to higher wind resources realized in Canada and the U.S. as compared to the previous year. For the nine months, our renewable energy division generated electricity equal to 90% of the long-term average, compared to 92% a year ago. Moving on to our Distribution Group, in the third quarter of 2015, the Distribution Group reported an operating profit of $32.6 million compared to $22.5 million reported in the same quarter a year ago. The increase in operating profit is primarily due to the impact of rate case settlements as well as contracted utility services. Contracted utility services represents an ongoing source of revenue for Liberty Utilities. This consists of utility services provided on U.S. government owned territories where the operating paradigm requires us to provide utility services under contract rather than through regulated tariffs. In the nine months of 2015, the Distribution Group reported an operating profit of $130.7 million as compared to $108.7 million for the nine months of 2014. Now to touch just briefly on our recent financing activities. On July 15, the Distribution Group issued $70 million of notes representing the second of two tranches of our $160 million senior unsecured financing of April 2015, where we were able to achieve a 30-year private placement with a coupon of 4.13%. The notes have been assigned a rating of BBB high by DBRS. The financing is the fourth series of notes issued pursuant to Liberty Utilities master indenture. I will now hand back things over to Ian. Ian Robertson Thanks, David. Before we open up the lines for questions as is our practice, I will provide you a quick update on some of our growth initiatives. And I will start with the projects that we have under construction. Our 200 megawatt Minnesota based Odell wind project commenced construction in mid-May of this year, and we’re pleased to report that currently all 100 turbine foundations have been completed and the first tower was erected this week. Transmission lines complete, construction of the substations is well underway. The first turbine is projected to deliver energy to the MISO grid in mid-January of next year, with commercial operations in the entire facility scheduled for early next year. I will mention that agreements were finalized during the quarter for the provision of certain tax equity financing to the project. The 10 megawatt Bakersfield II Solar Project, adjacent to our 20 megawatt Bakersfield I Solar Project, is now under construction following the granting of the final building permits during the quarter. Commercial operation is scheduled to begin in the fourth quarter next year. And lastly, during the quarter we were pleased to add another project to our portfolio with the addition of the 150 megawatt Deerfield Wind Project. Construction has now commenced on this project located in central Michigan. Energy from the project will be sold pursuant to a 20-year power purchase agreement with the local electric distribution utilities. Switching to the development pipeline of opportunities, the 75 megawatt Amherst Island Wind Project, located down near Kingston, received its approval to proceed with the issuance of the Renewable Energy Approval, or REA as it’s called, in August. The expected appeal of the REA by certain parties was raised in September. And we will point out with the Ontario Ministry of the Environment, taking over 29 months to comprehensively review and approve our application, we’re confident in the outcome of this review process which is expected to conclude in March of next year. Engineering and procurement of long lead equipment has commenced with the commercial operation of the facility expected in mid-2017. Final permitting approvals for our 177 megawatt wind project located near Chaplin, Saskatchewan, right now are expected to be secured in the next couple of months. Switching to our regulated distribution business group, applications have now been filed seeking a total of more than $30 million in revenue increases in California, Arizona, Massachusetts, and Georgia; and we expect final decisions on these six rate proceedings within the next 12 or so months. With respect to the acquisition of our Park Water company, our water utility located in California and Montana, a settlement agreement regarding approval from the California Public Utilities Commission was reached earlier this year and an order approving the transaction is expected before year end. In Montana, the hearing before the Public Service Commission is scheduled for early January of 2016, and consequently we expect a complete the transaction following the receipt of all approvals early next year. Lastly, with respect to the transmission business group, permitting work is continuing on the $3.3 billion Northeast energy direct natural gas pipeline in which we have an up to 10% interest. In July, we were pleased that Kinder Morgan announced that its Board of Directors had approved proceeding with the project subject to receiving all applicable permits. The environmental review was filed with FERC in June, and filing of the formal FERC certificate application is planned for later this year. Construction is expected to begin in January 2017, with commercial operation targeted for November 2018. The transmission business group development opportunities, with respect to those, we are continuing to expand our presence in the liquefied natural gas business in New England. In addition to the existing facility, which we have under development to serve LDC peak shaving needs, the transmission business group is working with Kinder Morgan to meet additional power generation natural gas loads in the Northeast which were the subject of a recent open season conducted by Kinder Morgan. I would note that several New England states are moving forward with regulatory initiatives to support the pass through, if you will, by electric utilities of long-term gas supply capacity costs, which will obviously help support further infrastructure development. And lastly, our transmission business group is working hard on expanding its pipeline footprint further upstream into New York and Pennsylvania. And while these tidbits and other development opportunities set might seem like teasers, it’s only because they are. For the full story on our growth pipeline, which is approaching $4 billion over the next 4 to 5 years, we would invite you to attend our investor morning being held on December 1st here in Toronto. Details are available on our website or please give Amanda Dillon of our investor relations group a call if you want to hear more about it. And lastly, before we go to questions, I’d like to offer a couple of comments about valuation and perhaps the noted change you would see in terms of our dividend. We believe that our dividend current — our current dividend deal is not fully reflective of the fundamental value of our business. In particular we speculate that perhaps the full Canadian dollar value of our dividend and its growth has not been fully appreciated by the market. Consequently we’ve taken the step of providing our shareholders clarity in terms of Canadian dollar dividend, which is available to our shareholders and in this quarter it is more than $0.125 Canadian dollars. And we hope that this certainty in value helps Canadian investors fully appreciate the compelling investment proposition which we believe that Algonquin provides. So with that, operator, I would like to open it up for the question-and-answer session. Thanks. Operator? Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Okay. Now, we’ll take the first question from Nelson from RBC Capital Markets. Please, go ahead. Nelson Ng Great. Thanks, good morning everyone. Ian Robertson Great. How you are doing? David Bronicheski Good morning, Nelson. Nelson Ng Quick question on the utility division. I think there was like a large increase in other revenues. I think the disclosure indicates that it was contracted services. Can you provide a bit more color as to like whether this is a like recurring item, or did something one-off take place in Q3? Ian Robertson Sure, Nelson. It is most definitely recurring revenue. I think David had mentioned in his remarks that for services that we provide to let’s call it U.S. government owned facilities you can’t provide — even if we are the utility of record, you don’t get to provide them under the normal state supervised paradigm of regulated tariffs. You provide them under contract. It so happened in this quarter because it’s the summer we obviously did a lot of work on — in one of our facilities that we supply that. But it is ongoing revenue, it just so happens that this quarter happened to be a big quarter because of the summer. But if it is definitely recurring, we are the continuing utility service provider to these bases, and so that’s really the short answer. Nelson Ng I see. So going forward you would see continuing other revenue but generally it’s larger during the summer? Ian Robertson Oh, yes. Of course, I mean, most of the time obviously we do a lot of work during the summer, but yes, it’s just part of the ongoing business, Nelson. Nelson Ng Okay. And then, maybe we could take this offline, but what drove the reduction in interest expense on the renewable division? I think it was down year-over-year and also down relative to Q2, but I think the debt has been I guess flat or higher. David Bronicheski Yes, no. It’s primarily driven by capitalized interest. So we’ve got a number of projects that are under way, and so that’s been I would say the largest driver of that. In addition to that, we retired the LIPSCO bonds, and the LIPSCO bonds, and this is an accounting issue, we’re at a premium because it was on the books at the time. Because of the higher interest rate the bonds carried we retired it, and so that premium went through as is required under GAAP, the interest expense line. I think that was about $1 million I think. But the balance of that was largely just the fact that we’ve got such an extensive capital program that we have higher capitalized interest. Nelson Ng All right. Thanks. I will get back in the queue. Ian Robertson Thanks, Nelson. Operator Thank you. We will now take the following question from Rupert Merer from National Bank. Please, go ahead. Rupert Merer Thanks very much. Good morning, everyone. Ian Robertson Hey, Rupert. Rupert Merer Great quarter. Just a follow up with respect to the contracted services revenues. I see that we’ve had other revenues on that line in the past, but it does seem like quite a large step change. And I understand there’s some seasonality here, but I think if we went back last year it may not have been quite so large. So just wondering has there been any changes in the business that would see a higher sustainable rate in contracted services in the future? Or should we be looking more at a long-term average there? Ian Robertson Well, two things. Let’s point out that it’s the fourth good quarter in a row, Rupert. I didn’t want to cutback. Anyway, in terms of those contracted services, obviously as you can imagine that as projects arise over the course of pipes wear out, things need to be replaced, you just happen to be seeing that in this — with this customer because it happens to be called out on a separate line item. So yes, this quarter did represent — there’s a lot of work that was being done on the bases this quarter, and so it just so happens that they happen to have — should have aggregated together and shown up in the quarter. But as I point out, it’s really very normal course utility operations for us. And while there will be big quarters and low quarters, and as you pointed out last year we didn’t have as big a quarter, this year it happened — there happened to be a lot of projects that needed to be done and it just so happened to have generated substantial earnings. But the business is continuing on, so it’s probably not unreasonable if you want to think about this from your perspective, that there’s just a long-term average that would come out of this and this just happened to be a big quarter. Much as in the way we have other big quarters in other parts of our utility business, it just gets mapped and you don’t see it as — with the clarity because of the accounting treatment. Rupert Merer Okay. Great. And then quickly, you mentioned El Nino and there’s a broad expectation for warm weather in North America. And that could impact your power assets, but looking at the regulated utility business, can you remind us of the sensitivity to the weather and how much decoupling you have right now in your utilities business earnings? Ian Robertson It’s pretty broad based, our decoupling. I would actually flip it around and say their New Hampshire is probably one of the primary jurisdictions where we don’t have sort of solid decoupling from weather phenomenon. So, but in most other states the decoupling mechanisms are pretty effective. Meaning we are pretty insulated from the weather impacts. Rupert Merer What percentage of the … Ian Robertson Sorry, Rupert. Rupert Merer Sorry. What percentage of your earnings you think would be decoupled today? Ian Robertson Well over two-thirds. Well, and I’m speaking just of the utility business, obviously. Rupert Merer Right, yes. Okay, very good. Thanks very much. David Bronicheski And Rupert, I will add, and this will sound like an advertisement for our investor day again, but at our investor day we always provide an annual update on the progress that we’re making in all of our jurisdictions with respect to decoupling and other mechanisms. So we will definitely be providing a full update at our upcoming investor day. Rupert Merer Great. Thank you. Ian Robertson Thanks, Rupert. Operator [Operator Instructions] We will now take the next question from Sean Steuart from TD Securities. Please, go ahead. Sean Steuart Thanks. Good morning, everyone. David Bronicheski Hi, Sean. Sean Steuart Question on the discussions with the Emera with respect to the ownership cap. Has there been any progress there? Any update you can provide for us. Ian Robertson Yes, I will say that the discussions are ongoing. You can imagine we are probably not getting 100% of their attention right now that — with their TECO transaction going through. But as recently as this week, I sat down with Chris Huskilson and — there continues to be strong commitment certainly from the Emera side to their interest, enthusiasm, and excitement for their investment in Algonquin. The work on the strategic investment agreement, I think Chris Huskilson certainly shares my perspective that there are some synergistic opportunities that we can work on together to enhance shareholder value. So I guess I would just say, Sean, that — and I know people have asked the question because of the transformative work that Emera has done with TECO whether there is continued interest. I’d say from our perspective, the relationship feels as strong as it has ever been. Sean Steuart Okay. Thanks for that detail. And just follow up on Mountain Water. Just want to make sure I’m understanding the timing of the appeal for the condemnation, and I guess what happens between now and then and how this feeds into your closing time frame for that acquisition. Ian Robertson Sure. Let me start by saying the whole condemnation process is proceeding in parallel with and really unconnected to the regulatory approval process. Except that I will say that the noise from the condemnation definitely has spilled over to occasion some delays in the Montana Public Service Commission’s approval. The current hearing in that with the Montana PSC is scheduled to believe to start I believe January 16, if I’m not mistaken. And so that’s the regulatory approval process for which we’ve been working with MPSC on. And to be frank, it feels very normal of course for us. In parallel with this has been the whole city of Missoula’s aspirations to own the mountain water system. And that’s been a parallel process in terms of a right to take hearing, which as you accurately point out is under appeal in Montana. But in addition, there is a valuation proceeding, because the next step in a normal condemnation or appropriate expropriation as we would call it here in Canada, is the valuation process. And that’s being held by an independent board of three commissioners who are examining evidence from both sides as to the value of the utility. And their hearing is, if not concluded expects to conclude in the next couple of days with a decision from them probably before year end. And to be frank, if either party doesn’t like the outcome of that decision, there is an opportunity to pursue a jury trial. But I will say that whole condemnation process is independent and unrelated to our acquisition to be frank, when the MPSC completes their work and presumably grants us approval, we will complete and close the transaction; obviously the condemnation will continue on. But that is an under — an ongoing process that anybody who happens to own utilities, and particularly water utilities, which are coveted by the cities that they own, are always open to the condemnation proceedings. And so I will say, Sean, that whole process, you really need to separate the two. And if you’re focused on when we would see the utility join the Liberty Utilities family, it’s really tied to the MPSC hearing. I’m sorry for going on for so long with the answer, but I hope that was — added some more color. Sean Steuart No, that’s great. I appreciate it. Thanks, Ian. That’s all I had. Ian Robertson No worries, Sean. Operator Thank you. We’ll now take the next question from Ben Pham from BMO. Please, go ahead. Ben Pham Okay. Thank you. I wanted to go back to other revenue and then just dig inside a little bit more. And I’m wondering, are you providing — you said utility services to government customers. Is that you’re providing electricity and water? And why is it — why are you characterizing it as contracted? Is it some sort of contract you have in place for a set period of time? Ian Robertson No, well, yes and no, Ben. You can imagine that if a U.S. military base needs water, natural gas service, they don’t obtain those services in the same way as we provide those services under what’s called CC&N, or certificate of convenience and necessity, the way we would do in a normal community and so that you become the provider of those services under extremely long-term contracts. Like 50-year contracts. And so it just so happens that the provision of services to the U.S. government for their bases isn’t provided in a way that from an accounting point of view that it gets lumped in with all of the rest of our utility revenues and utility earnings. It happens to get called out as contracted services because we are the utility provider to that facility, or facilities which are quite large, via contract rather than via a tariff, which is issued and approved by the local state Public Utilities Commission. So it really is the exact same services that we would provide to a customer in Columbus, Ohio or Columbus, Georgia that we might provide to an Army base located in Columbus. Or an Air Force Base located in Goodyear, Arizona versus the customers that we would serve in Goodyear, Arizona. So it really is the exact same business, Ben, and I guess it happens to be step to standing out because this quarter happened to be a big quarter for us in providing services because there were lots of projects that were being undertaken in — on those bases in the summer. And as Rupert had pointed out earlier, yes, it’s a big seasonal quarter. Obviously you do a lot of your construction in the summer, but on an absolute basis it happens to be a big volume just because there was some pent-up demand over the past few years for work that needed to get done. But I would offer up that those revenues shouldn’t — should be thought of as ongoing and consistent recurring revenues, perhaps not in the exact same quantum that they happen to be there, but in the same way as we have yins and yangs in our — in the rest of our utility business across all of our service territories. This just happens to be as I said standout because of the accounting treatment that it receives. Ben Pham Okay. Are you earning the same returns on that? Ian Robertson Yes, we are, sir. Ben Pham Okay. All right. And lastly on Amherst Island, I’m wondering are you — it seems like you are moving ahead with getting the groundwork started before ERT. Is that the plan? Are you going to put a bit of capital before? Ian Robertson Sure. I think we’re highly confident in the outcome of the ERT, as I sort of mentioned in my opening remarks. Gosh, the Ministry of the Environment took 29 months to review and approve our renewable energy application. And to be frank, as you know, the ERT is really a review of the government’s work in terms of the review of the application. And we are highly confident that the government left no stone unturned in terms of their review. And so it makes common sense given that I will say time is money when it comes to projects like this, that we should move ahead on some of the long lead time items. Obviously, we’re doing it prudently, but it certainly represents I think our confidence in the outcome of the process. Ben Pham Okay, got it. Thanks, guys. Ian Robertson Thanks, Ben. David Bronicheski Thanks Ben. Operator [Operator Instructions] We will now take the following question from Paul Lechem from CIBC. Please, go ahead, sir. Paul Lechem Thank you. Good morning. Ian Robertson Hey, Paul. Paul Lechem Good morning. Just a couple of questions around the wind projects under construction, Odell and Deerfield. And you have 50% ownership in those. Just wondering what the terms are to acquire the other 50%? What your decision factors will be, whether you exercise the option or not. And why was it set up this way? Ian Robertson Well, I think in both cases, both Deerfield and Odell, our partners in those projects represent the original developers of those projects. And so clearly you can imagine the community relations, the relations with the — on the permitting point of view they made ideal partners for us in terms of becoming 50/50 partners. I think though having said that, it’s probably totally reasonable to understand that nobody goes into a partnership without a way to exit it. And so there are exit provisions for certainly for up to a buyout in the case of Odell and Deerfield, our 50/50 partners. But that’s certainly not going to happen until the projects get into commercial operation. And we will make the decision at the time as to what makes sense as we look going forward. But we are certainly thrilled to have those guys having a continuing interest. In my mind it’s certainly represents their commitment and belief in the value of those projects. And so what the future holds, don’t really know, Paul, whether we’re going to continue to be 50/50 owners or ultimately buy out our partners and those, which we certainly have the right to do. We will make that decision at the time. Paul Lechem Does the purchase price option — is it at a premium to the original investment or to reflect the de-risking through construction, or is at the same price? Ian Robertson Same price. Paul Lechem Got you. Just on the Ontario market, what’s your level of interest in participating in potential consolidation of the LDCs in Ontario? What would be your competitive positioning in that market if you were to do so? Ian Robertson Well, we obviously have a high interest in expanding our regulated distribution utility business. We would certainly like to participate in the consolidation of electric LDCs. As you know, it’s been a complicated process over the past number of years, largely occasioned by some structures that have been implemented by the government. In some respects I might argue to prevent commercial consolidation to the extent that with the — with Hydro 1 becoming a public entity, maybe the landscape is changing a little. I think our competitive advantages are a cost of capital which is as competitive as anyone from our perspective in the business, but perhaps as importantly a core competency in running regulated utilities. I think I’m very proud with the organization’s track record of providing cost-effective reliable service in all the utilities we provide and man, wouldn’t we love to do it in our own backyard. So I guess from my perspective, Paul, we’re sitting here watching this landscape unfold, but we are cautiously optimistic with the changes from Hydro 1’s perspective that maybe there are some changes afoot and maybe there would be some opportunities for us to participate. So I don’t know if that’s responsive to question. Paul Lechem One follow up on that. Have you actually initiated discussions within any municipalities? Ian Robertson Yes, we certainly have a list and we certainly have had some dialogues with them. Obviously I don’t think it’s appropriate that I disclose with whom with everyone which we’ve spoken, but we have been active in the process, let’s put it that way. Paul Lechem Okay, thank you. Ian Robertson Thanks, Paul. Operator We’ll now take the following question from Nelson Ng from RBC Capital Markets. Please, go ahead. Nelson Ng Great. Thanks. I just want to ask about Bakersfield 1. Could you elaborate on the equipment malfunction and the damage to the inverters? And is it covered — I presume it’s covered by insurance, and do you have business interruption insurance or would you get the missed revenues back some time in the future? Ian Robertson Well, I’ll answer very shortly, Nelson, yes, yes, and yes. But I’ll give you a little bit more color on that. The damage to the inverters occurred during an extremely high volume rain event, and it resulted from the ingestion of moisture into the forced air ventilation system in 3 of the 10 inverter houses. And so the inverters, as you can appreciate, don’t mix well with water. The replacement inverters are on-site and being commissioned as we speak. The repair costs are certainly covered under the original EPC contract. In fact, since final completion actually hasn’t been achieved, even though a substantial completion is there for commercial operations was, this remains the work of the original EPC contractor, and so we’re confident of that. Yes, in terms of business interruption insurance and it’s a 30-day waiting period. To be frank, you can imagine there’s a little bit of complexity with the original contractor as to who is responsible. Is it our insurance company or is it the original contractor to whom we can seek recourse for the lost revenue which is measured in the order of probably $150,000 a month, and so it’s real money. And but that’s the only reason we haven’t made the claim so far, because we’re still trying to sort out all of the contractual liabilities of the various parties. But we’re obviously comfortable that we’ll have recourse ultimately to our insurance company. I think the hope is that within weeks perhaps by the end of this month the plant will be restored to service, and so any lost revenue with respect to it will cease. Nelson Ng I see. Is there any risk of a design flaw for the ventilation system if it got wet because it was raining a lot? Ian Robertson Clearly, there are design changes being made to prevent a recurrence of that water ingestion. I mean the rain event, while being severe; it wasn’t like a tidal wave came from the coast all the way inland to Bakersfield. So clearly the contractor has made design changes, Nelson. And so we’re confident that we actually won’t have a repeat of this. Nelson Ng Okay. That’s good to hear. And then just one last question on the Deerfield wind project. Are you able to comment what level the PPA was set at and how that compares to Odell? Ian Robertson I don’t want to get into the specific numbers of the PPA because you can imagine obviously all the utilities are sort of sensitive to the specific quantum of the rates that are being paid. I think it is fair to say that both of the PPAs were awarded under a competitive process by the respective utilities. I will say that Deerfield enjoys a higher rate than Odell, just for whatever reason. We actually weren’t involved in the bidding of it, but the rate is higher at Deerfield than it is at Odell. But I think really from our perspective as we look at the those projects and we looked at our returns accretion from an earnings perspective, accretion from a cash flow perspective, and from an overall project value on an elaborate after tax IRR perspective, we are a little bit in different maybe agnostic as to the PPA rate as long as the projects meet all of those value accretion criteria which I’m pleased to say that both Deerfield and Odell handily meet. So they’re both solidly in our strike zone from a return perspective, sort of almost notwithstanding the fact that the PPA rates are slightly different. And that’s obviously affecting the total capital cost for the projects are different building in Michigan is different than building in Minnesota. But all in all, they’re both great projects from our perspective. David Bronicheski And Nelson, one other thing in case you may have missed it, as we normally do with projects and acquisitions we have posted a fact sheet on our website, and I’m happy to send it to you if you happen to have missed it. Nelson Ng And I read it and I was thinking like my rough guess was maybe $40, but I just wanted to check in terms of per megawatt hour, but if you don’t want to say it’s fine. Ian Robertson I’m going to be silent right now, Nelson. Nelson Ng All right. That’s great. Thanks again. Okay. Have a good one. Ian Robertson All right, thank you. Operator We’ll now take the following question from Jeremy Rosenfield. Please, go ahead. Jeremy Rosenfield And your silence speaks volumes. I’d like — just keeping on Deerfield, maybe you can provide a little bit of detail on the financing plan? I know looking at the tax equity and other sources of financing, can you just comment in terms of where you see that coming in and what the market is like for ongoing financings for this type of project? David Bronicheski Sure. I’m happy to take that. The financing for Deerfield would be very much the same as the plan that we have for Odell. I think half the project on a long-term basis is going to be financed from tax equity, and those discussions are ongoing. And I think the market is pretty deep for that in the US so we have full confidence of being able to get that. And then as we go through construction, the construction will be financed at a non-recourse basis through a club of lenders in the U.S. It will have the back leverage option for that as well, which the project can slide into for the leverage on the back part of it. And depending on whether we opt to purchase the other 50% or not, and if we do take it onto our balance sheet, then in that instance there’s every opportunity to simply finance the debt portion off our bond platform that we have. Jeremy Rosenfield Okay. Great. Let me just turn to Energy North. There was a comment in the results about potential system expansions in New England. Can you talk a little bit about what the size of that investment might be potentially? Ian Robertson Sure. It’s a bit of a longer answer, Jeremy, because it actually relates to our ability to maximize the synergies between our transmission business group, which as you know is involved in the development of the Northeast Energy Direct a pipeline which runs from right New York, through Massachusetts, up into New Hampshire, back down into Massachusetts at Dracut. Well, you can imagine that pipeline is running through some fairly virgin territory, and I mean virgin, virgin in the context of its service with natural gas. They don’t call New Hampshire the granite state for nothing. It’s very expensive to run pipelines. And so consequently, the installation of the Northeast Energy Direct is going to occasion substantial opportunities for towns to avail themselves of natural gas service to get off of heating oil as a primary heating fuel. We want to obviously support and encourage that conversion. We have filed a number of regulatory — opened a number of regulatory proceedings applying to be the utility of record for towns that we believe can be economically served by the proximity of the Northeast Energy Direct pipeline. And so the size of that opportunity could be material. We estimate that there is up to 30,000 new customers that could be served along the course of that pipeline in southern New Hampshire. And so it’s going to be substantial. I will point out that we are planning to give a lot more detail, Jeremy, at our investor morning. And so as I said, a shameless plug for our investor morning; I hope you make the trip up here from Montreal. But certainly it is part of the material expansion thesis for our presence of — in the New England natural gas marketplace. I don’t know if that gives you some comfort or some color. Jeremy Rosenfield I was kind of looking for sort of a dollar investment amount, but I guess I’ll have to make the trip up to find the correct answer there. Ian Robertson There you go. Jeremy Rosenfield I appreciate it. Those are my questions. Thanks. Ian Robertson Thanks, Jeremy. Operator [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions. Please continue. Ian Robertson Great. Thanks, everyone. Appreciate you taking the time on our Q3 2015 conference call. And obviously, as always, I ask you to remain on the line for a riveting review of our disclaimer by Amanda Dillon. Amanda? Amanda Dillon Thank you, Ian. Certain written and oral statements contained in this call are forward-looking within the meaning of certain securities laws and reflect the views of Algonquin Power and Utilities Corp with respect to future events based upon assumptions relating to among others the performance of the Company’s assets and the business, financial, and regulatory climates in which it operates. These forward-looking statements include, among others, statements with respect to the expected performance of the Company, its future plans, and its dividends to shareholders. Since forward-looking statements relate to future events and conditions, by their very nature they require us to make assumptions and involve inherent risks and uncertainties. We caution that although we believe our assumptions are reasonable in the circumstances, these risks and uncertainties give rise to the possibility that our actual results may differ materially from the expectations set out in the forward-looking statements. Material risk factors include those presented in the Company’s most recent annual financial results, the annual information form, and most recently quarterly Management’s discussion and analysis. Given these risks, undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements. In addition, such statements are made based on information available and expectations as of the date of this call and such expectations may change after this date. APUC reviews materials forward-looking information it has presented not less frequently than on a quarterly basis. APUC is not obligated nor does it intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise, except as required by law. With respect to non-GAAP financial measures, the terms adjusted net earnings, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted funds from operations, per share cash provided by adjusted funds from operations, per share cash provided by operating activities, net energy sales, and net utility sales, collectively the financial measures, are used on this call and throughout the Company’s financial disclosures. The financial measures are not recognized measures under generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. There is no standardized measure of these financial measures. Consequently, APUC’s method of calculating these measures may differ from methods used by other companies and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. A calculation and analysis of the financial measures and a description of the use of non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the most recently published Management’s discussion and analysis available on the Company’s website and on SEDAR. Per share cash provided by operating activities is not a substitute measure of performance for earnings per share. Amounts represented by per share cash provided by operating activities do not represent amounts available for distribution to shareholders and should be considered, in light of various charges and claims, against APUC. Thank you for your time today. Operator Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a great day.

TECO Energy’s (TE) CEO John Ramil on Q3 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

TECO Energy, Inc. (NYSE: TE ) Q3 2015 Earnings Conference Call November 5, 2015 9:00 AM ET Executives Mark Kane – Director of Investor Relations Sandra Callahan – Senior Vice President, Finance & Accounting and Chief Financial Officer John Ramil – President and Chief Executive Officer Analysts John Barter – KeyBanc Capital Markets Operator Good morning. My name is Brandi, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the TECO Energy’s Third Quarter Results and 2015 Outdoor Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Mr. Mark Kane, you may begin your conference. Mark Kane Thank you, Brandi. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the TECO Energy third quarter 2015 results conference call. Our results from continuing operations along with utilities statistical pages and the earnings release were released earlier this morning. This presentation is being webcast and our earnings release statistical summaries and slides are available on our website at tecoenergy.com. The presentation will be available for replay through the website approximately two hours after the conclusion of our presentation and will be available for 30 days. In the course of our remarks today, we will be making forward-looking statements about our expectations for 2015 results and preliminary business drivers for 2016. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those that we will discuss today. For a more complete discussion of these factors, we refer you to the risk factor discussion on our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the period ended December 31, 2014, and as updated in subsequent SEC filings. In the course of today’s presentation, we will be using non-GAAP results. There is a reconciliation between these non-GAAP measures and the closest GAAP measure in the appendix to today’s presentation. The host for our call today is Sandy Callahan, TECO Energy’s Chief Financial Officer. Also with us today is John Ramil, TECO Energy’s CEO. Now, I’ll turn it over to Sandy. Sandra Callahan Thank you, Mark. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. This morning I’ll cover the status of the various filings that we have made with Emera for approval of the acquisition, provide a normal quarterly update, and confirm our 2015 outlook. The appendix to the presentation contains the usual graph from the Florida and New Mexico economies and reconciliations of non-GAAP results. Since we announced the signing of the agreement with Emera in early September, we have been busy working with Emera to make the required filings in a timely manner. We filed with the FERC on October 6, and asked for approval by March. We filed with the New Mexico Commission on October 19. The commission assigned a hearing examiner yesterday and we are waiting for a final order on that and for a schedule to be established in the proceedings. We filed an initial proxy with the SEC on October 6, and subsequently filed our final proxy on October 22, with a record date of October 21. We’ve scheduled the special shareholder meeting to vote on the approval of the merger for December 3. And over the next several weeks, we expect to make the Hart-Scott-Rodino filing and the filing with the Committee on Foreign Investment in the U.S. In the third quarter, non-GAAP results from continuing operations were $77.3 million or $0.33 per share, compared with $0.32 last year. Net income from continuing operations was $64.9 million in 2015, and that includes $12.4 million of charges, primarily associated with the pending acquisition by Emera. We closed the sale of TECO Coal this quarter, so I’m not including a report on discontinued operations in my quarterly update. There is a report on discontinued operations included in our earnings release. For the first nine months of the year, non-GAAP results from continuing operations were $203.6 million or $0.87 per share, compared with $0.84 last year. Net income from continuing operations was $190.2 million, compared with $179 million last year. In addition to the cost this year associated with the Emera transaction, both years include costs associated with the New Mexico Gas acquisition, $1.2 million integration costs in 2015, and $5.7 million of acquisition costs in 2014. Tampa Electric reported higher net income in the third quarter. Customer growth was a strong 1.8%, while energy sales were slightly lower than last year, reflecting degree days that were fairly normal, but rainfall in July and August that was 60% above normal. Base revenues in the quarter benefited from the increase that became effective November 1 of last year per the 2013 regulatory stipulation. And AFUDC increased this quarter with higher investment balances in the Polk conversion project and other qualified projects. Peoples Gas saw another quarter of 2% customer growth, again with the strongest numbers in the southwest and northeast areas of the state. Both customer and economic growth contributed to higher firm sales to retail customers, as well as transported for power generation customers and off-system sales were higher also, reflecting more coal-to-gas switching, as well as new generating facilities coming online. The local economy continues to do very well. And it was helped in the first nine months of the year by a very strong tourist industry that benefited from Chamber of Commerce weather, the hockey finals, and new international flights at Tampa International Airport. As an indicator of that, hotel bed pack collections in the Tampa area set records in the fiscal year ended September 20, 2015, with numbers 13% higher than 2014, which also was a record year. New Mexico Gas Company recorded a seasonal loss in the third quarter, always the weakest revenue quarter, because of the absence of heating load. Again this quarter, we saw the positive impact on O&Million, both from integration synergies being realized and an overall focus on cost reduction. Customer growth was 0.8% in the quarter. And to provide some perspective on that, in the first full quarter that we owned New Mexico Gas, which was the fourth quarter of last year, customer growth was half that at 0.4%. The other net segment formerly known as Parent/Other had a net cost in the third quarter that was lower compared to last year, due to some unfavorable tax items that were in 2014. Results also reflect interest expense at New Mexico Gas Intermediate, the parent of New Mexico Gas Company. And we only had one month of that interest in the 2014 period. And finally, the lower interest expense from a refinancing earlier this year more than offset the impact of no longer allocating interest expense to TECO Coal. The Florida economy continues to be a good story. Statewide unemployment at the end of the third quarter was 5.2%, down from 5.8% a year ago. And over that period, the state has added more than 236,000 new jobs. Hillsborough County, Tampa Electric’s primary service territory once again outpaced the state and U.S. levels with unemployment down to 4.8%, a full percent below where it was a year ago. Over the past year, the Tampa-St. Petersburg area added more than 28,000 jobs. A nice development in the local employment picture is an increase in the number of higher paying science, technology, engineering and math, or STEM jobs in the Tampa Bay area. According to a Bloomberg study, Tampa has more than 64,000 STEM jobs, representing more than 5% of the workforce. And that is the highest number and percentage among Florida’s major metropolitan areas. Growth in construction-related jobs in Tampa is being driven by record numbers and record values for building permits. In the 2015 fiscal year that just ended, the City of Tampa issued more than 23,000 building permits. Single family, multi-family and commercial, both new construction and modification, with a value of $2.4 billion. Those numbers represent a 20% increase from 2014, which also was a record year. Aggressive economic development efforts have brought almost 12,000 new jobs to the area over the past three years, including a number of higher paying professional and high-tech jobs. In New Mexico, the unemployment rate never came close to the levels we saw in Florida, because of the large presence of the oil and gas industry and governmental facilities in the state. Improvement though, has been slower than what we have experienced in Florida. And in September, the unemployment rate ticked up, primarily due to a slowdown in construction employment. Net job growth in New Mexico was 6,400 over the past year, a number impacted by some job losses in the oil and gas industry as a result of the recent movements in energy prices. The largest gains came in the education and health services, leisure and hospitality, and professional and business service categories. The Albuquerque area, which constitutes almost 50% of the state’s non-farm payroll, led the state in job creation, adding 6,600 jobs over the year and offsetting net job losses in some of the less populace areas. On the housing front, the good story in the Tampa area continues, with more than 5,800 new single-family building permits issued over the past 12 months, and existing homes continuing to sell at a strong pace. The October Case-Shiller report shows that selling prices in the Tampa market increased 6.1% year over year. With the strong pace of resale, the housing inventory remains at a healthy level of less than four months. In Albuquerque, New Mexico’s largest metro area, existing home resales have trended up steadily over the past year. There was a very strong acceleration in recent months, including a 33% year-over-year increase in June, and 26% in September. Selling prices have also trended up, and the inventory of homes available for resale is just under five months. You can see all of these trends on the graphs in the appendix. Our assumptions around guidance that we provided previously remain unchanged. We are maintaining our previously provided guidance for 2015 earnings per share from continuing operations in a range of $1.08 to $1.11, excluding non-GAAP charges or gains. We still expect New Mexico Gas to be accretive to our full-year earnings, but it has been a challenge to overcome the very mild winter weather that started the year. We had great results on a cost side, and that is helping to offset the impact of disappointing first quarter weather. But we do need some normal cold winter weather to close out the year. Looking forward to next year, all indications are that we should continue to see strong customer growth at all three of the utilities. We expect the Florida utilities to earn towards the upper end of the respective return on equity ranges shown on the slide. Tampa Electric AFUDC earnings will grow next year, as the investment in the Polk conversion project reaches its peak. And in addition, a $5 million base revenue increase became effective November 1 of this year as a result of the 2013 settlement agreement. All of the utilities expect to record higher depreciation expense as a result of continued investment in equipment and facilities to serve customers. And of course, across the board, we will continue to be very focused on holding the line on cost. Our upcoming investor communication schedule includes being at EEI next week, where we will participate jointly with Emera in one-on-one meetings, and also we will be a part of Emera’s presentation at 10:30 on Tuesday morning. After the Emera acquisition announcement, we’ve been asked if we would continue to have quarterly conference calls. Because of the timing of EEI next week and our activities there, we decided to have a call this quarter. But future calls will be on an as-needed basis only. And now I’ll turn it over to the operator to open the line for your questions. Thank you. Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of John Barter with KeyBanc. John Barter Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my question. I guess looking in New Mexico, has the hearing examiner — do you have any expectation around when the hearing examiner will have a recommendation? Sandra Callahan The first thing that has to happen is, the hearing examiner will set a schedule for the proceeding. And we will then go through that process, and the hearing examiner recommendation really comes at the end of that process. Mark Kane One thing to remember, the New Mexico regulatory calendar, there is a PNM rate case, there is a Southwest Public Service rate case, and there is a whole PNM San Juan process also running concurrent with our process, so the commission has a very full calendar. John Barter All right, got it. And then I guess in Florida with the whole solar issue — is it Floridians for Solar Choice and then Consumers for Smart Solar — have either of those initiatives got the necessary amount of signatures to get on the 2016 ballot yet, or is that still progressing? John Ramil No. This a John Ramil. Neither one have gotten the signatures yet. They are both being acquired as we speak. John Barter Okay. Thank you. Operator [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. Mark Kane Okay. Brandi, thank you very much. Thank you all for joining us this morning. If there are no further questions, this concludes TECO Energy’s third quarter call. Thank you. Operator This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. (Until now investors have had to pay thousands of dollars in subscription fees for transcripts.) So our reproduction policy is as follows: You may quote up to 400 words of any transcript on the condition that you attribute the transcript to Seeking Alpha and either link to the original transcript or to www.SeekingAlpha.com. All other use is prohibited. 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