Author Archives: Scalper1

Expedia Sees Currency As Less Of An Issue In 2016; Stock Up

Online travel agent Expedia ( EXPE ) saw its share rise early Thursday, after the company late Wednesday posted Q4 earnings and revenue that missed Wall Street expectations, but executives said currency would be less of a factor this year and that they’ve seen no impact, at least not yet, from the steep drop in global stock markets at the start of this year. And shares of rival  TripAdvisor ( TRIP ) were up 14% after the company posted a Q4 earnings beat before the open. Ahead of Expedia’s earnings report, analysts were cautious  on global macroeconomic concerns and competition with rivals  Priceline ( PCLN ), TripAdvisor and privately held Airbnb. Expedia executives seemed to assuage some fears in comments on the company’s earnings conference call with analysts. Priceline stock was flat in early trading in the stock market today , as the broader market got off to another rough start on macroeconomic worries and falling oil prices. For Q4, Expedia said sales grew 29% to $1.7 billion, while earnings per share ex-items dropped 22% to 77 cents. The consensus estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters called for $1.71 billion and $1 EPS ex items. In Q4, recently acquired Orbitz and HomeAway added $177 million and $20 million, respectively, to Expedia’s top line — which would have been $1.5 billion without them. Gross bookings rose 40%, in Q4, driven by a 28% increase from the company’s acquisitions. The strong dollar cost the company 5% of Q4 revenue growth and 9% of gross bookings growth, Expedia said. Expedia purchased HomeAway, which is focused on vacation rentals, in part because it’s a hedge against Airbnb, a firm that lets people rent out accommodations in their home to travelers. Private investors have valued Airbnb at over $20 billion — though as of late, mutual funds have been under fire for failing to properly value hot startups, such as ride-booking firm Uber and cloud storage provider Dropbox. Barclays analyst Paul Vogel said the Orbitz and HomeAway acquisitions would make it tough to estimate Expedia’s results. Expedia spent over $6 billion on those acquisitions. “There are a number of moving parts within Expedia that we believe have created an uncertain backdrop around forecasts and expectations,” Vogel wrote in a research note Tuesday. Priceline is set to report earnings Feb. 17 before the open.

Cisco’s Steady Q2 Helps, But Enterprise IT Sector Still Jittery

Behind the scenes, Cisco Systems ( CSCO ) did what it was supposed to do last quarter, and did it a little more profitably: It provided reliable networking gear and helped others compute and communicate faster, even as formerly highflying enterprise technology stocks crashed. After Wednesday’s close, Cisco posted fiscal Q2 earnings and sales that beat analyst expectations, as did its earnings and sales outlook for the current quarter. The company’s CEO, however, acknowledged that things have been a bit dicey. While the first 10 weeks of the second quarter, through Dec. 31, were “very much in line with what we expected … (in) those last three weeks (through Jan. 23), we saw customers just pause a bit … to see what’s going on,” Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins said on the company’s earnings conference call with analysts. “The (data center) campus refresh activities, we saw customer say, ‘Hey, our infrastructure is working. Let’s hold on that (purchase) before we see which way we’re willing to go.’ ” Added CFO Kelly Kramer: “Our guidance is prudent. We expanded our range to three (percentage) points of range rather than two, because we see things as more volatile.” For the period ended Jan. 23, Cisco said per-share earnings minus items rose 7.5% from the year-earlier quarter to 57 cents minus items, while revenue slipped 1% to $11.8 billion. Excluding year-earlier performance from the television set-top box business Cisco recently sold, revenue rose 2% . Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected 54 cents and $11.75 billion. A year before, Cisco’s EPS ex items had risen 13% to 53 cents, and sales grew 7% to $11.94 billion. Cisco completed the sale of its set-top box unit to Technicolor on Nov. 20, for $600 million. Excluding that business, Cisco had guided Q2 adjusted EPS to 53-55 cents, on revenue of flat-to-2% growth. For fiscal Q3, Cisco guided to EPS ex items of 54 cents to 56 cents and to a year-over-year revenue rise of 1% to 4%. Analysts had modeled 54 cents and a 0.8% decline. Cisco is the No. 1 maker of the seldom-seen but increasingly used, lightning-fast switches, routers and other networking gear behind most telecom and Internet service providers, helping to run many data centers for many Internet cloud-based operations. Cisco stock, which rose 9% in after-hours trading Wednesday after its earnings release, was up more than 9% in early trading in the stock market today , near 24.50, despite another tough start to the market overall amid global economic worries. In Wednesday’s regular session, shares fell 0.6% to 22.51, 25% off an eight-year high of 30.31, set last March. Smaller rival Juniper Networks ( JNPR ) was up nearly 1% in early trading Thursday. Cisco’s latest results helped the outlook for information technology stocks, which crashed last week after data analytics software maker  Tableau Software ( DATA ) and social media firm LinkedIn ( LNKD ) gave disappointing guidance. As global fears of a slowing economy rose, so did worries of slower IT spending. Analytics firm Splunk ( SPLK ), security vendor  Palo Alto Networks ( PANW ) and cloud software leader Salesforce.com ( CRM ) were among stocks that fell hard last week, though the latter two have recovered somewhat this week. All three stocks, however, were down in early trading Thursday, as was Tableau. Cisco: Challenging Macroenvironment “We delivered a strong Q2 and are managing the business extremely well in a challenging macro environment,” Robbins said in the company’s earnings release. “We’re managing the company on two fronts. We’re focused on continued strong execution in the near term, while investing in the innovation to lead our customers into the future.” As with the sale of its set-top box business, Cisco has been shedding slow-growth lines of business while making acquisitions in faster-growing arenas. Last week, Cisco announced its agreement to acquire Jasper Technologies, which delivers a cloud-based Internet of Things (Iot) service platform, for $1.4 billion.  The deal is expected to close this fiscal quarter. The company last quarter also completed the purchases of Portcullis, a digital security operation; Lancope, a security analytics firm; ParStream, another analytics specialist;  and 1 Mainstream, an on-demand streaming-content company. And on the call, Cisco executives said they recently completed the acquisition of Acano to help accelerate Cisco’s collaboration strategy to deliver video more broadly. In November, Cisco entered a “strategic partnership” with Ericsson ( ERIC ) which both companies say will improve their sales by the second half of this fiscal year. Robbins told analysts that Cisco and Ericsson “have begun to close transactions together. I would not translate that to any of the numbers we put out today. … We’re at the handful stage right now, but we see that accelerating.” “We delivered a strong Q2, and are managing the business extremely well in a challenging macro environment,” Cisco CEO Chuck Robbins said in the earnings release. “We’re managing the company on two fronts. We’re focused on continued strong execution in the near term while investing in the innovation to lead our customers into the future.”  

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 2/11/16

Major averages finished mixed on mixed volume at the low end of their respective trading ranges. All the major indexes reversed off their opening gap-up highs to close near the lows of their intraday trading ranges, with the NASDAQ trading heavier volume. The Market Direction Model remains on a sell signal which was first issued on February 2nd. While markets were disappointed in Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen’s somewhat hawkish stance on Wednesday regarding the future direction of interest rates, she conceded Wednesday that negative interest rates are a possibility but that any legal issues would need to be cleared up. Still, she didn’t think any serious legal roadblocks existed. Several of Europe’s central banks have cut key interest rates below zero and kept them there for more than a year but it has done nothing to help spur growth. And now Japan is trying it. The idea is that negative rates would push banks to lend thus spurring economic growth. But forcing banks to make loans seems unwise, so the banks may just pass the negative rates onto its customers instead. Negative rates smack of desperation as the Fed paints itself into a tighter and tighter corner. The Fed can choose to be dovish and eventually push rates into negative territory, or they can be hawkish and lean on higher rates in the future. Either way, markets seem displeased. Futures are off about -1.5% at the time of this writing.