One Item In Red Hat’s Q4 Earnings That Blew The Surprise

By | March 23, 2016

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Despite a fourth-quarter earnings report that flew past estimates, Red Hat ( RHT ) stock fell Wednesday as analysts raised concerns of an unexpected slowdown. The line item that spooked investors was a slowing in customer billings and confusion about future revenue. “The fourth quarter was a mixed bag, with signs that fundamentals remain strong with large deals, but also billings deceleration and a lack of margin expansion for fiscal 2017,” wrote Pacific Crest Securities analyst Ben McFadden. Red Hat stock was down more than 5%, below 72, in morning trading on the stock market today . Shares had touched a 15-month low below 60 last month after hitting a 16-year high above 84 in December. Red Hat is the leading provider of Linux-based software that businesses use to run operations. Revenue comes from subscriptions that customers pay for software support, training and integration services in using the open-source version of its Linux operating system. Red Hat reported fiscal Q4 earnings after the market close Tuesday for the quarter that ended Feb. 29. Revenue rose 17% to $544 million, or 21% in constant currency, year over year. Earnings per share minus items jumped 21% to 52 cents, the fourth quarter in a row of double-digit gains. Both beat Wall Street estimates. First-quarter revenue guidance also beat, though EPS only met expectations. “Growth of reported billings and deferred revenue were not very good relative to expectations,” BMO Capital Markets analyst Keith Bachman wrote in a research note. “Red Hat’s quarter had something for both bulls and bears.” For the past seven quarters, deferred revenue grew by an average of 20% year over year. In fiscal Q4, it rose 17.6%. Billings rose 13%, compared with the average of 19% in the prior three quarters, Bachman wrote. He maintained an outperform rating on Red Hat stock but lowered his price target to 88 from 90, based on concerns about lower billings and cash flow. RBC Capital Markets maintained an outperform rating on Red Hat with a price target of 95. Needham kept a buy rating and price target of 98. Red Hat has made a strategic shift to cloud computing, a fast-growing tech field dominated by Amazon.com ( AMZN ) , Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL ). In November, Red Hat announced a partnership with Microsoft, which made Red Hat software available on Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform. Amazon is being watched by analysts in light of its Amazon Web Services stepping up Linux offerings, in competition with Red Hat. Scalper1 News

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