Scalper1 News
Summary SCHX is a leader among low fee ETFs. This balanced portfolio works great as a core holding. The fund holds most of the major companies in the domestic market, so diversification should focus on bonds, international exposure, and REITs. One of my favorite funds that is not currently in my portfolio is the U.S. Large-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHX ). This fund offers investors exposure to the domestic equity market and has a rock bottom exposure of .04%. Or at least, I used to think .04% was the lowest investors would find on domestic equity. It turns out Schwab is in a pricing battle with BlackRock’s (NYSE: BLK ) iShares products and will be lowering the expense ratio from .04% to .03%. What does SCHX do? SCHX attempts to track the total return of the Dow Jones U.S. Large-Cap Total Stock Market Index. At least 90% of funds are invested in companies that are part of the index. SCHX falls under the category of “Large Blend.” Largest Holdings The portfolio has solid diversification. The SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF ( SPY) is holding a very similar portfolio but with a slightly larger allocation to the top companies, such as 3.55% in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ). However, the additional diversification for SCHX can be partially set off by some of the companies near the top being less volatile or by the ETF having less trading volume. (click to enlarge) Perhaps the question should be why investors would choose options with higher expense ratios when the holdings in SCHX make so much sense. The huge holdings here are established dividend growth champions, which the exception of AAPL and Facebook (NASDAQ: FB ), however I suspect that within 10 years those companies will have a very solid history of raising their dividends. Sector The one thing that concerns me about the way the fund is set up is the relatively light weights given to utilities and to consumer staples. I feel that makes this portfolio a little more aggressive than I prefer to be with the core of my portfolio. (click to enlarge) The reason these sectors are so appealing to me has everything to do with where we are in the macroeconomic sector. We’ve been in a prolonged bull market for quite a while and the valuations have started to get fairly rich. The Federal Reserve has given clear signs that they are desperate to raise rates, but I don’t foresee them being able to raise rates more than once or twice because the international rates are so low. If the Federal Reserve does manage to raise rates, I would be concerned about it creating headwinds for the domestic equity market and the possibility of establishing a new recession. To guard against that risk without having to sell out of the market, I prefer to increase the allocation to the more defensive sectors. Utilities benefit from functioning as regulated monopolies which allows them to expect to earn a fairly steady rate of return. Their prices do move up and down with bonds which would make higher bond yields suggest that utility prices might go down, but the utilities also offer dividend yields that are often superior to the bond yields and they benefit from increasing dividends in most years. That creates a very compelling risk/reward proposition and gives investors a solid reason to favor adding a utility allocation to their portfolio when using SCHX as the core. Consumer staples benefits from having established positions and selling products that consumers buy in good times and bad times. For instance, the tobacco industry has been a great source of returns for the consumer staples sector and continues to create sales regardless of what is happening in the market. My estimates on reasonable allocations for consumer staples and utilities for a highly risk-averse investor would be running as high as 40% of the domestic equity position. Since these sectors only give us 9.1% and 3.0%, that would require investors to specifically add exposure to the portfolio. Meanwhile they could use a fund like SCHX for another 40% of the domestic equity allocation. I would want the remaining 20% of the domestic position for REITs. Investors looking for an easy way to invest in the consumer staples sector may want to consider the Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (NYSEARCA: VDC ) as a solid partner for working with SCHX in a portfolio. For utilities, I would suggest the Vanguard Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA: VPU ). Conclusion SCHX is a very strong contender to be a core holding in the new portfolio. I wanted a replacement for SPY that I would be able to trade without commissions. Of course, I also wanted to see a lower expense ratio, and SCHX delivered that. I like the idea of combining a large cap fund like this with domestic positions in consumer staples and utilities to create a more defensive weighting since the market has been in a prolonged bull period and the price/earnings ratios have become fairly rich. Prices have dipped back down since late summer, but now investors are facing the possibility of weaker earnings in 2016 which could offset the reduction in price. Scalper1 News
Scalper1 News