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Valeant Sinks, Confirms SEC Investigation And Withdraws Guidance

Embattled specialty drug maker Valeant Pharmaceuticals ( VRX ) on Monday confirmed investigations by the SEC and others, and late Sunday withdrew its financial guidance and said it would reschedule its Q4 earnings release, as CEO J. Michael Pearson returns after a long illness. Valeant stock plunged 18% Monday to 65.80 and hit a three-year low of 63.75. Valeant had planned to report its quarterly results Monday morning, though they would have been unaudited due to an ongoing review of the company’s finances following a scandal last fall that called into question Valeant’s accounting and its relationship with now-closed specialty pharmacy Philidor. In response to media inquiries, a Valeant spokeswoman confirmed that the company has several ongoing investigations, including investigations by the U.S. Attorney’s Offices for Massachusetts and the Southern District of New York, the SEC and Congress.  The company confirmed it received a subpoena from the SEC in Q4 2015 and said that, in the normal course, it would have included this disclosure in its 2015 10-K. The U.S. Justice Department also is investigating, as was known, something Valeant inherited with its $11 billion acquisition of Salix Pharmaceuticals last year. Last Monday, the committee reviewing those issues announced an interim finding that $58 million in Philidor-related revenue should not have been booked in 2014, leading to a 10-cent reduction in EPS for that year. However, since some of that revenue was supposed to be booked later, it would add 9 cents to 2015 EPS. Valeant CEO Fought Pneumonia Pearson came down with severe pneumonia at Christmastime and had to be hospitalized for so long that Valeant appointed former CFO Howard Schiller to take over his job temporarily. Pearson had also been chairman, but when he returned to work Monday the company said it would separate the two roles and appointed five-year board member Robert Ingram as chairman. Valeant affirmed its 2016 guidance in mid-January, calling for a 21% increase in sales and a 31% hike in EPS. The fact that it’s now withdrawing that guidance is a worrisome sign, say analysts. “While we had expected updated guidance, we struggle to fully understand the rationale for removing guidance altogether,” wrote Nomura analyst Shibani Malhotra in a research note. But Malhotra says Pearson’s return is a positive sign. “We believe investors still view much of Valeant’s strategy and success as driven by Pearson, and we expect that the ability to retain him as a leader will allow the company to maintain one of its more significant competitive advantages,” she wrote. “Perhaps more importantly, we believe the fact that Pearson is returning as CEO bolsters the credibility of the company and the board of directors, given that the board publicly supported Pearson and his leadership throughout the recent public scrutiny.” RBC Capital Markets analyst Douglas Miehm agreed, noting that Pearson said he would try to build stronger relationships with payers and government regulators and would improve Valeant’s accounting and transparency. “Having said this, we see the overall approach to rescheduling Q4 and withdrawing guidance after reiterating it in January as likely to carry more weight until Mr. Pearson has been able to reach out to the Street and provide some clarity,” Miehm wrote in his research note. Valeant also revealed that Actavis, the generic drug maker in the process of being acquired by Teva Pharmaceutical Industries ( TEVA ), had filed for FDA approval of a generic version of Xifaxan 550mg, a gastrointestinal drug that was the main selling point of Valeant’s Salix acquisition. “We note that Valeant currently has 22 patents covering Xifaxan 550, which are scheduled to expire between August 2019 and October 2029,” Miehm wrote. “We continue to believe a generic is unlikely for at least seven years.”

Tesla Goes To Geneva Motor Show: What It Means For Model X

Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) stock rose a fraction Monday as a Credit Suisse analyst sounded optimistic on production after a visit with the new CFO in a Tesla car factory tour, ahead of the Geneva International Motor Show. Shares earlier in the day were up more than 3%, before reports of a walkout of more than 100 union workers at Tesla’s battery factory site in Nevada. This could be a week to watch the electric car maker’s stock for those reasons, and with Tesla — which doesn’t frequent all the major auto shows — taking part in the Geneva auto show that starts Thursday. A post on Twitter by @TeslaMotors on Monday highlighted how Tesla will use the show to give the Model X crossover its European debut. “Model S keeps an eye on his big brother as it arrives in Europe,” Tesla tweeted Monday, adding the hashtags #MeetModelX and #GIMS, for the show name. What the company says at the show could yield clues about how strongly it’s been able to ramp up initially-slow production of the Model X. For instance, how soon could a European buyer expect to take delivery after ordering a Model X? Global Equities Research co-founder Trip Chowdhry told IBD last quarter that deliveries appeared to be kept especially close to the automaker’s home base, in California. Other automakers’ introductions and comments at the show will provide a checkup on potential competition from the likes of  Toyota ( TM ), BMW,  Daimler ( DDAIF ) and  Volkswagen ( VLKAY ). Model S keeps an eye on his big brother as it arrives in Europe for @gims_live #MeetModelX #GIMS pic.twitter.com/wq8lf2ixpV — Tesla Motors (@TeslaMotors) February 29, 2016 Toyota, for example, plans the world debut of its 2018 Lexus LC 500h hybrid luxury sport coupe in Geneva, after its initial peek at the North American International Auto Show in January. The Geneva show starts with press days on Tuesday local time, which is Monday night on the U.S. East Coast. Toyota’s press conference was set for 11:30 p.m. ET Monday, with details expected on its new multistage hybrid system. Many electrics and hybrids will be on display, from BMW, Hyundai and others, while conventional SUVs are seen making a strong return coincidental to low oil prices. Getting ready for the Big Day #MeetModelX #GIMS #GenevaMotorShow pic.twitter.com/P8D6hSSyih — Tesla Motors (@TeslaMotors) February 29, 2016 When Will Tesla Model 3 Debut? Tesla is due to unveil its smaller vehicle, the mass-market Model 3, on March 31, while it’s also building a battery gigafactory in Nevada that is key to bringing battery costs down enough so that a car can sell for $35,000 — about half of the entry price for Tesla’s current luxury lineup, the Model S sedan and Model X crossover. The Model 3 is meant to compete with the likes of the BMW 3 Series and Volkswagen’s Audi A4, as well as long-range EVs such as General Motors ’ ( GM ) Chevrolet Bolt. However, not all is running smoothly in gigafactory construction. At least 100 workers at the site near Reno walked off the job  on Monday, protesting the use of workers from other states, Bloomberg reported, citing a union official as the source. Analyst Chowdhry contrasted conventional automakers against Tesla in a Monday research note in which he said the gigafactory may be worth $600 billion on its own. He considered that it was started with a $5 billion investment while the rest of the auto industry “is burning more than $8 billion per year on advertisement.” Tesla doesn’t advertise. Analysts Tour Tesla Factory Credit Suisse recently hosted an analyst tour of Tesla’s car assembly plant in Fremont, Calif., where participants got a Q&A session with Tesla’s new chief financial officer, Jason Wheeler. “The plant seemed more evolved since we were there in mid-2014 . . . more organized and automated,” Credit Suisse analyst Dan Galves wrote in a research note Sunday. He kept his outperform rating on Tesla stock. Galves added that “over time, the company sees potential for substantial production cost declines” and “the CFO clearly sees operating leverage and cash burn reduction as top priorities in 2016.” From a production setup first targeted at about 40,000-50,000 for the Model S and Model X combined, Galves wrote, capacity actions over the last 18 months included, among other things, a final assembly capable of more than 100,000 units a year. Tesla’s ability to scale-up production is one thing that analysts have been watching closely. If the ramp-up of Model X production progresses well and reviews are positive, Galves says, Wall Street may “look through” the point that significant improvements in cash flow and margin are apt to be weighted toward the back half of this year. Analyst Chowdhry told IBD at the end of Q4 that Tesla was keeping a “tight feedback and production loop” by making its initial Model X deliveries relatively close to its Northern California factory location. “Remember this car is completely new — it has a lot of new designs, new suppliers and a lot of features that have never existed before,” he said. The falcon-wing doors that open up and flex to avoid hitting a garage ceiling are a case in point. IBD Tesla Stock Analysis Tesla doesn’t currently get a strong ranking from IBD — its Composite Rating is just 21 out of a possible 99, but Tesla stock has recently made a run back up to near its key 50-day line. It tanked below the line Jan. 4 when the company gave its preliminary fourth-quarter and 2015 car unit sales report of 50,580 vehicle deliveries for the year, at the low end of its guidance, as demand skepticism took hold . The rebound began the second week of February as Tesla 2016 car-deliveries guidance was set at between 80,000 and 90,000 Model S and Model X units. (That week in Tesla’s Q4 report , which included a surprise Q4 loss amid costs of production ramp-up, actual 2015 deliveries came in at 50,658 vehicles.) While the S&P 500 index has declined 5% this year, Tesla stock is down 20% year to date after gaining 8% in 2015, jumping 48% in 2014, and rocketing 344% in 2013.