Scalper1 News
Friday the thirteenth made itself literal in Paris when it encountered the worst terror attack in Europe in over a decade. A chain of Islamic State-backed terrorist attacks killed around 130 people in the city and left hundreds injured that night. As a payback and pledge to establish a terror-free world, France launched several air raids and bombed Islamic State targets – especially in Raqqa – in Syria. This was the most hostile anti-terrorism strike by France against this Islamic group ISIS. As expected, the entire risk-pro global investing backdrop took a beating after the annihilation and is yet to return to its prior shape. However, among all asset classes and sectors, there are a few which stand to gain from this horrible incident, while other are likely to be badly hit. Below we highlight some sectors which are in focus after the Paris attack. Defense The defense sector should benefit from France’s retaliation to ISIS in Syria. Along with the terror-stricken France, several of its western allies shared this mission. Washington has strengthened its strikes in ISIS-heavy regions and destroyed 116 ISIS oil trucks in Eastern Syria. Russia also joined hands with the West, probably to show vengeance against its plane crash in Egypt. The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant’s Sinai Branch had taken responsibility of this incident. Defense stocks gained post Paris attack on November 13 and might see further expansion as such geo-political risks are favorable for weapon manufacturers and defense contractors. In any case, defense stocks have tested all-time highs ever since the ‘ rise of Islamic State in Iraq and Syria.’ Since the major global superpowers are likely to pursue an combined attack against ISIS militants, investors should watch aerospace and deference ETFs, namely iShares US Aerospace and Defense ETF (NYSEARCA: ITA ), SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF (NYSEARCA: XAR ) and PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PPA ) for gains. Cyber Security Cyber security is a red hot area at present. While technology has been a great boon to mankind, it has lugged with it the ills of ‘cyber-crime’. Enterprises and government agencies constantly face cyber-attacks and are always in the want of rigorous cyber security to keep hackers at bay. Several government databases store susceptible national information that should be kept safe from terrorist invasion. After the serial Paris assault avoided the eye of national intelligence, the need for enhanced security both online or offline has become a prerequisite. In fact, the topic trending the most now is whether governments should have access to technology that preserves the confidentiality of people’s ‘communications and transactions’, for the sake of national security . Needless to say, these talks would put cyber security stocks and the related ETFs, namely PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (NYSEARCA: HACK ) and First Trust NASDAQ CEA Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ: CIBR ) in focus in the coming days. Hospitality Since tourism and hospitality sectors are hit hard when a terror attack takes place in a certain place, France will also bear the same fate. Not only France, big American and European cities which are basically the soft targets of ISIS might see a fallback in their tourism and hotel industry. Notably, the tourist industry accounts for about 8% of the French economy. Thanks to this fear for tourism, already big U.S.-based hotel chains that have considerable exposure in Europe as well, witnessed a retreat in their share prices. Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. (NYSE: HOT ), Marriott International Inc. (NASDAQ: MAR ), Hyatt Hotels Corporation (NYSE: H ) and Wyndham Worldwide Corporation (NYSE: WYN ) lost about 7%, 5%, 3.6% and 5%, respectively, in the last five days (As of November 17, 2015). Not only hotels, since travelers are likely to abandon cruise trips, the apprehensive stocks of Carnival Corporation (NYSE: CCL ) and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE: RCL ) shed about 5% each in the last five trading sessions. Notably, consumer discretionary ETF PowerShares DWA Consumer Cyclicals Momentum Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PEZ ) invests over 25% in Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure and over 11% in Airlines, while another product PowerShares Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PEJ ) invests about 5% each in Carnival and the online travel company Expedia (NASDAQ: EXPE ), and about over 10% in two airlines. Investors might thus view these two ETFs for potential losses. Airlines Needless to say, lower tourism means lower air travel. Though the impact of the attack is likely to be short-lived, travelers might take some more time to get back to their previous euphoria, shrugging off all fears. The Russian plane crash in October also point to this fact. The pure play Airline ETF U.S. GLOBAL JETS ETF (NYSEARCA: JETS ) could thus see losses in the coming days. JETS lost over 2.6% in the last five days (as of November 17, 2015). Original Post Scalper1 News
Scalper1 News