Category Archives: oud

Apple Stock Gets Price-Target Cut On Longer iPhone Upgrade Cycle

Apple ( AAPL ) stock dipped Wednesday following a price-target cut by investment bank UBS. Apple shares were down a fraction, near 93, in midday trading on the stock market today . UBS analyst Steven Milunovich reiterated his buy rating on Apple stock but lowered his 12-month price target to 115 from 120. Milunovich also reduced his sales and earnings estimates for fiscal years 2016 and 2017 based on a more cautious view of iPhone growth. Apple’s fiscal 2016 ends Sept. 24. “Our installed base analysis reflects that the iPhone 6 was unusually well received, as perhaps 37% of the installed base entering fiscal 2015 purchased a new iPhone,” Milunovich said in a research report. “The ramification is being felt in fiscal 2016 with a much lower 25% upgrade rate expected. “Our base case for fiscal 2017 is total iPhone unit growth of 4% to 217 million based on a 23% upgrade rate and a decline in new customers.” Milunovich said his base case assumes that iPhone owners upgrade their handsets every 2.5 years. On Tuesday, Drexel Hamilton analyst Brian White said “ gloom and doom ” sentiment around Apple stock had reached “extreme” levels. He reiterated his buy rating on Apple stock, with a price target of 185. RELATED: When Tim Cook Gives A TV Interview, Apple Investors Should Beware

Millennials: Here’s Your Best 2016 Investment Portfolio

Congratulations! Here you are. A successful millennial. For the sake of argument, we are going to put you in the middle of this group, generally described as being born roughly between 1980 and 2000. We’ll stipulate that you are born in 1990, so graduated college in 2012 and are now four years into your working career. At 26 years of age, you have a long and bright working future ahead of you. You are clever enough to know that you should start investing now. At the same time, you are not all about money. You don’t want to be a slave to your investments, you want your investments to be a slave to you, and give you both the time and freedom to devote to the things that are important to you. Click to enlarge I’ll cut right to the chase. There are a ton of investment strategies from which you can choose. Here is the one I would suggest. First, open a brokerage account at Fidelity Investments. Second, buy these six ETFs, in the weightings shown: 45% – iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: ITOT ) 10% – iShares Core High Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: HDV ) 30% – iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSEARCA: IEFA ) 5% – iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: IEMG ) 5% – iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: AGG ) 5% – iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TIP ) Third, set up a schedule to rebalance regularly back to these weightings. That’s it. We’re done. I told you I would keep this brief. You can simply stop right here and implement the plan that I suggest. I’m guessing, though, that you won’t. You’d like to know a little more. OK, then. Feel free to read as little or much of what comes next as you wish. I’ll share a few basic thoughts, and then provide some links to yet further reading if you so desire. What’s So Great About This Portfolio? Simplicity: Containing only six ETFs, this portfolio will be extremely simple to both maintain and track. However, simple does not mean simplistic. I’ll talk about this a little more in the “diversification” section below. Low Costs: The cost, or overhead, is extremely small. Simply put, the greater the expenses your portfolio incurs, the less that makes it into your pocket. If you follow the links to the ETFs I provided above, you will notice that they sport expense ratios of between .03% and .20%. At the allocations I suggest, I calculate that your overall weighted expense ratio comes out to .0835%. That’s right. About eight hundredths of one percent. The rest? Into your pockets, to compound and grow. Zero Commissions: This is an important one. Likely, you will want to set up a regular investment plan, investing small incremental amounts on a regular basis. While ETFs are a great investment vehicle, if you have to pay $8-10 for every transaction, you lose the benefits very quickly. The ETFs I suggest are included in the 70 iShares ETFs that Fidelity allows you to trade commission-free. Diversification: Within the portfolio, you will gain exposure to both domestic and foreign stocks (including a modest allocation to emerging markets), bonds, and TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities). The weightings I suggest are relatively aggressive; appropriate for someone in their mid-20s to approximately 30. At the same time, I am including an element of defensiveness in the portfolio by including a small weighting directed at quality, dividend-paying stocks, as well as bonds and TIPS. These selections will both generate a little income that you can reinvest over time as well as offer a measure of protection should the market experience a steep decline; allowing you to rebalance the portfolio. Background and Further Reading Finally, let me share a little background information regarding how I came to this specific recommendation, as well as links to some further reading. Late last year, as part of my work as a contributor for Seeking Alpha, I researched the 2016 investment outlooks of several respected investment houses. Using that research as a guide, I created The ETF Monkey 2016 Model Portfolio . Next, I set up and tracked three iterations of the portfolio: Vanguard , Fidelity , and Charles Schwab . While, as I will explain below, I chose to feature Fidelity, you could follow the basic principles set out in this article and set up your portfolio at either Vanguard or Charles Schwab. The key, of course, would be to select ETFs that you could trade commission-free in each case. When I set up the portfolio, I must admit that my initial bias was in favor of Vanguard. Vanguard is a legendary provider, and offers a large selection of ETFs with some of the most competitive expense ratios in the marketplace. However, as I reported in my Q1 update , the Fidelity implementation was actually the top performer of the three. This slight outperformance has continued as of the date I sat down to write this article. Therefore, I decided to use Fidelity as my provider of choice. Finally, here is a little more detail on some recent changes to the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF , the largest component of my recommended portfolio, as well as some thoughts on portfolio rebalancing . I hope this brief article has offered a helpful starting point. Feel free to drop your questions and comments below, and I will do my best to answer them. Disclosure: I am not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. Readers are cautioned that the material contained herein should be used solely for informational purposes, and are encouraged to consult with their financial and/or tax advisor respecting the applicability of this information to their personal circumstances. Investing involves risk, including the loss of principal. Readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions.

Canadian Solar Beats Q1 Views; Yingli Ducks SunEd Bankruptcy Path

Canadian Solar ( CSIQ ) stock rocketed Wednesday on an across-the-board Q1 beat, as fellow solar panel-maker Yingli Green Energy Holding ( YGE ) announced it can’t repay 1.7 billion yuan ($263 million) in loans due Thursday. Yingli also reported fiscal Q4 sales and module shipments that missed Wall Street views, but better-than-expected losses. Canadian Solar stock, which touched an eight-month low Tuesday, was up 13% in morning trading Wednesday, near 17.50. Yingli stock, which has traded below 5 all year, was up a fraction in morning trading on the stock market today . IBD’s 20-company Energy-Solar industry group, which hit a three-year low Tuesday, was up 2.5% on Canadian Solar’s Q1 beat. And Chinese solar manufacturers JinkoSolar ( JKS ), Trina Solar ( TSL ) and JA Solar ( JASO ) were up 5%, 4% and 2.5%, respectively, on Yingli’s report. For Q1, Canadian Solar reported $721.4 million in sales and 39 cents earnings per share ex items, down a respective 16% and 62.5% vs. the year-earlier quarter, the fourth straight quarter of declines for both metrics. Still, both measures topped the consensus of 10 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters for $663.7 million and 14 cents. Canadian Solar reported 1.198 gigawatts in module shipments, down 3%, but beating its own views for 1.085 GW to 1.135 GW. Current-quarter guidance for $710 million to $760 million would be up 15% at the midpoint and beats the consensus for $702.4 million. Module shipments were guided up 44% vs. the year-earlier quarter to 1.2 GW to 1.25 GW. Yingli Debts Under Negotiation Yingli said early Wednesday it’s negotiating with creditors to restructure its medium-term loans which mature Thursday. The company is also “negotiating privately with potential strategic investors” and considering selling assets to improve its debt-to-equity ratio. Potential asset sales include land-use rights for which subsidiary Hainan Yingli received 265 million yuan ($40.8 million) in 2015 and expects the balance of 470 million yuan $72.3 million) this year. The company has reported year-over-year quarterly losses since December 2011. Its loan negotiations follow a month after giant U.S. solar developer SunEdison filed for bankruptcy after technically defaulting — unless extensions were granted — on $725 million in second-lien loans. For its fiscal Q4 ended Dec. 31, Yingli reported $325.7 million in sales and a 71-cent per-share loss ex items. Sales fell 41% year over year, but losses shrank from a $4.90 per-share loss in the year-earlier quarter. The consensus modeled $372.3 million and a $1.48 per-share loss ex items. Yingli wrapped up fiscal 2015 with $1.54 billion in sales, down 26%, and a $1.98 per-share loss minus items vs. $12.10 in year-ago losses. Analysts expected $1.63 billion and a $31.30 per-share loss. On a year-over-year basis, module shipments for fiscal Q4 and the year fell 51% and 27%, respectively, to 460.4 megawatts and 2.45 GW. For the current quarter, Yingli guided to 480 MW to 510 MW in module shipments, down 34% at the midpoint. Wall Street view $414.4 million in fiscal Q1 sales, down 12%, and a $1.11 per-share loss ex items, shrinking from $3.60 in the year-earlier quarter.