Author Archives: Scalper1

Many MLP CEF Investors Are Using The Wrong Benchmark – Are You?

By James Wang Click to enlarge Today there are 95 publicly-traded energy MLP-access products on the market; a figure that nearly matches the number of MLPs [1] themselves. While having options is generally a good thing, having too many options brings up the paradox of choice [2]. So how do you objectively choose the best fund? Well, as an indexing company, we’d tell you to compare it to a benchmark. You may ask, “but isn’t the Alerian MLP Index (AMZ) already the gold standard for MLP benchmarks?” and you’d be right. (Clearly, we’re biased.) However, with the abundance of MLP investment funds, comes a variety of different product structures and nuances. We’ve launched the Alerian MLP Closed End Fund Index (AMCI) to address a particular subset of those products: closed-end funds (CEFs) which elect to be taxed as C Corporations for federal tax purposes. So what are closed-end funds and what makes them special? Well, to start with, CEFs were the first type of pooled investment products to enter into the MLP space, with Tortoise Capital Advisors launching the Tortoise Energy Infrastructure Corp (NYSE: TYG ) in 2004. Today CEFs make up about 20% [3] of all MLP investment products by AUM. As partnerships, MLPs have certain tax complexities that reduce their efficiencies in pass-through investment products. While traditional mutual funds, CEFs, and ETFs may pass on all gains/losses to their investors, funds whose holdings comprise more than 25% in MLPs must elect to be taxed as a C Corporation [4] for federal income purposes. This means that there’s an extra layer of corporate taxation that shaves off approximately 35% [5] of all gains before it even reaches the investor. Yeah, it kind of stinks, but unfortunately those are the rules, and it’s the only way to construct a pure-play MLP fund. C Corp CEFs, however, have the ability to mitigate some of that tax drag through the use of leverage. Furthermore, since the funds are “closed” in construction, unlike open-end funds (ETFs, Mutual Funds), the capital they have is permanent, allowing them to hold less-liquid investments. A potential downside (or upside, if you time it right) to the structure is that these funds may trade at a significant discount or premium to their net asset value. To make things even more complicated, there are a number of CEFs with the words MLP in their title, but they merely hold 25% of their fund in MLPs (to get around the C Corp rules). Those types of funds are referred to as “RIC-Compliant funds” and may have significantly different investment characteristics. For the purpose of the AMCI, RIC-Compliant funds are excluded, as it would not allow for an apples-to-apples comparison. Click to enlarge The Alerian Closed End Fund Index’s construction is relatively straight-forward. Today, there are 21 MLP C Corp CEFs on the market, with AUMs ranging from $19 million to nearly $2 billion. All of these funds are included and equal-weighted within the AMCI. Historical data was generated by backtesting the index back to 2004, when the first MLP C Corp CEFs were launched. Click to enlarge Examining the total return performance of the AMCI in the chart above, you’ll notice that it lags significantly behind the AMZ. This is expected and really showcases the effect of the C Corp tax drag. Even though CEFs use leverage [6] to offset some of this drag, that leverage is only helpful on the way up. On the way down, leverage exacerbates losses. Although in the past three months, the AMCI has outperformed the AMZ, over periods of a year or longer, it has significantly underperformed. When looking at the yield of the AMCI, you’ll see that it’s also significantly higher than the AMZ. While some CEFs may focus their investments on higher-yielding MLPs, it’s not necessarily a universal trend, with leverage playing a larger role in boosting yields. One important note is that since this index is equal-weighted, small funds have an outsized influence on index performance while larger funds may be under-represented when compared to an AUM- weighted index. Unfortunately, the smallest funds are also the worst-performing in the index. When looking at the price return of the AMCI as of 3/31/16, the following data points stand out. 12 of 21 funds have outperformed the AMCI on a trailing one-year basis 11 of 13 funds have outperformed the AMCI on a trailing three-year basis 7 of 8 funds have outperformed the AMCI on a trailing five-year basis 4 of 4 funds have outperformed the AMCI on a trailing 10-year basis How is it possible that the majority of index constituents outperformed the index for the 3-, 5-, and 10-year history? Unfortunately, two funds [7] dragged the entire index down by hundreds of basis points [8]. Although it’s unfortunate that these funds had such a negative impact on index performance, it also showcases that there can be large disparity between the best- and worst-performing active managers. In the end, Alerian exists to equip investors to make informed decisions about their MLP investments. There are multitudes of MLP-related funds in the marketplace today and the most important thing is to know what you own. If you’ve already made the decision to go with an active manager and are comfortable with the pros and cons of C Corp CEFs, we hope that the AMCI better equips you to make an informed decision with your investments. 2016.05.19 2:30PM CST – Edited to correct phrasing in paragraph 4 and footnote 4. Footnotes [1] There are 118 energy MLPs as of the end of April. [2] As psychologist Barry Schwartz has said “Autonomy and freedom of choice are critical to our well-being, and choice is critical to freedom and autonomy. Nonetheless, though modern Americans have more choice than any group of people ever has before, and thus, presumably, more freedom and autonomy, we don’t seem to be benefiting from it psychologically.” [3] Over $9B in aggregate AUM as of February 29, 2016 [4] This is due to the American Jobs Creation Act of 2004. Previously, MLPs could not be held at all in such funds without making a corporate tax election. [5] The federal corporate tax rate is 35%, but state taxes could push the fund tax rate higher. [6] The amount of potential leverage can be found in each fund’s offering documents, but typically a fund’s maximum debt leverage is 33% while its equity leverage is 50%, as governed by the Investment Company Act of 1940. [7] The Cushing MLP Total Return Fund (NYSE: SRV ) fell over 87% from its inclusion on December 21, 2007 to March 31, 2016 while the Cushing Energy Income Fund (NYSE: SRF ) fell over 93% from its inclusion in the index from June 15, 2012 to March 31, 2016. [8] Theoretically, if we were going to cherry-pick this index and remove SRV and SRF, the annualized 10-year total return performance would have jumped 220 basis points from +1.7% to +3.9%. The 5-year annualized performance shows similar results, jumping nearly 370 bps from -7.8% to -4.1%. Disclosure: © Alerian 2016. All rights reserved. This material is reproduced with the prior consent of Alerian. It is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. Employees of Alerian are prohibited from owning individual MLPs. For more information on Alerian and to see our full disclaimer, visit http://www.alerian.com/disclaimers. James Wang is the Director of Data Analytics at Alerian, which equips investors to make informed decisions about Master Limited Partnerships (MLPs) and energy infrastructure. Mr. Wang conducts quantitative and statistical analyses in order to bring to light historical and emerging trends in the asset class. He also oversees the firm’s efforts to efficiently integrate and utilize technology in its brand management activities. Prior to Alerian, Mr. Wang was an Associate in the Equity Research Division of Raymond James & Associates Inc, where he constructed financial models for energy infrastructure MLPs and published comprehensive research reports to discuss his findings. Mr. Wang graduated with a Bachelor of Science in Biomedical Engineering and a minor in Management from the Johns Hopkins University Whiting School of Engineering.

The Jury’s Still Split On The Value Of Activist Investing

Activist investing continues to be a topic of great debate in the financial world. One of the main issues that drives the controversy is whether activist investors help or hinder the market. Are they a force for good that keeps management and boards honest? Or are they simply quick buck artists intent on creating short-term value at the expense of building long-term sustainable companies? With these questions in mind, we asked CFA Institute Financial NewsBrief readers the following: “Is activist investing helpful, harmful, or a short-term nuisance?” As you might expect, opinions were split almost right down the middle. Is activist investing helpful, harmful, or a short-term nuisance? Click to enlarge Nearly half (48%) of the 538 respondents felt that activist investors are good for the system and improve the quality of the firms they invest in. Just over half of those surveyed, however, offered a less sanguine view of activist investing, split between those who feel activist investors are harmful to the system and are often motivated by short-term profit at the expense of long-term investors (34%), and those who say activist investors are a short-term nuisance and have little long-term effect on a company’s performance (18%). So what is the answer? Is activist investing a problem or not? As typical humans with short attention spans, we demand an easy answer! Unfortunately, as with most questions of this sort, the answer is typically yes and no, depending on your perspective. By its very nature, shareowner activism does often seek to return cash to shareowners in some form in a relatively short time frame. But activists rarely pursue corporate prey that has been executing consistently on a proven strategy for years. Activists tend to target companies that have lost their way in one way or another. There is also a definitional problem with short-termism. The markets work because someone is willing to buy or sell in the short term, often with an unknown time frame. If an investor feels that the full value of their investment is reached in three years, three months, or even three minutes, we do not begrudge them the right to sell. Activism has increased in recent years because it is believed to be a profitable strategy. It will likely decline as a strategy when and if there is less low hanging fruit — when there are fewer poorly run companies or firms with poor strategies. If management and boards up their games, their companies will not look so attractive to activists. Corporate boards also have reasonable allies in the battle against those activists motivated by short-term considerations: long-term investors. Long-term investors are typically institutional investors and generally do not have the option of selling the companies they own, so they can be receptive to a strong argument from an activist looking to drive value. It is therefore incumbent upon management and boards to: Have a sound long-term strategy. Tie variable compensation to the execution of that long-term strategy. Foster a dialogue and ongoing relationships with long-term investors. By engaging with these investors consistently and effectively, companies earn their trust. Then, if an activist comes to their door, they have a more receptive investor ear in the contest of ideas that plays out in the media and corporate boardrooms.

Britney Spears Game Lifts Glu, But Big Publishers Winning

Mobile video game publisher Glu Mobile ( GLUU ) got a rise Thursday from the release of a new game featuring pop singer Britney Spears. However, it’s the big game publishers like Activision Blizzard ( ATVI ) and Electronic Arts ( EA ) that are winning in the mobile games market. Glu saw its low-priced, micro-cap stock rise 7% to 2.50 in afternoon trading on the stock market today , on the release of its latest celebrity game: “Britney Spears: American Dream.” The San Francisco-based company needs another hit along the lines of its genre-defining game, “Kim Kardashian: Hollywood,” to regain its footing. Glu’s sales have fallen on a year-over-year basis for three straight quarters. And the declines are accelerating — from a 2% decrease in Q3 2015 to a 16% drop in Q4 and a 22% fall in Q1. Glu has a miserable IBD Relative Strength Rating of 3, meaning it is in the bottom 3% for performance among all stocks over the last 12 months. Another publicly traded maker of mobile games, San Francisco-based Zynga ( ZNGA ), faces similar challenges. Its sales have stalled the last two quarters — falling 4% year over year in Q4 and increasing just 2% in Q1. Zynga is known for games such as “Words With Friends” and “Zynga Poker.” Like Glu, Zynga stock is low valued, trading near 2.50 and up a fraction Thursday afternoon. Meanwhile, PC and console game giants Activision Blizzard and Electronic Arts reported solid gains in their mobile game initiatives in the March quarter. Activision stock jumped to near its all-time high after the company posted  better-than-expected first-quarter results on May 5. The Santa Monica, Calif.-based company credited the upside surprise to newly acquired mobile game publisher King Digital Entertainment and its hot titles like “Candy Crush Jelly Saga.” Activision completed its purchase of King on Feb. 23. In Q1, King’s monthly active users rose 3% to 463 million from the prior quarter. King has had three of the top 15 highest-grossing titles in the U.S. mobile app stores for nine quarters in a row. EA stock climbed to a record high of 77.15 after the Redwood City, Calif.-based company posted better-than-expected results for its fiscal Q4 on May 10. Shares were down 1.5% Thursday afternoon, near 73.50. EA was the No. 1 most-downloaded mobile game publisher in 2015, with such popular games as “Madden NFL Mobile” and “Star Wars: Galaxy of Heroes.”