Author Archives: Scalper1
San Francisco Is A City Divided … By Technology
World-renowned San Francisco is a city of contrasts: Facebook ( FB )founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s $10 million San Francisco home is less than a block away from territory claimed by a Latino street gang. A billboard near Zuckerberg’s mansion advertises starter homes priced in the “low $1 millions.” In a city of 850,000 people, 100,000 residents have no Internet access, and 50,000 have dialup. The average rent for a one-bedroom apartment is over $3,500 a month, the highest in the U.S. An entry-level software developer/programmer can earn $150,000, while the city’s minimum wage amounts to $25,000. City transit handed out 850 permits for a pilot program to use public bus stops for private commuter shuttles that ferry workers to and from Silicon Valley, while the city itself operates only 800 buses. San Francisco’s sharp divide is taking shape amid the financial euphoria and venture capital frenzy for game-changing startups such as Uber and Airnbnb. But this boom has a character that’s proved more divisive than those of the past. The tech bosses, money men and well-educated workers who have flocked to San Francisco have been called “some of the most ruthless capitalists around,” and they have transformed the city’s character in a few short years. “The historic power center, the traditional political interests in San Francisco have been destabilized by tech becoming very political in San Francisco,” said San Francisco Supervisor Aaron Peskin. “Historically, the landlord industry had power in the city, the traditional Chamber of Commerce had power. But all of them have been eclipsed by the tech juggernaut. It’s as simple as money.” Airbnb Playing Tough Politics Privately held Airbnb — a website that lets people rent their homes and apartments to travelers — is one such recent example of the tech industry’s political influence. During the last election cycle, the company spent more than $9 million to defeat a measure seeking to expand regulation over the firm’s activities in the city (illegal rentals make up 76% of the listings , according to a local news report). Its opponents spent less than $500,000. Ultimately the company defeated the legislation. And according to city data, Airbnb recently added $245,000 to its campaign war chest, days after elected officials announced another legislative effort to more tightly regulate short-term rentals — the bread and butter of Airbnb’s sales. The company did not respond to several requests for comment. Sf.citi, a nonprofit lobby group backed by tech companies and venture capitalists, also declined to comment. To be sure, Airbnb’s business model relies on friendly legislation more than most others do, but the dollar amount of the contributions has raised eyebrows. The tech industry was largely unwilling to discuss the issue on the record with IBD, though some firms issued prepared statements that pointed out charitable donations and volunteer work performed by the companies and their employees. Twitter ( TWTR ) declined to make executives available for comment but provided IBD with a written statement, as did Salesforce ( CRM ) and privately held ride-hailing app Uber. Like Uber, Twitter and Salesforce are based in San Francisco. Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff is a San Francisco native, and his father ran a chain of apparel stores. However, the company would not make Benioff available for comment. Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), Facebook, PayPal ( PYPL ) and privately held companies Dropbox and Stripe are among those that, through spokespersons, declined to comment. S.F. Chamber Sees Divide, Less ‘Engaged’ Demographic But for people in certain jobs, it’s not easy to avoid commenting on a hot-button issue. Jim Lazarus, senior vice president of the San Francisco Chamber of Commerce, pointed to Salesforce’s charitable contributions as an example of how a number of tech companies are giving back to the community. (Salesforce.com, Alphabet ( GOOGL ) and many tech companies are members of the S.F. Chamber.) But he acknowledged that the younger people employed by tech companies are, in general, “not as engaged” in the community as some would like, though he expressed hope that would change. Lazarus concedes there is a divide, stemming from the significant wage disparity between those employed in high-pay tech and those not so employed. “That’s tech in California,” he said. Lazarus says it’s wrong to look at the divide solely through the narrow lens of technology. He says big job growth in sectors such as biotech, health care and education also contribute to the income inequality. And he notes that the services industries also bring some higher-paying jobs for lawyers, accountants and others. “There is a significant professional service economy,” he said. Google Buses Fuel Much Debate Regardless of the complexities of the divide, city residents often express frustration with the high cost of living by protesting — either in court or on the street — one of the most visible symbols of the tech industry’s supposed hubris: the commuter shuttle. The shorthand is “Google buses,” but they are not just shuttles provided by Alphabet’s Google. “At least once a week, someone on the street makes an obscene gesture toward our shuttle,” Genentech employee Michael Stevens wrote to the Board of Supervisors in an email obtained through a public records request by IBD. “I don’t understand this, but I think that kind of behavior is typical of those who resent the shuttles.” IBD obtained more than 1,200 pages of documents about the shuttles, which included dozens of complaints from residents, unions and neighborhood associations. At their core, the idea of the shuttles is to reduce freeway traffic — which is legendary in Silicon Valley — as well as pollution, while also providing a perk to tech employees, of course. Google’s liaison to the San Francisco government, Rebecca Prozan, declined to comment, referring IBD to the press unit, which did not respond to multiple email messages. Of the buses, Lazarus says that they’re a sign that San Francisco is highly desirable place in which to live. “It’s a problem most American cities would love to have,” he said. The shuttles are often the target of derision , however, and longtime city residents say they helped change the character of the neighborhoods, along with the new residents who have moved in. “It’s a top-down, structured environment,” Erich Werner said, referring to how new communities are being planned. Werner is an electrical contractor who has lived in the city for 32 years. “What would keep a hamster happy? In this case, the hamster would need a restaurant, some place to party, some kind of light rail to take them there. All the attention is geared toward analysis and addressing perceived needs of a demographic. That’s conceptual and literal engineering.” More than changing neighborhoods, the influx of young, well-educated tech workers has created a new breed of tech companies that serve a niche of customers in a city that in many ways is not representative of the broader market. “There are a lot of products and services being created for San Francisco, and I’m not sure that’s sustainable,” said Myles Weissleder, who has lived in the Bay Area and worked in technology since the 1990s. He’s founder of SFNewTech, which puts together monthly networking events focused on technology. “Are there efficiencies in private transportation services?,” he said. “Certainly. But there are impacts on neighborhoods, there are costs — all of those little things are impacts, they are unforeseen consequences.” Despite increasing wariness among venture capitalists to fund startups, rents keep rising, and business carries on as usual. But even people connected to the technology industry feel some uncertainty. “These companies will run out of steam,” Weissleder said, “and I foresee some kind of shake-up as the money dries up.”
Bank ETFs Surge: Will The Momentum Last?
Finally, the battered banking stocks found reasons to turn around. As soon as the April Fed minutes hinted at a June rate hike possibility, banking, along with many other financial stocks, rallied on May 18. The going was tough for bank stocks and ETFs for quite some time, mainly due to the twin attacks of a delay in any further Fed rate hike after a liftoff in December and the energy sector slump. But things are now falling in space for this woebegone sector. Hawkish Tone in Fed Minutes Citing plenty of positive drivers in the market, including a healing labor market, a bullish inflation outlook, strong retail, consumer sentiment and housing data, the Fed minutes brought back the sooner-than-expected rate hike talks on the table. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note jumped 11 bps to 1.87% on May 18, while the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury note rose 8 bps to 0.90%. This steepening of the yield curve was a tailwind for banking stocks, as these improve banks’ net interest margins. This is because the interest rates on deposits are usually tied to short-term rates, while loans are often tied to long-term rates. Revival in Oil Prices U.S. banks have significant exposure to the long-beleaguered energy sector, where chances of credit default are higher. In February, the S&P cut its outlook on several regional banks with substantial energy sector exposure, citing a likely increase in non-performing assets. Among the biggies, Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) reported around $42 billion oil and gas credit in February. The situation was the same for JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM ), whose energy loan accounts for 57% of the investment-grade paper . JPMorgan’s $44 billion energy sector exposure was a cause for concern given the below-$30-oil-per-barrel mark a few months back. However, those days of crisis seem to have passed, with oil prices showing an impressive rally lately and hovering around a seven-month high on falling supplies and the possibility of rising demand. Political imbalance in countries like Nigeria and Venezuela and expected moderation in the shale boom should put a brake in the supply glut. This increased hopes for a revival in the energy sector, which, in turn, is likely to benefit the banking sector too. JPMorgan Ups Dividend This leading financial firm announced a dividend hike on May 17, 2016, after the market closed. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.48 per share, representing a more than 9% rise over the prior payout. Per analysts , the strength in its consumer businesses helped the bank to opt for this. JPM shares jumped about 3.9% in the key trading session of May 18, benefitting the ETFs that invest heavily in the company. Notably, JPMorgan’s first-quarter 2016 earnings of $1.35 per share beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.26. Net revenue of $24.1 billion was also ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $23.9 billion. Needless to mention, this announcement uplifted the big banks’ financial image. All these showered ample gains in banking stocks on May 18. Below, we highlight a few (see all Financial ETFs here ): SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSEARCA: KRE ) – Up 4.24% SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSEARCA: KBE ) – Up 4.15% PowerShares KBW Regional Banking Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: KBWR ) – Up 4.14% First Trust Nasdaq ABA Community Bank ETF (NASDAQ: QABA ) – Up 3.87% PowerShares KBW Bank Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: KBWB ) – Up 3.76% iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (NYSEARCA: IAT ) – Up 3.73% Apart from banking sector ETFs, other financial ETFs also shined on May 18. Among the lot, the iShares U.S. Broker-Dealers ETF (NYSEARCA: IAI ), up 3.11%,deserves a special mention. Notably, this ETF is also a beneficiary of the rising rate environment. Going Forward Since all the drivers are likely to remain in place for some time, the road ahead for banking ETFs should not be edgy. Even if the Fed does not act in June, it should act by September. Moreover, after two years of struggle, tension in the oil patch is likely to take a breather, as supply-demand dynamics look favorable for the near term. However, if bond yields decline on risk-off trade sentiments emanated from global growth issues, financial ETFs might come under pressure. Original Post