Akamai Stock Jumps On Q1 Beat, Despite Apple, Facebook Trend

By | February 10, 2016

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Akamai Technologies ( AKAM ) stock jumped Wednesday after the CDN services provider late Tuesday reported Q1 earnings and revenue that topped analysts’  lowered expectations and gave in-line current-quarter profit  guidance. Shares of Cambridge-based Akamai were up 23% in midday trading in the stock market today , near 49. Akamai is the biggest provider of content-delivery network (CDN) services to media and entertainment companies. Akamai said it earned 72 cents per share in Q4, up 3% from the year-earlier period, with revenue rising 8% to $579.2 million. Analysts had modeled EPS of 62 cents and revenue of $569 million. The beat included a 6-cent tax benefit. Akamai bought back $100 million in its own stock, lowering share count and boosting EPS. Even with Wednesday’s gain, Akamai stock is down 7% in 2016. The stock had plunged 47% through Tuesday’s market close since Oct. 27, when the company  gave disappointing December-quarter guidance. For the current quarter, Akamai forecasts revenue of $562 million at the midpoint of its range, with adjusted EPS of 61 cents to 64 cents, vs. consensus estimates of $568 million and 63 cents. Full-year 2015 revenue rose 12% to $2.2 billion. On the company’s earnings conference call, management backed off of its 2020 revenue goal of $5 billion, said Colby Synesael, an analyst at Cowen & Co., in a research note.   Akamai’s technology speeds up video streaming to mobile devices, e-commerce transactions and business software downloads. Akamai has expanded into higher-margin cloud-infrastructure services and security, aiming to offset price cuts in the CDN business that average 15% to 20% a year. “The security segment, now at a $300 million (annual revenue) run rate, provided the (Q4) upside,” said UBS analyst Steven Milunovich in a report. Akamai’s stock has been pressured as some big customers shift to their own internal CDNs. Apple ( AAPL ), believed to be Akamai’s biggest customer, and Facebook ( FB ) have been moving data traffic to their own CDNs. Akamai has renegotiated contracts and lowered prices in some cases, says Tim Horan, an analyst at Oppenheimer. “The top two customers (likely Apple/Facebook) represented an average of 13% of revenue and likely closer to 11% in Q4, but that should decrease to 6% by mid-2016,” wrote Horan in a report. “The next two (likely Microsoft ( MSFT )/Google) likely represent 5% and have likely re-priced. This should result in less revenue volatility in the second half of 2016, with upside if overall traffic volumes pick up.” Google is the main business of Alphabet ( GOOGL ).   He says Akamai could gain from video streaming tied to the Olympics this summer, the presidential election and National Football League games. Aside from longtime rivals Level 3 Communications ( LVLT ) and Limelight Networks ( LLNW ), Akamai is facing increased competition from Amazon Web Services, part of Amazon.com ( AMZN ), as well as Verizon Communications ( VZ ). Scalper1 News

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