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REIT stocks have taken a hit of late. That’s left REIT CEFs suffering, too. Is now the time to buy in and what kind of REIT CEF’s look best? I decided to look at two intertwined questions based on reader comments to an article I wrote about RMR Real Estate Income Fund (NYSEMKT: RIF ): First, is the REIT sell off over? And Second, what are the best priced REIT CEFs right now? No rush To start with, I don’t think REIT stocks are cheap right now. They are certainly cheaper than they were earlier in the year, but that doesn’t make them a good value. I outlined my concerns in a recent article, which you should read for more depth. But I’ll summarize: Demand for REITs, and other income oriented investments, has been driven by the historically low interest rate environment engineered by the Federal Reserve. That can’t last forever and with the Fed talking about a rate increase, the recent sell off is a sign that investors are getting spooked. And that’s what makes me believe there’s a good possibility for more downside from here. Investor sentiment is what drives market prices over the near term. But investor sentiment moves like a pendulum, going from extreme to extreme. Sure we’ve pulled away from REITs being overvalued and loved by all. But my guess is that we’re just passing through something that approximates fair value right now on our way to the other side, where REITs will be out of favor. That, however, is just my opinion. Brad Thomas, who writes the Intelligent REIT Investor for Forbes, for example, counters that, suggesting that now is a good time to be looking at REITs. That said, he isn’t calling for investors to back up the truck and load up. He suggests what he calls a “patient hand.” Or, more specifically, dollar cost averaging so you don’t put all your capital at risk. In the end, however, Brad and I both agree that REITs can be a great benefit to a portfolio, providing income and diversification. And, frankly, I’m the first to admit that if you need income now, sitting on the sidelines isn’t a workable investment strategy. So, you may, indeed, be in the market now for REITs right now. Clearly sticking with industry leaders is a good call. But outsourcing to a dedicated REIT manager is also an interesting option. And that’s where I’ve seen some readers asking about closed-end funds. What REIT CEFs are good? You could, of course, purchase an open-end fund to get your exposure to REITs. But that means you’ll be paying market price, since open-end funds have to trade at net asset value, or NAV, at all times. Exchange traded funds also tend to trade at or very close to NAV and are often just index offerings. Closed-end funds, on the other hand, are actively managed and frequently trade at a discount to their NAVs. And that’s driven by investor sentiment. When investors are pessimistic, discounts widen. And they are extra wide at a number of REIT CEFs right now. That will boost yields and potentially provides some downside protection (a margin of safety, if you will) if REIT prices fall further-After all, you paid a below market price. But all CEFs aren’t the same and you need to know what you are buying. For example, RIF, which I wrote about recently , is trading with a very large 20% discount to NAV. Its three-year average is around 14.5%. The CEF owns a portfolio of REITs and REIT preferred stocks, almost like a balanced fund, in a way, and sports a yield of around 6.9%. But, you’ll want to keep a few things in mind. First, RIF uses leverage. Leverage stood at about 30% of assets as recently as the end of March. Leverage is great in up markets because it enhances return, but can be damaging in down markets because it exacerbates losses. If you are looking at a REIT CEF, take leverage into consideration. Second, RMR is the fund’s manager. Although this company runs a few public REITs, you may or may not be comfortable with their managing history. That’s where a fund like Cohen & Steers REIT and Preferred Income Fund (NYSE: RNP ) might come in. Like RIF, RNP mixes REITs with REIT preferred stocks and uses leverage (around 25% of assets). Also like RIF, RNP is trading at a wider discount than usual: RNP’s discount is around 17% compared to its three-year average of nearly 11%. However, Cohen & Steers was one of the first asset managers to specialize in REITs and is highly respected in the industry. If you are concerned about RMR but like the idea of RIF, Cohen & Steer’s RNP would be a good alternative. RNP’s distribution yield of 8.3% also offers more income to investors. That said, there’s a reason why these two funds have among the widest discounts in the REIT CEF space: Preferred stocks are likely to take a hit if rates go higher because they are similar in many ways to a bond. Add in leverage and you can see that these CEFs might be riskier then they first appear. And why investors are asking for such notable discounts relative to other REIT CEFs. And that’s why you might prefer a fund like Cohen & Steers Total Return Realty Shares (NYSE: RFI ), which yields around 7.6%, in between the two above REIT CEFs. RFI invests only in REIT stocks and doesn’t use any leverage. That said, its discount is only about 9%. So you aren’t getting as good a deal on an absolute basis. But what about on a relative basis? Total Return Realty Shares’ average discount over the past three years is around 3%, so it’s actually trading much further below its historical range than either RIF or RNP. So, relatively speaking, RFI could be the better deal and it has a lower risk profile. Not the only options This trio of funds obviously aren’t the only RIET CEF options. But they show pretty clearly some of the things you’ll want to look at beyond a steep absolute discount, including management, portfolio structure, use of leverage, and relative discount. I personally like Cohen & Steers as a company and right now I’d suggest pulling back on risk for most investors. Thus, I think starting your research with an unleveraged pure play like RFI is a good idea if you are looking to outsource your REIT exposure. You might decide you are willing to take on more risk, and that’s fine. Just make sure you understand that risk, and the alternatives you have, before you take it. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Scalper1 News
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