Scalper1 News
The Japanese economy is now officially in a technical recession having shrunk 0.2% sequentially in Q3 followed by a 0.3% contraction in Q2. On an annualized basis, GDP fell 0.8% in Q3 trailed by a 0.7% (which was in fact a revised up figure) decline in the second quarter. Economists had expected a 0.2% annualized and 0.1% sequential drop for the third quarter. Per Bloomberg, lower capital expenditure by Japanese companies that resulted in soft business investment and lower inventories in the wake of global growth worries led to this miss. Though the economy is expected to step up in the ongoing quarter as companies are likely to increase output on declining ‘ stockpiles in warehouses ‘, the weak GDP numbers also led to talks about further policy easing. Views that the economy ” might have hit the bottom” in Q3 is widespread now and most people are wagering on a more beefed-up fiscal and monetary policy. Even if the Japanese corporate profile looks steady, sluggish capital spending is now a big hindrance. As per analysts, the soft global and domestic economic backdrop is restraining them from investing aggressively. Not at all. Japanese companies under Nikkei 225 delivered record earnings recently but valuations have swollen only 2.3% from the end of last year, per Bloomberg . About 55% companies under the broader Topix index beat analysts’ estimates this season. Consumer prices in Japan halted year on year in September 2015, falling from a 0.2% rise in August. Inflation in Japan has now fallen back to the level never seen since May 2013 . This boosted hopes for further monetary easing. The BOJ has now delayed the deadline for achieving an inflation target of 2% by six months. If this was not enough, after a stellar run by the ongoing QE stimulus, Japanese equity ETFs are still attractively valued. The popular Japanese ETF iShares MSCI Japan (NYSEARCA: EWJ ) trades at a P/E of 13 times at the currency level. This calls for scope for more returns out of the Japan-based ETFs. However, since yen has devalued considerably thanks to the prevailing easy money policy and the Fed is preparing for a policy tightening, a currency-hedged ETF approach is desirable in Japan investing. Though the economy Minister of Japan recently commented that “at this point the government is still not considering ‘pure’ fiscal stimulus” and that the outcome of wage negotiations for fiscal year 2016 will be a more significant growth driver than fiscal stimulus, there is a clear indication that the economy will gather steam by either one way or the other. WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund (NYSEARCA: DXJ ) DXJ looks to offer investors a way to gain exposure to the Japanese shares devoid of currency risks. This is a liquid choice in the space with 7,000,000 shares in average trading volume a day. The large-cap oriented fund has a huge asset base of $17.2 billion and charges 48 bps in fees. Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM ) (4.80%), Mitsubishi ( OTCPK:MMTOF ) (4.76%) and Japan Tobacco ( OTCPK:JAPAF ) (4.34%) take the top three spots of the fund while consumer discretionary (24.6%) and industrials (23.2%) are top two sectors. The fund was up 6.5% in the last one month (as of November 16, 2015) and has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 with a Medium risk outlook. Japan Hedged Dividend Growth Fund (NYSEARCA: JHDG ) The ETF follows the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Dividend Growth Index. The fund consists of about 248 companies. The $25.3-million fund measures the performance of dividend-paying common stocks with growth characteristics selected from the WisdomTree DEFA Index while at the same time neutralizing exposure to fluctuations between the yen and the U.S. dollar. Consumer discretionary rules the fund with about 25% exposure. Industrials (23%), IT (13.8%), consumer staples (10.6%) and telecom (10%) also get double-digit weight each. NTT DoCoMo Inc (NYSE: DCM ) (5.5%), Japan Tobacco (4.59%) and Toyota Motor (4.4%) round out the top three spots of the ETF. JHDG charges 43 bps in fees and was up 6% in the last one month. WisdomTree Japan Hedged SmallCap Equity Fund (NASDAQ: DXJS ) DXJS offers exposure to the Japanese small cap stocks while at the same time provides hedge against any fall in the Japanese yen. This is easily done by tracking the WisdomTree Japan Hedged SmallCap Equity Index. The fund has accumulated $196.5 million in its asset base and charges 58 bps in fees per year from investors. Volume is moderate as it exchanges 80,000 shares in hand per day on average. The product holds 618 stocks in its basket with none accounting for more than 0.95% of assets. Industrials and consumer discretionary take the top two spots with around 24% share each, while materials, financial and information technology round off the top five. The ETF gained 4.9% in the last one month and has a Zacks ETF Rank #2. Original Post Scalper1 News
Scalper1 News